Status of Puget Sound Science Update and Developm ent of Ecosystem I ndicators for the Puget Sound* Dr. Bob Johnston# johnston@spawar.navy.mil Puget Sound Partnership Science Panel • Introduction • Status of PS Science Update – Content and Authors – Purpose and Intended Use • Ecosystem Indicators – “Results Chains” – Goals, Key Attributes, and Relevant Measures – Indicator Framework – “Dashboard” Indicators • Presentation for West Sound Watershed Council meeting of Sept. 15, 2010, Port Orchard, WA # Views are those of the author; not official view of PSP, SP, or other federal and state agency
Leadership Council (6 + 1 vacancy, as of Aug 2010) Martha Kongsgaard (Chair) David Dicks (ED) Ecosystem Coordination Board (27 interest groups) Dave Somers, Snohomish Co. Com. (Chair) Science Panel* (non-representative) Tim Quinn, WDFW (Chair) Joel Baker, UW-T (vChair) Bill Labiosa, USGS John Stark, WSU Joe Gaydos, SeaDoc Society Tom Leschine, UW-MarAff. Robert Johnston, Navy Usha Varanasi, NOAA Jan Newton, UW-APL Katharine Wellman, NEInc. * SP will be increased to 11 members in 2011; Call for nominations in Sep. 2010
Goals 1. A healthy human population supported by a healthy Puget Sound that is not threatened by changes in the ecosystem ( Human Well Being ) 2. A quality of human life that is sustained by a functioning Puget Sound ecosystem ( Human Health ) 3. Healthy and sustaining populations of native species in Puget Sound, including a robust food web ( Species and Food Web ) 4. A healthy Puget Sound where freshwater, estuary, near shore, marine, and upland habitats are protected, restored, and sustained ( Habitat ) 5. An ecosystem that is supported by ground water levels as well as river and stream flow levels sufficient to sustain people, fish, and wildlife, and the natural functions of the environment ( Water Quantity ) 6. Fresh and marine waters and sediments of a sufficient quality so that the waters in the region are safe for drinking, swimming, shellfish harvest and consumption, and other human uses and enjoyment, and are not harmful to the native marine mammals, fish, birds, and shellfish of the region ( Water Quality )
Science Panel Activities http://www.psp.wa.gov/science.php Science Planning • Biennial Science Work Plan • Strategic Science Plan Cross Partnership Working Groups (Science/ Policy) • Performance Management Framework • Threats to Ecosystem Health • Implementation Strategies • Social and Outreach Strategies • Finance and Funding Strategies Puget Sound Science Update • Chapter 1 Indicators • Chapter 2a Biophysical Status • Chapter 2b Socio-Economic Status • Chapter 3 Threats and Drivers • Chapter 4 Strategies for Recovery Comprehensive Monitoring Program • Marine/ Freshwater/ Terrestrial
Science Panel Science Products Puget Sound Science Update : (In Prep and Review – Fall 2010) Strategic Science Plan : (July 2010) Biennial Science W ork Plan : (Nov 2008) Summary of Science Related Comments on the Action Agenda and Biennial Science Work Plan for the Puget Sound Partnership (March 2010) State of the Sound : (Nov 2009) http://www.psp.wa.gov/science.php
Puget Sound Science Update CHAPTER 1 A THE PUGET SOUND ECOSYSTEM: W HAT I S OUR DESI RED FUTURE AND HOW DO W E MEASURE PROGRESS ALONG THE W AY? Phillip S. Levin, 1 Andy James, 2 Jessi Kershner, 3 Sandra O’Neill, 1 Tessa Francis, 1 Jameal Samhouri, 1 Chris Harvey, 1 Michael T. Brett, 2 and Daniel Schindler 3 1 NOAA Fisheries, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, WA. 2 University of Washington, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering 3 University of Washington, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, Seattle, WA http://www.psp.wa.gov/scienceupdate.php
Puget Sound Science Update CHAPTER 1 B Understanding Future and Desired System States: I ncorporating Hum an W ell- Being into Ecosystem -Based Managem ent Mark L. Plummer NOAA Fisheries, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, WA. With contributions from Schneidler and Plummer (2009). http://www.psp.wa.gov/scienceupdate.php
Puget Sound Science Update CHAPTER 2 A: BI OPHYSCI AL CONDI TI ON OF PUGET SOUND Tim Essington, 1 Terrie Klinger, 2 Tish Conway-Cranos, 1,2 Joe Buchman, 3 Andy James, 4 Jessi Kershner, 1 Ilon Logan, 2 and Jim West 2 1 University of Washington, School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, Seattle Washington 2 University of Washington, School of Marine Affairs, Seattle, WA 3 Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, Olympia, WA. 4 University of Washington, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Seattle, WA http://www.psp.wa.gov/scienceupdate.php
