STAKEHOLDERS STUDY ON THE TOURISM CARRYING CAPACITY FOR THE - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

STAKEHOLDERS’ STUDY ON THE TOURISM CARRYING CAPACITY FOR THE WORKSHOP ISLAND OF MAHE

BONZOUR!

WHAT WE’LL ACCOMPLISH Purpose of Snapshot of Carrying Current Capacity Study Conditions Understanding Defining a of Key Issues Path Forward and Impacts

AGENDA – FEB 11, MAHE Welcome participants 9:00-9:15pm Introduction and Visitor site exercise 9:15-9:30pm Present snapshot of conditions 9:30-10:00pm 10:00- Q&A and Individual Activity 10:15pm 10:15- Coffee break 10:30pm 10:30- Group Activity 11:30pm 11:30- Group Presentations and closing remarks 12:00pm

PROJECT TEAM Paloma Zapata Project Lead Daniella Larue Robert Chappell Project Manager Technical Advisor Diana Körner Ryan Sharp, PhD Consultant Social Scientist

WHO WE ARE

A MISSION-DRIVEN ORGANIZATION Protect and conserve our planet’s most vulnerable destinations by transforming tourism’s impact on nature and people

WHY TOURISM?

Travel and tourism has the power to change a place and the lives of the people who live there - for better or worse.

TOURISM CAN CONTRIBUTE TO ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS Degradation of Harm to wildlife land and marine and loss of ecosystems biodiversity Overconsumptio Excess waste n of natural and pollution resources

… AND HARM HOST COMMUNITIES Diminished Economic quality of life for leakage local people Loss of cultural Displacement of traditions, local values, and communities heritage

IT CAN ALSO BE A POWERFUL TOOL TO COMBAT THESE SAME ISSUES Supporting Providing more Driving Fostering environmenta inclusive and economic preservation l greater income- growth and and enhanced conservation generating supporting appreciation efforts and opportunities sustainable of local protection of for underserved development in culture and sensitive communities developing heritage ecosystems destinations

OUR ROLE We partner with destinations, businesses, and communities in their journey towards a more sustainable future

WE’VE WORKED IN OVER 100 DESTINATIONS AROUND THE WORLD

PURPOSE OF THE STUDY

OBJECTIVE To establish the current tourism development status with regards to a number of key indicators To define the acceptable amount of change of certain parameters in view of achieving sustainable development on these small and vulnerable islands

OUTPUTS OF THE STUDY Identification of tourism Carrying Capacity Priority Issues Establish Desired Conditions and Thresholds Recommendations on the tourism development model

DESIRED OUTCOME OF THE STUDY Define desired conditions and thresholds for tourism growth and associated impacts from tourism that balances: Quality of visitor experience Economic contribution Environmental protection of tourism sector and conservation Residents quality of life

OUR METHODOLOGY Step 5. Establish Conditions and Step 4. Thresholds Validate Findings Step 3. Capture Resident, Step 2. Industry and Capture Visitor Expert Inputs Inputs Step 1. Research Priority Issues

4 MAIN SOURCES OF DATA Tourist Input Secondary Data 1 2 Intercept survey at Desk Research airport and GPS traker Resident Input Expert Input 3 4 Town hall Public, Private and meetings NGO sector workshops

LIST OF KEY PLANNING DOCUMENTS Tourism Master Tourism Sector Plan, 2018 Strategy, 2019 Carrying Capacity La Digue Vision Studies (2013, 2032, 2014, 2016) Seychelles Strategic Value Chain Analysis, 2016 Land Use and Development Plan, 2015

VISITOR SITE EXERCISE

VISITOR SITE EXERCISE > Visit each of the 3 Touristic site location > Use blue sticky dot to reflect your desired condition > Use red sticky dot to reflect your threshold condition

SNAPSHOT OF TOURISM INDUSTRY ECONOMICS

THE SEYCHELLES IS THE 20 TH FASTEST GROWING TOURISM ECONOMY IN THE WORLD! Top 20 Countries – Fastest Growing in Terms of T&T GDP (WTTC) 2018 Rank 2018 T&T 2018 2018 T&T 2018 T&T 2018 2018 T&T 2018 T&T 2029 T&T Jobs (out of 185 GDP Country contribution % of Economy contributio % of contributio created by countries) growth GDP (US$ to GDP (US$ country GDP n to country n to T&T 2018- (%) Bn) Bn) GDP growth employme employme employme 2029 (%) nt (000s) nt nt (000s) (000s) Ethiopia 1 48.6 78.3 7.4 9.4 7.8 2,186 8.3 2,587 401 Seychelles 20 8.5 1.6 1.1 67.1 4.6 31 66.7 33 2 Source: WTTC, 2019

SEYCHELLES IS THE 4TH MOST TOURISM DEPENDENT ECONOMY IN THE WORLD! REGIONAL COUNTRY RANKINGS 2017 Tourism’s TOTAL % Contribution to GDP 3 Maldives 76.6% 4 Seychelles 65.3% 29 Mauritius 23.4% 48 Madagascar 16.6% Source: WTTC, 2018

