SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY FOR ALL Kenya Evidence Forum Nancy Vandycke - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY FOR ALL

Nancy Vandycke June 14, 2016

Kenya Evidence Forum

TRANS TRANSPOR ORT INVE T INVESTM TMENT NTS

Investments are needed for sustainable new and exisDng transport systems

• 2

Global investments in public and private transport: $1.4-$2.1 trillion per year* § Private investment = 58% § ODA and Green Funds: 2% § HIC: 75 % Capital needs to achieve 2 degree scenario pathway:** § $2 trillion § $237 billion in BRT and rail investments

(*) Levefre B., and al. (2014), “The Trillion dollar ques]on: (**) Lefevre B, and al. (2016), “The Trillion dollar ques]on II: tracking investment needs in transport” WRI

IN KENY IN KENYA A

3

WBG Net Commitments/ CommiQed ($m) IDA 4,131.1 IFC 908.1 MIGA World Bank Group 5,039.2

ACTIVE PORTFOLIO ALL SECTORS

Public Administra]

• n, Law and

Jus]ce 28% Water, Sanita]on and Flood Protec]on 22% [CATEGORY NAME] [PERCENTA GE] Others 31%

IDA TOP 3 SECTORS (ACTIVE PORTFOLIO)

Commitments Na]onal Urban Transport Improvement 300.00 Transport Sector Support Project 503.50 Total 803.50 Pipeline FY17/18 Kenya Rural Roads Project 100.00 Airport Moderniza]on Project 0.06 Nairobi BRT Project 250.00 Total 350.06

TRANSPORT

What does the future hold for us? By 2030,

GL GLOB OBAL AL C CONTE ONTEXT XT

3 billion more people on Earth, with rising aspiraDons for mobility Freight volume expected to quadruple Dollar value of digital informaDon flows already exceeds value of traded goods

4

CHALLENGE CHALLENGES

CollecDve global efforts on sustainable mobility have so far been insufficient:

Over 1 billion people have no access to an all- weather road

billion people

1

70 percent of fuel energy is lost in engine and driveline inefficiencies.

% GHG emissions

70

5

Number of vehicles on the road expected to double to 2 billion by 2050

billion cars

1

Road death rate per 100,000 popula]on increased 32% in Low Income Countries (from 18.3 in 2010 to 24.1 in 2013)

32

% in road deaths

Transport is responsible for 23 percent of energy- related GHG emissions and this share is increasing

23

% fuel energy

To facilitate Sustainable Mobility for All through four goals:

VIS VISION ION

6

Progress on these goals will improve the lives and livelihoods of billions of people across the world—their health, their environment, their quality of life—and help stabilize climate change over the long term.

Embed mi]ga]on, adapta]on, and environmental concerns into supply as well as demand side

CLIMATE & ENVIRONMENT

Improve the safety of mobility (SDG target 3.6

• n road safety)

SAFETY

Secure access for all to economic and social opportuni]es

ACCESS FOR ALL

Increase the efficiency of transport systems and services

EFFICIENCY

GOALS OUTCOMES

GL GLOB OBAL AL TRA TRACKING F CKING FRAM RAMEWORK ORK

7

§ A global tracking framework (GTF) to measure progress towards the four goals, using country-level indicators. § Progress on each goal tracked using one principal, two addi]onal, and other suppor]ng indicators. § This GTF to be supported by a partnership to develop, collect, and analyze data and indicators.

CALL F CALL FOR A OR ACTION TION

8

Many actors have made voluntary financial and operaDonal commitments: Transforming the world’s mobility requires more. We need:

>70%

countries are targe]ng transport in their NDCs

COUNTRIES

>80

ci]es (affiliated with C40) are tackling climate change and climate risk

CITIES

>260

transporta]on companies pledged to reduce GHG emissions

PRIVATE SECTOR

>$175 billion

commimed in loans and grants for sustainable transport from 2013 to 2022

MDBs

A robust global vision to guide us A global tracking framework to measure progress Bold and ambi]ous acDons Strengthen global coaliDons to carry the agenda forward

15

ini]a]ves have commimed to reducing carbon footprint across transport modes

LPAA/CIVIL SOCIETY

BOLD AND AMBITIOUS BOLD AND AMBITIOUS A ACTIONS TIONS

■ Dedicated funding for sustainable mobility in the Green Climate and Climate Investment funds ■ Rebalance urban public space in favor of non-motorized transport (bicycling and walking) ■ Accelerate the introducDon of carbon pricing (including fuel subsidy reform) ■ Roll out safety technologies that can dras]cally reduce traffic accidents and fatali]es

