Springfield, Illinois Housing Needs Assessment Housing Needs - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Springfield, Illinois Housing Needs Assessment Housing Needs - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Comprehensive Housing Market Study Comprehensive Housing Market Study 2013 2013 Springfield, Illinois Housing Needs Assessment Housing Needs Assessment Primary Work Elements Primary Work Elements Analyzed more than 100 demographic &


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Springfield, Illinois

Comprehensive Housing Market Study Comprehensive Housing Market Study 2013 2013

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Housing Needs Assessment Housing Needs Assessment

Primary Work Elements Primary Work Elements

  • Analyzed more than 100 demographic & economic

metrics

  • Conducted ~36 community stakeholder interviews
  • Surveyed over 45 rental properties in Springfield
  • Evaluated Springfield’s historical for-sale data on 5,138

units (885 available)

  • Completed a housing gap analysis by tenure and

affordability

  • Evaluated various “other housing factors” affecting the

housing market (i.e. community services, crime, education, housing policies/programs, mobility patterns, etc.)

  • Identified vacant parcels or buildings as potential

candidates for future residential development sites

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SLIDE 3

Geographic Study Areas Geographic Study Areas

Downtown Analysis Downtown Analysis (Primary Study Area) (Primary Study Area) City-Wide Analysis City-Wide Analysis (Secondary Study Area) (Secondary Study Area)

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SLIDE 4

Demographic Highlights Demographic Highlights

Demographic Composition Demographic Composition

Population by Poverty Status

36.7% 16.3% 16.5% 12.6% 63.3% 83.7% 83.5% 87.4% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Location Share Income above poverty Income below poverty

Households By Tenure

11.4% 63.6% 62.3% 66.4% 88.6% 36.4% 37.7% 33.6% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Location Share Renter-Occupied Owner-Occupied

Renter Households

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 1-Person 2-Person 3-Person 4-Person 5-Person

Household Size Share PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Educational Attainment

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% No High School Diploma High School Graduate Some College, No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate Degree

Education Level Share PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Tenure Tenure Education Education Poverty Poverty Size Size

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SLIDE 5

 Minimal population growth (1.1%) since 2000; Similar

Minimal population growth (1.1%) since 2000; Similar growth rate (1.2%) projected growth rate (1.2%) projected from 2012 to 2107 (~half the from 2012 to 2107 (~half the City rate) City rate)

 Largest PSA share of POP <25 years old, 2

Largest PSA share of POP <25 years old, 2nd

nd largest age

largest age 25-34 25-34

 Smallest PSA share of POP age 75+ & b/w age 65-74

Smallest PSA share of POP age 75+ & b/w age 65-74

 PSA projected to lose (-4.9%) PO

PSA projected to lose (-4.9%) POP b/w ages 45-54 & (- P b/w ages 45-54 & (- 1.7%) PO 1.7%) POP < age 25 P < age 25

 PSA projected greatest growth (18.5%) b/w ages 65-74

PSA projected greatest growth (18.5%) b/w ages 65-74 and (4.5%) among POP b/w ages 55-64 and (4.5%) among POP b/w ages 55-64

Demographic Highlights Demographic Highlights

Population by Age

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% <25 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 - 74 75+

Age Range Share PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Population Trends

0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Location Percent Change 2000-2010 2010-2017

Primary Study Area (Downtown) Population Trends

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Demographic Highlights Demographic Highlights

  • PSA has the largest shares of HHs

PSA has the largest shares of HHs age <35, smallest age 55+ age <35, smallest age 55+

  • PSA lost 94 (7.4%) HH b/w 2000-2010, while SSA and City

PSA lost 94 (7.4%) HH b/w 2000-2010, while SSA and City grew grew

  • PSA projected to increase by 24 (2.0%) HH b/w 2012-17

PSA projected to increase by 24 (2.0%) HH b/w 2012-17 co comparable to mparable to City but slig City but slightly below SSA and City htly below SSA and City

  • Largest HH growth in PSA b/w 2012-17 ages 65-74 (24, 17.8%)

Largest HH growth in PSA b/w 2012-17 ages 65-74 (24, 17.8%)

  • Largest HH decline in PSA b/w 2012-17 ages 45-54 (-13, -

Largest HH decline in PSA b/w 2012-17 ages 45-54 (-13, - 5.6%) 5.6%)

Household Heads By Age

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% <25 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 - 74 75+

Age Range Share PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Household Trends

