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Sinopac Securities Europe NDR
November 20~27, 2006
Sinopac Securities Europe NDR November 2 0~ 27 , 2006 1 Safe Harbor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Sinopac Securities Europe NDR November 2 0~ 27 , 2006 1 Safe Harbor Statement All numbers are consolidated. Except for statements in respect of historical matters, the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking
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November 20~27, 2006
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All numbers are consolidated. Except for statements in respect of historical matters, the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual performance, financial condition or results
from any future performance, financial condition or results
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All numbers consolidated except otherwise specified. 2Q/06 numbers are pro forma ..
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20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000 200000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
SMB/SOHO Networking Equipment Demand
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CAGR 20%
Source:IDC, FY2006
US$ Million
SMB demands outgrow consumer’s in 2006 & 2007 High-end switches continuously deployed worldwide Security & IP Storages (SAN) gradually ramping up
WW SMB and SOHO Networking Market
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LAN switching market growth remains solid L2 & L3 outgrow L4-L7 Modular declines but stackable grows
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 F.E. GigE
57% 43% 69% 31% 78% 22% 85% 15% 90% 10% 94% 6%
US$ Million
Source:IDC, FY2006
Switching
GigE CAGR 16%
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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
802.11b 802.11g 802.11a+g 802.11n
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WLAN
Source:IDC, FY2006
IEEE delays 802.11n ratification WiFi association starts to test draft N from Jan/07 Draft N gradually ramping up from 2H/07 WiMAX emerges in some areas without last mile
64% 34% 2% 16% 68% 16% 9% 72% 15% 4% 3% 48% 20% 29% 1% 33% 13% 53% 27% 10% 63%
CAGR 15%
US$ Million
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20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Cable Modem ADSL FTTX Advanced Technology
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Broadband
VoIP devices rapidly penetrate IAD/Triple Play ramping up in N.A. & Japan
28% 66% 5% 1% 26% 67% 6% 1% 25% 66% 7% 2% 24% 65% 8% 3% 23% 64% 9% 4% 22% 63% 10% 5% US$ Million
CAGR 17%
Source:IDC, FY2006
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4000 8000 12000
3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06
North America Europe Asia Pacific & Others
31% 24% 45% 48% 25% 27% 41% 28% 31% 52% 21% 27%
NT$ Million
Consolidated
25% 23% 52%
3Q/06 revenue QoQ comparison: N.A. rose 8% Europe jumped 29% AsiaPac & Others seasonally up 15% In NT$ terms, WW 3Q revenue grew 16%
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29% 29% 19% 17% 23% 22% 20%
50 100 150 200 250 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Emerging Markets Sales D-Link Brand Sales Emerging markets Sales as % of Brand Sales
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Emerging Markets vs. D-Link Brand Sales
US$ Million
33 50 39 43 43 62
Emerging markets remain the fastest growing area YT3Q06 sales growth over 54% YoY
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Localization
In Country Operation
Products Differentiation
Customization
Technical Supports
Real-time after Service & RMA
Strength in Emerging Markets
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3000 6000 9000 12000 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06
Switch W LAN Broadband Digital Home NIC & Others NT$ Million
Revenue by Products
Consolidated
3Q06 revenue QoQ comparison: Switch grew 23% WLAN increased 15% Broadband up 18% Digital Home rose 12%
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26% 7% 31% 8% 28% 6% 11% 26% 32% 25% 5% 10% 27% 35% 23% 6% 11% 27% 30% 26% 27% 30% 28% 10% 5%
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High-end switch sales in YT3Q06 delivered over 87% YoY growth Pull-through more SMB products such as Security, IP Storage (SAN) Switch remains the highest margin amongst all of product segments
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 F.E. GigE
32% 68% 47% 53% 35% 65% 44% 50% 50% 56% 55 % 45% NT$ Million
Switch Sales Breakdown
61% 39%
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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06
802.11b 802.11g 802.11a+g MIMO/802.11n draft
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WLAN Sales Breakdown
In terms of D-Link WLAN Breakdown, 11g remains the largest pie Super G MIMO / Pre-N gradually ramping up, over 70% QoQ growth for 3Q06
13% 78% 9% 8% 83% 9% 2% 88% 10% 1% 89% 10% 2% 86% 8% 4% 87% 6% 7% NT$ Million 4% 86% 10%
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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 ADSL VoIP/IAD/VDSL
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Broadband Sales Breakdown
VoIP worldwide continuously deployed by Telco/ISP D-Link VoIP sales in 3Q06 delivered over 181% YoY & 30% QoQ growth
95% 5% 90% 10% 85% 15% 83% 17% 78% 22% 65% 35% NT$ Million 63% 37%
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19% 10% 7% 27% 27% 17%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% SMB/SOHO Switch WLAN Broadband
1Q 2006 2Q 2006
Market Shares by Products 16
Dominance in Key Segments
D-Link is, in unit terms, #1 in SOHO/SMB Ethernet LAN Switch #2 in Home/SOHO WLAN, next to Linksys/CSCO #5 in Broadband XDSL, after Siemens, Thompson, and etc. Source: In-Stat Research Reports, 1Q 2006 and 2Q 2006
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#1 in SOHO/SMB Market
Linksys 20.4% Netgear 14.8% 3Com 10.5% Others 14.5% Belken 1.1% HP Procurve 3.7% Zyxel 1.1% Siemen s 1.3% Thomso n 1.2% Allied Telesyn 3.3% Linksys 20.4%
23.8%
Source: Compiled from In-Stat 2Q 2006 Wireless LAN Equipment Market Share Report In-Stat 2Q 2006 Ethernet LAN Switch Market Share Report In-Stat 2Q 2006 Broadband Equipment Market Share Report
Netgear 14.8%
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2Q/06
Nortel 1.7%
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2-bay SATA network storage enclosure
2-bay SATA network storage enclosure
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22 New Product Announcements in Q3 Significant Highlight: L2+ Wireless switches
roaming
L2+ Wireless switches
roaming
Day & Night, Audio & Video IP Cam
Full-featured Wireless Surveillance Camera Support 16 simultaneous viewing and motion detection
recording
Day & Night, Audio & Video IP Cam
Full-featured Wireless Surveillance Camera Support 16 simultaneous viewing and motion detection
recording
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41% 44% 2.80% 4.70% 4.10% 4.81% 3.00% 40% 35% 31% 12% 10% 47% 89% 56%
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Stock Dividend C ash Dividend EPS Adjusted EPS Payout ratio Yield rate Employees' Bonuses as % of Net Income
Dividend & EPS 19
High Dividend Payout
NT$ Per Share
Payout more cash over stock High yield rate Limited employees’ bonuses dilution
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Consolidated 4Q Guidance
4Q revenue flat sequentially Gross margin maintains 31%
Upsides
Thanksgiving & Christmas shopping in N.A. & Europe Emerging markets continuously grow
Downsides
11n ratification delays Cool down of economy
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