SPP Emergency Operations: 2016 Summer Preparedness Workshop A - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SPP Emergency Operations: 2016 Summer Preparedness Workshop

• A G E N D A •

9:00 – 9:15

Welcome …………………………………………………………………………….. CJ Brown

9:20 – 9:30

EOP Update Process…………………………………………………………..... Kim Gorter 1. Review 2. Posting Red-line Version 3. Stakeholder Interaction 4. Transition to In-Use Version

9:35 – 9:55

Short Tem Reliability Unit Commitment (STRUC) …………………. Yasser Bahbaz

10:00 – 10:15

Wind Penetration in SPP……………………………………………………….. Casey Cathey

10:20 – 10:45

Overview of EOP, Summer-Related Topics…………………………….. CJ Brown 1. Severe Weather Alerts 2. Conservative Operations 3. Energy Emergency Alerts 4. Notifications

10:50 – 11:45

EEA Scenarios – Table Top Exercise…………………………………………… CJ Brown

11:45 – Noon

General Q/A……………………………………………………………………………… All

Session Objectives

• Understand updating and posting of the Emergency Operating

Plan (EOP)

• Examine Wind Penetration in SPP’s Footprint
• Outline Short Term Reliability Unit Commitment Process (STRUC)
• Relate segments of the EOP to Summer Preparedness
• Review the EEA levels through a table-top exercise

Polling questions will be asked throughout the presentation so let’s get started with one now!

Is everyone excited to participate today and make this our best workshop ever?

Emergency Operations Plan (EOP) Update Process

• -Kim Gorter

EOP Update Process

• BAOC receives redline version for review (14-days)
• Incorporate any changes and forward to Stakeholders (MWG,

GECTF, RCWG, ORWG, and BAOC) for 14 day review

• Stakeholder changes are made and reviewed by BAOC with 2/3

majority required for final redline version

• Final redline version is posted with a Publish Date and adjacent

BAs and RCs are notified.

• On Publish Date, IN USE version is created from the redline

version.

EOP Update Process

• Latest password-protected version posted to:
• http://www.spp.org/documents/23244/spp%20ba%20emergency

%20operating%20plan_v%204%205.pdf

– SPP.org/Documents/Operations/SPP Emergency Operations Plan

• Two versions posted:

– In Use – Redline

• Contact your Customer Relations contact for the

password.

Does the EOP update process allow enough time for review and input?

Short-Term Reliability Unit Commitment (STRUC)

• -Yasser Bahbaz

Short Term RUC - STRUC

• Runs every 15 minutes for 180 minutes window.
• 150 minute commitment period
• Committable window
• 30 minute near window (RTBM window)
• Not committable
• The intent of the study is to give intra hour granularity and more frequent

evaluation of the system in terms of generation needed to commit.

STRUC

• Will, in the future, provide an enhancement to the Quick Start

resources and how they are dispatched in real time.

• STRUC will be the study to indicate to RTBM whether a Quick

Start qualified and registered resource should be dispatched by RTBM

• For now, Quick Start either opt-in or out of STRUC.
• Resources Opting-in will be committable by the study
• Resources Opting-out will not be committable by the

study

Network Topology

• RTBM window

– State estimator topology

• Commit window

– Apply Outages on top of SE topology – Restore the Outages which end in the intervals. – Restore all Market Units not isolated by other equipment

• utages so that they are available for commitment by ST-RUC.

Unit Commitment

• Resources are committed based on,

– Ability to start within the study window – Start Cost and No load – Needed products qualification – Existing commitments in COP are respected by STRUC – Ability to recuperate cost in the desired commitment window

• 15 – 180 minutes
• Headroom
• STRUC Headroom = Hourly base headroom converted to quarters

Example: 900MW Hourly requirement = 225MW STRUC Requirement from

• ne 15-minute interval to the next

Product Clearing

• Energy:
• 15-minute ramp is used to dispatch resources within the study
• Regulation
• 5 minute ramp to clear Regulation Up and Down
• STRUC uses existing Regulation Selection and,
• May select additional qualified resources if not DESELECTED
• Spin/Supp
• 10-minute ramp is used to dispatch resources within the study