Puget Sound Science Update CHAPTER 2 B: SOCI AL AND ECONOMI C STATE OF THE PUGET SOUND Under Development http://www.psp.wa.gov/scienceupdate.php
Puget Sound Science Update CHAPTER 3 : I MPACT OF HUMAN ACTI VI TI ES ON THE ECOSYSTEM Editors Scott F. Pearson, 1 Nathalie Hamel, 2 Steven Walters, 3 and John Marzluff 3 Introduction: Scott F. Pearson, Steven Walters, and Nathalie Hamel Climate Change: Heather Cornell 3 Residential, Commercial and Industrial Development: Steven Walters Shoreline Modification: Steven Walters Pollution: James West 1 Invasive and Non-native Species: Heather Cornell Ecosystem Models and Their Evaluation: Scott F. Pearson and Steven Walters Conclusion: All authors contributed 1 Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife, Olympia, WA. 2 Puget Sound Partnership, Olympia, WA 3 University of Washington, School of Forest Resources, Seattle, WA http://www.psp.wa.gov/scienceupdate.php
Puget Sound Science Update CHAPTER 4 : A SCI ENCE-BASED REVI EW OF ECOSYSTEM PROTECTI ON AND RESTORATI ON STRATEGI ES FOR PUGET SOUND AND I TS W ATERSHEDS E. Eric Knudsen, 1 John Lombard, 2 Richard R. Horner, 3 Cleveland R. Steward 4 1 Sustainable Fisheries Foundation, Mt. Vernon, WA. 2 University of Washington, Seattle, WA 3 University of Washington and Environmental Engineering and Science 4 AMEC Sections Still Under Construction http://www.psp.wa.gov/scienceupdate.php
Puget Sound Science Update CHAPTER 5 : SYTHESI S AND KEY FI NDI NGS Mary Ruckelshaus et al. Under Construction CHAPTER 6 : I MPLI CATI ONS FOR POLI CY MAKERS PSP Science Panel Under Construction Collaborating to Expand, Refine, and Update the Puget Sound Science Update – Author Wiki For More Info Contact: pssu@psp.wa.gov http://www.psp.wa.gov/scienceupdate.php
Ecosystem I ndicators • “Results Chains” • Goals, Key Attributes, and Relevant Measures • Indicator Framework • “Dashboard” Indicators – Natural Science Measurement (12) – Social Science Measures (6) – Program Measures (2) These 20 indicators have been selected from an initial group of over 700 potentially measurable items. Each of these indicators serves as a lead indicator for a “family” of related measures representing Action Agenda efforts being undertaken, threats to the health of the Sound that need to be reduced, associated management measures and our intended ecosystem health outcome measures.
Example “Results Chain” (Levin et al. 2010)
Relevant Measures Key Attributes (Levin et al. 2010) Goals
Relevant Measures Key Attributes (Levin et al. 2010) Goals
(Levin et al. 2010)
Basis for Indicator Selection These indicators were chosen because they can: • Give us a snapshot of the overall health of the Sound. • Be updated with new information as we receive it over time. • Provide an early w arning of negative trends so that course corrections can be made quickly. • Evaluate new and ongoing management strategies. • Reveal the health of key ecosystem and human dimension metrics in advance of the Partnership’s State of the Sound reports. • Based on know ledge of the natural and social science work going on both around the Sound and around the world. • Transparent ly reveal how funding for management actions produces results. • Resonate with the public as the most relevant measures of our Sound-wide success. (from PSP Press Release of Aug. 30, 2010)
Natural Science Measures ( PSP Goal) 1. Marine water quality. Marine water quality index ( W ater Quality ) 2. Freshwater quality. Freshwater quality index ( W ater Quality ) 3. Water availability. Percent of monitored stream flows below critical levels ( W ater Quantity ) 4. Salmon abundance. Wild Chinook salmon population counts with distribution ( Species and Food W eb ) 5. Orca Abundance. Southern resident killer whale population trends ( Species and Food W eb ) 6. Pacific Herring. Pacific herring spawning biomass - status & trends ( Species and Food W eb ) (from PSP Press Release of Aug. 30, 2010)
Natural Science Measures ( PSP Goal) Cont. 7. Terrestrial bird species. The abundance, breeding and counts for a composite variety of key Puget Sound bird species ( Species and Food W eb ) 8. Shoreline armoring. Percent of freshwater and marine shorelines armored with hard bulkheads ( Habitat ) 9. Eelgrass. Extent of eelgrass, measured in acres, in greater Puget Sound ( Habitat , Species and Food W eb ) 10.Toxics in fish. Pacific herring, English sole and salmon ( Hum an Health , Species and Food W eb , W ater Quality ) (from PSP Press Release of Aug. 30, 2010)
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