Risk Management v4.0! how the Fourth Industrial Revolution is - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Risk Management v4.0! how the Fourth Industrial Revolution is - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Risk Management v4.0! how the Fourth Industrial Revolution is expected to Risk 4.0! 2020 shape the future of Risk Management Introductions Key Speaker - Warren Black Founder & Principal of Complexus Risk 4.0! 2020 Hosted by


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SLIDE 1

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Risk Management v4.0!

…how the Fourth Industrial Revolution is expected to shape the future of Risk Management

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SLIDE 2

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Introductions

Key Speaker - Warren Black

Founder & Principal of Complexus

Hosted by Steve Higginson

Head Customer & Distribution, Swiss Re Corporate Solutions

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SLIDE 3

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Understanding the evolution of our Working World

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

The Four Evolutions of our Working World

During e a c h Re vo lutio n, the a c c e pte d thinking & wo rking me tho ds o f the da y c ha ng e d so ra dic a lly tha t the y no w re pre se nt a me a sura b le g ro wth spurt in huma n e vo lutio n

Steam Revolution (Late 1700’s)

Mechanisation, factories, steam plants, steam ships, steam trains, early globalisation

Electricity Revolution (Early 1900’s)

Accessible power, lighting, motors, refrigeration, assembly lines, mass production

Computer Revolution (Late 1900’s)

Personal computers, programming, data, automation, electronics, internet, e-commerce, Email, MS Windows

Technology Revolution (2016 >)

Cyber systems, Smart technologies, big data, advanced analytics, artificial intelligence, autonomous machines

1st 2nd 3rd 4th

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SLIDE 5

Risk 4.0! – 2020

The impact of Technology on the Human Population

www.ourworldindata.org

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SLIDE 6

Risk 4.0! – 2020

So What?

T he world is a t a c ross roa ds…

T he future c o mb ina tio n o f b ig data, smart te c hno lo g ie s a nd inte g rate d c yb e r syste ms is g o ing to tra nsfo rm

  • ur e xiste nc e a t e ve ry le ve l, c re a ting
  • ppo rtunitie s (a nd thre a ts) tha t we re
  • nc e unima g ina b le
  • K

la us Sc hwa b (2019) F

  • unde r a nd Cha irma n o f the

Wo rld E c o no mic F

  • rum
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SLIDE 7

Risk 4.0! – 2020

The Three Revolutionary Fronts of the Fourth Industrial Revolution

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SLIDE 8

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Revolutionary Front #1 – The combination of Big Data and Advanced Analytics

E xpe c te d a dva nc e s in da ta g a the ring de vic e s, inte llig e nt a na lytic s, q ua ntum c o mputing a nd info rma tio n sha ring ne two rks me a n tha t we a re ra pidly tra nsfo rming into a “Dig ita l E a rth” Co nside r a n a b so lute g lo b a l ne two rk

  • f inte rc o nne c te d Smart Citie s, Smart

Ho me s, Smart Offic e s, Smart Mac hine s, Smart De vic e s a nd the like - a ll g a the ring , sha ring a nd re spo nding to re a l time da ta a s a c o lle c tive

SMART

  • Se lf Mo nito ring , Ana lyzing &

Re spo nding T e c hno lo g ie s

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SLIDE 9

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Revolutionary Front #2 – The combination of Artificial Intelligence and Advanced Robotics

E xpe c te d a dva nc e s in Sma rt te c hno lo g ie s, a ndro id me c ha nic s, c o mpo site ma te ria ls a nd na no - te c hno lo g ie s will e nsure tha t a uto no mo us ma c hine s g e t sma rte r, sma lle r, lig hte r a nd q uie te r We sho uld in turn e xpe rie nc e c o lo ssa l le a ps in the c o ntrib uting ro le o f inte llig e nt, a uto no mo us ma c hine s within o ur future so c ie ty

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

Revolutionary Front #3 – The integration of Humans and Technology

E xpe c te d a dva nc e s in b io te c hno lo g ie s, ne uro te c hno lo g ie s, o rg a nic c lo ning , ro b o tic s a nd 3D printing me a ns tha t it is

  • nly a ma tte r o f time b e fo re we se e the

first Cyb o rg Huma ns with e nha nc e d physic a l & a na lytic a l c a pa b ilitie s I n turn, huma ns no w risk b e c o ming so de pe nda nt o n te c hno lo g y tha t o ur spe c ie s b e c o me s vulne ra b le to the a b se nc e o f te c hno lo g y

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

Orders of Magnitude

Sma rt T e c hno lo g ie s Auto no mo us Ma c hine s Cyb o rg E vo lutio n

Any sing le o ne o f the se ha s the po te ntia l to re vo lutio nise o ur wo rking wo rld, b ut a ll thre e a t the sa me time ? T he F

  • urth I

ndustria l Re vo lutio n thus c o uld just a s e a sily a c c e le ra te o ur spe c ie s a s it c o uld e nd it

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

What will a future Risk Management v4.0 need to offer?

