201 2012 2 REGI EGI ON ONAL AL FOR FORECA ECAST ST
REVENUE ESTIMATE$
Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization
Greg Grootendorst Chief Economist, HRPDC September 25, 2015
R EVENUE E STIMATE $ Presented to the HRTPO Legislative Ad-Hoc - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
R EVENUE E STIMATE $ Presented to the HRTPO Legislative Ad-Hoc Committee Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization Greg Grootendorst Chief Economist, HRPDC September 25, 2015 201 2012 2 REGI EGI ON ONAL AL FOR FORECA ECAST
201 2012 2 REGI EGI ON ONAL AL FOR FORECA ECAST ST
Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization
Greg Grootendorst Chief Economist, HRPDC September 25, 2015
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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State Gas Taxes
Date Gasoline Diesel
Prior to 7/1/2013 17.5 ¢ per gallon 17.5 ¢ per gallon 7/1/13 - 12/31/14 3.5% of
Wholesale
= 11.1 ¢ per gal.
6% of
Wholesale
= 20.2 ¢ per gal.
Price* Price*
1/1/15 to present 5.1% of
Wholesale
= 16.2 ¢ per gal.
6% of
Wholesale
= 20.2 ¢ per gal.
Price* Price*
* The sales tax on fuel is applied to the statewide average wholesale price as determined by the DMV Commissioner. In the event that the average price falls below the price floor set in February of 2013, then the tax rate will be applied to the floor price
have been applied to floor prices, as average fuel prices have remained below the floor price.
Source: Virginia Department of Taxation and HRPDC
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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State Floor
$3.17 – Gas $3.36 – Diesel
As of 9/22/15
$1.51 – Gas $1.45 – Diesel
Revenue from Current Law Revenue with VA Floor Price Increase in Revenue 2015 38.6 $ 44.9 $ 6.3 $ 2016 28.2 $ 45.8 $ 17.6 $ 2017 28.6 $ 46.2 $ 17.7 $ 2018 29.5 $ 46.8 $ 17.4 $ 2019 30.0 $ 47.7 $ 17.7 $ 2020 30.5 $ 48.2 $ 17.8 $ 2021 31.2 $ 48.9 $ 17.8 $ 2022 32.2 $ 49.6 $ 17.4 $
Fiscal Year
Millions of Dollars
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
2.5% Base sales tax plus taxes on food for home consumption 1% - Local option sales tax returned to locality 1% - K-12 Education returned to localities based on school aged population 0.5% - Transportation Trust Fund 0.15% - Diversion from GF to Transportation HMOF 0.7% - Hampton Roads Transportation Fund revenues 0.3% - Transportation HMOF 0.25% - K-12 Education 0.125% - Property tax relief fund 1.975% - General fund revenues 1.65% Sales taxes dedicated to transportation
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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Total State and Local Sales Taxes Collected in FY2014 Estimated Value of Exemptions in FY2014 Estimated Taxable Sales if All Exemptions Removed 1% of Taxable Sales with No Exemptions $5,273.3 (M) $23,633.3 (M) $555,391.2 (M) $5,553.9 (M) 1% Local Option Revenues in HRTPO Jurisdictions Estimated 1% HRTPO Sales Tax Revenues with No Exemptions $208.8 (M) $1,032.1 (M)
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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*Estimates derived from the Evaluation of Virginia’s Sales Tax Exemptions study produced by Chmura Economics & Analytics in 2011
$0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000
Media Nonprofit Agricultural Other Commercial and Industrial Commodity and Governmental Miscealleous Service Millions of Dollars
