INDUSTRIAL | RETAIL | OFFICE | RESIDENTIAL | REST OF AFRICA
SA Corporate June 2019 Results Presentation
September 2019
SA Corporate June 2019 Results Presentation September 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SA Corporate June 2019 Results Presentation September 2019 INDUSTRIAL | RETAIL | OFFICE | RESIDENTIAL | REST OF AFRICA Agenda High Level Overview Rory Mackey Strategic Initiatives Update Rory Mackey Financial Performance
INDUSTRIAL | RETAIL | OFFICE | RESIDENTIAL | REST OF AFRICA
September 2019
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Antoinette Basson
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Rory Mackey
Team
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by 2018 H2 effects
underpinned by a LFL NPI growth of 4.1%
9.4% to 5.1%
1.3%
by 2.3%
totalling R840.9m
R1.1bn
projects R1.1bn
combination of fixed rate debt and interest rate swaps for a period of 2.4 years
tenor from 0.8 to 3.9 years
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Establish platform for sustainable distribution growth by:
portfolio on food services & convenience
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Phase 1: 28 Nov 2019 Phase 2: July 2020
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(3,000m2)
Phase 1: Dec 2019 Phase 2: June 2020
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83% let Trading
Mar – Jun 2020
Shopping Centre Re-Tenanting Northpark Mall Cambridge food (3,000m2) Springfield Value Centre Sedgars Home (1,250m2) Umlazi Mega City The Hub (1,300m2), Career Box (435m2) Comaro Crossing Car Care Clinic (352m2), Best Drive (435m2) Celtis Ridge Car Service Centre (250m2) Midway Mews Self storage (1,460m2)
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Other Shopping Centres Improving food & destination retail tenant mix 2019 H1 examples
Dec 2019 to achieve savings of R33.1m in the 2020 FY
growth 8.5%
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UMC community engagement WiFi roll out
Springfield Value Centre solar Stellenbosch Square solar
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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 H1 % Logistics 57.3% 58.3% 58.1% 61.4% 68.9% % Non Logistics 42.7% 41.7% 41.9% 38.6% 31.1% Total GLA 741,387m2 738,446m2 733,992m2 657,161m2 585,684m2
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Industrial Low Growth Properties Divested from since 1 January 2018
Property GLA (m2) Sale Price (Rm) Exit Yield (%) Status Rationale 21 Pomona Road, Pomona 4,585 18.3 8.0 Transferred Vacant property, re-tenanting risk 9/15 Lanner Road, New Germany 6,960 36.0 7.9 Transferred Multi-tenanted property, low growth prospects 1/5 Stockville Road, Westmead 8,078 53.6 7.7 Transferred Sale to owner occupier, low growth prospects 11 Coconut Grove, Shakashead 453 2.4 7.6 Transferred Small property, low growth prospects 6 Cedarfield Close, Springfield 10,063 57.0 12.1 Transferred Single tenant vacating, re-tenanting risk, exit yield in year 2 is 6.77% 24 Westmead Road, Westmead 3,542 26.0 6.7 Transferred Small property 1 Marconi Street, Montague Gardens 3,970 45.0 8.2 Transferred Small property, reducing Steinhoff exposure Table Bay Industrial Park, Paarden Eiland 16,169 118.4 8.3 Transferred Significant capex required, property over-let 14/24 Mahoganyfield Way, Springfield Park 4,986 36.0 8.0 Transferred Small property, re-tenanting risk 40 Electron Avenue, Isando 13,172 59.7 9.0 Transferred Long term vacancy due to poor quality 89 Flanders Drive, Mount Edgecombe 8,473 53.5 8.4 Transferred Low growth prospects, reducing motor showroom exposure Cnr Bridge Str & Molecule Rd, Bellville 8,558 56.2 9.5 Contracted & Unconditional Re-tenanting risk, significant capex required 530 Nicholson Road, Denver 24,880 40.0 10.2 Contracted & Conditional Poor node, low growth prospects Beryl Street, Jetpark 27,681 351.0 8.1 Contracted & Conditional Property over-let, non logistics tenant (exit yield based on early renewal rental negotiated) 96 15th Road, Randjespark 10,443 77.5 9.0 Contracted & Conditional 55% GLA offices, property over-let, re- tenanting risk TOTAL 152,013 1,030.6 8.6
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Commercial Properties Divested from since 1 January 2018 Remaining Commercial Properties
