RISK MANAGEMENT ADVISORY
CRRH WORKSHOP
17 – 18 Dec 2018 Lome
RISK MANAGEMENT ADVISORY CRRH WORKSHOP 17 18 Dec 2018 Lome - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
RISK MANAGEMENT ADVISORY CRRH WORKSHOP 17 18 Dec 2018 Lome Agenda Integrated risk management approach Why risk management Diagnostic assessment MEA Team Appendix 2 Risk Management 3 IFC offers a holistic
17 – 18 Dec 2018 Lome
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approach
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Corporate Governance Policies, Processes, Practices Reputational, Legal and Strategic Risks Capital Adequacy Credit Risk Market, Liquidity and ALM Risk Operational Risk People, Training, Culture
Risk Management Benefits:
sustainable growth
Risk Management Tools:
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ICAAP Credit Risk NPL Management Risk Governance
Board, Risk Framework Policy, BRC / ERC, ERM, 3LOD
Building Foundations
ICAAP Document / Policy Policy & framework
A comprehensive Risk Management offering to create value for our clients and investments
CRO Role / RM department
structure Board / Exec Risk integrated reporting Risk Appetite Framework & Statement Pillar 1+2 risk assessment and measurement Capital Adequacy / Planning / BS analysis Capital / macro stress testing Capital allocation / RAROC / RAPM / RBP Lending process end-to-end Credit file review / assessment / underwriting Rating / scoring models Economic capital (PD / LGD modeling) master rating scales Policy & Framework Analysis & reporting NPL unit
management Monitoring & workout activities / restructuring Collateral valuation Portfolio analysis & reporting Early warning indicators / other analytics Stress testing Credit administration / Collateral Model validation Provisioning policy & methods IAS / IFRS9 expected loss Impairment / write
disposal Risk Culture / Risk Strategy Risk limits framework / policy Economic Capital Credit Risk Limit Concentration risk analysis LMS / Credit risk systems
Non Financial Risk
Regulatory risk Reputational risk Strategic risk
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Market Risk Interest Rate Risk (Banking Book) Operational Risk ALM
ALCO Policies and processes
Building Foundations
Financial instruments classification, use & valuation Policy & framework ALCO Framework Trading book structure, policy, limits, operations Risk Management & measurement: Interest rate Risk Management & measurement: FX (+ other e.g.equity) Market risk capital, internal models, VaR, ES Liquid asset / funding plan / treasury management Ratios / gap analysis / reporting Full BS cash flow & product behavioral modelling Stress testing Policy & Framework Risk identification and assessment / risk register Risk Control Self Assessment (RCSA) Loss data mapping / database / other ORM tools KRI library / reporting / analysis Policy / Framework Ratios / gap analysis / reporting Dynamic BS & product behavioral modelling Interest rate scenario and stress test methods Earnings at risk / Economic value at risk / Economic capital Capital calculation (exclude AMA)
A comprehensive Risk Management offering to create value for our clients and investments (Continued)
Liquidity Risk
Funds transfer pricing Internal control / compliance / internal audit functions Business Continuity Plans IT Risk / Cyber security Derivatives / hedging Stress testing Treasury / Market risk systems Basel III requirements Liquidity contingency planning and procedures Yield curve construction / analysis Fraud risk New product risk assessment / Business Process Risk Mapping Stress testing, scenario analysis ALM Infrastructure ALCO Set-up ALM Governance ALCO reporting ALCO tools and practices
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due diligence
situation
IFC ENGAGEMENT CYCLE
DIAGNOSTICS PROJECT DESIGN
BOARD CLEARANCE & CLIENT AGREEMENTS IMPLEMENTATION
RESULTS & MONITORING 1 2 3 4 Signing Agreements: Advisory Service / Cooperation Agreement with scope and payment terms
Evaluation 5
TYPICAL IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT CYCLE
DIAGNOSTICS
RECOMMENDATION
IMPLEMENTATION
local delivery team
supervision
RM Advisory Services
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system with increased opportunities for sustainable growth
risk/return trade-offs and capital allocation
creating new opportunities and attracting new clients
insolvency
better decision making and enhances financial performance in a risk –conscious manner
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functions and determine how they should interact
risks and also ensure sound risk measurement, reporting, monitoring and management processes
can use this to improve strategic, financial, and
that their risk choices are aligned with their strategy and their capabilities
important decisions such as capital allocation and product pricing
implementation of the core elements of their risk culture
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risk management areas
which risk management might be improved
international best practice
relative to needs
recommendations and roadmap
Operational Risk Market Risk Credit Risk Risk Governance ALM & Liquidity Management Risk Policies & Procedures ICAAP IT & MIS
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Patricia Mwangi Senior Operations Officer Africa Simba Mabhena Senior Risk Management Specialist Global
RM advisory projects globally but based in Africa.
