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Saviours Place, Warrington
RESULTS PRESENTATION Year ended 30 June 2020 2 September 2020 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
RESULTS PRESENTATION Year ended 30 June 2020 2 September 2020 Saviours Place, Warrington 1 David Thomas Chief Executive Officer St Rumbolds Fields, Buckingham 2 KEY HIGHLIGHTS Before COVID-19 strong progress on volume growth and margin
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Saviours Place, Warrington
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St Rumbold’sFields, Buckingham
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FY20 Areas of focus for FY21 Medium term targets Wholly owned home completions 12,034 homes Driving site based construction activity Maximising sales for customers who will not qualify under the new Help to Buy scheme Wholly owned home completion growth to 14,500 - 15,000 in FY21 Disciplined growth in wholly owned home completions Gross margin 18.0% Rebuilding site based construction activity to improve fixed cost recovery Controlling material and labour cost inflation Land acquisition at a minimum 23% gross margin and optimising performance ROCE 15.6% Tight control of working capital with build release aligned with home completion cash generation Focus on cash with selective land spend beyond land creditor settlements Minimum of 25% delivered through improving margin and return to
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Cane Hill Park, Coulsdon
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Net private reservations per active outlet per average week (1) Pre lockdown (2) Lockdown (3) Post lockdown (4) Full year FY20 0.73 (0.10) 0.63 0.60 FY19 (5) 0.68 0.82 0.69 0.70 Variance % 7.4% n/m (8.7%) (14.3%)
(1) An active outlet is defined as an outlet with at least one plot for sale. Our definition remains consistent with previous reporting periods, unaffected by the closure of our sales centres across the Group during the lockdown period (2) Pre lockdown period of 38 weeks from 01/07/19 - 22/03/20 (3) Lockdown period of 8 weeks from 23/03/20 - 17/05/20 (4) Post lockdown period of 6 weeks from 18/05/20 - 30/06/20 (5) FY19 is equivalent period
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Completions FY20 FY19 Change Private 9,568 13,533 (29.3%) Affordable 2,466 3,578 (31.1%) Wholly owned 12,034 17,111 (29.7%) JV 570 745 (23.5%) Total (inc JVs) 12,604 17,856 (29.4%)
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16% 15% 19% 21% 30% 27% 20% 21% 11% 11% 4% 5% FY20 FY19 Investor Part-exchange Affordable Other private Help to Buy eligible post taper Help to Buy ineligible post taper
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Private completions average selling price (£’000) FY20 FY19 Change Regional 303.6 297.2 2.2% London 754.8 628.5 20.1% Group 310.6 312.0 (0.4%) JV 585.0 537.9 8.8%
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(1)
returned to work by 30 June 2020
(1) Except those shielding
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3,000 4,500 6,000 7,500 9,000 10,500 12,000 13,500 15,000 16,500 7 May 14 May 21 May 28 May 4 Jun 11 Jun 18 Jun 25 Jun 2 Jul 9 Jul 16 Jul 23 Jul 30 Jul 6 Aug 13 Aug 20 Aug 2020
protocols and site specific considerations
Management and trades headcount on site
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361 361 361 361 347 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 FY19 FY20 Weeks 1-38 FY20 Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Weekly equivalent unit production (homes) FY21 target weekly equivalent unit production (homes)
FY21
Weekly build equivalent unit production (homes)
13 9% 9% 36% 36% 60% 60%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% FY18 FY19 FY20
Proportion of regional completions using new product ranges (%)
+19%
(1)
(1) Including JVs in which the Group has an interest (2) As at 30 June
% of active outlets with new product range (1)(2) 42% 72% 79%
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Oregon timber frame installation at East Ardsley, West Yorkshire
