SHAPING THE FACE OF RETAIL IN POLAND Introduction 1 EPP Management - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SHAPING THE FACE OF RETAIL IN POLAND Introduction 1 EPP Management - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SHAPING THE FACE OF RETAIL IN POLAND Introduction 1 EPP Management EPP Executive Team Hadley Dean Jacek Baginski Rafal Kwiatkowski Micha wierczy ski Wojciech Knawa CEO CFO COO Head of PM Head of AM
1
EPP Executive Team
EPP Management
Introduction
- More than 20 years of real
estate experience
- Most recently served as
the CEO of Compass Offices’ EMEA operations
- Prior to Compass, served
as a Managing Partner of Eastern Europe at Colliers International, where he managed business across 12 countries, 16 offices and more than 1,000 employees
- In 2017 received the
EuroBuild Real Estate Personality of the Year (2017) award
Hadley Dean CEO
- Senior financial executive
with over 20 years of experience across CEE
- Member of a number of
Management Boards and CFO in companies listed
- n the Warsaw Stock
Exchange and those controlled by large private equity funds in CEE
- Recently, Member of the
Management Board and CFO of Empik Media & Fashion, one of the largest retail groups in Poland
Jacek Baginski CFO
- Over 20 years of real
estate experience across Poland, Russia and Germany
- Most recently served as a
Venture Partner and the Head of Retail at Griffin Real Estate
- In 2004-2007 Associate
Director at JLL Russia
- In 1997-2004 Head of
Leasing and Development at ECE Projektmanagement
Michał Świerczyński Head of AM
- 17 years of experience in
commercial real estate
- Most recently served as
the Managing Director at Echo Investment Property Management, where he managed all retail and
- ffice assets
- Prior to joining EPP,
worked in the hotel and
- ffice sectors, selling hotel
projects and commercialising office assets
Wojciech Knawa Head of PM
- Over 15 years of real
estate experience gained at, among others, Echo Investment
- Most recently served as
the Chief Legal Officer at Echo Investment, being directly involved in financing, leasing, sales and acquisitions
- In 2005-2007 Member of
the Supervisory Board at Barlinek and Opoczno
Rafal Kwiatkowski COO
2
Introduction
Agenda
1
Company at a glance
2
Key investment highlights
3
Poland – attractive investment destination
4
M1 portfolio update , Marcelin and Developments
5
Update on the office disposal process
7
Conclusion
6
Historical Financials
3
Company at a glance
Section 1
4
EPP at a glance
Source: Company information
Section 1
Overview Business model
- EPP is the leading retail property group in Poland with c.€2bn
- f investment properties
- One of the most experienced retail property and asset
management team in Central & Eastern Europe (CEE)
- Presence in the majority of key cities throughout Poland with
coverage of 40% of the national catchment area
- Experienced Executive Board
- Strong institutional shareholders: Redefine (36.2% stake),
Oaktree & PIMCO (shareholders in Echo Prime which holds a 6.4% stake in EPP)
- Raised c.€360m of new equity post IPO
- Pure Polish play, with retail focus
- Each asset must be dominant, defensible and sustainable
- Organic and inorganic growth to obtain scale
- Highly proactive asset and property management
- Long-standing tenant relationships
- Continued deleveraging
EPP’s geographical footprint
Lomza Warsaw Zamosc Krakow Lodz Wrocław Poznan Szczecin Kielce Inowroclaw Jelenia Gora Klodzko Czeladz Przemysl Bełchatow Wloclawek Zabrze Kalisz
18 6
Retail assets
2 18
Retail development projects Office assets Cities
Key performance indicators
1 2 3 4 5 6 98.6 96.0 Occupancy (%) 5.3 3.8 WALT (years) LTV (%) 47.4 (target of 45) Debt WAM (years) 3.9 EBITDA interest coverage (x) 4.2 (2017A) Occupancy cost ratio (%) 13.5 (2017A) Rent to sales (%) 10.3
5
EPP at a glance
Developments since listing1,2
Source: EPP, 2017 Financial Results Presentation
1 As of March 2018 2 Incl. M1 tranche I acquisition
Section 1
Key corporate events
Jan-16: Incorporation of EPP in the Netherlands as a private limited liability company Aug/Sep-16: Listing on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (Aug-16) and conducted a private placement listing (€96m) on Johannesburg Stock Exchange (Sep-16) Jun-16: Acquisition of 75% stake by Redefine and subsequent decrease of stake to 50% by on-sale of shares to a consortium of investors Aug-16: EPP converted to a public company 11 acquisitions 153 employees currently €805m increase in portfolio value since incorporation (Jun-16)4 339k sqm increase in retail GLA (since Q2 2016) Signing of the agreement to acquire M1 portfolio consisting of 12 assets 192k GLA sqm of retail developments in Warsaw 1,428 retail leases3 Galaxy extension opened in Nov-17 (€3.1m NOI uplift) Outlet Park extension opened in Sep-17 (€1.0m NOI uplift) Apr-17: Equity raise of €149m through a private placement Jan-18: Equity raise of €113m through a private placement to finance acquisition of M1 tranche I