9

We need scale and focus to radically transform the movement of people and goods in the short, medium, and long-term. In the short-term: a set of “quick-wins”, such as: ■ Expanding congesDon/road charging in major global ci]es ■ Modernizing ageing rail fleets and trac]on systems In the medium-term: ac]ons, such as: In the long-term: ac]ons, such as a Global Roadmap for De-Carboniza]on of the Transport Sector

GL GLOB OBAL AL C COAL ALITION ITION

We need to strengthen and expand exis]ng coaliDons of bold and commimed actors drawn from a range of groups: ■ NaDonal champions: Synergies with the SDGs and the Paris agreement (NDCs) can best be

• p]mized at the country level.

■ City champions: Ci]es are at the forefront of sustainable mobility and will be leading many

• f the sustainable mobility ini]a]ves.

■ Private sector champions: Private sector is likely to remain at the cuong edge of innova]ons and a key investor for sustainable transport. ■ Civil society: Organiza]ons promo]ng coordinated ac]on are central. ■ InternaDonal actors: Organiza]ons with interna]onal clout will be key sources of leadership and knowledge. The role of these coaliDons will be to share knowledge, advocate, galvanize acDon, and catalyze financing from the public and private sector for sustainable mobility.

10

SUS SUSTAINABLE LE MO MOBILI LITY—THE E WAY FORWARD D

11

May 5-6 Climate AcDon Summit (Plenary).

Conveners: UN Secretary General and WBG President. Dialogue on sustainable mobility. Plus Pre- Summit Stakeholders’ Workday – Transport Track, May 4

UNSG HLAG Sustainable Transport MeeDng, San]ago. Engagement with HLAG on sustainable mobility COP22, Morocco – and UNSG HLAG ST Conference, Ashgabat - Recommenda]ons on sustainable mobility endorsed World Bank-IMF Annual MeeDngs - Dialogue with Ministers of Finance on sustainable mobility October 7-9 May 31 November May 18-20 InternaDonal Transport Forum,

• Leipzig. Ministers of
• Transport. Dialogue on

sustainable mobility UN General Assembly. High-level event Habitat III Conference - Deep- dive on urban mobility World Economic Forum, Davos – High level support for sustainable mobility for all September 13-20 October October 17-20 Jan 17-20, 2017

Work with Partners to Rally SupporDng Voices

How can the IE Connect for Impact Contribute?

Better understand the economics of T&I interventions to achieve higher impact

• Generate evidence on key topics at scale (conclusive results)

to support the Narrative on sustainable transport

• Make significant investments in knowledge generation in

priority business areas (urban mobility, transport corridors, broadband access)

• Establish the evidence basis for linking interventions with

poverty reduction, growth and sustainable development

• Pooling intellectual and financial resources to achieve scale

(e.g., involve other MDBs to maximize cross-institutional learning spill-overs).

12

MDB’s RESPONSE

13

Rio+20 MDBs Pledge on Sustainable Transport $175 billio $175 billion n 2012-22 2012-22 On On t track ck ($65 billio ($65 billion) n)

Paris Commitment on Climate Finance by MDBs, 2020* AfdB: $5 billio : $5 billion n ADB: $6 billio $6 billion n EIB: 35 % 35 % (from 25%) EBRD: 40 % 40 % (from 20%) IDB: 25-30 % 25-30 % (from 14%) WBG: 28 % 28 % (from 21%)

Paris Joint MDBs commitment on Transport and Change

WO WORLD BA BANK RES ESPONSE

14 WBG’s total commitment for climate finance $10.3 billio $10.3 billion (2015) n (2015) è $29 b $29 billion illion (2020) (2020) WB Transport for clima mate fi finance 2011-15 (ac 2011-15 (actual) tual) US US$7. $7.8 b 8 billion illion (26.4% % of total transport commi mmitme ment)

• /w
• /w adaptahon =

= US$ 715 mi million Proje jected 2016-2020 US$ 10.5 billio US$ 10.5 billion n (35% % of total transport commi mmitme ment) US$ 2.1 billio US$ 2.1 billion n 2015 (ac 2015 (actual) tual) US$1.3 billio US$1.3 billion n

• /w adaptahon =

= $200 mi million

1.8 0.8 6.1

2 4 6 8

2011

1.3 3.1

2012

0.9 4.3

2013

2.0

0.3

4.6

2014

1.1 3.9

2015

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Transport Sector (FY FY11-15, USD Billions)

(USD Billions)

with mihgahon benefits transport commitments with adaptahon benefits

(Percentages of Commitments with climate co-benefits )