Q1-2020 presentation May 28, 2020 1 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Q1-2020 presentation May 28, 2020 1 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Q1-2020 presentation May 28, 2020 1 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS PRESENTATION MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR


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Q1-2020 presentation

May 28, 2020

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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS PRESENTATION MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS. FLEX LNG LTD. (“FLEX LNG” OR “THE COMPANY”) DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "EXPECT," "ANTICIPATE," "ESTIMATE," "INTEND," "PLAN," "TARGET," "PROJECT," "LIKELY," "MAY," "WILL," "WOULD," "COULD" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT’S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN THE COMPANY’S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FLEX LNG BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND THE COMPANY’S CONTROL, THERE CAN BE NO ASSURANCE THAT THE COMPANY WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FLEX LNG UNDERTAKES NO OBLIGATION, AND SPECIFICALLY DECLINES ANY OBLIGATION, EXCEPT AS REQUIRED BY LAW, TO PUBLICLY UPDATE OR REVISE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS, WHETHER AS A RESULT OF NEW INFORMATION, FUTURE EVENTS OR OTHERWISE. IN ADDITION TO THESE IMPORTANT FACTORS, OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN THE COMPANY’S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE: UNFORESEEN LIABILITIES, FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES, THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTER RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE LNG TANKER MARKET, CHANGES IN THE COMPANY’S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRY-DOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE FUEL EFFICIENCY OF THE COMPANY’S VESSELS, THE MARKET FOR THE COMPANY’S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH THE COMPANY, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, INCLUDING THOSE THAT MAY LIMIT THE COMMERCIAL USEFUL LIVES OF LNG TANKERS, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS AND INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE, AND OTHER FACTORS, INCLUDING THOSE THAT MAY BE DESCRIBED FROM TIME TO TIME IN THE REPORTS AND OTHER DOCUMENTS THAT THE COMPANY FILES WITH OR FURNISHES TO THE U.S. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION (“SEC”). FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF CERTAIN OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPANY, PLEASE REFER TO THE REPORTS AND OTHER DOCUMENTS THAT FLEX LNG FILES WITH OR FURNISHES TO THE SEC. THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.

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FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

1) Time Charter Equivalent rate , Adjusted EBITDA , Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS are non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is included in the Q1-20 earnings report

  • Revenues of $38.2m vs. $52.0m for Q4-19
  • Time Charter Equivalent

(1) rate of $68kpdr in line with guidance of “close to $70kpdr”

  • Adjusted EBITDA

(1) of $27.8m vs. $41.6m Q4-19

  • Adjusted Net Income

(1) of $9.3m vs. $22.0m Q4-19

  • Adjusted EPS

(1) of $0.17 vs. $0.41 for Q4-19

  • 100% uptime on ships and no covid-19 sickness of seafarers or onshore personnel
  • Expect challenging market conditions in Q2 and Q3
  • ~97% of Q2 booked at TCE of close to $50kpdr subject normal operations
  • Board has decided to suspend dividends in order to ensure substantial cash position
  • Agreed $281m of attractive long-term financing for remaining two ships
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COVID-19 IMPLICATIONS

  • Availability of the vessels has remained at 100%, no

downtime or delays on the vessels

  • Several measures have been implemented since January

to maintain the safety and health of our crew, minimising external visits on-board

  • Remote ship visits by video conference has been

implemented as travel on-board has not been possible

  • Focus forward is on crew changes and travels to and

from the vessels, measures are in place to handle newbuilding deliveries

  • Dry-docking delays not an issue as our fleet is brand new
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FINANCING UPDATE

$125m Bank Facility – Flex Volunteer (Q1 2021)

  • Commitment received May 2020 for five-year term loan and revolving credit facility
  • Interest rate exposure fully swapped, attractive all-in cost of 3.30% p.a. including margin
  • 20 year repayment profile

$156.4m Sale and Leaseback – Flex Amber (Q3 2020)

  • 10-year sale and leaseback transaction with Asian based leasing house
  • Term sheet signed early April 2020, credit approval confirmed May 2020
  • Interest at LIBOR + 3.20% p.a.
  • 18 year repayment profile
  • Annual re-purchase options from first anniversary, purchase obligation at end of lease period

Both financings remain subject final documentation and customary closing conditions and are expect to be drawn/executed upon delivery of the relevant vessel from the shipyards

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FINANCING OVERVIEW

  • $1.7 billion in attractive financing arranged last two years
  • Diversified funding between lease financing, bank financing and ECA financing
  • Expanded relationship with leading international financing providers
  • <$30m in net remaining capex vs. cash of $121m per quarter end

1) $125M Bank Facility and $156.4M Sale & Leaseback remain subject final documentation and customary closing conditions. 2) $629M ECA Facility remains subject customary closing conditions.