3 Excluding leases of tranche I of M1 portfolio which are secured by a master lease until 2024 4 Excluding JVs
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Acquisition of Galeria Solna Date: Jul-17 Location: Inowroclaw GLA: 23,627 Acquisition of Galeria Mlociny1 Date: Jun-17 Location: Warsaw GLA: 81,900 Acquisition of Zakopianka Date: May-17 Location: Krakow GLA: 26,142
EPP at a glance
Section 1
Source: EPP
1 30% owned by Echo Investment S.A. until development phase completion 2 Tryton Business House GLA increased from 23,537 sqm in Q4 2016 to 23,875 sqm in Q3 2017
Investment journey since listing to position EPP as the leading retail landlord in Poland
Sale of Tryton Business House Date: Dec-17 Location: Gdansk GLA: 23,8752 Sale of West Gate Date: Dec-17 Location: Wroclaw GLA: 16,533 Sale of A4 Business Park (I, II, III) Date: Dec-17 Location: Katowice GLA: 29,959
Recent portfolio transactions
Location: Czeladz GLA: 53,600 Location: Krakow GLA: 49,600 Location: Zabrze GLA: 52,800 Location: Lodz GLA: 38,400 Acquisition of M1 portfolio (tranche I) Date: Jan-18 Acquisitions Disposals Acquisition of Blackstone portfolio Date: Jun-17 Wzorcownia Location: Wloclawek GLA: 25,455 Twierdza Klodzko Location: Klodzko GLA: 23,039 Twierdza Zamosc Location: Zamosc GLA: 23,806 O3 Business Campus (I) Location: Krakow GLA: 18,755 Tryton Business House Location: Gdansk GLA: 23,5372 Acquisition of ROFO office portfolio Date: Dec-16 A4 Business Park (III) Date: Apr-17 Location: Katowice GLA: 11,900 Symetris (I) Location: Lodz GLA: 9,595 Retail Retail Retail Office Office Office Retail Retail Retail Office Office Development of Towarowa 221 Date: Dec-16 Completion: 2022/2023 Location: Warsaw GLA: 110,000 O3 Business Campus (II) Date: Dec-17 Location: Krakow GLA: 18,950 Office +252k sqm
- f M1
retail space3 Jan 2017 2018 Apr Aug Sep May Jan Jun Feb Jul Mar Oct Nov Dec Nov Dec Oct
3 Tranche II and III of M1 portfolio
7
48% 46% 6%
EPP at a glance
Source: EPP, 2017 Financial Results Presentation
1 As of January 2018 2 Incl. M1 tranche I acquisition concluded in January 2018
Section 1
Tenant mix1,3
Fair value GLA
Portfolio breakdown1,2
Retail Office
Value of portfolio Key operating metrics
1,347 359 116 2016 2017 972 1,822 444 194 2016 2017 299 638 2016 2017
(€m) GLA (sqm) Footfall and sales LFL (%)
- No. of units
GLA (sqm) Occupancy (%)
- No. of tenants
(€m)
2016 2017 387 309 2016 2017 3.0 4.6 3.0 7.0 2016 2017 176 137 2016 2017 110 94 2016 2017 968 1,4284 Footfall Sales
International tenants Retail Office Polish chain tenants Local tenants
95.8 96.0
85% 15% 82% 18% Total income GLA 54% 41% 5%
WAULT: 3.8 years WAULT: 5.3 years Standing value Developments M1 tranche I
3 M1 tranche I not included due to existing masterlease agreement 4 Excluding leases of tranche I of M1 portfolio which are secured by a master lease until 2024
8
743 452 615 475 607 425 612 443 399 459 253 250 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018F 2019F 2020F
Why focus on retail in Poland?
Source: CBRE, JLL, Savills
Section 1
Limited new supply
Prior to transformation:
- 95% of retailing controlled by
government owned entities
- Only other formats were temporary
and improvised selling points
Prior
1989-1995:
- Strong reliance on outdoor
market places
- Emergence of small isolated
stores in sporadic unconnected locations
1989
1995-2000:
- First hypermarkets opened by Auchan, Real, Carrefour
and Geant
- First three shopping malls built in Warsaw (Panorama,
Promenada, Bogusz Centre) to cater to the needs of wealthier clients
- Other formats included a few department stores
(Domy Towarowe: Wars, Sawa & Junior, Smyk)
- Opening of the first M1 in 1997
1995
2000-2005:
- Large foreign real estate players
invest in large malls in Poland (e.g. Klepierre, Unibail-Rodamco)
- Hypermarkets complemented with
large fashion offering
2000
2005 onwards:
- Multi-level urban schemes
- Introduction of new formats:
discounters, convenience stores, outlet parks
- Development of shopping
centres in smaller cities
- Starting from 2015, development
- f mixed-use schemes
2005
Lack of high-street retail proposition prior to transformation enabled rapid growth in the number of shopping centres in Poland, which remain the dominant format with 71% of market share, and makes the EPP portfolio particularly attractive
New supply of shopping centres stock (000s sqm) Prime retail yields in major regional Polish cities (%)
8.0 6.3 6.0 6.8 7.5 7.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.3 5.0 2005A 2006 2007A 2008 2009A 2010 2011A 2012 2013A 2014 2015A 2016 2017A
Decreasing prime yields
9
EPP strategy
Section 1
- Leading Polish retail landlord focused on income generation
- Dominant, defensible and sustainable portfolio
- Consolidation of key retail assets in strategic locations
Create an income-generating retail champion 1 Develop scale with prudent leverage 4
- Growth has been primarily driven by acquisitions of
hand-picked retail assets and extensions
- Going forward we expect to grow organically and inorganically
through extensions and acquisitions.