  • 8.0%
  • 6.0%
  • 4.0%
  • 2.0%

0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0%

P S A S S A S p r i n g f i e l d I l l i n

  • i

s Location Percent Change 2000-2010 2010-2017

Primary Study Area (Downtown) Household Trends

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Household Income

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% <$20K $20K - $40K $40K - $60K $60K - $100K $100K+

Household Income Share PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Demographic Highlights Demographic Highlights

Income Characteristics

Downtown has highest share of low-income HHs, but lowest share of higher-income ($40k+) HHs in 2012 Downtown has a significantly lower median HH income, half

  • f SSA, Springfield and

Illinois

Median Household Income

$20,826 $46,366 $45,648 $53,070 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 PSA SSA Springfield Illinois

Location Median Income

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Demographic Highlights Demographic Highlights

  • Springfield projected to grow by 2,571 people (2.2%),

primarily among age 55+

  • Springfield is projected to increase by 1,342

households, an increase of 2.6% (adding 268 households annually)

  • Primary growth (9.2%) will occur among HHs age 55+
  • Owner HHs to increase by 1,125 (3.5%), renter HHs by

217 (1.1%) – Over 80% of growth will be among owners

  • Most owner HH growth will be among 1- & 2-person

HHs, while most renter HH growth will be among 1- person HHs DEMOGRAPHIC GROWTH IN SPRINGFIELD WILL DEMOGRAPHIC GROWTH IN SPRINGFIELD WILL INCREASE HOUSING DEMAND INCREASE HOUSING DEMAND!

City-Wide Growth Trends (2012-17)

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SLIDE 9

Demographic Highlights Demographic Highlights

Median Income

  • Pop. Age 55+

Renter Share

  • Pop. Age 20-34
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Economic Highlights Economic Highlights

  • Springfield employment is concentrated in Public Admin.

(27.6%), Health Care/Social Asst. (15.7%) & Retail (10.0%)

  • Sangamon County lost 2,316 jobs b/w 2007-09, declining

2.3%

  • County gained most jobs back by 2011, then lost 2.7%

since

  • County unemployment rate has remained at around 7.6%
  • ver the past three years (lower than state/nation)

Unemployment Rates Total Employment

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SLIDE 11
  • Memorial Health Services completion of $145 million project

(three-story patient care tower)

  • St. John’s Hospital $162 million in planned expansions
  • Springfield Clinic is partnering with Memorial Health Services to

develop a 132,000 square foot med. office bldg.

  • UIS is planning a new student union for 2015
  • 32,000 square-foot grocery store opened downtown
  • $86 million investment by City in road, storm sewer and sidewalk

improvements (starts in 2014); another $60 million in sewer repairs and upgrades are planned

  • Moving of railroad lines and development of multimodal facility

are planned

Economic Highlights Economic Highlights Public & Private Sector Economic Development

LARGE INVESTMENT IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT WILL INCREASE JOB GROWTH & HOUSING DEMAND!

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Housing Supply – Existing Challenges Substandard Housing

Percent of Overcrowded Households

3.3% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% PSA SSA Springfield

Location Percent

Renter-Occupied Housing by Percent of Income Paid Towards Rent

46.8% 55.4% 55.3% 20.9% 23.6% 23.6% 32.0% 20.7% 20.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% PSA SSA Springfield

Location Percent of Households <20% 20%-30% 30%+ Unknown

Over 800 (3.3%) Springfield households live in substandard* housing

*Lack complete plumbing or are

  • vercrowded

Nearly 15,000 (30.0%) Springfield households (renters & owners) are cost burdened*

*Pay over 30% of income towards housing costs

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  • Springfield: 45 projects w/ 5,240 units only 228 vacancies
  • Excluding Tax Credit product, all segments 94.0%+
  • ccupancy, no apparent weaknesses
  • Subsidized housing market is very strong: 100% occupancy
  • Housing Choice Voucher wait list: 3,100 people

95.6% 228 5,240 45

TOTAL

100.0% 1,236 10

Government-Subsidized

100.0% 191 2

Tax Credit/Government-Subsidized

88.1% 53 447 4

Tax Credit

100.0% 67 1

Market-rate/Tax Credit/Government-Subsidized

100.0% 293 1

Market-rate/Government-Subsidized

99.1% 3 155 2

Market-rate/Tax Credit

94.0% 172 2,851 25

Market-rate Occupancy Rate Vacant Units Total Units Projects Surveyed Project Type

Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

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  • Overall City’s rental housing market is strong, 95.6% occupied
  • Nearly one-fourth of surveyed units are in downtown
  • PSA (downtown) has rental occupancy at 99.3% - Only 9 vacant

units identified downtown 95.6% 94.4% 99.3% Occupancy Rate 228 219 9 Vacant Units 5,240 3,933 1,307 Total Units 45 35 10 Projects Total SSA PSA Rental Housing Overall Market Performance by Area

Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

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SLIDE 15

Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

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  • 6.9%

2,366

  • 1.7%

529

Total Market-rate

$994 0.0% 6

  • 2.0

Four-Bedroom

  • $1,553

20.0% 10 3.0

Three-Bedroom

$1,004 2.7% 148 $1,653 0.0% 1 2.0

Three-Bedroom

  • $985

0.0% 11 1.5

Three-Bedroom

$580 43.5% 184

  • 2.5

Two-Bedroom

$727 6.0% 332 $1,202 2.7% 75 2.0

Two-Bedroom

$793 2.5% 560 $1,148 0.0% 48 1.5

Two-Bedroom

$722 4.4% 548 $917 0.0% 58 1.0

Two-Bedroom

  • $1,200

0.0% 6 1.5

One-Bedroom

$614 3.7% 566 $848 1.1% 266 1.0

One-Bedroom

$452 0.0% 22 $450 3.7% 54 1.0

Studio Median Rent Percent Vacant Units Median Rent Percent Vacant Units Baths Bedroom

Secondary Study Area (Balance of Springfield) Primary Study Area (Downtown) Bedroom/Bath Market-rate Median Gross Rent Comparison

Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

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Market-rate Median Gross Rent

$1,202 $917 $848 $727 $722 $614 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 1-Br/1.0-Ba 2-Br/1.0-Ba 2-Br/2.0-Ba

Bedrooms/Bathrooms Median Rent PSA SSA

Rental Housing by Year Built

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% PSA SSA Springfield

Location Percent of Units Before 1970 1970 - 1979 1980 - 1989 1990 - 1999 2000 - 2005 2006 - 2013*

Generally, PSA (downtown) market- rate rents are 25%+ greater than SSA More than half of PSA rental housing built pre-1970 Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

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  • 8.9%

631

  • 0.0%

75 Total Tax Credit $1,011 20.0% 40

  • 2.0

Four-Bedroom

$930 8.3% 84

  • 2.0

Three-Bedroom

$964 0.0% 41

  • 1.5

Three-Bedroom

$681 13.6% 243

  • 2.0

Two-Bedroom

$787 3.9% 155 $936 0.0% 9 1.0

Two-Bedroom

$641 2.9% 68 $737 0.0% 63 1.0

One-Bedroom

  • $422
  • 1.0

Studio Median Rent Percent Vacant Units Median Rent Percent Vacant Units Baths Bedroom

Secondary Study Area (Balance of Springfield) Primary Study Area (Downtown) Bedroom/Bath Tax Credit, Non-Subsidized Median Gross Rent Comparison

Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

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SLIDE 19

63.9% 2,300 60.1% 1,802 82.5% 498 Ceiling Fans 49.9% 1,798 53.6% 1,606 31.8% 192 Patio/Balcony 62.9% 2,266 68.7% 2,060 34.1% 206 Washer/Dryer Hookups 17.1% 615 16.7% 500 19.0% 115 Washer/Dryer 88.5% 3,187 89.5% 2,683 83.4% 504 Window Treatments 100.0% 3,601 100.0% 2,997 100.0% 604 Floor Covering 12.4% 448 8.6% 257 31.6% 191 AC-Window 87.6% 3,153 91.4% 2,740 68.4% 413 AC-Central 40.4% 1,454 38.6% 1,158 49.0% 296 Microwave 62.1% 2,238 64.4% 1,931 50.8% 307 Disposal 78.3% 2,819 80.1% 2,421 65.9% 398 Dishwasher 100.0% 3,601 100.0% 2,997 100.0% 604 Refrigerator 100.0% 3,601 100.0% 2,997 100.0% 604 Stove Range % Units % Units % Units Springfield SSA PSA Unit Amenities Distribution of Unit Amenities

Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

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Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

45.5% 1,640 47.9% 1,437 33.6% 203 Picnic Area 19.1% 686 6.6% 197 81.0% 489 Elevator 6.1% 220 7.3% 220 0.0% Storage 24.4% 878 29.3% 878 0.0% Sports Court 45.9% 1,653 55.2% 1,653 0.0% Playground 8.9% 322 10.7% 322 0.0% Jacuzzi/Sauna 21.0% 755 15.6% 468 47.5% 287 Fitness Center 3.7% 132 1.2% 37 15.7% 95 Meeting Room 27.4% 986 26.6% 794 31.8% 192 Club House 70.1% 2,525 67.9% 2,036 81.0% 489 Laundry 63.5% 2,285 56.8% 1,702 96.5% 583 On-Site Management 52.6% 1,893 60.0% 1,799 15.6% 94 Pool % Units % Units % Units Springfield SSA PSA Project Amenities Distribution of Project Amenities

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Housing Supply – Rental (Apartments)

$0.74 $0.85 $0.86 $1.03 Three-Br. $0.66 $0.79 $1.02 $1.11 Two-Br.