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each division
Land bank plots 30 June 2020 30 June 2019 Owned 68,393 66,423 Controlled 11,931 13,599 Total 80,324 80,022 Land bank years (exc JVs) 6.7 4.7 JV – Owned and controlled 5,400 5,207 Total including JV 85,724 85,229
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50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 20 40 60 80 100 120 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 England moving annual planning consents ('000s) Savills UK Greenfield Development Land Index (100 = 2007 peak)
Savills UK Greenfield Development Land Index versus English Planning Consents(1)
Savills UK Greenfield Development Land Price Index England - Planning consents ('000's)
(1) Data to 31 March 2020
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manufacturing – Oregon timber frame optimisation
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Octavia Gardens, Chapel-en-le-Frith
Ridgeway Views, London
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Fairfield Croft, York
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£m (unless otherwise stated)
FY20
FY19
Change
Revenue
3,419.2
4,763.1
(28.2%)
Gross profit
614.3
1,084.2
(43.3%)
Gross margin %
18.0
22.8
(480 bps)
Operating profit
493.4
901.1
(45.2%)
Operating margin %
14.4
18.9
(450 bps)
PBT
491.8
909.8
(45.9%)
Earnings per share pence
39.4
73.2
(46.2%)
Net cash
308.2
765.7
(59.7%)
ROCE %
15.6
29.7
(1,410 bps)
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FY20 FY19 Change
Home completions (units) Private
9,568 13,533 (29.3%)
Affordable
2,466 3,578 (31.1%)
Total home completions
12,034 17,111 (29.7%)
% Affordable
20% 21% (100 bps)
JV
570 745 (23.5%)
Total home completions (inc JVs)
12,604 17,856 (29.4%)
ASP (£’000) Private
310.6 312.0 (0.4%)
Affordable
163.0 132.2 23.3%
Total
280.3 274.4 2.2%
JV
472.9 487.8 (3.1%)
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£m (unless otherwise stated)
FY21 FY20 Margin
FY19 Margin
Gross profit
614.3 18.0% 1,084.2 22.8%
Adjusted items: Costs / (credit) associated with legacy properties costs charged in H1
17.8 (3.7)
Costs associated with legacy properties costs charged in H2
22.1 6.9
(Income) from Government CJRS grant
22.8(1) (22.8)
631.4 18.5% 1,087.4 22.8%
COVID-19 safety and non-productive site costs – Non-recurring costs
45.2
8.2 (14.8) 684.8 20.0% 1,072.6 22.5%
COVID-19 site extensions – Recurring costs
29.1
£26.0m of Government CJRS grant income received in total and repaid in FY21. £3.2m allocated against administration costs
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13.0% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% FY19 Remove non- recurring items FY19 subtotal Volume impact Transition to new sites Net inflation Site extension Mix &
Admin expenses Inventory provision charge Non productive site
impact FY20 adjusted Costs on legacy properties CJRS Grant income in respect of COVID-19 FY20
18.9% 40 bps 190 bps 50 bps 50 bps 90 bps 60 bps 120 bps 20 bps 130 bps 14.4% 80 bps
Increase Decrease
14.8% 18.5% 120 bps
Non-recurring items 40 bps Trading items 220 bps Non-recurring items 190 bps
24 New operating framework Position at 30 June 2020 and 2019 Land bank
2020: 5.7 years owned and 1.0 year controlled (2019: 3.9 years owned and 0.8 years controlled) Land creditors (1) Reduce usage to 15 - 25% of the land bank over medium term Reduced to 25.4% (2019: 31.3%) Net cash Modest average net cash over the financial year FY20 average net cash of £348.3m (2019: £298.3m) Year end net cash 2020: £308.2m (2019: £765.7m) Total indebtedness (1) (net cash and land creditors) Minimal year end total indebtedness in the medium term 2020: £483.7m total indebtedness (2019: £195.0m total indebtedness) Treasury Appropriate financing facilities £700m Revolving Credit Facility extended to November 2024 £200m Private Placement Notes maturing August 2027 Dividend policy (1) 2.5x ordinary dividend cover (at the appropriate time) FY20 no dividend proposed (2019: 46.4p per share)
(1) Changed with FY20 announcement
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£m