- Steady deleveraging towards the long-term LTV target of 45%
- Cautious liquidity management
Maintain efficient operations through expertise 3
- Experienced in-house asset and property management teams
- Excellent staff retention facilitating intellectual capital and long-
term value generation
Utilise strategic relationships 2
- Leverages relationships with tenants by exploiting economies of
scale
- Strong relationships in the international capital markets,
particularly in South Africa
Source: EPP
10
Section 1
… Resulting in the largest retail portfolio in Poland …
Year of completion split by GLA (000s sqm)
Galaxy refurbishment and extension
- Opened in 2003 and fully refurbished in 2013
- Extension in 2017 resulted in additional 15,150 sqm GLA and €3.1m NOI uplift
Galeria Echo Kielce
- Opened in 2002 and extended in 2011 to create one of the biggest shopping-entertainment
centers in Poland with almost 300 stores Outlet Park
- Opened in 2012 and extended in 2015 and 2017
–
2017 extension resulted in additional 3,800 sqm GLA and €1.0m NOI uplift Galeria Sudecka
- Opened in 2000 and redeveloped in 2015
One of the largest portfolio of retail assets in Poland… … consisting of modern and well-invested buildings
34 39 28 24 23 25 48 57 72 50 69 91 26 54 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2007 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997
… widely recognized with prominent awards
2016 Eurobuild Awards Shopping Centre of the Year – Galeria Echo Eurobuild Awards Shopping Centre Manager
- f the Year – Grzegorz Czekaj
2016 Eurobuild Awards The Real Estate Personality of the Year – Hadley Dean 2017 2017 CIJ Awards Poland Best Asset Management Company of the Year 7th CEE Investment Awards Core+/Value Add Investor 2017 2006–2016 Deal of the Decade Awards Winner: Newcomer 2017 CEE Retail Awards Property Management Company 2017
639 596 428 412 412 250 162 128 114 87 +489 EPP¹ Atrium ECE NEPI Rockcastle Unibail Cromwell Immo- finanz Klepierre GTC Global- worth³
GLA of retail assets in Poland (000s sqm)2
Source: EPP, company information
3 Griffin portfolio acquired by Globalworth 1 Includes tranche I of M1 portfolio acquisition which closed in January 2018 2 Latest available data as of March 2018
- No. of properties2
18 21 6 11 6 2 3
Additional GLA following the acquistion of M1 tranche II, III, Marcelin and completion of Galeria Mlociny and Towarowa 22
Undergone refurbishment / extension since M1 tranche I assets 9 12 8 Refurbishment usually carried
- ut within 9-10 years from
completion
11
6.7% 4.1% 0.5% 9.7% 3.3% 6.3% 7.1% 12.5% 8.9% 5.9% 7.9% 6.0% 10.2% 200 400 600 800 1,000 Galeria Veneda Galaxy Outlet Park Galeria Echo Twierdza kłodzko Pasaż Grunwaldzki Galaeria Solna Galeria Amber Zakopianka Twierdza Zamość Galeria Olimpia Galeria Wzorcownia Galeria Sudecka Average 2016 Average 2017
… Outperforming the competition …
Section 1
PLN/sqm
Footfall increase
8.8% 7.1% 2.3% 8.1% (0.1%) 4.8% 6.2% 2.0% (1.1%) (2.5%) 6.4% 3.1% 4.5% 4 8 12 Pasaż Grunwaldzki Galaxy Galeria Echo Galeria Amber CH Veneda Outlet Park Galeria Sudecka Galeria Olimpia Zakopianka Twierdza Zamość Twierdza kłodzko Wzorcownia Włocławek Galeria Solna Footfall 2016 Footfall 2017
Source: EPP, Savills
Average monthly sales (PLN/sqm) Retail assets sales performance Footfall (million) EPP outperforming the competition Polish Council of SC – turnover index (yoy change)
(2.6%) 2.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 7.0% 2014 2015 2016 2017
Sales increase EPP turnover growth (yoy change)
12
… And well-positioned to take advantage
- f e-commerce
Section 1
EPP's properties respond to customer needs … … leveraging e-commerce to enhance shopping experience
3 4
Stores are expected to drive most of the retail sales growth … … while online retail penetration should remain at moderate levels
1 2
- In Poland retail is expected to remain resilient to online shopping – Poles associate visiting
shopping centre with leisure
- There is a strong drive to focus on the development of the social aspects of social centres,
which should further limit on-line shopping threat
“
Once gastronomy and leisure units occupied approx. 5-7% of shopping space, now this ratio has increased to approximately to 10-15% with a few examples exceeding 20%. This ratio is expected to grow even further in the future
GLA split by categories
Online retail as percentage of total retail
Source: EPP, JLL
- Customers engage anywhere and at anytime via integrated, seamless experiences
- Showroom effect enhances the customer experience
- Flagship stores increases the desirability of the brand
- Omni-channelling increases brands’ recognition and appeal to widest range of customers
- Click-n-collect provides an opportunity for the consumer to further interact with the brand
and may lead to further in store sales
- Convenience of location and desirability of the shopping centre drives willingness of the
consumer to engage with retailer
Traditional retail e-commerce Click-n-collect
Shopping centres in Poland are a social destination, making e-commerce channels far less of a substitute
Fashion & Accessories 49% Food / Supermarkets 14% Entertainment 13% Food Court, Restaurants & Cafe 3% Health & Beauty 6% Household appliances & Accessories 5% Speciality Goods 4% Electronics 3% Services 1% 16% 25 50 75 100 125 150 Netherlands France UK Germany Poland
Retail sales 2016A vs. 2022E (indexed to 100)
Online sales In-store sales
4.3 15.1 17.8 10.0 9.5
75% of growth coming from in-store sales
13
Key investment highlights
Section 2
14
Key investment highlights
Creating scale through organic and inorganic growth Successful acquisition strategy supported by prudent financial management Dominant and defensible portfolio of well-located shopping centres Strong relationships with high quality tenants Efficient, reliable and integrated operations platform 1 2 3 4 5
Section 2
15
Section 2
Source: EPP
1 Defined as investment property value 2 Galeria Olimpia and Centrum Echo Belchatow treated as one project
Value of EPP's portfolio (€m)1
972 975 1,203 1,271 1,347 359 387 392 420 422 309 1,359 1,367 1,623 1,693 2,0144 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Retail Office M1 tranche I (retail)
3 Acquisition of A4 Business Park III; treated as one project together with A4 Business Park I/II 4 Pro forma for M1 tranche I acquisition completed in January 2018