institutions in Africa, Europe and the Middle East.
capital, balance sheet risk management and Basel framework.
risk advisory engagements in Africa
and microfinance institutions to serve small businesses and micro enterprises.
management and RM
Management
Amine Benjelloun Operations Officer EMENA
East and North Africa in commercial banking
banking & Information System Management
Fahd Diouri Associate Operations Officer EMENA
and consultancy services for financial institutions in Algeria, France, Morocco and Tunisia,
reengineering and optimization, Product development
wafa Bank, Banque Populaire, SGA, …
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13 Responsible Debt Collection in Emerging Markets: A global study on existing retail debt collection practices in emerging markets that recommends tangible actions lenders and collectors can take to promote responsible and ethical standards in the field. Corporate and SME Workouts: Lessons of experience and best practices for detecting, prioritizing, setting up or strengthening organization arrangement, and resolving distressed corporate / SME loans. The Risk Management Balancing Act - Developed and Emerging Market Practices: A review of global risk management practices and recommendations for financial institutions in emerging markets. Risk Culture, Risk Governance, and Balanced Incentives: Handbook brings new insights for financial institutions in EMs, defining specific factors that are indicators of culture, governance, & incentives in a strong RM framework; establishing a “maturity matrix” to benchmark these factors; and identify gaps.
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Risk Assessment Framework: An in- depth, comprehensive diagnostic toolkit as well as resource for program & project
contains 400+ documents capturing good practice project implementation deliverables such as risk policies, reports, tools on all spectrum of banking risks.
iFig: FIG knowledge sharing platform
with links to the RAF. Content
Marketing, Execution, Learning & Portfolio
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Amen Bank - Tunisia Support improvements in Treasury/Market, ALM and Credit risk management functions Development of an integrated RM framework FCMB - Nigeria Guide development and implementation of best practices in credit risk management procedures and processes Equity Bank - Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, South Sudan Strengthen overall RM framework to ensure consistent coverage of all risks across the Group Design policies, processes and methods for credit and market risk and an enterprise wide risk management Credit Moscow – Russian Federation Support improvements in Treasury/Market, ALM and Credit risk management functions Development of an integrated RM framework Demir Bank - Azerbaijan Develop systems and processes in all risk areas from Credit to Operational to enhance organizational structure and ensure proper risk governance BRAC Bank - Bangladesh Enhance Credit risk management, portfolio analytics and scoring capabilities VietinBank - Vietnam Upgrade Operational, Treasury/Market and Credit risk management Establish an integrated Risk division with enhanced policies, frameworks and methods across risk areas
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Context & Objective
SME finance to a systemic regional bank based in East Africa
establish a program to improve its risk management capabilities based on international standards and to support its expansion strategy
IFC Involvement Results
management framework practices across the
action plan to Board and Executive committees
the bank to prioritize and address gaps and reach desired capability
risk management framework to upgrade:
effective implementation of deliverables.
design and establish an integrated risk management framework under a Group Chief Risk Officer.
Process (ICAAP) to enable submission of risk based capital plan to the central bank.
expected), including integrated risk framework, credit procedures, risk rating methods, ALCO framework, ALM / liquidity models, operational risk library and assessment process
across the organization incorporating it as an additional core
particularly in understanding the changes in the organization and market from digitization.
quality and helped them to establish standard expected across industry
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Context & Objective
Client: The second largest bank in Vietnam (in terms of equity), significant mid size/ SMEs portfolio, leader in Trade Finance. 89% stake owned by the government. Objective: Commercialize and grow organically to become # 1 bank in Vietnam and grow into a regional player; aim to expand retail business with the support from strategic investor.
