Solar Energy Technologies B i fi Briefing Julia Hamm Executive - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Solar Energy Technologies B i fi Briefing

Julia Hamm Executive Director S l El t i P A i ti Solar Electric Power Association

December 15, 2008

CONFIDENTIAL

About SEPA

“For businesses exploring solar as part of their portfolio, SEPA provides unmatched networking provides unmatched networking

• pportunities, forums for the

exchange of ideas, and case g studies of lessons learned.” Jon Bertolino, Superintendent of p Renewable Generation Assets, Sacramento Municipal Utility Di t i t

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District

Solar Electric Technologies

• Two primary types

Photovoltaics (PV) Concentrating Solar

• o o a cs (

) Power (CSP)

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Photovoltaics

• Two primary types commercially
• Two primary types commercially

available

– Crystalline Silicon Crystalline Silicon

• Mono
• Poly
• Ribbon

Thin film – Thin film

• Amorphous silicon (a-Si)
• Cadmium telluride (CdTe)
• Copper indium gallium (CIGS)
• Copper indium diselenide (CIS)

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Concentrating Solar Pow er

• Two primary types commercially

available

Concentrating PV (CPV) Solar Thermal Electric

Compact linear Heliostat Tower Stirling Dish Parabolic Trough Compact linear fresnel lens

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2007 PV Demand by Country

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Source: Solarbuzz.com

Solar Resource – Germany vs US

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US PV Demand by State

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Source: IREC

Historical US PV Installation Capacity

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Source: IREC

2016 US Installation Projections PV and CSP

Cumulative New U S Solar Installations from 2009 to 2016 (MW) Cumulative New U.S. Solar Installations from 2009 to 2016 (MW)

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Notes:

• 1. PV market converted from MWDC to MWAC using an 84% de-rate.
• 2. Solar Water Heating market data converted from area to energy using a conversion factor of 0.7 m2/kWth.
• 3. CSP is represented in MWAC.
• 4. Data does not include solar installations prior to 2009.

Source: Navigant

PV Cost Goals by 2015

Source: U.S. DOE Solar America Initiative PV Goals

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PV Levelized Cost of Energy Projections

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Source: Prometheus Institute

Grid Parity Today

• Currently PV is

financially financially competitive where there is some combination of high combination of high electricity prices, excellent sunshine and/or state/local and/or state/local incentives

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Grid Parity in 2015 Moderate Electricity Price Increases

• Attractive in about

250 of 1,000 largest utilities which utilities, which provide ~37% of U.S. residential electricity sales.

• 85% of sales (in

85% of sales (in nearly 870 utilities) are projected to have a price difference of less than 5 ¢/kWh ¢ between PV and grid electricity.

• In large areas, PV is

cheaper than grid

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p g electricity

Grid Parity in 2015 Aggressive Electricity Price Increases

• Attractive in about 450 of

1,000 largest utilities, % f which provide ~50% of U.S. residential electricity sales.

• 91% of sales (in nearly
• 91% of sales (in nearly

950 utilities) are projected to have a price difference

• f less than 5 ¢/kWh

between PV and grid electricity.

• In most high population

areas PV is cheaper than

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areas, PV is cheaper than grid electricity

Thank you

Julia Hamm Julia Hamm Executive Director Solar Electric Power Association Solar Electric Power Association jhamm@solarelectricpower.org 202-857-0898 202 857 0898 www.SolarElectricPower.org

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