1
- Extensions of 2 best-performing retail assets
(Galaxy and Outlet Park) – full NOI impact yet to be reflected
- 3 other assets identified for future extension
- Upside for M1 assets
GLA extensions
- Excellent access to additional opportunities
- Strong sourcing capabilities
- Plan to acquire King Cross Marcelin located in
Poznan and M1 tranche 2 and 3
- Recycling of assets
Substantial NOI growth in 2016A-17A (54%), with further expansion expected between 2018E and 2020E
External acquisitions
- 2 Warsaw projects under development with
(GLA of 192k sqm)
- Galeria Mlociny to open in April 2019
- Further upside from Towarowa 22, zoning
expected to take place in 2018/2019
Developments
- Turnover increase
- CPI-indexing
- Tenant mix improvement initiatives
NOI growth Organic growth Inorganic growth
Creating scale through organic and inorganic growth
- No. of investments
92 92 132 142 142 – – – 4 – 9 9 93 6 93
16
Section 2
Successful acquisition strategy supported by prudent financial management
Source: EPP
1 100% of the debt is assumed to be hedged in line with EPP policy; the remaining portion is unhedged due to one loan maturing in 2018
2
Reducing LTV Long debt maturity dates
55.4% 47.4% 45% FY 2016 FY 2017 Long-term target
LTV (%)
83% hedged1 102 151 11 81 434 179 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 >2022
(€m)
Average maturity: 3.9 years
Financial management guidelines
- Leverage: sustain a sound balance sheet that is well within covenants and credit metrics
with a long-term target of 45%
- Hedging: target to hedge 100% of interest rate exposure; currency of rental income
matching the currency of EPP funding
- Credit risk: require tenants to pay rentals in advance and present security of the liabilities
resulting from lease agreements
- Operational costs: robust approval system and periodic monitoring of costs versus the
budget on a monthly (at properties and HQ level) and quarterly (overall for EPP) basis
- Dividend policy: intention to distribute 100% of distributable earnings to the shareholders;
shareholders have the option to reinvest through DRIP programme 1 2 3 4 5
17
Section 2
Urban shopping centres Regional shopping centres Outlet parks / stand-alone retail schemes
Source: EPP
1 Including development projects (Towarowa 22 and Galeria Mlociny)
EPP retail assets
EPP's geographically diversified portfolio encompasses three asset types targeting diverse customer groups
Large urban shopping centres
- EPP's largest assets with a GLA of 48,000-72,000 sqm
- Located in Poland's largest and most affluent cities, very close to the city centres,
in densely populated areas
- Strong fashion offering complemented by food, entertainment and F&B
- Usually competing with a handful of other malls in their vicinity
Dominant regional shopping centres
- EPP's smaller format with a GLA of 15,000-55,000 sqm
- Located in strong regional cities
- Critical mass enhanced by entertainment
- Very limited competition, usually limited to much smaller formats
(e.g. hypermarkets or smaller retail parks)
Outlet parks / stand-alone retail schemes
- Category includes Outlet Park Szczecin (GLA of c.28,300 sqm) and Centrum
Handlowe Przemysl (GLA of c.6,000 sqm)
- Located in either smaller cities or outskirts of larger cities in less densely populated
areas
- Competition mainly from other nearby hypermarkets or larger malls in city centres
but usually catering mainly to the population living in its close vicinity Lomza Kielce Przemysl Wroclaw Jelenia Gora Szczecin Belchatow Wloclawek Krakow Klodzko Zamosc Inowroclaw Warsaw1 Lodz Kalisz Czeladz Zabrze
3
Dominant and defensible portfolio of well-located shopping centres
18
66% 32% 2% 43% 50% 7%
No. Tenant name Rental income (€/month) % share in total 1 542,712 8.1% 2 352,648 5.3% 3 154,096 2.3% 4 147,368 2.2% 5 131,509 2.0% 6 128,400 1.9% 7 125,599 1.9% 8 125,371 1.9% 9 108,395 1.6% 10 103,344 1.5%
Strong relationships with high quality tenants
- Portfolio diversified in terms of footfall and NOI which creates a strong negotiating position
- In 2017, retail accounted for 82% of GLA and 85% of fair value, while office for 18% and 15% respectively
- Retail assets are let out to leading retailers with international brands and mature, strong Polish retail chains (e.g. LPP
with a market cap. of €4.0bn, CCC with a market cap. of €2.7bn), diversifying EPP's macro exposure
- Cumulative top 10 retail and office tenants represent only 32% of total rental income
- Office space leased to blue chip tenants
A diversified portfolio with blue chip and international tenant base Split by types – retail tenants1 Top 10 retail tenants Other tenants
International tenants Polish chain tenants Local tenants
Source: EPP, Factset as of 24 May 2018
1 As of FY 2017
Section 2
Top 10 office tenants
No. Tenant name Rental income (€/month) % share in total 1 154,013 9.1% 2 138,781 8.3% 3 103,103 6.1% 4 61,156 3.6% 5 61,148 3.6% 6 57,037 3.4% 7 51,590 3.1% 8 49,419 2.9% 9 48,152 2.9% 10 47,355 2.8% Leading CEE retailers
51% 44% 5%
Split by types – office tenants1
68% 30% 2% GLA Total income
4
19
Section 2
Efficient, reliable and integrated operations platform—proprietary management system
Source: EPP
EPP has developed internally a proprietary tool which enables it to control key property and tenants' KPIs
Asset portfolio monitoring
- Performance overview at asset-level incl. sales density, footfall, RTS and
OCR and debt collection ratios for each EPP property all in one dashboard
- Allows effective decision-making process based on real-time data
1 Immediate identification of potential tenants' issues
- Drill down option – macro to micro perspective, using the tenant panel and
heat maps
- Overview of key KPIs at tenant-level: RTS, OCR, debt collection ratios, SC
rates, rent reductions, sales density and sales, footfall and opex reports 2
Main functions Visualisations and key facts
Dashboard with a holistic and handy
- verview of key
metrics Macro and micro level heat maps and efficiency levels of shopping galleries Key lease term and performance KPIs
6
20
Section 2
Efficient, reliable and integrated operations platform—EPP University
- EPP University platform was developed to
support tenants in daily operations and is run by a team of 4 professionals
- Tenants’ staff provided with professional
training on most important performance factors includes:
–