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

Obvious Control Area #1

Cyber (enhanced) Risk Management

Cybe r should r e volutionise e ve r y aspe c t

  • f the r

isk manage me nt value c hain

Ric h, re a l-time da ta suppo rte d b y so phistic a te d a na lytic s a nd c o mple x info rma tio n sha ring ne two rks ha s a n unlimite d po te ntia l to a dva nc e ho w we visualise , do c ume nt, asse ss, tre at, mo nito r a nd re po rt risks

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

Obvious Control Area #2

Complex Systems Thinking

T he fac t is our wor king wor ld is not ge tting any simple r , only mor e and mor e syste mic ally c omple x

Co nside ring ho w I ndustry 4.0 will b e e na b le d b y a n unlimite d numb e r o f c o mple x-inte g ra te d c yb e r syste ms it is ha rd to pic ture a ve rsio n o f Risk 4.0 whe re b y c o mple xity manag e me nt & syste ms thinking a re no t a c o re c a pa b ility re q uire me nt

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SLIDE 15

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Obvious Control Area #3

Natural (Systemic) Resilience

Re silie nc e is the ability to r e spond inte llige ntly to e nvir

  • nme ntal c hange s

I n a wo rking wo rld e xpe rie nc ing e ve r inc re a sing vo lume s & fre q ue nc ie s o f disruptive c ha ng e s; mo de rn

  • rg a nisa tio ns will ne e d to b uild in a

na tura l immunity to ra pidly e me rg ing te c hno lo g ie s, c o mpe tito r a dva nc e s, c usto me r shifts, ma rke t sho c ks, disa ste rs a nd e ve n de lib e ra te a tta c ks

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

Preparing the risk management community for Industry 4.0

(aka future proofing our profession)?

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

What’s your 5, 10 and 30 year Risk Transformation Plan look like?

> 5 ye a rs fro m no w o ur wo rking wo rld will b e drive n b y sma rt te c hno lo g ie s, a dva nc e d da ta a na lytic s a nd c o mple x inte g ra te d syste ms > 10 ye a rs fro m no w o ur wo rking wo rld will b e fully e mb ra c ing the use fulne ss o f inte llig e nt-a uto no mo us, ma c hine ry > 30 ye a rs fro m no w o ur wo rking wo rld wo uld ha ve a c c e pte d the e xiste nc e o f c yb o rg & a ndro id te c hno lo g ie s We no w kno w ho w & whe n the wo rld is g o ing to c ha ng e , b ut wha t is the risk ma na g e me nt pro fe ssio n do ing to pre pa re ?

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

Coronavirus - the ultimate case example of modern risk management

T he Co ro na virus c risis ha s a lre a dy de mo nstra te d tha t mo de rn risk ma na g e me nt is no t a simple -sta te g a me … I t is in fa c t a hig hly te c hnic a l disc ipline tha t re q uire s a va lid unde rsta nding o f;

  • Org a nisa tio na l disruptio n
  • Unc e rta inty ma na g e me nt
  • Pro b a b ilistic mo de ling
  • Da ta a na lytic s
  • Mo de rn te c hno lo g ie s
  • Na tura l syste mic re silie nc e a nd
  • Co mple x syste ms
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SLIDE 19

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Close

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Risk 4.0! – 2020

Key Learnings from today

Risk Management 4.0

Cyber Methods Resilience Complex Systems

T he future c o mb ina tio n o f b ig data, smart te c hno lo g ie s and c o mple x c yb e r syste ms is g o ing to tra nsfo rm o ur wo rking wo rld I n turn, the Risk Ma na g e me nt disc ipline will ha ve to upskill a nd e vo lve if it is to a dd va lue to a future wo rking wo rld o f a dva nc e d c o mple xity a nd pe rpe tua l disruptio n

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SLIDE 21

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Thank you!

Contac t us

  • Ste phe n Hig g inso n
  • He a d Custo me r & Distrib utio n ANZ
  • Ste phe n_Hig g inso n@ swissre .c o m
  • (03) 9935 0001
  • L

isa Ma tthe ws

  • Custo me r & Distrib utio n Ma na g e r ANZ
  • L

isa _Ma tthe ws@ swissre .c o m

  • (03) 9935 0009

F

  • llo w us
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SLIDE 22

Risk 4.0! – 2020

Complexus

Intelligent Risk Thinking

C C C C

C

Welcome to the world of

Learn more at www.complexus.com.au