30 June 2020
30 June 2019 Goodwill and intangible assets 907.0 908.2 Investment in joint ventures and associates 152.1 189.0 Gross land bank 3,112.3 3,071.6 Land creditors (791.9) (960.7) Net land bank 2,320.4 2,110.9 Land creditor % 25.4% 31.3% WIP 1,852.4 1,632.8 Net cash 308.2 765.7 Trade payables (186.8) (353.6) Other working capital (511.3) (329.5) Other net assets / liabilities (1.7) (54.5) Net assets 4,840.3 4,869.0
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(500) (400) (300) (200) (100) 100 200 300 400 500 Profit from
Net cash interest & tax Other non- cash and working capital WIP / PX Land Land creditors JV investment Operating cash outflow Dividends Other investing & financing Net cash
493.4 (195.5) (34.8) (162.9) (48.9) (168.8) 65.2 (52.3) (32.0)
£m
(373.2) (457.5)
Inflow Outflow Includes land spend c.£78 780m
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Completions 14,500 – 15,000 wholly owned home completions
Total administrative expenses
Adjusted items CJRS grant refund £26m Legacy property costs c.£48m Interest cost
(c. £10m cash, c. £20m non-cash) Land cash spend
Land creditors 15 – 25% owned land bank Average net cash
Year end net cash
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Cricket Field Grove, Crowthorne
Fairfields, Milton Keynes
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Winnington Village, Northwich
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Disciplined growth in wholly owned home completions towards 20,000 over the medium term Land acquisition at a minimum 23% gross margin and optimising performance 2.5x dividend cover (at the appropriate time) Rebuilding to achieve a targeted minimum ROCE of 25% Quality and service Strong balance sheet and cash generation Highly experienced build and sales teams Shorter
bank Nationally diversified Leading sustainability
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1) Rates are from an average of four lenders. Standard 85% product based on available rate with a fee not exceeding £1,000. Rates at June 2020
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(1) Rates are from an average of five lenders. Standard 85% product based on available rate with a fee not exceeding £1,000. HtB product based on the best available HtB equ ity share rate with no fee. Rates at June 2020 (2) The mortgage to earnings ratio is calculated using the Halifax standardised average house price (seasonally adjusted), averag e disposable earnings for all full time employees and the BoE monthly average rate for new advances to households
1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20
Mortgage rate (%)
Help to Buy 75% mortgage product (20% equity loan) Standard 85% LTV mortgage product
20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Mortgage costs as a proportion of earnings
Halifax Affordability Index Average (1985-Q2 2020)
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product rates continuing to be very low relative to historical levels
70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% Lloyds (Halifax) Nationwide Barclays NatWest Santander HSBC Accord TSB
March 2020 July 2020
Note: All the mortgage lenders also offer HTB mortgages with the exception of HSBC
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To lead the future of housebuilding by putting customers at the heart of everything we do
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Kingsbourne, Nantwich
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(1) As at 23 August 2020 and 25 August 2019
FY21 8 weeks FY20 8 weeks Change Net private reservations per active outlet per average week
0.94 0.68 38.2%
Average active outlets
334 366 (8.7%)
Net private reservations per average week
314 250 25.6%
Total forward sales (including JVs)(1)
£3,706.5m £3,037.5m 22.0%
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Cherry Tree Park, Sunderland
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New Lubbesthorpe, Leicester
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number of ordinary shares in issue during the year, excluding those held by the Employee Benefit Trust
