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IMPACT-AFib: An 80,000 Person Randomized Trial Using the FDA Sentinel System Platform January 5, 2018 NIH Collaboratory Grand Rounds Christopher Granger, MD Sean Pokorney, MD Duke Clinical Research Institute Richard Platt, MD Noelle


  1. IMPACT-AFib: An 80,000 Person Randomized Trial Using the FDA Sentinel System Platform January 5, 2018 – NIH Collaboratory Grand Rounds Christopher Granger, MD Sean Pokorney, MD Duke Clinical Research Institute Richard Platt, MD Noelle Cocoros, DSc Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School & Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute

  2. Outline • FDA’s Sentinel System, FDA -Catalyst in brief • The public health importance of atrial fibrillation • IMPACT-AFib – trial design • Current status and baseline data • Lessons learned

  3. Outline • FDA’s Sentinel System, FDA -Catalyst in brief • The public health importance of atrial fibrillation • IMPACT-AFib – trial design • Current status and baseline data • Lessons learned

  4. Medical Product Safety Quality of Surveillance Care Curated Distributed Data Using a Public Health Common Surveillance Data Model Clinical Randomized Results Research Clinical Trials Comparative Effectiveness

  5. FDA-Catalyst: IMPACT-AFib randomized trial IM plementation of a randomized controlled trial to im P rove treatment with oral A nti C oagulan T s in patients with A trial Fib rillation • Direct mailer to health plan members with AFib, high risk for stroke and no oral anticoagulant (OAC) treatment, and to their providers, to encourage consideration of OACs

  6. Outline • FDA’s Sentinel System, FDA -Catalyst in brief • The public health importance of atrial fibrillation • IMPACT-AFib – trial design • Current status and baseline data • Lessons learned

  7. What is Atrial Fibrillation?

  8. Atrial fibrillation, a common and important problem • Over 5 million people in the United States have AFib – 2% of people younger than age 65 – 9% of people aged >65 years • 5 fold increase in risk of stroke – 15-20% of ischemic strokes are due to AFib • Contributes to 130,000 deaths • $6 billion added annual cost ($8,700 per person with AFib) www.cdc.gov/dhdsp/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fs_atrial_fibrillation.htm

  9. Anticoagulation Prevents a Majority of Strokes Relative Risk Reduction Warfarin compared NOAC compared Relative Risk Reduction (95% CI) to control or placebo to warfarin (95% CI) Trial Trial AFASAK I (1990) SPAF I (1991) RE-LY (2009) BAATAF (1990) ROCKET AF (2011) CAFA (1991) ARISTOTLE (2011) SPINAF (1992) ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 EAFT (1993) (2013) Combined Combined 100% 50% 0 −50% −100% 50% 0 −50% Favors warfarin Favors placebo Favors NOAC Favors warfarin or control RRR 19% RRR 64% Warfarin vs. Placebo or Control Non-vitamin K antagonist Oral Anticoagulant (NOAC) vs. Warfarin (6 trials, total n=2,900) (4 trials, total n=71,683) Hart R, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2007;146:857-867. Ruff C, et al. Lancet. 2014;383:955 – 962.

  10. Anticoagulation Use in RE-LY Registry In North America, non- rheumatic AF, CHADS ≥ 2, 52% on OAC Circulation. 2014;129:1568-1576

  11. Rates of Anticoagulation for Atrial Fibrillation – Preliminary Sentinel Data Criteria Patients Potentially eligible members 16.2 million (Aetna, Humana, Harvard Pilgrim) Patients with >1 AF diagnosis 231,696 (1.4% of all members) AF pts with CHA 2 DS 2 - VASc ≥ 2 201,882 (87% of AF patients) Patients with at least one oral 105,256 (52% of AF patients anticoagulation fill with CHA 2 DS 2 - VASc ≥ 2) Proportion of days covered by 32% anticoagulation in AF patients Pokorney S et al. Am College of Cardiol 2016

  12. Interventions (including patient education) can be effective at increasing the proportion of patients with Afib and risk for stroke who are treated with oral anticoagulation The Lancet (published online August 28 2017)

  13. Rationale for IMPACT-AFib trial • OAC underuse is a public health priority • Also a priority of health plans • Interventions (mailings) are consistent with routine health plan interventions • Eligible population are identifiable and major outcomes measurable using Sentinel Distributed Database

  14. Outline • FDA’s Sentinel System, FDA -Catalyst in brief • The public health importance of atrial fibrillation • IMPACT-AFib – trial design • Current status and baseline data • Lessons learned