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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*Estimates derived from the Evaluation of Virginia’s Sales Tax Exemptions study produced by Chmura Economics & Analytics in 2011
(In millions of dollars)
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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1 Professional, Insurance, and Personal Service 267,698.1 $ 2 Goods Delivered Outside the Commonwealth 95,320.1 $ 3 Motor Vehicles 20,852.8 $ 4 Manufacturing Exemption 12,565.5 $ 5 Gas, Electricity, Water 10,319.2 $ 6 Prescription Drugs 9,860.9 $ 7 Fuel 9,591.8 $ 8 Food for Home Consumption 8,426.4 $ 9 Publications of Newspapers and Periodicals 2,339.8 $ 10 Advertising 2,330.7 $ 11 Labor and Service for Remodeling Property 1,226.9 $ 12 Nonprofit Exemptions 1,197.3 $ 13 Political Divisions 1,190.4 $ 14 Poultry and Animal 1,090.1 $ 15 Accomodation more than 90 Days 750.3 $ 16 Propane, Gas, Coal, Oil for Domestic Consumption 702.4 $ 17 Nonprescription Drugs 636.3 $ 18 Inputs in Agricultural Production 542.8 $ 19 School Lunch/Textbooks 522.2 $ 20 Food Stamps 440.1 $ 21 Purchase by Contractor 419.6 $ 22 Meal to Restaurant Employees 405.9 $ 23 Catalog and Brochures 317.0 $ 24 Seeds, Crops, Plants 262.3 $ 25 Drugs Used by Hospitals, etc. 262.3 $ 26 Research & Development 214.4 $ 27 Railway 205.2 $ 28 Goods for Future Lease/Rent 198.4 $ 29 Drugs Used by Doctors Offices 177.9 $ 30 Airline 157.4 $ 31 Inputs in Feed Production 109.5 $ 32 Goods Used by Nuclear Power Plants 82.1 $ 33 Multi-fuel Heating Stove 82.1 $ 34 Leasing of Audio/Video Tapes 79.8 $ 35 School Holiday 63.9 $ 36 Data Center 59.3 $ 37 Medical Equipment and Supplies 52.5 $ 38 Railroad Rolling Stock 43.3 $ 39 Shipping 38.8 $ 40 Natural Gas Extraction and Processing 38.8 $ 41 Hurricane Equipment 38.8 $ 42 Broadcast Equipment 25.1 $ 43 Energy Star 22.8 $ 44 Handicapped Equipment 20.5 $ 45 Drugs Used by Veternarians 18.2 $ 46 Taxable Medical Supply 18.2 $ 47 Canteen Sales at Veterans Affairs 6.8 $ 48 Textile Product Leasing 6.8 $ 49 Modular Building 6.8 $ 50 Taxicab Driver 4.6 $ *Estimates derived from the Evaluation of Virginia’s Sales Tax Exemptions study produced by Chmura Economics & Analytics in 2011
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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Local sales & use tax of 1% (levied according to existing local option) 213,159,000 $ Local income tax of one-half of one percent (0.5%) 142,757,000 $ Add 1% to the motor vehicle sales & use tax 34,662,000 $ Tax increase of 5¢-per-gallon on motor vehicle fuels 33,269,000 $ Cigarette tax of 50¢ per pack 32,566,000 $ Charge of $10 per container on container traffic through the ports 20,524,000 $ Increase of 1¢ per $100 of Assessed Value of Real Estate 16,157,000 $ Vehicle Registration Fee of $10 per vehicle 14,800,000 $ Add 1% to the hotel and motels room tax 8,326,000 $ Recordation tax of 1¢ per $100 of assessed value 3,689,000 $ Building permit tax of 10¢ per $100 of assessed value 979,000 $ Building permit flat fee of $100 609,000 $
Alternate Revenue Generation Scenarios
Strategy Estimated Revenue
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc
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the amount to be paid is to be determined.
convenient for the taxpayer.
government and taxpayers.
them correctly and in a cost-efficient manner.
transaction or whether to engage in a transaction should be kept to a minimum.
upon them and others.
much tax revenue will likely be collected and when.
Source: American Institute of Certified Public Accountants
Revenue Estimates – HRTPO – Legislative Ad-Hoc