June
the defined benefit pension scheme and operating adjusting or exceptional items for the 12 months to June, divided by average net assets adjusted for goodwill and intangibles, tax, net cash, retirement benefit assets/obligations and derivative financial instruments
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23 August 2020 25 August 2019 % change £m Homes £m Homes £m Homes Private 2,143.7 6,577 1,583.5 5,088 35.4% 29.3% Affordable 1,277.6 8,249 1,133.9 7,089 12.7% 16.4% Wholly owned 3,421.3 14,826 2,717.4 12,177 25.9% 21.8% JV 285.2 834 320.1 887 (10.9%) (6.0%) Total 3,706.5 15,660 3,037.5 13,064 22.0% 19.9%
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23 August 2020 25 August 2019 % change Private Total(1) Private Total(1) Private Total(1) 30 June 5,320 14,326 3,827 11,419 39.0% 25.5% Reservations 2,424 2,773 1,999 2,531 21.3% 9.6% Completions (1,167) (1,439) (738) (886) 58.1% 62.4% 23 Aug 2020 / 25 Aug 2019 6,577 15,660 5,088 13,064 29.3% 19.9%
(1) Including JV
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£m (unless otherwise stated) FY20 FY19 Change Revenue 3,419.2 4,763.1 (28.2%) Cost of Sales (2,804.9) (3,678.9) 23.8% Gross profit 614.3 1,084.2 (43.3%) Gross margin % 18.0 22.8 (480 bps) Cost associated with legacy properties 39.9 3.2 n/m CJRS grant income (22.8)
Adjusted gross profit 631.4 1,087.4 (41.9%) Adjusted gross margin % 18.5 22.8 (430 bps) Administrative expenses / part-exchange (1) (120.9) (183.1) 34.0% Operating profit 493.4 901.1 (45.2%) Operating margin % 14.4 18.9 (450 bps) Cost associated with legacy properties 39.9 3.2 n/m CJRS grant income (26.0)
Adjusted operating profit 507.3 904.3 (43.9%) Adjusted operating margin % 14.8 19.0 (420 bps) Net finance costs (1) (29.9) (28.8) (3.8%) Share of JV/associate profit 28.3 37.5 (24.5%) PBT 491.8 909.8 (45.9%)
(1) The Group has initially applied IFRS 16 using the modified retrospective approach. Comparatives have not been restated in respect of the adoption of IFRS 16
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£m (unless otherwise stated) 12 months to Dec 19 12 months to Dec 18 Change
Revenue 4,897.3 5,018.8 (2.4%) Cost of sales (3,791.6) (3,937.9) 3.7% Gross profit 1,105.7 1,080.9 2.3% Gross margin % 22.6% 21.5% 110 bps Administrative expenses (196.2) (165.3) (18.7%) Part-exchange(1) 3.6 1.5 140.0% Operating profit 913.1 917.1 (0.4%) Operating margin % 18.6% 18.3% 30 bps Net finance costs (27.8) (37.0) 24.9% Share of JV/associate profit 39.5 20.7 90.8% PBT 924.8 900.8 2.7% ROCE 29.3% 29.5% (20 bps)
Completions 12 months to Dec 19 12 months to Dec 18 Change
Private 13,756 13,802 (0.3%) Affordable 3,953 3,336 18.5% Total 17,709 17,138 3.3% JV 839 739 13.5% Total Inc JV 18,548 17,877 3.8%
(1) comparisons have not been restated in respect of the adoption of IFRS15 for the 6 months to 30 June 2018
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Homes: 1,150 (FY19: 1,680) ASP: £258.6k (FY19: £241.5k) Homes: 1,984 (FY19: 2,687) ASP: £250.0k (FY19: £243.8k) Homes: 1,909 (FY19: 2,721) ASP: £270.7k (FY19: £262.2k) Homes: 1,057 (FY19: 1,420) ASP: £320.6k (FY19: £315.9k) London Homes: 148 (FY19: 604) ASP: £754.8k (FY19: £628.5k) Southern Homes: 1,421 (FY19: 1,866) ASP: £369.2k (FY19: £375.9k) Homes: 1,899 (FY19: 2,555) ASP: £361.3k (FY19: £359.6k)
FY19 numbers reported under FY20 regional structure
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FY20 FY19 Homes ASP (£000) Homes ASP (£000) Regional total 9,420 303.6 12,929 297.2 Central London 17 2,918.8 127 1,417.3 Outer London 131 474.0 477 418.5 London total 148 754.8 604 628.5 Total private wholly owned 9,568 310.6 13,533 312.0
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FY FY20 FY1 FY19
11% 11% 13% 5% 5% 5% 5% 12% 13% 35% 35% 35% 35% 34% 30% 30% 3% 3% 4% 4%
5 & 6 Beds 4 Beds 3 Beds 1 & 2 Beds Flats (London) Flats (non-London)
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(1) Owned JVs as at 30 June 2020. Plots to legally complete as at 30 June 2020 Central London 115, Outer London 2,763, Regional 1,018 (2) Unsold plots as at 23 August 2020