  • $0.94
  • $1.10

One-Br. $1.26

  • $1.08

Studio TH Garden TH Garden SSA PSA Bedroom Type Average Gross Rent Per-Square-Foot Comparison 1,321 1,160 1,064 1,650 1,500 1,150 Three-Br. 1,267 900 628 1,250 950 780 Two-Br. 1,073 653 510 1,200 700 460 One-Br. 500 410 320 540 420 341 Studio High Med. Low High Med. Low SSA PSA Bedroom Type Square Foot Comparison

TH - Townhouse

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SLIDE 22

Hous

  • using

ng Gap ap Esti tima mates - es - Rental Rental

  • Methodology considered household growth, units for balanced

market, substandard housing, and demolitions; Conducted by income level

  • Rental housing demand for at least 38 to 325 new downtown units by

2017

  • Note: Demand estimates represent

Note: Demand estimates represent potential potential units by 2017 units by 2017 (would (would assume all product types, pr assume all product types, prices and lo ices and locatio cations developed) ns developed)

$40,000+ $25,000 - $40,000 Less Than $25,000 Household Income Range 38 - 76 51 – 101 325 – 649 Total Site Specific Units of Support 5% - 10% 5% - 10% 5% - 10% Multiplied by Potential Capture Rate 763 1,013 6,493 Total Targeted Units Needed by 2017 189 1,271 6,498 Total Replacement Housing Needed by 2017

  • 211
  • 145

450 Units Needed for Balanced Market 785

  • 113
  • 455

New Income-Qualified Renter Household $1,000+ $625- $1,000 Less Than $625 Rent Affordability 2012 - 2017 Rental Demand Potential by Income Level & Rent Springfield, Illinois Primary Study Area

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Housing Supply – For-sale (Historical)

  • Annual homes sales increased over past three years
  • Annual median homes sale prices are stable ($120k-$122k)
  • Annual average days on market are stable (78 to 85)

81 $122,000 5,138 Total 81 $122,000 1,101 (1,536*) 2013 80 $121,000 1,461 2012 85 $120,000 1,252 2011 78 $120,000 1,324 2010 Average Days on Market Median Sales Price Number Sold Year Sold Sales History by Year Sold – (Sold: January 4, 2010 to September 19, 2013) *Projected year-end total (based on 1,101 units sold through 9/19/13)

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Housing Supply – For-sale (Historical)

81 $122,000 $2,500 - $1,283,600 1,970 3/2.0 5,138 Total 90 $220,000 $6,900 - $965,000 2,697 3/2.75 888 2001 to 2013 72 $166,000 $10,150 - $1,283,600 2,424 3/2.5 875 1991 to 2000 83 $137,250 $25,000 - $595,000 2,035 3/2.25 440 1981 to 1990 79 $116,000 $10,200 - $720,000 1,842 3/2.0 671 1971 to 1980 77 $108,000 $4,911 - $615,000 1,718 3/1.75 663 1961 to 1970 81 $70,200 $2,500 - $569,000 1,399 3/1.5 613 1951 to 1960 71 $69,900 $5,000 - $628,000 1,394 3/1.5 309 1940 to 1950 90 $58,000 $2,500 - $575,000 1,545 3/1.5 679 Prior to 1940 Avg. DOM Median Sales Price Price Range Avg.

  • Sq. Ft.

