SLIDE 1 Shaping Signals
Preparing for the Future through Speculative Design
Phil Balagtas Design Director, GE Aviation Digital Solutions Founder, Speculative Futures San Francisco @neshacom1 contact.phil@gmail.com
SLIDE 2 99% Invisible - 10,000 years
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What is Speculative Design?
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Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design
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Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design
Speculative Design
SLIDE 12 Shaping Signals | 2016
Speculative Design is a way to manifest possibilities, to prepare us for inconvenient challenges and facilitate a more desirable, responsible path into the future.
SLIDE 13 The Futures Cone
Present Probable Plausible Possible
time
SLIDE 14 Present
time
The Futures Cone
What is likely to happen? What could happen? What might happen?
SLIDE 15 Preferable
Why Design for the Future?
What do we want to happen?
Signal
SLIDE 16 Wild Card
Low-probability events or mini- scenarios which, if they occurred, would have very high impact
Challenge Assumptions. Force Controversy
SLIDE 17 Designs for an Overpopulated Planet: Foragers
Dunne & Raby
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SLIDE 20 Evidence Dolls
Dunne & Raby
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SLIDE 22 Love Optimized: NeurAlign
Object Solutions
SLIDE 23 Love Optimized: Intimatum (Intimate Utility Meter)
Object Solutions
SLIDE 24 One Way Ticket
Joseph Popper (2012)
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SLIDE 27 Martian Wine
Carlos Monleon-Gendall
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SLIDE 30 “Genetics, Nanotechnology, & Robotics will provide the means to overcome age-old problems such as illness and poverty, but it will also empower destructive ideologies,”
SLIDE 31 Transfigurations
Agi Haines
SLIDE 32 New Plastics
Agi Haines
SLIDE 33 New Plastics
Agi Haines
SLIDE 34 The synthetic Kingdom
Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg
SLIDE 35 Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg - E.Chromi
SLIDE 36 “Design can set agendas and not necessarily be in service, but be used to find ways to explore
- ur world and how we want it to be.”
- Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg
SLIDE 37 Museum of Future Government Services Tellart
museumofthefuture.ae
SLIDE 38 museum.governmentsummit.org/2015/
Smart Street
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Autonomous Car Prototyping Lab
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Mood View Dubai Museum of the Future 2016
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SLIDE 43 The prototypes aren't based on fictitious realities, they're based on real, provable drivers and trends that are moved down the road in predictable ways to create plausible scenarios. Of course no
- ne knows what will happen in the future, but this
process hinges on the most plausible future
- utcomes based on rigorous research and study.
Andrew Haarsager Strategy Director, Tellart
SLIDE 44 The Future of Ageing
futureofageing.blog.gov.uk
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The Future of Mobility & Transportation
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Teacher of Algorithms Simone Rebaudengo
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WHAT DO WE HAVE TO CONSIDER WHEN DESIGNING FOR THE FUTURE?
SLIDE 48 RETROCASTING
(understand the past to shape the future)
SLIDE 49 Cultural Shifts
2007 today 2009 1996 2036
??? ?
20yrs 10yrs
Moore’s Law
SLIDE 50 credit: http://www.naturalstep.ca/backcasting
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HIDDEN IMPACT, INFLUENCE, & ECOSYSTEMS
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Ecosystem
What does the future environment feel like? What are the challenges and rules?
Social/Cultural Implications
What impact will it have on society?
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Consider the bicycle.
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Transportation Culture Technology Economy Population Communication Environment Policies Energy Education City Planning Trends
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Transportation Culture Technology Economy Population Communication Environment Policies Energy Education City Planning Trends
SLIDE 59 for Autonomous Cars
Near Future Labs
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Apple Knowledge Navigator (1987)
SLIDE 62 SPECULATIVE FUTURES
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SLIDE 63 Futures Design Lab The Future of Disease in 2026
SLIDE 64 Bio-sensing Plant Genomics Machine Learning
SF Speculative Futures
SLIDE 65 SF Speculative Futures
SLIDE 66 HEAL
A modular wearable platform for
Signals 2016 2026
Quantified Self Bio-hacking Wearables Machine Learning 3D Printing
?
SF Speculative Futures
SLIDE 67 SF Speculative Futures
SLIDE 68 Shaping Signals | 2016
SLIDE 69 Shaping Signals | 2016
Future of Parenting Fisher Price
SLIDE 70 “The future belongs to those who can imagine it, design it, and execute it…It isn’t something you await, but rather create”
- His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum
SLIDE 71 Phil Balagtas @neshacom1 contact.phil@gmail.com @futures_design facebook.com/speculativefutures futuresmeetup@gmail.com primerconference.com
THANK YOU
SLIDE 72 www.primerconference.com