SLIDE 1 Sustainability Myths
By Simon Wyatt
SLIDE 2
Setting the Scene
SLIDE 3 One Planet Company
We try to practice what we preach
- World’s first consultancy
to be formally endorsed as a One Planet Company by sustainability charity BioRegional
One Planet Principles to guide our commitment, actions and services
Roadmap available on www.cundall.com
SLIDE 4
Climate Change not “Sustainability”
SLIDE 5
Climate change is so yesterday
SLIDE 6
Media coverage is declining
SLIDE 7
Politicians have stopped talking about it
SLIDE 8
But the problem is getting worse
SLIDE 9
At a faster rate than previously thought
SLIDE 10
Scientific consensus is overwhelming
SLIDE 11
But media reports both sides equally
SLIDE 12 Opinion is not the same as facts
http://chrisriedy.me/public-opinion-on-climate-change-in-australia/
This is what >95% of scientists think Less than 50% think that humans are responsible for climate change
SLIDE 13
- Everything is okay
- We have a sustainability policy that covers all
that…
- We have already cut CO2 by 20%, 30%, 50% etc…
Industry
20 40 60 80 100 2002 2006 2010 2013 2016
UK Part L2a Emission Target
SLIDE 14 The facts Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
The IPCC is a scientific body under the auspices of the United Nations Currently 195 countries are members of the IPCC http://www.ipcc.ch/
SLIDE 15 Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere
261 years 2100 Gt CO2 = average 8Gt per annum Last 41 years 1100 Gt CO2 = average 27Gt per annum And the rate of emissions are still increasing
SLIDE 16 Total Carbon Budget in the atmosphere
New limit to avoid > 2degrees = 820 Gt CO2 By 2011 we had already emitted 515 Gt CO2 We are currently at about 600 - 650 Gt CO2
SLIDE 17 Rising Sea Levels
The rate at which the global oceans have risen in the past two decades is more significant than previously recognised, say US-based scientist.
SLIDE 18
Extreme local weather
SLIDE 19
Using up the water reserves
SLIDE 20 Meeting the rising energy demand
OECD/IEA World Energy Outlook 2011
Fossil Fuels
81% in 2000 75% in 2030
Renewables
13% in 2000 18% in 2030
17 12.6
34%
SLIDE 21 Plant trees?
Realistically? …
A Maple in 25 yrs absorbs 1/3 of a tonne of CO2 A Pine in 25 yrs absorbs 1.7 tonnes
SLIDE 22
Renewables will be part of the solution
SLIDE 23 Graphene
– Currently - 17% – In the future - ?
the new wonder material? Discovered in the University of Manchester
SLIDE 24 Dec 2014 Lima
- ne small step towards the outline of an agreement
for next year's all-important Paris talks where, if catastrophic global warming is to be averted, a new generation of emissions targets must be agreed
SLIDE 25
Dec 2015 Paris
December 2015, the world will gather in Paris to secure a legally binding, global climate change agreement with emission reduction commitments from all countries for the first time ever. The fall in the price of oil removes one big incentive for the developed world to invest in renewables and greater energy efficiency.
SLIDE 26
The fight starts now
SLIDE 27 Tonnes per capita 2015
US 17 Aus 16.7 China 6.7 HK 5.7 Singapore 4.3 Libya 6.4 Qatar 43.9 UAE 20.1 UK 8.3 Spain 7.1 Poland 8.3 Romania 3.9
Source – The World Bank
SLIDE 28
Energy = no. of people x expectations consumption efficiency CO2 = energy x type of fuel
Energy & Carbon – buildings & globally
SLIDE 29 The Challenge
http://calculator.bioregional.com/step01.php
SLIDE 30
Earth Overshoot Day
It takes 1.6 Earths to support humanity’s demand on nature But we only have one So we’re taking out a loan that someone else will have to repay
SLIDE 31
Earth Overshoot Day
How many planets would be required if everyone lived like you?
Europeans Australians North Americans
SLIDE 32
One Planet Living – my footprint
SLIDE 33
40 year Challenge
What can I do (at home)? What can I do (at work) What can we (Cundall) do?
SLIDE 34
SLIDE 35
Water
Do we use too much? Do we have too little? Do we know how much we use?
1 2 3
SLIDE 36 How much?