IFC Involvement Results
Credit, Operational, Market Risk, Treasury, ICAAP
appointed
reorganized, separate trading vs. banking book
MR framework issued
management concepts to prepare regulatory application of full Basel II standards
with full oversight of all group activities and all risk types
assessment, stress testing, capital allocation, risk based performance measurement;
new investors, greater consideration of capital and funding strategy to support growth objectives
importance, competitive advantage;
development of risk for B2 regulatory upgrade
$743 million (20% stake) through focus on governance and risk advisory programs, hence strengthening capital base.
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Context & Objective
Client: Mid size private bank in Azerbaijan with strong focus on MSME segment. Corporate Governance team initiated IFC engagement. Objective: To ensure that the organization properly managed all risk areas and to provide guidance to the CRO and the Board.
IFC Involvement Results
were put in place
management of all risk areas
developed
(sound underwriting/approval process introduced, scoring upgraded)
implemented
governance structure with a deputy CEO fully controlling risk management area.
the Bank's OLE from 22% to 6%.
uncovered 57 high priority findings which were timely addressed by the management.
decreased the Bank's IR gap ratio from 45% to almost 0.
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Context & Objective
Bank's capacity building in Corporate Governance and Risk Management
IFC Involvement Results
committees, charters, roles, authority matrices, evaluation, code of corporate governance
Risk; Market Risk; Asset Liability Management (ALM); Operational Risk; Risk Governance
the bank to prioritize and address gaps and reach desired capability
procedures and tools for the bank to
its assets by 29%, increased profit by 26%, reduced NPL rate by 60bps, improved capital adequacy ratio by 80bps and its share price
indices.
(vs. 23 expected), including Board risk framework, credit procedures, risk rating methods, treasury restructure, ALCO framework, ALM models and
with adoption of Basel II standards (1st in country)
banking within the region.
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Tailored support in the development of a Capital Management Framework, Stress-testing, and/or the build of ICAAP and supporting ICAAP capabilities
ICAAP Process and Documentation Capital Management Measurement and Planning
(250.017) (197.316) (148.095) Actividad Colombia Bonos Subordinados Interés Minoritario 3.238.288 8.753 (4.932) (2.474) 3.229.968 22.812.792 Enero 2017 Ppto 2017 Ppto 2018 1.810.845 Ppto 2019 Goodwill Ut. Ac um . (3.542) 150.569 Provs. Div. Mínimos Actividad Chile 1.267.875 Actividad Colombia 25.891.512 Bonos Subordinados Interés Minoritario 8.753 11.656 22.910 3.250.377 1.381.930 Goodwill 174.406 Provs. Div. Mínimos Actividad Chile 638.677 27.912.119 Actividad Colombia Bonos Subordinados Interés Minoritario (10.769) 14.120 27.753 3.253.729 1.584.460 Goodwill 222.264 Provs. Div. Mínimos Actividad Chile 915.080 30.411.659 Patrimonio Efectivo RWA Cuentas Valoración (8.599) 14,2 % Capital Ratio Uso Bsubs. 32, 3% 32, 0% 31, 9% 31, 3%Regulatory Capital Economic Capital Book Equity Total Capital Loss Distribution
Overall Value Distribution Credit Risk Capital Market Risk Capital Operational Risk Capital IRRBB Risk Capital “Other Risks” Capital
+ + + +
Stress Test for Capital Adequacy
Comprehensive Stress Testing
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Credit origination processes, credit risk models, validation, and on-going credit risk management and monitoring, and policies.