effective sales techniques
–
customers’ typology
–
building a receipt
–
selling on the shop front
–
business KPIs analysis
- Units workshop with tenants’ staff includes:
–
planning the optimum store layout, positioning of the best sellers
–
effective visual merchandising implementation
–
interior shop design and shop fronts improvement
Overview Tenants’ KPIs before and after EPP University training
Tenants Project Sales density (€/sqm/p.a.) RTS OCR Sales density (€/sqm/p.a.) RTS OCR Before After Specialist Store Pasaz Grunwaldzki 805 27.2% 42.2% 2,014 10.9% 18.9% Fashion retailer Galeria Echo 1,631 20.5% 29.8% 2,100 16.4% 23.8% Jeweller Pasaz Grunwaldzki 3,887 20.1% 24.8% 5,925 12.9% 16.9%
Key EPP University personnel
- More than 18 years of experience, including creating and developing customer awareness
- f recognized foreign and Polish brands such as Zara, Orsay, Motivi, Vero Moda, Camaieu,
Tatuum and Gino Rossi
- For the last 9 years Roksana held various managerial positions and joined EPP as a Retail
Manager in June 2014
- Roksana is an expert in training in areas such as sales, visual merchandising and business
Roksana Bialecka Head of University Retail Tenants Management
Improvement of performance of clients leading to rental growth 1 Attracting smaller tenants with rents higher than larger tenants 2 Ability to identify potential problems early and prevent long-term voids 3
EPP University attracts both smaller and large tenants; offered sessions are also popular among sales assistants of established international retail chains
Source: EPP
6
21
Poland – attractive investment destination
Section 3
22
Stable fiscal environment with low interest rates and falling unemployment …
Section 3
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, Eurostat, Datastream, Moody's, S&P ratings, Analyst research, Factset as of 24 May 2018
1 Western Europe (EU15)—Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, UK
Low level of public debt
Public debt as percentage of GDP (%, 2017A); sovereign ratings (Moody's/S&P) 1
179 132 126 103 98 97 88 78 74 68 64 51 51 35 Greece Italy Portugal Belgium Spain France UK Austria Hungary Ireland Germany Slovakia Poland Czech Rep. A2/BBB+
Falling unemployment rate
2 Unemployment rate in Poland (%)
9.8 12.1 12.8 12.3 8.9 6.8 6.6 6.5 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
Unemployment is historically low, below natural level
Rising real wages
3
1.1 0.6 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.5 3.5 2.5 3.8 3.5 4.1 4.9 5.1 4.7 4.3 4.7 4.7 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F Western Europe¹ Poland
Percentage change in hourly wages in local currency (%)
252 254 261 266 275 292 309 325 342
2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017B 2018F 2019F 2020F
Significant boost from consumer spending
4 Consumer spending in Poland (US$bn)
Consumer confidence index in Poland (100=long-term average) 102.0
23
200,000 400,000 600,000 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018F 2019F Supply yearly Under construction Planned
… Making Poland a highly attractive retail investment destination
Section 3
Decreasing supply of new shopping centres stock 3
Above 28.0% Between 26.5% and 27.9% Between 25.0% and 26.4% Below 25.0% Bialystok Lublin Rzeszow Krakow Kielce Katowice Opole Lodz Warsaw Olsztyn Bydgoszcz Poznan Wroclaw Zielona Gora Szczecin Tricity
Source: Oxford Economics, JLL
1 Above analysis is based on the modern retail stock defined as retail schemes exceeding 5,000 sqm of gross leasable area (GLA), delivered or refurbished after 1990
Impressive growth in retail sales 1 Retail sales change between years 2004-2016
(30%) (5%) 20% 45% 70% 95% Poland Czech Republic France Hungary Germany Spain
Shopping centre pipeline in Poland (sqm) Existing shopping centre stock (GLA in sqm per 1,000 inhabitants)
400 800 1,200 US Luxembourg Netherlands Ireland Sweden Finland UK Spain Portugal Italy France Czech Rep. Poland Slovakia Turkey Greece
N/A 31% 23% 29% 26% 42% 18% 24% 29% 32% 19% 49% 50% 66% 78% 37%
x% Proportion of the last 10 year completions of total existing stock (January 2017)
High future growth projections 2 10-year growth forecast of retail spending per capita (2017-2027E)¹ Saturation of shopping centres well below Western Europe and the US 4
24
M1 portfolio update, Marcelin and Developments
Section 4
25
M1 transaction rationale
Section 4
40% of Polish population is within a 30-min drive time 120 million annual footfall combined
Additional value potential
- Sites in large catchment areas, generally situated along the motorway at
major junctions (land base >200 ha)
Location
- Master lease provided by Metro AG (rated BBB-/Ba1), supported by a
strong tenant mix including top brands: Auchan, OBI, MediaMarkt, TK Maxx, H&M, C&A
Tenants
- Food and DIY anchored with top international brands providing
the greatest retail offer and best prices
Bespoke shopping centres
- Through the
combined scale of EPP and M1 portfolio, the company is able to attract retail market leaders and assist with their growth aspirations
- Increase the F&B and entertainment offerings
- Right-size retail units
- Boost the short-term leases income
- Optimise costs
Active asset management
- Potential to increase the GLA by 8-10% and NOI by 10-15%
- Increase of the existing rents
Extensions
Source: EPP
Transaction rationale Assets highlights
Scale
26
M1 portfolio overview
Section 4
Tenant mix (NRI) Tenant mix (GLA)
Auchan 36% OBI 13% Media Markt 8% Other tenants 43% Auchan 38% OBI 22% Media Markt 10% Other tenants 30% Auchan – no. 1 hypermarket
- perator in Poland and 5th largest
worldwide; a 20 year track record in the Polish market; 7 year agreements with Auchan OBI – the leading DIY operator with
- ver 50 stores in Poland and a
19 year track record in the Polish market; 15 existing lease agreements in place MediaMarkt – German-based leading consumer electronic retailer with over 60 stores in Poland and a 19-year track record on the Polish market; opportunity to decrease space and re-rent at better rates
GLA (sqm): 446,500 Sustainable NOI: €49.0m Entry yield¹: 7.1% RTS: 8.9% Further upside from GLA extension Vacancy: 1.8% Development yield: 8–10% WALT by GLA²: 6.4 years
1 Acquisition yield excluding transaction costs; 6.8% for the total portfolio including transaction costs 2 End of Master Lease
Tenants Key portfolio statistics
