Growth in Vehicle Ownership and Per-Capita Income: Germany, Japan, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

10 20 30

per-capita income, 1960-2002 (Real $ PPP, thousands)

200 400 600 800 1000 Vehicles per 1000 people 1960-2002

USA Japan S.Korea Germany

S.Korea 2002 2002 USA 2002 USA 1960 Germany 1960 Japan 1960

Gompertz function

Growth in Vehicle Ownership and Per-Capita Income: Germany, Japan, South Korea, USA: 1960-2002

1 10

per-capita income, 1960-2002 (Real $ PPP, thousands)

0.1 1 10 100 1000 Vehicles per 1000 people 1960-2002

India China S.Korea Brazil

Brazil 2002 China 2002 1962 S.Korea 1960 India 1960 S.Korea 2002 Brazil 1960 India 2002

Gompertz function

Growth in Vehicle Ownership and Per-Capita Income: Brazil, China, India, South Korea: 1960-2002

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 20 30 40 50 60

GDP per-capita: historical & projected

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

Vehicles per 1000 people: historical & projected

USA 2030

India 2030 Korea 1982 China 2002 China 2030

Brazil 1962 Mexico 1960 Japan 1960

Brazil 2002 Mexico 2002 USA 1960

USA 2002 Korea 2030 Japan 2030 Japan '02

India 2002 Brazil 2030 Spain 1960 Spain 2002

Spain 2030

Korea 2002 Mexico 2030

Vehicle Ownership and Per-Capita Income, Historical and Projected, for 8 large countries

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200

Total Vehicles (millions)

USA Rest

• f

OECD China

History Projections

India Brazil Rest of Sample Rest of World

History 1960-2002 and Projections 2002-2030: Total Vehicles