- 200 years ago a bath a year
- 30 years ago a bath a week
- 2015 – 2 to 3 showers per day
- What is the correct level of cleanliness
– too much washing = eczema
SLIDE 37 Cost of Water Directly
- 1. Coming in … £2 per m3
- 2. Going out… £2 per m3
- 3. For surface water drainage… £0.5 per m3
Indirectly
- 1. For flood prevention… £10,000s
- 2. For highway drainage… £100,000s
- 3. For flood damage… £1,000,000s
- 4. For flood insurance… £100s - £1,000s =
£10,000,000s = 0.2p per litre
SLIDE 38
Consumption is cheap 5 minute shower 50l = 20p Bath 180l = 72p Washing Teeth = 2.5p Washing Machine = 32p
SLIDE 39 Water Demand Reduction
- High efficient irrigation system
- Dual Flush Cisterns on WC’s
- Flow Restrictors to Taps
- Push Taps
- Low Flow Taps
- Sensor Taps
- Water Meters
- Low Flow Showers
- Water Leak Detection
- Sanitary Supply Shut-Off Valves
- Waterless Urinals
SLIDE 40
Showers
8l per min 40l per min 12l per min
SLIDE 41
Whole carbon footprint of buildings
SLIDE 42
The whole carbon footprint of an office
SLIDE 43 67% 9% 24%
Operating Embodied Transport
Operating: 150kgCO2e/m2/year Embodied (initial): 700kgCO2e/m2 Embodied (in-use): 550kgCO2e/m2 Commuting: 800kgCO2e/person/year 60 year period No energy supply decarbonisation included
Typical city air con office
Source: What Colour Is Your Building, David Clark, RIBA Publishing 2013
SLIDE 44 14% 15% 71%
Operating: 20kgCO2e/m2/year Embodied (initial): 700kgCO2e/m2 Embodied (in-use): 550kgCO2e/m2 Commuting: 1500kgCO2e/person/year 60 year period No energy supply decarbonisation included
Nearly zero energy office - rural
Source: What Colour Is Your Building, David Clark, RIBA Publishing 201300
Operating Embodied Transport
SLIDE 45
We need to reduce the whole footprint
SLIDE 46
SLIDE 47
Change behaviour…
SLIDE 48
Change Behaviour…
SLIDE 49
Visualise the Alternative
SLIDE 50 Running cars on biofuels
Source: David MacKay, Without Hot Air
SLIDE 51
SLIDE 52 Cundall’s Steps to Low Carbon
Design Criteria Passive Design Internal Loads Energy Efficiency Heat Recovery On-site renewables Off- site
Comfort criteria, lighting levels, fresh air quantity, operating hours Form: daylight & natural ventilation Fabric: insulation, facade, thermal mass Lighting & Equipment (W/m2) Controls – turn off Heating, cooling & ventilation systems Control strategy Air to air, waste heat from chillers Shower water, Aquifer Thermal Storage biomass, geothermal, solar, PV, wind Green power Invest in off-site renewables? Reducing energy consumption Renewables
SLIDE 53 Best Orientation?
North South Orientation- Effective External Shading East West Orientation- Difficult to Shade
SLIDE 54 Orientation- Natural Ventilation
8am 10am 2pm 4pm
e.g. 40 hrs per above 28oC
SLIDE 55 Heating Climate Reduce heat loss
Part L Uwindows = 1.4 Uwalls = 0.18 Uroof = 0.13 Air leakage= 5m3/hr m2 PassivHaus Uwindows = 0.8 Uwalls = 0.1 Uroof = 0.1 Air leakage= 0.6m3/hr m2
SLIDE 56
Better U-Values?
SLIDE 57
Old way: Daylight Factors Looking at daylighting in a new light New Way: Climate Based Daylight Modelling An hourly calculation considering the sun and cloud Sets minimum and maximum
SLIDE 58 Daylight - Key Features
- Light from two sides
- Light redirection
SLIDE 59
- Higher Ceilings
- Windows up to soffit
Daylight - Key Features
SLIDE 60
Plants not Plant
SLIDE 61 GCSE Science
Photosynthesis Microbes in soil
Break down VOC into CO2 and H2O
SLIDE 62
Innovation- Plants and Air Quality
SLIDE 63 Results on Ventilation
5.8%
- 10% less ventilation air
- 30% reduction in fan energy
SLIDE 64 Results on VOCs
- Removal is by microbes in the roots
- Potted plants have poor exposure of the soil.
SLIDE 65 Living Wall Biofilter
External Air PM10 PM 2.5 VOC & CO2
180m2 of Living Wall for South Building The biowall can supply 100l/m2/sec? Equates to air for 10 people
SLIDE 66 Hydroponic Wall
- Improved Air Quality
- Added Biodiversity
- Passive Free Cooling
SLIDE 67
Cundall’s Living Walls
SLIDE 68 Biophilia - Feel Good Factor
What is the impact
My Desk
SLIDE 69
Using renewables correctly and not for green spin
SLIDE 70 PV on city office building
10 storeys, 10,000m2 105kgCO2e/m2 of GIA 466m2 of PV panels No overshadowing How much carbon does this save? 4.5kgCO2e/m2 of GIA 4% of carbon
SLIDE 71 Zero carbon office?
15,000m2 of PV panels = 105kgCO2e/m2 1.5m2 of panel per 1m2 of floor
SLIDE 72 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Natural gas Diesel / petrol Biofuel Recycled cooking oil
kgCO2e / kWh
Not all biofuels are low carbon
Source: “Carbon and Sustainability Reporting Within the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation: Technical Guidance Part Two
- Carbon Reporting – Default Values and Fuel Chains” version 2.1 published in July 2010 by UK Renewable Fuel Agency.