EPP agreed to acquire portfolio of twelve M1 assets in 3 tranches. Tranche I was closed in January 2018, tranche II and III to follow in June 2019 and June 2020, respectively
Source: EPP
Selected other brands
27
Potential for further development of M1 assets
Space available for extensions
Section 4
- Following the preliminary internal audit
and modelling exercise to assess the profitability of the potential projects, 7 assets have been identified to have extension potential
- Upside for total GLA increase of c.10%
and NOI of c.12-15%
- Detailed audit to be carried out in 2018
Tenants restructuring
- Adjustments to tenant mix to maximise
NOI by replacing poorly performing tenants with new sought-after retailers
- r service providers
- Ability to improve shopping experience
by widening the base of various tenant types and introducing new services
- Aligning the tenant mix to respond to
the shoppers' increasing spending power and changing preferences
Refurbishments
- A way of increasing the assets'
attractiveness to customers by adapting to the 'cross-channel' era caused by growing online retail penetration and hence recalibrating the assets' positioning
- Energy-efficiency improvements
- Resulting in better tenant retention and
higher footfall
Improvement of entertainment and food courts
- Potential to include tenants providing
leisure services at 5 of the analysed 7 assets
- Facilities to include modern food
courts, fitness centres and cinemas
- Increases the overall attractiveness of
the mall and time spent shopping, reducing substitutability of the experience with e-commerce
Source: EPP
Assessment of alternative use of land next to the existing M1 assets: residential, industrial purposes and big boxes
28
Contractual growth pipeline in retail from M1
Section 4
Retail properties Retail GLA (000) Retail NOI (€m) Tranche I January 2018 2017YE Tranche III June 2020 Tranche II June 2019 72 97 113 121 18 24 26
Pro-forma impact of the committed M1 portfolio acquisition1
Retail 76% Office 24% GLA split 639 823 891 Retail portfolio value (€m) Retail 82% Office 18% Retail 86% Office 14% Retail 87% Office 13% 14 444 1,352 1,710 1,933 2,044
Source: EPP
1 Pro-forma as of FY 2017 assuming no retail / office acquisitions or disposals other than M1 portfolio
+4 +194 +359 +6 +184 +222 +2 +68 +111 Selected tenants
29
Marcelin transaction rationale
Section 4
Additional value potential and growth
- Located in the affluent western part of Poznan
- Isolated catchment area of approx. 350,000 within a 30 min drive
Strong catchment area
Auchan, H&M, Reserved, Pepco, CCC, New Yorker, Jysk, Media Markt, Empik, Super-Pharm
Tenants – Complimentary to current portfolio
- Food anchored with top international brands providing the greatest retail
- ffer and best prices
Dominant shopping centre in its catchment
- Currently no F&B offering
- Right-size retail units
- Significant demand from new tenants to improve mix
- Optimisation costs
Active asset management
- Potential to extension on the first floor
- Project neighbouring a large office complex Business Garden
Poznan 135,000 m2 is currently under construction which will attract an additional 12,000 people daily to the catchment area.
Extensions and potential footfall increase
Source: EPP
Assets highlights
30
Section 4
Strategic developments: large, well-integrated developments in attractive locations in the capital city
Galeria Mlociny1
- Retail development located in the North-West part of Warsaw, conveniently
located next to a rapidly growing residential area – Mlociny
- Mlociny is the main public transport (incl. a metro line) hub used daily by
- c. 40,000 people
- 1.5 million people within 30 minutes drive
- Opening planned for April 2019 with construction ahead of the schedule
- The largest retail construction site in Poland; 75% of GLA already leased
Planned total GLA 81,900 sqm
- Est. cost of
development3 €300m
- Est. fully-let NOI
€21m
- Est. yield on cost
- c. 7.0%
- Est. valuation yield
- n completion
- c. 5.75%
- Est. value on
completion €365m Planned total GLA 110,000 sqm
- Est. cost of
development3 €420m
- Est. fully-let NOI
€34m
- Est. yield on cost
- c. 8%
- Est. valuation
yield on completion
- c. 5%
- Est. value on
completion €680m
Towarowa 222 Construction of one asset at a time
- Last large retail development in Warsaw and the last to be built near the city-centre
- The property is the biggest commercial area located in the centre of Warsaw (next
to the metro line) with total area of c. 6.2ha
- Zoning process scheduled for 2018/2019
- Potential for additional 45,000 sqm of mixed-use: residential, office, hotel
- Strong interest from all main anchor tenants
Source: EPP
1 70% owned by EPP, 30% by Echo Investment 2 Fair value reflects 54% of the value of the land plot 2 Land included
March 2019 Completion of Galeria Mlociny 2018/2019 Zoning process for Towarowa 22 Q3 2016 Start of construction of Galeria Mlociny 2020/2021 Start of construction
- f Towarowa 22
April 2019 Opening of Galeria Mlociny
31
Update on the office disposal process
Section 5
32
Flexible terms of ROFO agreements allow EPP to realise profits on disposals of office and retail assets
Section 5
Sagittarius1 O3 Business Park III
Source: EPP
1 ROFO assets intended for sale (EPP owns 25% of the assets, with remaining 75% being ROFO)
Office Retail Symetris II Libero1
EPP has options to buy, sell or waive all its ROFO assets
Project name Location GLA (000' sqm) NOI (€m) Status
Symetris II Lodz 9.7 1.6 Authorized to acquire Symetris II until 30.09.2019 O3 Business Park III Krakow 18.9 3.3 Authorized to acquire O3 Business Park III until 30.09.2019 Sagittarius Wroclaw 24.9 4.5 Waived ROFO, we will participate in profit share Libero Katowice 45.1 9.0 Waived ROFO, we will participate in profit share
33
Disposals of office assets
- EPP invests in offices only on an
- pportunistic basis
- Acquired office assets are intended to be
disposed of at a profit
- EPP’s aim is to focus solely on retail assets
in the long-term and continue with the stated disposal strategy of office real estate
- In December 2017, EPP disposed of A4
Business Park, Tryton Business House and West Gate for a total consideration of €160m
- Sale process of O3 Business Park, Malta
and Symetris Business Park was initiated at the beginning of the year and we currently
- ffers for all three assets put for sale