Average Beds/Baths Units Sold Year Built Sales History by Year Built – (Sold: January 4, 2010 to September 19, 2013)

  • Days on Market (DOM) is generally low and comparable w/

each other, regardless of age

  • Newer product priced notably higher, is larger, and offers

more bedrooms

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SLIDE 25

Housing Supply – Housing Supply – For-sale (Historical) For-sale (Historical)

  • Most historical sales by year built range b/w 11.9% -17.3%,

representing both an well-balanced supply and demand by age

  • Greatest share/number of homes sold since 2010 were

built since 1991, though pre-1940 product sales are also significant

Sales History by Year Built

6.0% 11.9% 12.9% 13.1% 8.6% 17.0% 17.3% 13.2% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 1939 or earlier 1940 - 1950 1951 - 1960 1961 - 1970 1971 - 1980 1981 - 1990 1991 - 2000 2001 to present

Year Built Share

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SLIDE 26
  • Nearly 40% of homes sold since 2010 were priced below

$100,000 & two-thirds was priced below $150,000

  • Higher priced product ($300k+) takes longer to sale

Home Sales by Price

628 685 447 309 216 189 145 111 151 79 145 2,033

500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 <$99,999 $100,000- $124,999 $125,000- $149,999 $150,000- $174,999 $175,000- $199,999 $200,000- $224,999 $225,000- $249,999 $250,000- $274,999 $275,000- $299,999 $300,000- $349,999 $350,000- $399,999 $400,000+

Price Range Number of Sales

DOM: 87 66 63 62 80 87 71 90 96 114 133 130

Housing Supply – For-sale (Historical)

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SLIDE 27

Housing Supply – For-sale (Historical)

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SLIDE 28

Housing Supply – For-sale (Available)

  • Well balanced inventory of available product
  • Notable increase in size, bathrooms and pricing for four-bedroom or larger

112 $53.30 $109,900 $4,320 - $1,300,000 1968 2,062

  • 626

Total 143 $98.12 $469,900 $29,000 - $1,246,765 1983 4,789 4.0 43 Five- Br.+ 111 $74.05 $224,900 $24,000 - $1,300,000 1974 3,037 2.75 130 Four-Br. 107 $65.98 $111,900 $4,320 - $425,000 1969 1,696 1.75 295 Three- Br. 114 $57.67 $69,900 $15,000 - $575,000 1955 1,212 1.25 155 Two-Br. 67 $45.28 $33,685 $30,000 - $55,000 1954 744 1.0 3 One-Br. Avg. DOM Median Price

  • Sq. Ft.

Median List Price Price Range Avg. Year Built Avg.

  • Sq. Ft.

Avg. Baths Units Listed Bedroo ms Available For-Sale Housing Supply by Bedrooms (As of September 19, 2013)

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SLIDE 29

Housing Supply – For-sale (Available)

117 100.0% 885 Total 159 7.8% 69 $400,000+ 185 1.7% 15 $350,000 to $399,999 102 3.2% 28 $300,000 to $349,999 97 2.4% 21 $275,000 to $299,999 115 2.0% 18 $250,000 to $274,999 69 1.7% 15 $225,000 to $249,999 99 1.9% 17 $200,000 to $224,999 135 3.9% 35 $175,000 to $199,999 98 3.8% 34 $150,000 to $174,999 78 8.4% 74 $125,000 to $149,999 93 10.2% 90 $100,000 to $124,999 124 53.0% 469 Up to $99,999 Average Days

  • n Market

Percent of Supply Number of Homes List Price

Available For-Sale Housing Supply by Price (As of September 19, 2013)

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SLIDE 30

Active For-Sale Housing by Price

469 90 74 34 35 17 15 18 21 28 15 69

50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 <$99,999 $100,000- $124,999 $125,000- $149,999 $150,000- $174,999 $175,000- $199,999 $200,000- $224,999 $225,000- $249,999 $250,000- $274,999 $275,000- $299,999 $300,000- $349,999 $350,000- $399,999 $400,000+

Price Range Number of Sales

Housing Supply – For-sale (Available)

  • Large inventory of available units priced <$100k, few
  • ptions priced $200k to $250k
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SLIDE 31
  • Newest product (built since 2010) has median pricing more

than double the overall market’s median price.

126 $113.03 $301,556 $64,900 - $789,000 2,668

  • 25

Total 85 $85.25 $379,000 $349,900 - $789,000 4,446 4.25 3 Five-Br. 311 $106.88 $396,200 $275,000 - $749,000 3,707 3.25 6 Four-Br. 52 $143.65 $286,434 $120,000 - $425,000 1,994 2.0 14 Three-Br. 146 $110.88 $177,400 $64,900 - $289,900 1,600 2.0 2 Two-Br. Avg. DOM Median Price Per

  • sq. ft.