Property GLA (m2) Sale Price (Rm) Exit Yield (%) Status 22 Voortrekker Road, Vredenburg 3,067 78.5 8.8 Transferred Lebombo Road (Portion 1), Garsfontein 1,703 12.0 6.2 Transferred 28 Durham Street, Mthatha 4,198 86.5 8.8 Transferred Lebombo Road (Remaining portion), Garsfontein 1,637 27.1 9.3 Transferred Cnr Handel and Crownwood Roads, Ormonde 6,131 60.0 9.3 Transferred 1 Holwood Park, Umhlanga Ridge 7,504 113.5 9.0 Contracted and Unconditional 31 Allen Drive, Bellville 3,255 30.0 9.3 Contracted and Conditional Total 27,495 407.6 8.9 Property GLA (m2) Dec 18 Valuation (Rm) 2019 NPI (Rm) GreenPark Corner, Morningside 15,660 349.0 18.7 3 The Terrace, Westway 2,278 23.0 1.5 Nobel Street Office Park, Bloemfontein 6,713 83.0 10.1 102 Essenwood Road, Berea 4,670 59.7 4.9 12 Sookhai Place, Westville 2,513 24.4 1.3 21 Fricker Road, Illovo 2,800 52.0 4.9 34 Mangold Street, Port Elizabeth 968 6.7 0.5 Total 35,602 597.8 41.9
Inner-City portfolio
Calgro M3 joint initiative restructured
Consolidation of suburban pipeline
Acquisition value reduced from R252m to R165m
2021
Linked Individual Subsidy Programme
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2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 H2 FY FY FY FY H1 Residential Vacancies including tenanting up 7.9% 5.6% 10.4% 7.3% 13.4% 5.1% Vacancies excluding tenanting up 7.9% 5.6% 10.4% 5.7% 7.1% 5.1% Rental increases 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0%1 4.0% 4.1% Retail Vacancies 1.8% 4.8% 3.4% 2.1% 4.8% 4.0% Escalations 9.5% 8.8% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 8.5% Renewals 16.2% 11.2% 7.8% 0.2% 7.7% 1.0% Cost to Revenue 41.7% 40.1% 36.4% 35.9% 39.5% 36.8%
1 Rebasing of rentals including marketing interventions
and the introduction of a loyalty program 10.0% 6.3% 0.9% 5.9% 4.1% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% FY FY FY FY H1 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LFL NPI Growth
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19
Jun 2019 Jun 2018 % Rm Rm Variance Net Property Income - Like for Like 537.827 533.577 0.8 Net Property Income - Developments 122.125 124.362 (1.8) Net Property Income - Acquisitions 36.176 24.910 45.2 Net Property Income - Buildings sold 4.485 43.562 (89.7) Net Property Income 700.613 726.411 (3.6) Investment in Joint Ventures 36.127 29.736 21.5 Net finance costs (206.420) (190.755) (8.2) Net income from investments 5.323 6.900 22.9
5.875 6.900 14.9
(0.552)
(19.874) (23.254) 14.5 Distributable earnings 515.769 549.038 (6.1) Distribution per share (cents) 20.38 21.70 (6.1)
Portfolio growth underpinned by acquisitions, development expenditure and upward revaluation 20
17,801 17,723 (377) 292 339 ( 261 ) ( 71 ) 16,800 17,000 17,200 17,400 17,600 17,800 18,000 18,200 18,400 18,600 Investment Properties December 2018 NCI Acquisitions Improvements / Development costs Disposals Fair value adjustment Investment Properties June 2019
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508.2 (5.7) (0.7) (0.3) (20.5) 20.4 501.4 300.0 325.0 350.0 375.0 400.0 425.0 450.0 475.0 500.0 525.0
Opening NAV 1 January 2019 Revaluation of Investment Properties, Shares and Interest Rate Swaps Net exposure to Zambian JV Other Non- distributable income statement items Distributions paid December 2018 Distributable earnings June 2019 Closing NAV 30 June 2019
Debt Restructure
Debt finance sources are diversified between banks and institutional borrowings.
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Equity 64.9% Institutional and DFI Debts 0.5% Mega Pool 34.6%
16.5% 8.3% 2.8% 7.0%
Absa Standard Bank Investec Nedbank
After restructure – 30 Jun 2019 Before restructure – 31 Dec 2018
12.0% 10.7% 2.8% 2.8% 1.0%
Absa Standard Bank Investec Nedbank State Bank of India
Key Terms: Common terms Common security Individual facilities Inter-creditor agreement Equity 67.1%
Standard Bank
0.5% Institutional and DFI Debts 3.1%
1 SL 1
17.1%
1 SL 2
4.4%
1 SL 3
7.8%
1 SL Syndicated Loan
Weighted average rate excluding fixes 8.46% Weighted average rate including fixes 8.58% Weighted average tenor 3.5 years
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9 897 1,067 1,955 1,187 1,158 608 6.9% 6.8% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.1% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0%
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 R'm Rate
1 Includes $27m swap at a rate of 1.79% (Post Jun19 the rate is 1.41% with
an additional tenor of 4 years)
2 Post Jun19 swap structure has no expiries in 2021
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0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0%
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 Total swaps at Jun19 Total swaps post Jun19 Rate at Jun19 Rate post Jun19 70.6% of variable debt fixed at a rate of 6.93% and tenor of 2.4 years at 30 Jun 19. Post 30 Jun 19, 72.2% of variable debt fixed at a rate of 6.86% with an increased tenor of 3.9 years.