Average biodiesel factor from DEFRA = 0.12
SLIDE 73 Biofuel in buildings v vehicles
10 litres of recycled cooking oil CHP Truck
23kgCO2e CO2e saving 27kgCO2e 45% Extra fuel cost 0% Lots Capital cost Zero
Biofuel works better in transport Why waste it in buildings?
CHP in building connected to grid electricity and natural gas CHP efficiency Heat to power output ratio = 1.5 Efficiency = 75% No heat rejected Emission factors (kgCO2e/kWh) Recycled oil = 0.06 Diesel = 0.32 Grid electricity = 0.6 Natural gas = 0.2 Fuel Costs Biofuel & diesel = 70 p/litre (1 litre of fuel = 10 kWh)` Grid electricity = 10 p/kWh Nat gas =3.5 p/kWh
SLIDE 74
Barriers to change
SLIDE 75 Is energy too cheap to drive change?
“Between 2001 and 2011 not one prospective tenant enquired about the energy performance of a building before signing a lease, and only a handful asked about energy after the lease was signed.”
Head of lettings, de-brief pending his retirement from a major quoted property company (>1 million m2)
SLIDE 76 Biggest cost is people
Source: What Colour Is Your Building, David Clark, RIBA Publishing 2013
£0 £1,000 £2,000 £3,000 £4,000 £5,000 £6,000
Employee Costs Rent Rates Service Charge Energy Consumption Utilities / Standing Charges
Annual cost per m2 of NLA Assumptions Average salary = £43,000 Employment cost (training, etc) = 30% Occupancy Density = 1 per 10m2 of NLA 7% 0.6% 2% 1% 89% < 0.5%
SLIDE 77 Which is the lowest carbon operationally?
A rated EPC Alnwick BREEAM Excellent London D rated DEC Manchester Don’t know – different benchmarks
SLIDE 78 EPC v actual consumption
EPC Ratings Actual energy consumption
No correlation between EPC (design) and measured energy consumption (reality)
Source: A Tale of Two Buildings, JLL / BBP, 2012
SLIDE 79
An ‘A’ rated DEC? Benchmarking needs to include occupancy
SLIDE 80 Part L efficiency not consumption The Performance Gap?
10 20 30 40 50 60 BER TER Real CO2 Emissions (kgCO2/m2) DHW Lighting Auxiliary Cooling Heating
Target Part L Real
SLIDE 81 19.8% 17% 4.2% 10.6% 5 10 15 20 25 TAS IES IES SBEM ISBEM
TAS IES IES SBEM ISBEM
Good U Values
Compliance Criteria 1 – CO2 Target
Approved Software comparison
SLIDE 82
– Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) - no worse than E – BREEAM – SKA – CEEQUAL – Planning – Lifecycle Carbon – RIBA Sustainability Awards!
Calculations used for
SLIDE 83
Whole carbon footprint
SLIDE 84
Initial embodied carbon > 50% is in structure Concrete (cement) is biggest component
SLIDE 85 Embodied v operating carbon (UK office)
81% Refurb / Cat A fitout every 15 years, excludes Cat B fitout 77%
SLIDE 86
SLIDE 87
To Bee or not to bee
SLIDE 88 Effective Land Use
Organic farming uses 20-25% more land for the same
- utput as Conventional methods with no proven health
- benefits. Could that land be better used?
SLIDE 89
Effective Land Use
SLIDE 90
Effective Land Use
SLIDE 91
But trees are not just about carbon
SLIDE 92
SLIDE 93
Local and Sustainable Food
27% attributed to food
Carbon Footprint
SLIDE 94
Cheese v Chicken?
SLIDE 95
Food Carbon Comparison
SLIDE 96
Cows farting causes global warming? No. It’s their belching
SLIDE 97
Low carbon Hoofprint Innovation is required in agriculture. 30% reduction in carbon emission as a result of modified feed.
SLIDE 98 Food seasonality and low carbon diet thoughts
SEASON OF FRUIT AND VEGETABLES F R U I T WINTER SPRING SUMMER AUTUMN Dec. Jan. Feb. March Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Apples Apples (Bramley) Apples (cox) Rhubarb Blackcurrants Cherries Damson Pears Plums Quince Strawberries Raspberries Blackberries
SLIDE 99 Food seasonality and low carbon diet thoughts
SEASON OF FRUIT AND VEGETABLES V E G E T A B L E S WINTER SPRING SUMMER AUTUMN Dec. Jan. Feb. March Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Cabbage Asparagus Beetroot Brussels Sprouts Broccoli Carrots Cauliflower Celery Celeriac Leeks Marrow Potatoes (Maincrop) Lettuce Parsnip Peas Runner Beans Swede Sweetcorn
SLIDE 100
Summary
SLIDE 101
One Planet Living
What can I do? What can we do? We need to reengaged the industry We need a sense of urgency
SLIDE 102
Plant a seed
SLIDE 103
Micro Urban Wind Turbines
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