Constraint Management

Previous RTBM Previous RUC Constraint Type STRUC

Exists Doesn't Exist

• Internal M2M
• External M2M
• Non-M2M

RTBM for the Constraint Carry Forward Window. Nothing for other intervals. Doesn't Exist Exists

• Internal M2M
• External M2M
• Non-M2M

RUC Source Case for all matching intervals Exists Exists

• Internal M2M MF

in Previous RTBM but M2M in Previous RUC RTBM for all intervals Exists Exists

• Internal M2M not MF

External - External M2M

• Non-M2M

RTBM for the Constraint Carry Forward Window and RUC out of the Constraint Carry Forward Window

Resource Management

State Non-committable Window Committable Window Not in COP for entire study and observed SCADA Echo SCADA MW if the resource is not in startup and shutdown window. Fix at 0MW if the resource is not in startup/shutdown window. The resource is not committable by STRUC. Not in COP for first few intervals and

• bserved SCADA

Echo SCADA MW if the resource is not in startup and shutdown window. Scenario 1: If the resource is not eligible for ST-RUC commitment (i.e. not flexible), then echo SCADA MW until the interval in which startup profile is applied for the future planned commitment. Scenario 2: If the resource is eligible for ST- RUC commitment (i.e. flexible) in intervals in which there is no planned COP, then ST-RUC can commit (or advance the future commitment) the resource. If STRUC decides not to change the commitment (due to economic reasons), then the resource is dispatched at 0MW till the interval in which the future planned commitment. There is no startup profile built in this case. In COP for the entire study but SCADA is 0 Fix at 0MW Fix at 0MW. The resource is not committable by STRUC. In COP for the first few intervals and SCADA is 0 and resource is committed again in STRUC window. Fix to 0MW Fix at 0MW in the intervals until next start. After that, follow COP and the resource is committable and dispatchable. In COP and submitted CMODE=3 Echo SCADA MW Follow COP and the resource is committable and dispatchable.

Commitment Expectations

• Intra hour blocks for short term ramp needs for Energy and

Operating Reserves

• Control flowgates more reflective of near real time conditions
• Extending or early starting resources with commitments for

congestion management or meet needed demand for market products

• Allow SPP operators to hold off commitments longer for

resources that are flexible, based on start up times, until closer to real time to further ensure the need for the commitment.

Wind Penetration in SPP’s Footprint

• -Casey Cathey

19

Annual Average Wind Speed

Wind Integration Study Overview

• Analyzed the SPP transmission area to

determine what is required to reliably operate at higher penetration levels

• The study performed the following scenarios:
• 1. Steady-state thermal analysis
• 2. Steady-state voltage analysis
• 3. Voltage stability analysis
• 4. Re-dispatch analysis
• 5. Ramping analysis

20

Wind Generation in each Study Scenario

7.2 10.8 14.4 7.2 10.8 14.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 12.3 8.6 5.6 11.8 8.0 5.2 5 10 15 20 25 30 30% Fall 45% Fall 60% Fall 30% Spring 45% Spring 60% Spring GW

Generation by Fuel Type

Hydro Combined Cycle Other ST Gas ST Coal Nuclear Wind

21

Current MWs By Fuel Type

• Wind Totals 12980 MWs

– NDVER 6430 MWs – DVER 6550 MWs

• Solar 190 MWs
• Nuclear 2635 MWs
• Natural Gas 35635 MWs
• Coal 28962 MWs

– Generic Coal 21071 MWs – Lignite Coal 3006 MWs – Subbituminous 4885 MWs

• Hydro 3427 MWs
• Other Fuel Types (Oil, Agricultural Byproducts, Municipal Solid Waste) 1719

MWs

22

5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 12980 6430 6550 190 2635 35635 28962 21071 3006 4885 3427 1719 MW's By Fuel Type

Wind Capacity Installed by Year

23

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 80 438 341 80 626 207 266 644 1176 837 561 2171 1146 3827 580 80 518 859 939 1565 1772 2038 2682 3858 4695 5256 7427 7427 8573 12400 12980 1275.5 540 1855.5 540 14255.5 14795.5 Wind Installed Wind Capacity Forecast of Remaining Wind to be Installed Year End Installed Wind Forecast Wind Forecasted Capacity

Wind Penetration vs Obligation: Summer 2015

Wind Integration Study

• 60% Wind Penetration Wind Output and Siting.