$629M ECA Facility(2) Flex Aurora (Q3 2020) Flex Artemis (Q3 2020) Flex Resolute (Q3 2020) Flex Freedom (Q4 2020) Flex Vigilant (Q2 2021) $125M Bank Facility(1) Flex Volunteer (Q1 2021) $156.4M Sale & Leaseback(1) Flex Amber (Q3 2020) $100M Bank Facility Flex Ranger (2018) $250M Bank Facility Flex Constellation (2019) Flex Courageous (2019) $m 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Newbuilding Capex $629M ECA Facility $156.4M Sale & Leaseback $125M Bank Facility $157.5M Sale & Leaseback Flex Rainbow (2018) $300M Sale & Charterback Flex Endeavour (2018) Flex Enterprise (2018)

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STAGGERED DEBT MATURITY PROFILE

1) The $156.4M Sale & Leaseback and $125M Bank Facility remain subject final documentation and customary closing conditions. The $629m ECA facility remains subject customary closing conditions. Repayment schedule based on contracted delivery dates for newbuildings. The 12-year ECA tranche under the $629m ECA facility will mature at same time as the $250m commercial tranche if commercial tranche is not refinanced on terms acceptable to the ECA lenders.

  • Long funding secured with first loan maturity in July 2024
  • Staggered debt maturity profile, mitigating re-financing risk

$m

  • 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 $156.4M Sale & Leaseback $300M Sale & Charterback $157.5M Sale & Leaseback $125M Bank Facility $629M ECA Facility $100M Bank Facility $250M Bank Facility

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INCOME STATEMENT

1) Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted earnings per share are non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in the Q1-20 earnings report

  • Vessel operating revenues of $38.2m vs. $52.0m

for Q4-19

  • Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $27.8m vs. $41.6m for Q4-19
  • Gain/(loss) on derivatives includes unrealized non-

cash loss on interest rate swaps of $21.8m vs. gain

  • f $1.5m in Q4-19
  • Unrealized foreign exchange loss of $2.3m vs. gain
  • f $0.2m in Q4-19
  • Net loss of $14.9m vs. net income of $23.9m for

Q4-19

  • Adjusted net income(1) of $9.3m vs. $22.0m for Q4-

19

  • Adjusted earnings per share(1) of $0.17 vs. $0.41 for

Q4-19

(in thousands of $ except per share data) Three months ended Mar 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Vessel operating revenues 38,192 51,994 Voyage expenses (1,206) (388) Vessel operating expenses (7,541) (8,114) Administrative expenses (1,572) (1,850) Depreciation (8,587) (8,683) Operating income/(loss) 19,286 32,959 Interest income 129 349 Interest expense (10,105) (11,084) Gain/(loss) on derivatives (21,903) 1,589 Foreign exchange gain/(loss) (2,283) 230 Other financial items (25) (4) Income/(loss) before tax (14,901) 24,039 Income tax credit/(expense) 24 (183) Net income/(loss) (14,877) 23,856 Earnings/(loss) per share (0.27) 0.44 Adjusted EBITDA 27,848 41,638 Adjusted net income 9,309 22,037 Adjusted earnings per share 0.17 0.41

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BALANCE SHEET

1) Long term debt is presented net of debt issuance cost

  • Solid liquidity of $120.8m as per Mar 31, 2020
  • Assets consist of six vessels in operation and

seven newbuildings under construction

  • Vessel purchase prepayments of $349.5m

relates to remaining seven newbuildings

  • Total interest bearing debt of $771m, of which

$35.7m is due next 12 months(1)

  • Equity ratio of 50%

(in thousands of $) Mar 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Assets Current assets Cash, restricted cash and cash equivalents 120,802 129,098 Other current assets 19,201 14,792 Non-current assets Vessels and equipment 1,138,674 1,147,274 Other fixed assets 8 10 Vessel purchase prepayment 349,472 349,472 Derivative instruments 636 Total Assets 1,628,157 1,641,282 Liabilities and Equity Current liabilities Current portion of long-term debt 35,706 34,566 Derivative instruments 23,561 2,371 Other current liabilities 14,538 20,795 Non-current liabilities Long-term debt 735,310 744,283 Other non-current liabilities 1 2 Total equity 819,041 839,265 Total Equity and Liabilities 1,628,157 1,641,282

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CASHFLOW DURING THE QUARTER

$m

129.1 120.8 14.1 (8.3) (6.5) (5.4) (2.2) 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 Cash 31.12.2019 Cash from

  • perations

Repayment of debt Financing cost (ECA Loan) Dividends paid Exchange rate effect Cash 31.03.2020

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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 Jun-19 Jul-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 # of vessels open TC $/Day Open East of Suez Open West of Suez

Freight rates and ship availability Total Fixture Activity (Existing Vessels Only)

SPOT MARKET REVIEW

1) Source: Affinity, Poten Company

2020 2019

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2 4 6 8 10 Greece Portugal Belgium Netherlands Bangladesh Italy Spain France China UK