1 2
25 (2,000) (1,500) (1,000) (500)
1,000 1,500 2,000 Balance 31 December 2018 Cash generated from operations net
Distributions paid Acquisitions and Improvements to Investment Properties and Property, Plant and Equipment Disposal of investment properties Other financial assets Letting commissions and tenant installations IFRS 16 - Finance lease NCI shareholder loan Net movement on local borrowings Repayment of foreign borrowings Balance 30 June 2019 207 472 (519) (92) 93 (37) (16) (3) (252) 376 (9) 220 Rm
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Sectoral Profile (% of GLA) Sectoral Profile (% of Market Value)
SA Corporate excluding Zambian JV
(Dec-18: R17.0bn)
bulk comprising of 8 properties and valued at R0.4bn. Zambian JV
(Dec-18: R1.0bn) Like for Like Portfolio:
discount rate 15.3%
capitalisation rate 9.6%
27 44% 25% 4% 27%
Jun 2019
48% 25% 4% 23% Industrial Retail Commercial AFHCO
Jun 2018
26% 42% 5% 27%
Jun 2019
28% 44% 6% 22% Industrial Retail Commercial AFHCO
Jun 2018
20,000 Industrial Retail Commercial AFHCO Average 6,583 19,206 16,583 10,380 11,009 6,922 18,572 15,917 10,565 11,208 6,998 19,213 14,800 11,375 11,555
Market Value per m²
Jun 2018 Dec 2018 Jun 2019
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Portfolio value 39 Properties R7,2bn 42% of total portfolio value 377,831m2 GLA 30% Grocer GLA of total portfolio WALE of 4 years Top 10 tenants National exposure GLA 36.8% 56.2% Rental 27.9% 47.8% Tenant retention of 79%
Portfolio1 Tenant synopsis
Vacancy Monthly 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023+ % of GLA 4.4% 8.5% 9.5% 19.5% 17.7% 12.8% 27.6% Cumulative 4.4% 12.9% 22.4% 41.9% 59.6% 72.3% 100.0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
% of GLA
Le Leas ase Exp Expir irie ies
1 Excludes bulk being (re)developed valued at R296,0m. 2 38.3% as at June 2018.
Performance Metrics Trading Density Vacancy Escalations Rental Reversions Cost to Revenue LFL Income Growth Full Year 2018 2.4% 4.1% 7.6%
39.7%2 2.9% Half Year 2019 3.5% 4.4% 7.5%
39.4% 1.3% 25.8% 25.5% 23.8% 11.1% 11.0%
2.8% IPD sectoral spread by GLA
Local Convenience Centre Small Regional Shopping Centre Neighbourhood Shopping Centre Regional Shopping Centre Other Retail Community Shopping Centre
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Portfolio value 76 Properties R4,6bn 26% of total portfolio 657,161m2 GLA 44% GLA of total portfolio WALE of 3 years Top 10 tenants 53.6% GLA 55.6% Rental Tenant retention of 99%
Portfolio Tenant synopsis
Performance Metrics Vacancy Escalations Rental Reversions Cost to Revenue LFL Income Growth Full Year 2018 0.6% 7.8%
26.2%1
Half Year 2019 0.2% 7.7% 1.7% 27.7%
Vacancy Monthly 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023+ % of GLA 0.2% 10.0% 5.1% 15.7% 26.2% 11.9% 30.9% Cumulative 0.2% 10.2% 15.3% 31.0% 57.2% 69.1% 100.0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% % of GLA
Lease Expiries
1 23.4% as at June 2018
0.2% 12.5% 22.5% 64.8% % of total GLA
Midi 0 to 1,000m² Maxi 1,000 to 4,000m² Medium 4,000 to 10,000m² Large 10,000m² +
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Portfolio value 11 Properties R0,8bn 5% of total portfolio 54,130m2 GLA 4% GLA of total portfolio
Vacancy Monthly 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023+ % of GLA 10.2% 5.6% 5.5% 25.0% 39.5% 9.4% 4.8% Cumulative 10.2% 15.8% 21.3% 46.3% 85.8% 95.2% 100.0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% % of GLA
Lease Expiries WALE of 2 years Top 10 tenants 40.4% GLA 42.2% Rental Tenant retention of 81%
Portfolio Tenant synopsis
Performance Metrics Vacancy Escalations Rental Reversions Cost to Revenue LFL Income Growth Full Year 2018 6.2% 8.0%
41.3%1 1.7% Half Year 2019 10.2% 7.8% 4.5% 44.0% 3.0%
28.9%
(44.0%)
34.5%
(26.7%)
34.8%
(26.6%)
1.8%
(2.7%)
Building Grading
A grade B grade C grade D grade
Contracted sales (%) Post sales
1 42.1% as at June 2018
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81% 19%
By GLA
Residential Retail / Commercial
1 Excludes development bulk valued at R85,7m. 2 Excludes 51 Pritchard and African City included in the Retail portfolio. 3 Includes units acquired from developers in tenanting up phase. 4 36.7% as at June 2018. 5 Ratio reduced due to vacancy reduction & increase in suburban
portfolio; LFL cost to revenue ratio increased by 1%.
