Q4 2002 Karen Maidment Executive Vice President and Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

q4 2002
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Q4 2002 Karen Maidment Executive Vice President and Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

F INANCIAL R ESULTS Q4 2002 Karen Maidment Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Quarterly Investor Presentation November 26, 2002 Q4 Financial Snapshot Q4 2002 Q4 2001 Q3 2002 Excluding Non-Recurring Items Net Income


slide-1
SLIDE 1

FINANCIAL RESULTS

Karen Maidment

Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Q4 2002

Quarterly Investor Presentation November 26, 2002

slide-2
SLIDE 2

1

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

0.72 0.25 0.85 Cash EPS – Diluted ($/share) 14.4 4.8 16.4 Cash Return on Equity (%) 8.72 8.15 8.80 Capital: Tier 1 Ratio (%) 0.44 1.49 0.43 PCL/Avg. Loans Accept. (%) 68.4 68.1 68.3 Productivity Ratio (%) (4.1) (1.2) 7.5 Revenue Growth (%) 13.5 3.8 15.5 Return on Equity (%) 0.68 0.19 0.80 EPS – Diluted ($/share) 360 109 423 Net Income ($MM)

Q3 2002 Q4 2001 Q4 2002

Excluding Non-Recurring Items

Q4 Financial Snapshot

* Annualized * * *

slide-3
SLIDE 3

2

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 Financial Highlights – Total Bank

  • Improved earnings attributable to accounting

changes for goodwill, lower PCL, lower tax rates and improvements in operating group performance

  • Revenue growth favourably affected by

acquisitions, but continued to be challenging in current economic conditions

  • Expense growth reflects acquisitions, initiative

spending, performance-based compensation and severance costs

slide-4
SLIDE 4

3

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 Financial Highlights - Groups

  • Personal & Commercial net income increased by

32% from a year ago and the trend of increasing volumes continued

  • Private Client net income increased substantially

due to acquisitions, revenue generating initiatives and cost control

  • Investment Banking net income increased

strongly due to lower provision for credit losses

slide-5
SLIDE 5

4

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q3 2002 Q4 2001 Q4 2002 Net Income ($MM)

109 7 145 Investment Banking 360 109 423 Total Bank (31) (103) (16) Technology & Solutions and Corporate 26 11 38 Private Client 256 194 256 Personal & Commercial

Q4 Group Performance

slide-6
SLIDE 6

5

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 Revenue Growth

Q4 ’02 vs Q3 ’02 ($MM) … improvements in Investment Banking and continued growth in P&C

$MM

Revenue Growth

Total Growth Acquisitions Business Growth Disposals & Initiatives Investment Securities Losses 146 (6.9%) 22 (1.2%) 3 (0.1%) 160 (7.5%) 39 (1.8%) 65 (3.1%) 55 (2.6%)

Q4 ’02 vs Q4 ’01 ($MM)

126 (5.8%) 1 (0.0%)

  • 5 (-0.2%)
slide-7
SLIDE 7

6

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 Expense Growth

Q4 ’02 vs Q3 ’02 ($MM) … is nil over Q4 ’01, excluding acquisitions and severance costs

Total Growth Acquisitions Ongoing Growth Disposals & Initiatives Variable Comp. Severance Costs

$MM

NIX Growth

100 (6.8%) 9 (0.7%) 17 (1.1%) 19 (1.3%) 116 (7.9%)

  • 45 (-3.4%)
  • 9 (-0.5%)

54 (3.7%) 5 (0.3%) 66 (4.6%)

Q4 ’02 vs Q4 ’01 ($MM)

50 (3.4%) 50 (3.5%)

slide-8
SLIDE 8

7

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

68.1 66.3 66.4 68.4 66.1 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Q4 Expense-to-Revenue Ratio

(%)

68.3

  • Excl. Q4

Severances Total Bank

slide-9
SLIDE 9

8

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 P&C Delivers Strong Results Q4 P&C Delivers Strong Results

  • Volume growth in

Canada and US

  • US margin stable;

Canada improved slightly

  • Offset by higher

performance based compensation and spending on key initiatives

  • Significant

improvement over prior year

Revenue & Net Income ($MM)

194 227 229 256 256 1093 1100 1172 1205 1131 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 Net Income Revenue

slide-10
SLIDE 10

9

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

13.10

18.87 18.80 19.04 19.28 19.48 14.67 14.77 14.69 14.59 14.77

13.11 12.89 13.03 13.24 13.26 13.29 13.41 13.48 13.48

Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Q4 P&C Market Share

Personal Loans

(ex. cards)

Residential Mortgages

(Incl.3rd Party)

(%)

Personal Deposits

Small Business Loans are on a calendar quarter and 3 month lag basis.

