Solar Energy Technologies B i fi Briefing Julia Hamm Executive Director S l Solar Electric Power Association El t i P A i ti December 15, 2008 CONFIDENTIAL
About SEPA “For businesses exploring solar as part of their portfolio, SEPA provides unmatched networking provides unmatched networking opportunities, forums for the exchange of ideas, and case g studies of lessons learned.” Jon Bertolino, Superintendent of p Renewable Generation Assets, Sacramento Municipal Utility Di t i t District CONFIDENTIAL
Solar Electric Technologies • Two primary types Concentrating Solar Photovoltaics (PV) o o o a cs ( ) Power (CSP) CONFIDENTIAL
Photovoltaics • Two primary types commercially • Two primary types commercially available – Crystalline Silicon Crystalline Silicon • Mono • Poly • Ribbon – Thin film Thin film • Amorphous silicon (a-Si) • Cadmium telluride (CdTe) • Copper indium gallium (CIGS) • Copper indium diselenide (CIS) CONFIDENTIAL
Concentrating Solar Pow er • Two primary types commercially available Concentrating Solar Thermal Electric PV (CPV) Compact linear Compact linear Heliostat Tower Stirling Dish Parabolic Trough fresnel lens CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL 2007 PV Demand by Country Source: Solarbuzz.com
CONFIDENTIAL Solar Resource – Germany vs US
CONFIDENTIAL US PV Demand by State Source: IREC
CONFIDENTIAL Historical US PV Installation Capacity Source: IREC
2016 US Installation Projections PV and CSP Cumulative New U S Solar Installations from 2009 to 2016 (MW) Cumulative New U.S. Solar Installations from 2009 to 2016 (MW) Notes: 1. PV market converted from MWDC to MWAC using an 84% de-rate. 2. Solar Water Heating market data converted from area to energy using a conversion factor of 0.7 m2/kWth. 3. CSP is represented in MWAC. 4. Data does not include solar installations prior to 2009. Source: Navigant CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL PV Cost Goals by 2015 Source: U.S. DOE Solar America Initiative PV Goals
CONFIDENTIAL PV Levelized Cost of Energy Source: Prometheus Institute Projections
Grid Parity Today • Currently PV is financially financially competitive where there is some combination of high combination of high electricity prices, excellent sunshine and/or state/local and/or state/local incentives CONFIDENTIAL
Grid Parity in 2015 Moderate Electricity Price Increases • Attractive in about 250 of 1,000 largest utilities which utilities, which provide ~37% of U.S. residential electricity sales. • 85% of sales (in 85% of sales (in nearly 870 utilities) are projected to have a price difference of less than 5 ¢/kWh ¢ between PV and grid electricity. • In large areas, PV is cheaper than grid p g electricity CONFIDENTIAL
Grid Parity in 2015 Aggressive Electricity Price Increases • Attractive in about 450 of 1,000 largest utilities, which provide ~50% of % f U.S. residential electricity sales. • • 91% of sales (in nearly 91% of sales (in nearly 950 utilities) are projected to have a price difference of less than 5 ¢/kWh between PV and grid electricity. • In most high population areas PV is cheaper than areas, PV is cheaper than grid electricity CONFIDENTIAL
Thank you Julia Hamm Julia Hamm Executive Director Solar Electric Power Association Solar Electric Power Association jhamm@solarelectricpower.org 202-857-0898 202 857 0898 www.SolarElectricPower.org CONFIDENTIAL
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