Performance Metrics Residential Vacancy Rental Increase Full Year 2018 13.4%3 4.0% Half Year 2019 5.1% 4.1% Retail Vacancy Escalations Rental Reversions Full Year 2018 4.8% 8.9% 7.7% Half Year 2019 4.0% 8.5% 1.0%
Portfolio value 64 Properties R4,7bn 27% of total portfolio GLA Apartments 334,474m2 Retail2 76,338m2
Portfolio1
Total Portfolio Cost to Revenue LFL Income Growth Full Year 2018 39.5%4 5.9% Half Year 2019 36.8%5 4.1%
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Portfolio value $ 69,6m R 980.7m Property Sector GLA % of total GLA Acacia Business Park Commercial 12,564 20.3% East Park Mall Retail 34,609 55.9% Jacaranda Mall Retail 14,706 23.8% Performance Metrics Vacancy Escalations Rental Reversions Cost to Revenue USD JV Income Growth ZAR JV Income Growth Full Year 2018 2.3% 2.6%
29.9% 5.5% 5.3% Half Year 2019 5.0% 2.4%
28.5% 2.2% 17.5%
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2019 Distribution Forecast 2018 2019 H1 H2 H1 H2 Effects Arising in 2018 H2 (R'm) N/A (30) (39) (38)
rentals and negative reversions
2019 Detractors to Guidance (R'm) N/A ~ (30)
2019 FY Distribution Guidance
35
36
37
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WAR of 8.5%, WAM of 1.7% and weighted average tenor of 3.5 years.
380 500 500 550 300
141 1,000
141 637 513 85 585 564 308 300
Term Loan (Syndication), 8.88% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.01% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.90% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.71% Revolving Credit, 8.76% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.80% Revolving Credit, 8.50% Cross Currency (ZAR), 9.06% Cross Currency (US$), 3.98% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.07% Cross Currency (ZAR), 9.17% Cross Currency (US$), 4.36% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.84% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.93%
1 Amortising, 6.88%
Term Loan (Syndication), 8.93% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.99% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.11% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.10%
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Nov 2020 Dec 2020 Dec 2021 Dec 2021 May 2022 May 2022 May 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Jan 2023 Jan 2023 May 2023 May 2023 Apr 2024 May 2024 May 2024 May 2025 May 2025 Amount Drawn (Rm) Amount Available (Rm)
1 AFD Fixed rate debt
39
Maturity and interest rate profile of interest-bearing debt – WAR inclusive of fixes of 8.6%. Current LTV 36.6%
380 500 500 550 300
141 1,000
141 637 513 85 585 564 308 300
Term Loan (Syndication), 9.06% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.19% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.08% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.89% Revolving credit, 8.94% Term Loan (Syndication), 8.98% Revolving Credit, 8.68% Cross Currency (ZAR), 9.24% Cross Currency (US$), 3.98% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.25% Cross Currency (ZAR), 9.35% Cross Currency (US$), 4.36% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.02% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.11%
1 Amortising, 6.88%
Term Loan (Syndication), 9.11% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.17% Term Loan (Syndication), 9.29% Term Loan (Syndication, 9.28%
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Nov 2020 Dec 2020 Dec 2021 Dec 2021 May 2022 May 2022 May 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Jan 2023 Jan 2023 May 2023 May 2023 Apr 2024 May 2024 May 2024 May 2025 May 2025 Amount Drawn (Rm) Amount Available (Rm)
1 AFD Fixed rate debt