- Disposals on track for year end
Tranche sold in October 2017 Tranche being currently for sale
Source: EPP
A4 Business Park
Katowice GLA: 29,900 sqm
Tryton Business House
Gdansk GLA: 23,537 sqm
O3 Business Park (I, II, III)
Krakow GLA: 56,926 sqm
Malta Office Park
Poznan GLA: 28,270 sqm
Symetris (I & II)
Lodz GLA: 19,000 sqm
West Gate
Wroclaw GLA: 16,532 sqm
Section 5
34
Historical financials
Section 6
35
Section 6
Key historical financial highlights
54.1 49.6 2016A 2017A
Total debt / Total assets (%)
55.0 47.4 45.0 2016A 2017A Target
Net LTV1 (%) Net debt / (Net debt + Equity)1 (%)
56.5 50.6 2016A 2017A
EBITDA interest coverage (x)
3.4 4.2 2016A 2017A
Source: EPP
1 Net debt defined as Debt less cash available, excluding deposits
67 103 89 FY2016 FY2017 Target at IPO (FY2017)
Historical development of financials
- Significant increase on the
back of recent retail asset acquisitions with an additional retail GLA of 145k sqm
- EBITDA grew by 61% due
to acquisitions and effective asset and property management 54 87 81 FY2016 FY2017 Target at IPO (FY2017) 34 77 64 FY2016 FY2017 Target at IPO (FY2017)
- NOI increases and cost
stabilisation has resulted in substantial distributable earning growth of 126%
- Higher than forecasted
despite changes to CIT +16% +7% +20%
LTV and ICR
Distributable earnings (€m) EBITDA excl. fair value gains (€m) NOI (€m)
36
Conclusion
Section 7
37
Key takeaways
Section 7
Source: EPP
We are the leading Polish retail landlord 1 Profitable and well positioned portfolio 2
- Retail landlord focused on income generation
- Dominant, defensible and sustainable portfolio
- Cash generative assets in key strategic locations
- Coverage of 40% of the national catchment area post tranche III of
M1 transaction
- Limited new supply and lack of high street alternative
- Footfall and tenants’ turnover has increase across the portfolio
- Scale makes us the ‘go-to’ landlord for retail clients
- Positive Polish macro and real estate market backdrop
- NOI and asset value growth
Leading operational platform delivers competitive advantage
3
Prudent Financial & Corporate Management
4
- Experienced asset and property management delivering NOI
growth
- Excellent staff retention deepens relationships with tenants
- Proprietary management information system & EPP University
enable proactive tenant management
- Debt materially reduced since IPO to LTV 47.4% at y/e 2017 and
long-run target 45%
- Deep banking relationships enhanced by prospective bond issue
- Recycling of assets into higher value properties
- Strong culture of Corporate Governance
- Support of key institutional shareholders
38
Additional materials
Appendix A
39
Yielding assets split (GLA split by city)3
Office Retail4
Properties located in prosperous regions
Szczecin Przemysl Kalisz Jelenia Gora Kielce Lomza Warsaw
13
7 Poznan Belchatow 3 3 4 Source: EPP, GfK Polonia 2017
1 Includes Galeria Olimpia and Centrum Handlowe Belchatow 2 70% owned by EPP, 30% by Echo Investment
Szczecin 13% Krakow 12% Kielce 11% Czeladz 8% Zabrze 8% Wroclaw 8% Lodz 6% Kalisz 5% Belchatow 5% Other 23%
17
Krakow Wloclawek Zamosc 10 Klodzko 5 20 19 2 6 Lodz 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 20 19 13 14 12 11 15 Property Location Completion / latest refurbishment Fair value (€m) GLA (sqm) Retail Galaxy (incl. extension) Szczecin 2003/2013/2017 275 56,627 Pasaz Grunwaldzki Wroclaw 2007/20166 252 48,366 Galeria Echo Kielce 2002/2011 223 71,650 Zakopianka Retail Park Krakow 1998 56 26,142 Galeria Amber Kalisz 2014 88 33,599 Outlet Park (incl. extension) Szczecin 2012/2015/2017 92 28,283 Galeria Sudecka Jelenia Gora 2000/2015 57 30,268 Wzorcownia Wloclawek 2009 51 25,455 Twierdza Zamosc 2011 52 23,806 Twierdza Klodzko 2010 49 23,039 Galeria Olimpia1 Belchatow 2000/2012 55 32,703 Galeria Veneda Lomza 2013 39 15,026 Centrum Handlowe Przemysl 2000/2012 5 5,759 Galeria Solna Inowroclaw 2013 59 23,627 M1 - Czeladz Czeladz 1997/2008 123 53,650 M1 - Zabrze Zabrze 1999 75 52,775 M1 - Krakow Krakow 2001/2011 126 49,617 M1 - Lodz Lodz 1999 34 38,396 Total Retail 1,710 638,788 Retail – Developments Towarowa 222 Warsaw 2022/2023
- c. 420
110,000 Galeria Mlociny2 Warsaw 2019
- c. 295
81,900 Total Retail (incl. Developments) 2,425 830,688 Office Malta Office Park Poznan 2011 62 28,270 O3 Business Campus (I, II) Krakow 2016/2018 93 37,846 Park Rozwoju (I, II) Warsaw 2014/2015 72 33,475 Astra Park Kielce 2007 31 14,269 Oxygen Szczecin 2010 28 13,902 Symetris I Lodz 2016 23 9,595 Total Office 309 137,357 1
8
11
Appendix A
Dominant and defensible portfolio of well-located shopping centres
List of EPP properties
Lowest Average Purchasing power per capita index Highest Office properties Retail properties 12 Inowroclaw
14 4
Zabrze Czeladz Wroclaw 18 Krakow 28% Warsaw 24% Poznan 21% Kielce 10% Szczecin 10% Lodz 7%
After the acquisition of all three M1 tranches, EPP’s portfolio will cover 40% of Poland where the spending power is 25% higher than Poland's average5
16 17 18
EPP portfolio assets are located in the largest Polish cities and offer exposure to attractive local markets where competition is still limited while consumer demand is growing rapidly
3 As of January 2018 4 Incl. M1 tranche I acquisition concluded in January 2018 5 Based on catchment area within 30 minutes drive time 6 Partial refurbishment in Q1 2016
165
9
2 15 16
40
EPP AM/PM capabilities
Efficient, reliable and integrated operations platform
EPP has assembled a team of highly experienced professionals which offers comprehensive asset and property management services of the highest quality
2017
- A highly experienced employee base recruited both externally and inherited
from Echo Investments prior to portfolio transfer to EPP, which ensured continuity of management and experience with each asset and the tenants
- Manages multiple shopping centres and offices across Poland
- EPP's property management can offer access to the entire real estate value
chain
- Unrivalled leasing capabilities resulting from well-established relationships
with large, international tenants who trust EPP's expertise and expand together in Poland
- EPP’s in-house development and asset management team has been
recognized over the years with many awards
Eurobuild Awards Property Management Company CIJ Awards Best Asset Management Company
2017 Total GLA
- c. 776k