Small Business Loans

($ 0-5MM) 1 1

slide-11
SLIDE 11

10

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

  • Q4’01 affected by

higher PCL and investment write- downs

  • Improvement over

Q3’02 due to improved M&A activity and lower write-downs

  • Higher expenses

for revenue driven compensation and severance in Q4’02

Q4 IBG Environment Remains Very Challenging Q4 IBG Environment Remains Very Challenging

7 183 155 109 145 715 642 536 636 720 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 Net Income Revenue

Revenue & Net Income ($MM)

slide-12
SLIDE 12

11

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 PCG Solid Performance In Challenging Markets Q4 PCG Solid Performance In Challenging Markets

11 39 32 26 38 362 438 440 432 387 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Net Income Revenue

Revenue & Net Income ($MM)

(Excluding Non-Recurring)

  • Revenue growth driven

by acquisitions; other businesses stable despite market environment

  • Investment in long-term

growth strategy continues, balanced with strong cost management

  • CSFBdirect contributed

positive Cash Net Income ($38MM acquisition-related costs classified as non- recurring)

slide-13
SLIDE 13

12

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 AUA/AUM Balances Reflect Acquisitions Q4 AUA/AUM Balances Reflect Acquisitions

164 170 199 196 195 73 77 75 77 77

Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

AUA / AUM ($B)*

AUM AUA & Term 237 247 276 273

  • AUA/AUM & Term year-
  • ver-year increase due to

acquisitions, strategic initiatives and organic growth

  • Excluding acquisitions,

AUA/AUM & Term year-

  • ver-year flat whereas

TSE and S&P were down 9.2% and 16.4% respectively

270 * Certain Assets under Administration and Assets under Management have been reclassified

to confirm with the current period’s presentation.

slide-14
SLIDE 14

13

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 Technology & Solutions and Corporate Q4 Technology & Solutions and Corporate

  • 103
  • 77
  • 115
  • 31
  • 16

Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Net Income ($MM)

  • Increase from Q4

’01 due to lower PCL and income taxes, partly

  • ffset by higher

pension and severance costs

  • Improvement over

Q3’02 primarily due to lower tax rates and tax initiatives

slide-15
SLIDE 15

14

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

F2003 Reporting Changes

  • Harris Bankcorp, Inc. will deregister from SEC
  • Harris Bank continues to operate as a multibank holding

company and remains subject to regulation by the US Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Bank

  • Harris Bank’s Q4 press release will be the last such

disclosure

  • BMO will provide expanded disclosure of US results

beginning F2003

  • Change is consistent with strategy and will promote better

understanding of BMO’s US operations

  • BMO to begin recognizing compensation expense for new

stock options granted after October 31, 2002

slide-16
SLIDE 16

15

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Appendix

slide-17
SLIDE 17

16

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Non-Recurring Items

(25)

  • Tax Asset Adjustment
  • (178)
  • CBO Write-down
  • (178)
  • 62

NIX Acquisition Related Costs 23

  • 39

100

  • Total Provisions For Credit

Losses

  • 12.9

0.65 346 (14) (23)

  • Q3 ’02

(0.4)

  • 4

(105) (178) (178)

  • Q4 ’01

14.6 0.75 398 (25) (39)

  • Q4 ’02

Return on Equity (%) Earnings per Share – Diluted ($) Net Income as Reported Total After-tax Impact Total Pre-tax Impact Total Non-interest Revenue

  • Sale of Bancomer Shares
  • Sale of Canadian Branches

Non-interest Revenue

($MM)

13.8 13.4 2.66 2.68 1,471 1,417 93 (39) 12

  • 55

(62) 155

  • 321
  • 2001

2002

slide-18
SLIDE 18

17

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Cash

Q4 Earnings Per Share & Return on Equity

0.19 0.71 0.57 0.80 0.68 0.85 0.72 0.59 0.75 0.25 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Earnings Per Share ($)