Median List Price Price Range Avg. Sq. Ft. Avg. Baths Units Listed Bedrooms Available For-Sale Housing Supply – NEW (Built 2010 and later)

Housing Supply – For-sale (Available)

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SLIDE 32

Housing Supply – For-sale (available)

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SLIDE 33

Housing Gap Estimates – For-sale

  • Methodology considered HH growth, units for balanced market,

substandard housing, and demolitions; Conducted by income level

  • Overall housing demand for up to 56 new downtown units by 2017
  • Note: Demand estimates represent

Note: Demand estimates represent potential potential units by 2017 units by 2017 (wo (would assume all p ld assume all product types, prices and locations

  • duct types, prices and locations

developed) developed)

$60k+

$30k- $60k < $30k Household Income Range 48 8 Total Site Specific Units of Support X 2% X 10% X 10% Multiplied by Potential Capture Rate 2,397 83

  • 393

Total Potential Units Needed by 2017 213 322 Total Replacement Housing Needed by 2017 478 147

  • 198

Housing Units Needed for Balanced Market 1,919

  • 277
  • 517

New Owner-Occupied Household Growth (2012 to 2017) $200k+ $100k- $200k <$100k Housing Price Affordability 2012 - 2017 For-Sale Housing Demand by Income Level & Price Pointe Springfield, Illinois Primary Study Area

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SLIDE 34

Special Care Senior Housing - Overview

89.0% 87.6% 87.4% 611 5 Nursing Care 90.9% 91.7% 97.6% 255 5 Assisted Living 87.9% 88.4% 97.9% 94 1 Congregate Care 87.9% 88.4% 97.0% 33 1 Independent National Occupancy Rate* North Central U.S. Occupancy Rate* Occupancy Rates Total Units/Beds Facilities Surveyed Facility Type

*Source: American Seniors Housing Assn. The State of Seniors Housing 2011. North Central U.S. includes Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Nebraska, South Dakota and North Dakota.

Springfield, IL

  • Excluding nursing homes, senior care occupancy rates are 97.0%+
  • Senior household segment fastest projected growth in City
  • Projected demand for ~90 beds of Assist. Living and _____ units

Independent Living or Congregate Care

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SLIDE 35
  • ~14,750 college/medical/nursing school students attending

Springfield schools; Large base of potential renters

  • NO housing specifically serving higher education students
  • High rental occupancy rates indicate limited options for

traditional students

  • New Student Housing Development Potential (Downtown):

– Up to 160 beds serving all student segments of all schools – 40 beds serving graduate students – 40 beds serving undergraduate students – 46 beds serving medical/nursing school students Note: To meet development potential, developers will have to establish relationships with institutions of higher learning

College Student Housing Potential - Overview

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SLIDE 36
  • Identified 33 properties that represent potential sites for

residential development in downtown Springfield

– 1,381,000 square feet (32 acres) of land and 319,000 square feet of existing structures – Capacity* to develop approximately 1,700 residential units – Development capacity* by downtown quadrant

  • 503 units in Quadrant 1 (Northwest)
  • 431 units in Quadrant 2 (Northeast)
  • 327 units in Quadrant 3 (Southeast)
  • 439 units in Quadrant 4 (Southwest)

*Capacity could be higher if multiple floors/stories are developed

Housing Development Opportunities/Capacity

Downtown Springfield Residential Development Capacity

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SLIDE 37

Housing Development Opportunities/Locations

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SLIDE 38

Recommendations Recommendations Housing product Considerations

  • Support development of housing product that appeals to young

adults/professionals (downtown rental & for-sale housing)

  • Support development of student-oriented housing
  • Support development of senior housing to meet projected senior

household growth; Variety of product will be needed

  • Support efforts to provide rental housing to those most

economic vulnerable (e.g. low-income, homeless, & disabled)

  • Support affordable workforce housing for downtown employees
  • Support construction of higher-end ($200k+) for-sale housing
  • Ideal product should primarily consist of one- & two-bedrooms
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SLIDE 39

Overall Housing Planning Strategies

  • Adopt a balanced housing development approach,

stressing diversity of housing development alternatives

  • Support residential projects that are complimentary to

downtown (Current: government, medical, & commercial/retail uses; Planned: multi-modal facility)

  • Support housing intended to retain and attract target

markets such as young professionals, college interns, lobbyist, corporate executives, seniors (active seniors, empty nesters & frail elderly), etc.

  • Housing planning strategies should be coordinated with

economic development initiatives for mutual and maximized benefits Recommendations

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SLIDE 40

Contact Information Contact Information Patrick M. Bowen Bowen National Research 155 E. Columbus St., Suite 220 Pickerington, Ohio 43147 Phone: 614-833-9300 E-Mail: patrickb@bowennational.com