Europe was 8 of top 10 LNG growth markets in 2019

EUROPE CONTINUES TO BE THE LNG SINK

1) Source: Kpler

MT Europe also dominates 2020 growth table (Jan-May)

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3

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7.7 7.6 7.0 5.6 5.6 7.7 7.2 6.8 5.1 4.7 7.0 4.3 4.4 4.3 5.0 6.3 4.1 4.5 5.5 5.7 4.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.0 4.6 4.6 3.8 3.3 3.3 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.8 2.3 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.5 2.8 3.7 2.3 2.3 2.9 2.6 3.3 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Mt Japan China South Korea India Taiwan Rest

ASIAN DEMAND FAIRLY STABLE WITH 4% GROWTH Y-O-Y

1) Source: Kpler

  • Chinese demand recovered after

covid-19 disruptions in February/March

  • Chinese LNG import from US

expected to be about 0.5Mt in May which is highest level since January 2018

  • Indian demand picked up again in

May after easing of movement restrictions

  • South Korean market has been

stable as coal imports been reduced in favor of LNG

  • Generally weak Japanese demand

due to prolonged shutdown

2019 2020

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Monthly European LNG imports Resulting in high European inventory levels

EUROPEAN IMPORTS +67% IN 2019 AND +26% Y-O-Y 2020

1) Source: Kpler and Energy Aspects

2 4 6 8 10 12 Mt Spain France UK Turkey Italy Rest

Bcm

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  • 2.00

4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 HHI JKM TTF Brent 331(14%) +0,8 $/Mmbtu Brent 331(13%)

LNG PRODUCT MARKET REVIEW

Source: Bloomberg, CME, Poten

Oil linked pricing ~70% volumes $/Mmbtu

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LNG is cheaper than coal Rebound in European carbon prices

LOW GAS PRICES WILL STIMULATE COAL TO GAS SWITCHING

1) Source: Bloomberg, ICE, CME, Company,

  • 2.00

4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 USD/MMbtu Aussie coal(USD/mmbtu) Brent(USD/mmbtu) LNG price Asia Coal adj. Efficiency Dutch TTF 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00

European CO2 price in €

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FID of new volumes in 2019 Main contenders for FID in 2020/21

FID’S DELAYED FOR NOW, BUT ~70MMTPA MADE THE CUT

1) Source: Bloomberg, Platts

8.5 29.3 8.9 9 9 30.3 18.5 2.5 18.5 30.9

16.5 0.9 19.8 2.4 3.4 2.5 20.6

2 1.2 3.6 1.5 3.8

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Australia North America Russia Africa Southeast Asia Mt

Golden Pass: 15,6 Mmtpa, brownfield Sabine Pass T6: 4,5 Mmtpa, brownfield, Mozambique : 12,9 Mmtpa, greenfield Calcasieu Pass : 10,8 Mmtpa, greenfield Arctic LNG-2: 19.8 Mmtpa, greenfield Nigeria LNG T7: 7.7Mmtpa, brownfield

Likely FIDs Country Volume (Mmtpa) Qatargas expansion 33-49 Rovuma LNG 15.2 Woodfibre 2.1 Pluto Train 2 5.0 Energia Costa Azul I 3.3 Driftwood LNG Phase 1 16.6 Port Arthur 13.5 Freeport T4 5.0 PNG T3/Papua LNG 8.0 Total FID volumes 102-119

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~160MT NEW CAPACITY EXPECTED ON-STREAM BY 2025

1) Source: Poten, BNEF, Company

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Argentina Australia Cameroon Qatar Canada Indonesia Malaysia Oman Russia Senegal Mozambique US

Expected ramp-up of nameplate capacity Glut of LNG coupled with trade war, two warm winters and covid-19 pandemic Expect tighter product market and more Asian demand rather than Eurocentric demand

33Mt Qatari volumes subject to FID

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Reduction in emissions from natural gas vs coal in power gen.

SWITCHING TO NATURAL GAS IS NOW FREE HEALTH POLICY

1) Source: Reuters, Company, Bloomberg

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  • We delivered TCE of ~$68kpdr in line with

guidance of “close to $70kpdr” despite challenging first quarter. Expect TCE close to $50kpdr in Q2.

  • LNG freight market continues to be affected near

term by combination of glut of LNG and reduced demand due to covid-19 pandemic

  • Flex LNG well capitalized with $121m cash position

and $910m attractive long-term financing for the seven newbuilds with remaining capex of $937m

  • We are well positioned with a fleet of 13 state-of-

the-art LNG carriers (MEGI/XDF) with industry low cash-break even levels

  • LNG is a long game with very positive long-term

drivers despite near term weakness

SUMMARY

Flex Artemis and Flex Freedom at DSME April 2020

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Q&A