3.8 14.5 11.6 15.5 13.5 16.4 14.4 12.2 15.2 4.8 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Return on Equity (%)

Accrual

slide-19
SLIDE 19

18

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

110 95 86 312 315 312 308 316 192 195 207 194 202 107 126

Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Q4 Net Interest Margins Decline Slightly

Total Bank IBG P&C

Net Interest Margin (bps)

slide-20
SLIDE 20

19

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

8.80 8.72 8.15 8.87 8.61 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Tier 1 (%) Total Capital (%)

  • Tier 1 ratio improved

due to organic business growth and lower risk-weighted assets

Q4 Capital Remains Above 8% Target

12.12 12.93 12.48 12.25 12.23

slide-21
SLIDE 21

20

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

135.8 132.5 131.3 131.1

5.5 4.8 5.6 7.0 7.9

130.1

60.2 58.5 55.9 68.5 64.7 67.3 63.0 64.3 65.8 61.8

Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Q4 Capital Adequacy

Total Bank IBG P&C PCG & Other

Risk Weighted Assets ($B)

slide-22
SLIDE 22

21

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 P&C

3.12 3.15 3.12 3.08 3.16 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 23.5 24.7 26.7 26.6 23.8 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 62.5 61.6 60.0 58.7 59.7 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Net Interest Margin NIX / Revenue Cash ROE

  • Margin improved in Canada and

stable in US

  • Performance based compensation

and initiative spending increases the NIX/Revenue ratio

  • Cost containment and revenue

growth drives NIX/Revenue ratio lower than prior year

slide-23
SLIDE 23

22

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 P&C Volume Growth

4.3 8.0 12.3 14.7 14.4 41.4 42.7 44.4 45.9 47.3

10 20 30 40 50 60

5 10 15 20 25 30

Residential Mortgages Personal Loans

7.0 7.9 9.7 13.7 13.4 18.1 18.4 19.1 19.8 20.5

5 10 15 20 25 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

5 10 15 20 25 30

13.5 20.9 23.2 22.7 15.2 35.0 37.7 38.9 39.5 40.3

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

10 20 30 40

Yr./Yr. Growth (%) Includes securitized balances

Personal Deposits

1 1

Average Balances ($B)

slide-24
SLIDE 24

23

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 P&C Net Income

28 38 47 49 52 166 189 182 207 204 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

… Strong contributions from Canadian and US franchises

Chicagoland Banking ($MM) Canada ($MM)

slide-25
SLIDE 25

24

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 IBG

1.07 1.26 1.10 0.95 0.86 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 7.3 10.2 11.2

  • 0.6

13.1 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 47.6 51.5 54.8 62.3 57.3 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Net Interest Margin NIX / Revenue Cash ROE

  • Margin decreased mainly due to

lower spreads in capital markets businesses and cash management

  • NIX / Revenue decreased

compared to Q3’02 due to revenue improvements and a disciplined approach to cost management

slide-26
SLIDE 26

25

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Q4 PCG

10.70 10.62 10.02 10.21 10.23 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 8.5 11.8 10.3 13.6 17.2 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02 93.0 84.6 87.4 88.6 85.9 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02

Net Interest Margin NIX / Revenue Cash ROE

  • Wider spreads on retail

investment products

  • NIX / Revenue ratio driven by

acquired businesses and continued investment in strategic initiatives, balanced with strong cost management

slide-27
SLIDE 27

26

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Direct Investing Continues Growth Through Acquisitions Direct Investing Continues Growth Through Acquisitions

17 6 10 348

Q4 2001

147% 150% 116% 139%

Yr / Yr Change

43 43 Customer Assets ($B Cdn) 17 15 Trades / Day (000) 23 21 New Accounts (000) 709 831 Active Accounts (000)

Q3 2002 Q4 2002

Active accounts restated for systems adjustment required to appropriately apply the definition of active accounts. Active accounts are defined as “accounts with balances or stock positions or trading activity in the last 12 months”. Gross active new accounts estimated