25

Wind Integration Study results

• The Steady-state thermal and voltage analysis confirms the need

for approved ITP projects

• Additional transmission needs beyond what was approved in the ITP

process was discovered

• Some approved ITP projects should be expedited and placed in-service

sooner than the projects scheduled in-service date

• The Voltage stability analysis shows that renewable penetration

levels are approaching current limits

• All N-1 constraints were resolved, albeit with substantial

curtailments

• Ramping analysis indicates that in general, SPP has enough

ramping capability to sustain 60% penetration

26

WIS - Voltage Stability Analysis The Spring operations model (Outages)

27

Wind Integration Study Redispatch Analysis

7,069 7,052 7,023 6,850 7,785 9,440 7,909 9,351 9,780 11,526 9,329 11,591 150 168 145 318 3,043 1,389 2,847 1,406 4,659 2,912 5,006 2,744 2500 5000 7500 10000 12500 15000 30% Fall 30% Fall B 30% Spring 30% Spring B 45% Fall 45% Fall B 45% Spring 45% Spring B 60% Fall 60% Fall B 60% Spring 60% Spring B

Redispatched Wind

Final Wind Curtailed Wind

28

Monthly Wind Penetration vs Load

2015 Final Destination of SPP Wind

98% 98% 99% 99% 100% 100% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec % of Potential Wind Actual (delivered) Wind RTBM DVER Curtailments OOME (NDVER) Curtailments OOME (DVER) Curtailments

Monthly Lost Wind vs Load

Wind Integration Study Phase II

2016 Variable-generation Integration Study

• ORWG and MOPC approved
• Scope is an expansion of Phase I reliability-based study

elements with updated models and assumptions

• Additional scenarios in Phase II

– Transient Stability Analysis for the Spring MDWG 2017 outlook for the 30%, 45%, and 60% wind cases. – Seasonal Voltage Stability Analysis 2017 and 2021 year outlook. Comparison between thermal and voltage to determine if Voltage Stability or thermal limitations are the most limiting. Operations and Planning sensitivity. – Frequency Response Analysis for the spring MDWG 2017

• utlook for the 30%, 45% and 60% wind cases.

– Targeted 5-minute analysis future ramping 5-year outlook.

• Expect results published prior to January MOPC

NDVER Turbine Capability

35

NDVER Turbine Types

• Turbine Types 1 and 2 have no control

functionality

• Turbine Types 3 and 4 do have control

functionality

– Physically capable of providing voltage control, dispatch, real output, etc.

• More information on wind turbine types can be

found at this link:

– http://power.eecs.utk.edu/pubs/Fangxing_li_ieeep es2009_3.pdf

Plan For Summer Assessment

• Similar to 2015/2016 Winter Assessment

– Thermal and voltage analysis – June 1st through September 30th – 2 models per week with outages

• Sunday & Wednesday
• Additional sensitivities as time permits
• Single Seasonal Model
• Includes all outages lasting longer than designated time threshold
• Used by other ISO/RTO
• Transfer Limit Analysis
• Major corridors
• PV Screening/Analysis
• Test only a few incremental transfer points
• Worst violation limits studied in more detail
• Loss of major gas pipeline
• Additional contingencies in N-1 analysis

Operations Season Assessment Task Force

• Updating our process going forward

– How often? – What sensitives? – Initial input by members? – Feedback/result mitigation by members?

What are the primary reliability concerns we must prepare for with more non-synchronous generation and less conventional generation?

Emergency Operating Plan (EOP) Overview

Types of Alerts

In order of severity:

Severe Weather Alert Conservative Operations Notification Energy Emergency Alert (EEA) (EEA1, EEA2, EEA 3)

Image: web.distran.com

Goal of Alert System

SPP’s Alert System

Provides SPP timely info:

• For evaluation
• Not readily available

via other methods Provides stakeholders ways to heighten awareness and provide direction

Which season tends to affect your operations the most?