  15. IMPACT-Afib Workgroup Patient representative

  16. Inclusion Criteria • ≥30 years old • Medical & pharmacy coverage for ≥365 days • ≥2 atrial fibrillation diagnosis codes with 1 in the last year • No OAC fill within the previous 12 months • CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score >2

  17. Exclusion Criteria • Any OAC dispensing within the last year (or ≥4 INRs) • Conditions other than AF that require anticoagulation • Any history of intracranial hemorrhage • Bleeding related hospitalization in the last 6 months • Current pregnancy • P2Y12 inhibitor treatment, e.g., clopidogrel within 90 days

  18. Patients with AFib, CHADS-VASc ≥2 Randomization RANDOMIZE Usual Care and Delayed Early Patient-level and Provider intervention Provider-level intervention Early Intervention Access Pharmacy Records OAC in prior 12 months No OAC in prior 12 months 12-months Excluded Intervention Mailed

  19. Primary outcome: Proportion of AFib patients started on OAC over the course of the 12-month trial Secondary outcomes: • Proportion of days covered with OAC prescription • Number of patients on OAC at end of one year • Admissions for stroke or TIA • Admissions for stroke • Admissions for bleeding • Deaths (subset)

  20. Intervention Materials PATIENTS • Letter from health plan • Patient brochure – information on AF and OACs • Patient pocket card – designed to facilitate conversation between patient and provider PROVIDERS • Letter from health plan • Provider enclosure – myths and facts on OACs • Response mailer – providers to share feedback

  21. MEMBER LETTER

  22. PROVIDER LETTER

  23. PROVIDER RESPONSE

  24. Outline • FDA’s Sentinel System, FDA -Catalyst in brief • The public health importance of atrial fibrillation • IMPACT-AFib – trial design • Current status and baseline data • Lessons learned

  25. Early Intervention Launch 30,000 25,000 Patients Contacted via Mailing 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 - 25-Sep-17 25-Oct-17 25-Nov-17 25-Dec-17

  26. Age and Sex Distribution by Group 120,000 100,000 80+ yrs 80+ yrs Male Male 80,000 Patients 60,000 75-79 yrs 75-79 yrs 40,000 70-74 yrs 70-74 yrs Female Female 20,000 65-69 yrs 65-69 yrs 30-64 yrs 30-64 yrs 0 Early intervention, Delayed Early intervention, Delayed prior to assessing intervention, prior to assessing intervention, treatment prior to assessing treatment prior to assessing treatment treatment Age Sex Mean CHADS-VASc score of 5

  27. Members in Early Intervention Arm Not on treatment n = 43,826 On treatment n = 76,696 36% were not on treatment at time of randomization

  28. Outline • FDA’s Sentinel System, FDA -Catalyst in brief • The public health importance of atrial fibrillation • IMPACT-AFib – trial design • Current status and baseline data • Lessons learned

  29. Good practices (lessons not to forget) • Involvement of health plans from the very beginning Early project • Need for buy in from clinical leadership preparation • Adequate funding / resources for all sites from the start • Patient advocate on project team - guidance on intervention Patient design as well as cohort inclusion (e.g. patients ≥30) engagement • Patient advocate on project as well as patient and provider focus groups not planned from the start but provided key information for intervention materials (e.g. response mailer) • Single IRB facilitates process across multiple institutions IRB approach • Commercial IRB most efficient (meet more regularly, have more streamlined processes in place, have cross- jurisdictional expertise) • Waiver of consent obtained • Timing of trial Annual open enrollment and other key points in time had to start and be accommodated when planning for trial execution mailings

  30. Lessons learned (1) • At 2 health plans: non-research initiatives underway include Similar written outreach to members with AF at high risk of stroke initiatives at health plans • Trial design Many iterations necessary to finalize protocol due to need for and protocol agreement by clinical management teams from all sites • Branding, logos, details of materials required substantial Intervention discussion, lengthy review processes at each health plan materials • Health plan concerns re inclusion of members with Medicare Medicare/ Advantage (complaint from such members could impact Star Medicaid ratings); letter of support was obtained from the CMS beneficiaries participants

  31. Lessons learned (2) • Code list Clinician reviewed thousands of codes (ICD-9, 10) for elements of CHADS-VASC score and other conditions review • Underestim. Combination of changes in definitions and limitations of of sample approach yielded underestimate • Sample size and budget were based on underestimate size “Facility” as • 20-40% of all providers identified by workplan were provider actually facilities • Members Evident after follow-up on initial calls received to project phone line whose AF dx • Can Common Data Model help with this? codes likely rule outs Ethics issues • Questions raised about delaying contact of the usual care group

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