1 2

1 2

slide-28
SLIDE 28

27

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Acquisitions Acquisitions

Personal & Commercial Client Group (2) 3 (2) (2) 2 Net Income 26 29 67 88 66 Expense 24 33 66 90 65 Revenue Total Bank (5) 2 (4) (6) 2 Net Income 15 9 55 77 66 Expense 8 12 49 73 65 Revenue 1 20 21 Q1 2002 4 11 17 Q3 2002 3 11 16 Q4 2001 Private Client Group 2 * Net Income 12 * Expense 17 * Revenue Q2 2002 Q4 2002 $MM (Year-over-Year Change)

Acquisition considered core business starting Q4 2002 First National Bank of Joliet CSFBdirect, Morgan Stanley online accounts, Harris Northwestern Trust and Guardian Group of Funds

1 2 1 2 *

slide-29
SLIDE 29

28

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Fiscal Year Financial Snapshot

8.15 8.80 Capital: Tier 1 Ratio (%) 0.60 0.56 PCL/Avg. Loans Accept. (%) 65.1 67.4 Productivity Ratio (%) 3.2 1.7 Revenue Growth (%) 12.9 13.8 Return on Equity (%) 13.9 14.6 Cash Return on Equity (%) 2.48 2.76 EPS – Diluted ($/share) 2.68 2.91 Cash EPS – Diluted ($/share) 1378 1456 Net Income ($MM)

2001 2002

Excluding Non-Recurring Items

slide-30
SLIDE 30

29

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Fiscal Year Group Performance

1378 1456 Total Bank (110) (239) Technology & Solutions and Corporate 121 135 Private Client 582 592 Investment Banking 785 968 Personal & Commercial

2001 2002 Net Income ($MM)

slide-31
SLIDE 31

30

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Fiscal Year Improved Group Performance

785 582

  • 110

1378

968 592 135 1456

121

  • 239

P&C IBG PCG

  • Corp. &

T&S Total Bank

Net Income ($MM)

2001 and 2002

slide-32
SLIDE 32

31

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

EPS ($) Cash EPS ($)

Fiscal Year Earnings Per Share

2.48 2.76 2.91 2.68 2001 2002

slide-33
SLIDE 33

32

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Fiscal Year Revenue Growth

$MM

Total Growth Acquisitions Business Growth Disposals & Initiatives Investment Securities Losses

Revenue Growth 2002 vs 2001

151 (1.7%) 27 (0.2%) 254 (2.9%)

  • 126 (-1.4%)
  • 4 (0.0%)
slide-34
SLIDE 34

33

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Fiscal Year Expense Growth

$MM

Total Growth Acquisitions Ongoing Growth Disposals & Initiatives Variable Comp. Severance Costs

NIX Growth

297 (5.2%) 54 (0.9%)

  • 38 (-0.7%) -19 (-0.3%)

250 (4.4%)

2002 vs 2001

50 (0.9%)

slide-35
SLIDE 35

34

Q 4 2 0 0 2 F I N A N C I A L R E S U L T S

Forward-looking Statements

CAUTION REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Bank of Montreal’s public communications often include written or oral forward-looking statements. Statements of this type are included in this presentation, and may be included in filings with Canadian securities regulators or the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, press releases or in other communications. All such statements are made pursuant to the ‘safe harbor’ provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may involve, but are not limited to, comments with respect to our objectives for 2003 and beyond, our strategies or future actions, our targets, expectations for our financial condition or share price, the results of or outlook for our operations or for the Canadian and U.S. economies. By their nature, forward-looking statements require us to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and

  • uncertainties. There is significant risk that predictions and other forward-looking statements will not prove to be
  • accurate. We caution readers of this document not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements as a

number of factors could cause actual future results, conditions, actions or events to differ materially from the targets, expectations, estimates or intentions expressed in the forward-looking statements. The future outcomes that relate to forward-looking statements may be influenced by many factors, including but not limited to: global capital market activities; interest rate and currency value fluctuations; industry and worldwide economic and political conditions; regulatory and statutory developments; the effects of competition in the geographic and business areas in which we operate; management actions; and technological changes. We caution that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive and that when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions with respect to Bank of Montreal, investors and others should carefully consider these factors, as well as other uncertainties and potential events, and the inherent uncertainty of forward-looking statements. Bank

  • f Montreal does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement, whether written or oral, that may be

made, from time to time, by the organization or on its behalf. Investor Relations Phone: 416-867-6656 Fax: 416-867-3367 Email: investor.relations@bmo.com