Credit Initiation by RM at Branches Approval by Credit Committee s Documen tation by CAD Disburse ment and maintena nce by CAD RM portfolio measure s & models Remedial Managem ent by SAM
Credit Process
Credit Grade Rating Category Definition External Equivalents: S&P, Moody’s 1 The borrower's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the facility is extremely strong. The facility is judged to be of the highest quality, carrying the smallest degree of risk. Interest payments are protected by large or by an exceptionally stable margin and principal is secure. While the various protective elements are likely to change, such changes as can be visualized are most unlikely to impair the fundamentally strong position of such issues. AAA to AA+ Aaa to Aa1 2 The borrower's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the facility is very strong. The facility is judged to be of high quality, both presently and prospectively, carrying minimal risk. Long-term risk appears slightly larger than Rating "1", because margins of protection may not be as large as those of Rating "1" or fluctuation of protective elements may be of greater amplitude. AA to AA- Aa2 to Aa3 3 The borrower's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the facility is still strong. The facility is in the lower end of the high quality range but with very good prospects. The facility possesses favorable investment attributes, while it carries modest risk. Factors giving security to principal and interest are considered adequate, but elements may be present which suggest a susceptibility to impairment some time in the future. A+ to A- A1 to A3 4 The borrower's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the facility is better than average. The facility is in the medium quality range, because it is neither highly protected nor poorly secured. Interest payments and principal security appear adequate for the present, but certain protective elements may be lacking or may be characteristically unreliable over any great length of time. BBB+ to BBB- Baa1 to Baa3 5 The borrower's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the facility is average. The facility is judged to have speculative elements. Its future cannot be considered as well assured. The protection of interest and principal payments may be very moderate, therefore not well safeguarded during both good and bad times in the future. BB+ Ba1 6 The borrower faces major ongoing uncertainties or exposure to adverse business, financial or economic conditions which could lead to the borrower's inadequate capacity to meet its financial commitment on the facility. The facility is judged to have more speculative elements than Rating "5", carrying above average risk. BB to BB- Ba2 to Ba3 7 The borrower exhibits potential credit weakness or downward trends which deserve close attention. The facility is vulnerable to nonpayment, but the borrower currently has the capacity to meet its financial commitment on the facility. Adverse business, financial or economic conditions will likely impair the borrower's capacity or willingness to meet its financial commitment on the facility. Assurance of interest and principal payments
B+ to B- B1 to B3 8 The borrower is judged to be of poor standing which exhibits well-defined weakness that jeopardize the orderly liquidation of debt. Normal repayment from the borrower is in jeopardy, although no loss of principal is envisioned. The facility is inadequately protected. There is a distinct possibility that a partial loss of interest and/or principal will occur if the deficiencies are not corrected. CCC+ to CCC- Caa1 to Caa3 9 The borrower exhibits weakness found in Rating "8" with the added provision that the weakness make collection of debt in full highly questionable and improbable. There are serious problems that partial loss of principal is likely. The possibility of loss is extremely high, but because of certain pending factors that may strengthen the assets, the facility's classification as estimated losses is deferred until a more exact status may be
collateral; and refinancing plans. Reserves are generally established to provide for these uncertainties. CC to C Ca to C 10 The borrower deemed incapable of repayment of unsecured debt. The facility is considered uncollectible and of such little value that continuance as active assets of the bank is not warranted. It does not mean that the facility has absolutely no recovery or salvage value, but rather, it is not practical or desirable to defer writing off these basically worthless assets even though partial recovery may be effected in the future. D
P A S S
F A I L
Credit Ratings Credit Models
Pérdida Esperada Promedio Pérdida Inesperada Probabilidad de Pérdida Cantidad de pérdidas Reservas Capital Total = Reservas + Equity Riesgo No cubierto
Apetito por Riesgo Calificación crediticia objetivo
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Interest Rate and Liquidity Risk Management, including the development of interest rate risk in the banking book processes and models, liquidity risk assessment, and support in the development of ALCO best practices. ALM and ALCO
0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01
0% 5% 10% P&L
VaR
Frequency
1% 99%
Market Risk VAR
O/ N 8D 14D 1M 3M 1Y 3Y >=10 6Y
Time to insolvency, if no rollover of funding is possible tflows Inflows
Net cumulative gap profile
O/ N 8D 14D 1M 3M 1Y 3Y >=10 6Y
Time to insolvency, if no rollover of funding is possible tflows Inflows
Net cumulative gap profile
Liquidity Risk Management