Severe Weather Alerts

Section 9.2

Severe (Hot) Weather Pattern

• Weather forecasts

identify increased likelihood of extreme heat in the SPP BA

• Studies indicate

normal operations should not lead to insufficient BA capacity for affected period

46

Do you have a plan for updating your resource offers based upon anticipated fuel supply issues for the upcoming season?

Conservative Operations

Section 9.1

Condition Indications

Potential for: Forward-looking studies indicate normal operations could likely lead to increased risk of sufficient BA capacity for affected period

Stranded capacity due to transmission outages Unexpected resource outages

Image: mrtremblaycambridge.weebly.com

Conservative Operations

Assess situation Determine need to enter into Conservative Operations Issue notification to MPs

SPP Actions

SPP will identify: Period in which situation is expected to last Expected MP actions

Conservative Operations

Conditions are such, or expected to be such, that some extraordinary measures may be necessary to maintain RELIABLE operations

EARLY committal

• f Resources

UPDAT ATE! E! Additional UPDATES (as needed) BRIDGING of Resources

KEEP GOING

Delay/Postpone Outages (if possible)

Conservative Operations

Environment in which SPP is operating to/with:

• A. Conservative transfer limits values
• B. Selected double-contingencies
• C. Greater unit commitment notification timeframes
• D. Increased Operating Reserve requirements

E. Increased reliability Margin F. Timely coordination calls

MP Actions

Resource Offers cannot reflect some conditions SPP needs to know

What fuel types are most vulnerable to supply issues in your area?

Conservative Operations Alert

Who gets Alerts?

• MP email list
• Generation Operator

(GOP) RC email list

• TOP RC email list
• Neighboring BAs

and RCs

Conservative Operations Alert

Mechanisms for Alerts

• Emails
• Markets UI posting
• OASIS posting
• RCIS posting

Have you updated your internal procedures to reflect any potential Conservative Operations conditions communicated by SPP?

Energy Emergency Alerts (EEAs)

Section 6.3

Resource Load

Energy Emergency Alerts (EEA)

FORESEE not being able to maintain reserves Cannot MAINTAIN reserves Cannot MEET customer Load obligations

Stakeholder Communication Methods

Section 4.7.1

CALL appropriate SPP Operations Desk EMAIL shiftsupervisor desk@spp.org Update CROW with

• utages /de-rates

Notification via ICCP Update Markets User Interface (UI) / API Participate in Monthly Reliability Call(on request; TOPs only)

Other Notifications

Reliability Coordinator Information System (RCIS) for RC notices

• Subscribe to follow

notifications

SPP Contact Information:

All Desks – 501-614-3900

Option 1: Reliability Option 2: Balancing Option 3: Tariff/Interchange Option 4: Real Time Markets (RTBM/GDO) Option 5: Reliability Unit Commitment (RUC) Option 6: Day Ahead Market Option 7: Shift Engineer Option 8: Shift Supervisor

Are you confident SPP has your correct contact information for each notification/alert?

EEA Scenarios – Table Top Exercise

Energy Emergency Alert 1

If declared, SPP BA will:  Identify and curtail non-firm sales  Commit all available Resources  Identify outages that can be postponed/delayed

Energy Emergency Alert 2

In EEA 2, SPP BA will:  Notify MPs of imposition of emergency ratings

• n Resources

 Utilize Other Extreme Conditions (OEC) to get Reserve Sharing Group (RSG) assistance  Put all available generation on-line

Energy Emergency Alert 2

 Prepare for potential load shedding  Curtail non-firm sales  Implement plan for curtailable/interruptible loads

Emergency Energy Alert 3

In EEA 3, SPP BA could:  Direct Transmission Operators (TOPs) to implement load shedding plans

Load Shed Steps

• Determine need

to Shed Load

• Calculate MW

Load Shed values

SPP BA

• Send Emails
• Initiate Blast Call
• Initiate Individual Load

Shed Directives

• Perform final Blast Call

when Load Shed complete

SPP BA

• Report back to BA

amount shed

TOPs

Would you like to coordinate your capacity and Energy Emergency training with SPP Operations training staff in the future?

Questions Anyone?