Number of JVs(1) Unsold plots(2) ASP (£’000) Balance sheet investment (£m) Central London 2 2 781 13.5 Outer London 3 2,389 343 123.8 Regional 3 616 290 14.1 Commercial
Total 8 3,007 342 152.1
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£m FY20 FY19 Interest on term debt and overdrafts (2.5) (2.4) Interest on private placement notes 5.5 5.5 Utilisation / non-utilisation fees on RCF 3.5 3.8 Other interest 0.8 (0.4) Total cash interest 7.3 6.5 Land creditors / deferred payables 19.9 21.5 Financing fees 2.3 2.8 Pension (1.6) (2.0) Lease interest (1) 2.0
22.6 22.3 Total interest 29.9 28.8
(1) The Group has initially applied IFRS 16 using the modified retrospective approach. Comparatives have not been restated in respect of the adoption of IFRS 16
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Loan Facility Amount Maturity Interest basis RCF facilities £700m November 2024 LIBOR +1.25-2.75%
(1)
Private placement notes £200m August 2027 2.77% Eligible to access up to £600m under the CCFF if required
(1) Does not include utilisation and non-utilisation fees
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Land bank plots 30 June 2020 30 June 2019 Plots with detailed planning consent 52,641 52,485 Plots with outline planning consent 15,615 13,443 Plots with resolution to grant and other 137 495 Owned 68,393 66,423 Controlled 11,931 13,599 Total land bank plots 80,324 80,022 JV plots – owned 3,896 4,149 JV plots - controlled 1,504 1,058 Total land bank plots (including JVs) 85,724 85,229 Land bank pricing (£’000) Cost of plots acquired 43.2 42.3 Cost of plots in P&L 42.7 45.3 Cost of plots in balance sheet 44.9 45.6 Owned land bank ASP(1) 276 275
(1) At current prices
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£m
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20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 Savills UK Greenfield Residential Land Index and UK House Price Index (100 = 2007 peak)
UK Greenfield Development Land Index UK House Price Index
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
Savills Central London Land & Prime London House Price Index (100 = 2007 peak)
Central London Land Index Prime London House Price Index
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apprentices and trainees
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11 years
national housebuilder to achieve this
including 23
awards
any other company
sustainability disclosure
for 16 consecutive years
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This document has been prepared by Barratt Developments PLC (the “Company”) solely for use at a presentation in connection with the Company‘s Final Results Announcement in respect of the year ended 30 June 2020. For the purposes of this notice, the presentation (the “Presentation”) shall mean and include these slides, the oral presentation of the slides by the Company, the question-and-answer session that follows that oral presentation, hard copies of this document and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, that presentation. The Presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire, securities of the Company in any jurisdiction or an inducement toenter into investment activity. No part of this Presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract
Statements in this Presentation, including those regarding the possible or assumed future or other performance of the Company or its industry or other trend projections may constitute forward- looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, performance or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, no assurance is given that such forward-looking statements will prove to have been correct. They speak only as at the date of this Presentation and the Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation do not purport to be comprehensive, are provided as at the date of the Presentation and are subject to change without notice. The Company is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein.