Q2 2019 earnings presentation August 7, 2019 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

q2 2019 earnings presentation
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Q2 2019 earnings presentation August 7, 2019 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Q2 2019 earnings presentation August 7, 2019 1 Forward-looking statements From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. (the Company) makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports to


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Q2 2019 earnings presentation

August 7, 2019

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From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. (the Company) makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports to shareholders, regulatory filings, press releases, Company presentations and other Company communications. Forward-looking statements are made in connection with business objectives and targets, Company strategies, operations, anticipated financial results and the outlook for the Company, its industry, and the Canadian economy. These statements regarding expected future performance are “financial outlooks” within the meaning of National Instrument 51-102. Please see the risk factors, which are set forth in detail in the Risk Management section of the 2019 Second Quarter Report, as well as the Company’s

  • ther publicly filed information, which is available on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) at www.sedar.com, for the material

factors that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from these statements. These risk factors are material risk factors a reader should consider, and include credit risk, liquidity and funding risk, structural interest rate risk, operational risk, investment risk, strategic risk, reputational risk, compliance risk and capital adequacy risk along with additional risk factors that may affect future results. Forward-looking statements can be found in the Report to the Shareholders and the Outlook section in the 2019 Second Quarter Report. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “will,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “should,” “estimate,” “plan,” “forecast,” “may,” and “could” or other similar expressions. By their very nature, these statements require the Company to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainty, general and specific, which may cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, global capital market activity, changes in government monetary and economic policies, changes in interest rates, inflation levels and general economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments, competition and technological change. The preceding list is not exhaustive of possible factors. These and other factors should be considered carefully and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The Company presents forward-looking statements to assist shareholders in understanding the Company’s assumptions and expectations about the future that are relevant in management’s setting of performance goals, strategic priorities and outlook. The Company presents its outlook to assist shareholders in understanding management’s expectations on how the future will impact the financial performance of the Company. These forward-looking statements may not be appropriate for

  • ther purposes. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, whether written or verbal, that may be made from time to time by it or
  • n its behalf, except as required by securities laws.

Forward-looking statements

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Overview

Yousry Bissada, CEO

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Executing our strategy of sustainable, profitable growth

Single- family mortgage

  • riginations

grew 10.6% year-over- year Oaken exceeds $3 billion in customer deposits Meaningful expansion in margins and profitability Creation of shareholder value through profit growth and buybacks Continued progress on IT roadmap initiative

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Continuing progress on our IGNITE IT Roadmap

CONTINUING MIGRATION TO THE CLOUD IBM and Microsoft Azure PAPERLESS UNDERWRITING AND FUNDING Fully deployed in residential lending ROBOTIC PROCESS AUTOMATION Completed first implementation for process improvement SAP MIGRATION ON TRACK Second phase of four- phase program underway

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Financial results

Brad Kotush, CFO

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Earnings per share growth from higher margin and lower share count

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Q2 Financial highlights

Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2018 Sequential change Year-over-year change

Originations (millions)

$1,276.7 $1,216.1 $1,230.2 5.0% 3.8%

Revenue (millions)

$111.3 $103.8 $101.6 7.2% 9.5%

Net interest margin (TEB)

2.09% 2.01% 1.91% 8 bps 18 bps

Provisions as % of Gross Loans (annualized)

0.15% 0.15% 0.17% 0 bps (2) bps

Efficiency ratio (TEB) – reported

55.4% 57.7% 54.5% (230) bps 90 bps

Efficiency ratio (TEB) – adjusted1

51.9% 54.7% 54.5% (280) bps (260) bps

Net income (millions) – reported

$31.9 $27.8 $29.6 14.7% 7.8%

Net income (millions) – adjusted1

$34.7 $30.2 $29.6 15.2% 17.3%

Earnings per share – reported

$0.53 $0.45 $0.37 17.8% 43.2%

Earnings per share – adjusted1

$0.58 $0.49 $0.37 18.4% 56.8%

Return on equity (annualized) – reported

7.7% 6.8% 6.4% 90 bps 130 bps

Return on equity (annualized) – adjusted1

8.4% 7.3% 6.4% 110 bps 200 bps

1 See definition of Adjusted Efficiency Ratio, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share and Adjusted Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2019 Second Quarter Report.

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Q2 Financial highlights

Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2018 Sequential change Year-over-year change Total loans (billions) $16.84 $16.68 $15.45 1.0% 9.0% Loans under administration (billions) $22.90 $23.11 $22.51 (0.9%) 1.7% Assets under administration (billions) $24.58 $24.94 $25.00 (1.4%) (1.7%) Net non-performing loans as %

  • f gross loans

0.47% 0.49% 0.34% (2) bps 13 bps CET1 ratio1 19.49% 18.99% 23.21% 50 bps (372) bps Book value per share $27.80 $27.00 $23.40 3.0% 18.8% Shares outstanding (millions) 59.3 61.0 80.2 (1.7) (20.9)

1CET1 ratio relates to the Company’s operating subsidiary, Home Trust Company

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Summary of adjustments in connection with IT roadmap

Q2 2019 Q1 2019

Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1

Net income (millions) $31.91 $2.81 $34.72 $27.82 $2.33 $30.15

Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1

Earnings per share $0.53 $0.05 $0.58 $0.45 $0.04 $0.49 Efficiency ratio (TEB) 55.4% (3.5%) 51.9% 57.7% (3.0%) 54.7% Return on equity (annualized) 7.7% 0.7% 8.4% 6.8% 0.5% 7.3%

Adjustment resulting from change in estimated useful life of legacy IT investment and elevated operating expenses

1 See definition of Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share, Adjusted Efficiency Ratio and Adjusted

Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2019 Second Quarter Report.

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Single-family residential originations

$875.9 $1,012.7 $73.4 $37.7 $750.0 $800.0 $850.0 $900.0 $950.0 $1,000.0 $1,050.0 $1,100.0 Q2 2018 Q2 2019

Millions

Traditional single-family Accelerator single-family

$1,050.4

+15.6%

$949.3

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Loan growth

$15.22 $15.45 $16.04 $16.39 $16.68 $16.84 $14.00 $14.50 $15.00 $15.50 $16.00 $16.50 $17.00

Total loans (billions)

Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

+9% y/y

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Net interest margin (TEB) improvement over Q2 2018

2.02% 1.91% 2.03% 1.99% 2.01% 2.09% 1.85% 1.90% 1.95% 2.00% 2.05% 2.10% Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Net interest margin (TEB1)

1 Net interest margin is a measure of profitability of assets. Net interest margin (TEB) is calculated by taking net interest income, on a taxable equivalent

basis, divided by the average total assets.

Disciplined, risk-based loan pricing Higher overall asset yields Reduced costs

  • f standby

facility

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High credit quality of our residential loan portfolio

71.3% 59.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 2018 2019

Weighted-Average LTV on new Uninsured Single-Family Residential Mortgages Originated in the period Weighted-Average LTV on all Uninsured Single-Family Residential Mortgages

Higher Beacon scores since implementation of B20 rules Customers with higher average credit scores coming to Home Capital Conservative loan-to- value on the total portfolio consistent with Q1 level

699 703 600 620 640 660 680 700 720 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4 2019Q1 2019Q2

  • Wt. Avg. Original Beacon
  • Wt. Avg. Current Beacon
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Net non-performing loans as % of gross loans

Results in 2018 and 2019 are reported under IFRS9 and results in 2017 are reported under IAS39 which may limit comparability to prior periods

Decline from Q1 attributable to lower non- performing commercial loans Loans are well- provisioned and within internal risk tolerance

0.47% 0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60%

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0.15% 0.09% (0.15%) (0.10%) (0.05%) 0.00% 0.05% 0.10% 0.15% 0.20% 0.25% Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Provisions and loss experience

Provisions (annualized) as a % of gross loans Net write-offs (annualized) as % of gross loans

  • Provisions for credit losses
  • f 0.15% of gross loans on

an annualized basis

  • Q2 net write-offs of 0.09%
  • f gross loans on an

annualized basis

  • Sequential increase

primarily due to the write off

  • f one specific non-

performing commercial loan which was provided for in a previous period

  • Single family residential

mortgage write-offs remain low at 0.02% in the quarter and 0.01% year to date

Provisions for credit loss and write-offs

Results in 2018 and 2019 are reported under IFRS9 and results in 2017 are reported under IAS39 which may limit comparability to prior periods

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Oaken is a partner of choice for savings

$10.6 $9.5 $9.5 $9.7 $9.4 $10.2 $10.6 $10.4 $2.2 $2.0 $2.2 $2.4 $2.6 $2.7 $2.9 $3.1 $12.8 $11.5 $11.7 $12.1 $12.0 $12.9 $13.5 $13.5

$- $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Broker and Oaken Deposits in $Billions

Broker Oaken Total

Oaken deposits passed the $3 billion mark in April 2019 Number of Oaken customers has grown by 24.3%

  • ver Q2 2018

Value of deposits per customer has grown by 9.8%

  • ver Q2 2018
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Liquidity risk management Liquid assets and near-term maturities

Aggregate available liquidity of $1.82 billion at end of Q2 2019 including $500 million undrawn credit facility

Near-term asset maturities exceed deposit maturities

$1,817 $1,376 $1,288 $1,358 $1,323 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% $- $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Millions

Liquid assets at carrying value As % of Total assets $2.4 $7.7 $3.2 $0.6 $13.9 $1.7 $4.4 $4.9 $2.1 $13.1 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 0-3 months 3-12 months 1-3 years Over 3 Years Total

Billions

Non-Securitized Contractual Mortgage Maturities Contractual Fixed Term Deposit Maturities

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Capital and leverage metrics1

Post SIB capital levels still above industry average and regulatory minimums

Leverage is within internal risk limits

23.21% 23.27% 18.94% 18.99% 19.49% Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

1 Ratios are based on Home Trust Company’s consolidated financial

position.

Basel III Common Equity Tier 1

8.96% 9.20% 7.54% 7.60% 7.77% Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Leverage ratio

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Update on Normal Course Issuer Bid

➢ NCIB commenced in January 2019 and expires at the end of December 2019 ➢ Approved purchases of up to 4.753 million shares ➢ Purchases done by third party within specified price and volume parameters ➢ 3.488 million shares have been repurchased to August 2, 2019 at an average price of $18.05 per share ➢ Intend to repurchase remaining 1.265 million shares authorized under the NCIB

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Questions?