TOURISM IS THE PRINCIPAL CONTRIBUTOR TO THE ECONOMY IN SEYCHELLES 2017 Amount % of total Direct contribution to GDP 26.4% SCR 5,339.6mn Total contribution to GDP 65.3% SCR 13,192.0mn Direct employment 26.5% 12,500 jobs Total employment 66.0% 30,500 jobs Visitor exports 40.2% SCR 7,926.6mn T&T investment 29.3% SCR 2,022.7m n Source: WTTC, 2018

TOURISM DEMAND GROWTH

VISITOR ARRIVALS BY AIR MORE THAN DOUBLED IN THE LAST DECADE, REACHING 384,204 IN 2019 Visitor Arrivals By Air (2000-2019) 2017-2019 CAGR 4.8% 450,000 384,204 400,000 2009-2017 350,000 CAGR 10.4% 300,000 2000-2008 250,000 CAGR 3.1% 200,000 130,046 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 10.1 nights average length of stay, 2019 2009-2019 • Increased by 2.4 10% increase in average length of stay from 2017 • Source: MOT Tourism Master Plan, Tourism Department

CRUISE PASSENGER ARRIVALS ALSO DOUBLED, REACHING 43,978 IN 2019 2004-2019 Cruise Passenger Arrivals (2010-2019) CAGR 15.6% 50,000 43,978 45,000 40,000 2014-2019 35,000 CAGR 48.3% 30,000 25,000 19,798 20,000 15,000 10,000 6131 5,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2009-2019 Source: SPA 2019 Increased by 2.2

HOWEVER, TOURISM EARNINGS PER VISITOR DECREASED BY 21% Tourism Earnings Per Visitor USD$ 2010-2018 2500 CAGR -3% 1968 2000 1555 1366 1500 1000 2016-2018 2010-2016 CAGR 6.7% CAGR -7% 500 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Benchmark: Mauritius $1233 ; Maldives $2133 (2016) • Source: MOT Tourism Master Plan, 2018

SEYCHELLES IS ONE OF THE TOP 20 COUNTRIES WHERE TOURISTS OUTNUMBER RESIDENTS Ratio of local residents to annual tourism arrivals Total population of Seychelles 97,625 Total Stay-over Arrivals 384,204 Tourists per resident 3.94 • Benchmark: Maldives 2.95 (2017) Source: NBS, 2019; TD, 2019; Telegraph.uk, 2017

PERCEPTION OF SAFETY AND SECURITY AFFECTS SEYCHELLES’ MARKET POSITIONING Recorded crime cases (including traffic offences) (2010 – 2019) 40,000 1 35816 2010-2018 0.9 35,000 CAGR: 23,3% 27307 81% 0.8 30,000 77% 0.7 25,000 22,262 0.6 20,000 0.5 15,900 0.4 15,000 10,168 0.3 8,042 10,000 6,704 0.2 5,000 0.1 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Crimes against visitors in 2019: 214 (Mahe, 153; Praslin 52; La Digue, 9) The Safety & Security Committee has been created to address crimes against visitors. Source: NBS

TOURISM SUPPLY DYNAMICS

TOURISM BED SUPPLY ALSO DOUBLED IN THE LAST 6 YEARS, REACHING 14,546 IN 2019 Bed Supply Growth and Occupancy Rate (2013 – 2019) 14546 16000 100% 2013-2019 90% 14000 CAGR: 13.4% 80% 12000 70% 64 … 10000 58% 59% 63% 60% 57% 60% 8000 50% 6490 40% 6000 30% 4000 20% 2000 10% 0 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2013-2019 Increased by 2.2 Average Number of Beds Available 2013 - 2018 Occupancy rate In 2015 the Government introduced a moratorium on the construction of hotels with more than 24 rooms , in order to curb new developments and reduce pressure on the environment. Source: NBS Migration, Tourism 2018 Report (table 20)

HOTEL BED SUPPLY IS MAINLY LOCATED IN MAHE AND DOMINATED BY SELF-CATERING ROOMS Hotel Bed Distribution, Mahe Praslin La Digue Inner Islands Outer Islands Total % 2019 Large Hotels 3172 802 138 234 142 4488 31% (24+ rooms) Medium Hotels 318 598 176 60 50 1202 8% Small Hotels 458 302 186 252 32 1230 8% Guest Houses 320 72 68 22 482 3% B&B Guest Houses 214 136 160 58 568 4% Self-Catering 3220 1294 588 44 5146 35% Total Land 7702 3204 1316 670 224 13116 90% Beds Floating Beds 1084 290 34 22 1430 10% Grand total 8786 3494 1350 692 224 14546 % 60% 24% 9% 5% 2% Licensing of tourism establishments through change of use from residential houses has been facilitated by a • fast-track initiative. Only 21 hotels (0.14%) have adhered to the Seychelles Sustainable Tourism label • Source: NBS, 2019