sqm 1,428 retail units3 94 office tenants 124 employees2 Echo Investment Property Management PM Facility Management Team Budgeting Reporting & Analysis Team Marketing Management Echo Investment Property Management Office team Property Managers Echo Investment Property Management Retail team Shopping Mall Directors Marketing Managers Lease Administration Managers Financial & Accounting Managers Technical Managers
Europa Property Awards Core+/Value Add Investor
2017
Source: EPP, press
1 As of January 2018 2 Includes 9 employees of the Asset Management team and 115 employees of the Property Management team
Retail 18 projects1 Office 6 projects1 Architecture Team Legal Department Financial and Accounting Department Retail Leasing Team AM
Experienced and recognised asset and property manager
Appendix A
Construction and Development Team Office Leasing Team EPP University Integration Team
3 Excluding leases of tranche I of M1 portfolio which are secured by a master
lease until 2024
41
Case study: effectively leveraging existing tenant relationships
Appendix A
LPP and CCC in EPP's shopping centres
Galaxy Szczecin
2003: First LPP store opened (1,223 sqm) 2014: Stores with new brands introduced: Sinsay (580 sqm) and Cropp (590 sqm) 2017: Opening of one of the biggest Reserved stores in Poland on two levels (2,613 sqm) Stores with new brands introduced: House (480 sqm) and Mohito (442 sqm) 2003: First CCC store opened (385 sqm) 2013: Extension of the store to 552 sqm 2017: Opening of the latest concept store on two levels (2,267 sqm) – the biggest CCC store in Poland at that time
- Founded in 1996, CCC is the biggest Polish shoe retailer
- It operates 438 stores in Poland and more than 500 stores in other European
countries
- Market capitalisation of c.€2.7bn
- Over 263 million customers visited CCC stores in 2017
- Currently CCC has 17 stores in EPP shopping centres
–
further extensions of stores have already been planned
Galeria Echo
2011: Reserved store extension in a new, two-level format (1,430 sqm) 2002: First LPP store opened (861 sqm) 2013: Stores with new brands introduced: Mohito and Sinsay (787 sqm) 2018: House store extension in the latest format opened (550 sqm); further extension
- f Reserved store (up to 2,500 sqm)
already planned 2002: First CCC store opened (169 sqm) 2011: Extension of the store in a new format to 419 sqm 2014: Further extension of the store to 668 sqm 2018: Planned opening of the latest concept store with 1,500 sqm (in talks) 4,700 Current total GLA (sqm): 2,267
LPP CCC
Sought-after locations with loyal tenants growing with EPP
- Founded in 1991, LPP, given its range of brands, is referred to as 'Polish Inditex' with
more than 1,700 stores worldwide, 1,000 of which are located in Poland
- Portfolio consists of 5 fashion brands: Reserved, Mohito, Cropp, House and Sinsay
- Market capitalisation of c.€4.0bn
- Sells c. 140 million products every year
- Currently LPP has over 70 stores in EPP shopping centres
–
further extensions of stores have already been planned
3,000 1,500 1,223 First store GLA (sqm): 385 861 169
Source: EPP, Factset as of 24 May 2018
42
Appendix A
Case study: extensions
Identifying new extensions
- EPP identifies assets where it has the right to
construct an extension
- Internal audit is carried out by architects to
assess the feasibility of increasing GLA
- Once GLA extension size is estimated, the
development department prepares the profitability model based on leasing and construction data
- Leasing team starts approaching potential
- tenants. Financing and FC secured
- Construction starts when 75% of GLA leased
(based on conditional contracts with tenants)
- Board decision based on positive outcome of
the model, financing and FC availability and minimum 75% of GLA being already leased
Galaxy extension (completed 15 November 2017)
- €3.1 million NOI uplift – €50 million uplift in value
- 1.1 million visitors in November – best month ever
- 950k increase in number of visitors within 5 months (+20% LFL)
- 45 new stores in 15,150 sqm GLA
Outlet Park extension (completed September 2017)
New tenants
GLA
+15,150 sqm
NOI
41,477 56,627 +€3.1m 11.4 14.5
GLA
+3,800 sqm
NOI
24,483 28,283 +€1.0m 4.5 5.5
Both extensions completed on time
Source: EPP
- 21 new stores totaling 3,800 sqm GLA
- €1.0 million NOI uplift – €17 million uplift in value
- 42% sales increase since opening in 2012
- 53% footfall increase since opening in 2012
- 140k increase in number of visitors during the first 4 months
New tenants
43
New proposed changes to the Polish legislation affecting commercial real estate sector
Appendix A
- The tax is levied on owners of commercial and office real estate and came into
force on 1 January 2018
- It is a tax of 0.42% a year on real estate assets with value >PLN 10 million
(first PLN10m are tax exempt)
- Assets value is based on their initial value, not depreciated but adjusted for capex
- Such assets include: shopping malls, departments stores, stand-alone shops or
boutiques, service/trade buildings, office buildings (office buildings for own use are excluded)
- The tax sets a minimum amount of tax that has to be paid even in the case of
company generating losses, however, it is not to be paid in addition to CIT
- In November 2017, Poland's Lower House of Parliament passed a law
restricting Sunday sales to two Sundays per month
- Shopping restriction came into force in March 2018
- The bill foresees limiting trading to one Sunday per month in 2019 and 7
Sundays a year from 2020 onwards
- Currently Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary,
Netherlands, Norway and Spain have restrictions on Sunday trading
- Exemptions for F&B, entertainment, fitness, bakeries, flower shops and others
Tax on commercial real estate Sunday trading ban Proposed change Impact on EPP
- Estimated increase of the effective tax rate in 2018 by c.2-3pp
- According to UBS research, the loss in revenues should be to a large extent
- ffset by cost reductions and increased footfall and turnovers during other days
- f the week
- The Hungarian example suggests that the distortions are likely
to be temporary – following the introduction of the restrictions, retail sales momentum slowed down but returned to normal within two months
- Shopping centres are defining new operation principles e.g. prolonged opening
hours to help customers’ to change their shopping habits
Source: EPP, press releases, UBS research