INVESTOR PRESENTATION //
August 2013
PRESENTATION // August 2013 Forward looking statements This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION // August 2013 Forward looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject
August 2013
August 2013 // Page 1
– Chim Sáo, Huntington, Catcher, Bream, Sea Lion – FPSOs – West Natuna, North Sumatra – Asian gas position
– Disposal of non-operated/non-core assets
– Disciplined spend
– Initial dividend paid June 2013
– Underlying production growth to 100 kboepd and beyond
August 2013 // Page 3
August 2013 // Page 4
2P + Sea Lion independent valuations at 10% discount rate
~£6/share
~£10/share
discoveries and exploration
August 2013 // Page 5
Funding outlook
– $2 billion pa post-Catcher* – $2.5 billion pa post-Sea Lion*
discretionary exploration spend
Sea Lion first oil at $85/bbl
facilities down to $65/bbl
2500
Development capex (US$ million)
2014 2250 2000 1750 1500 1250 1000 750 500 250 2013 2015 2016 2017
Standby Funding – Sea Lion Premier
* Assumes US$100/bbl
August 2013 // Page 6
Rapidly rising production and cash flow (kboepd)
2011 2013 2012 Sea Lion Catcher 40 63 58 100+ 100
August 2013 // Page 7
assets for $231 million cash and $770 million carry
– Concept selection mid-2013 – Project sanction mid-2014 – Generates IRR of >20% at $85/bbl oil
– Up to 3 well progamme with 100-250-750 mmboe resource potential
tax rate of 32.6%
August 2013 // Page 9
Production and development
up and Rochelle onstream
– 1st phase of Solan development drilling commenced – Catcher development concept agreed; first oil timing dependent on FPSO tender process
UK tax position Exploration
– successful test of the Triassic play on the Eastern Margin of the CNS
development and production assets
projects will drive continuing growth
August 2013 // Page 10
5 10 15 20 25 30 2012 1H 2013 2H 2013 FY 2014
UK Production (kboepd)
Solan Huntington & Rochelle Producing
Grosbeak; Skarfjell extension Luno II Mandal High Frøy Bream Blåbaer
meet internal metrics
– Assumed operatorship – Equalised stakes across PL406 (Mackerel) & PL407 (Bream) – Partners are Kufpec and Tullow Oil
processing hub continue at Frøy
drilling – Myrhauk prospect targeted for 2014 drilling
August 2013 // Page 11
August 2013 // Page 12
Dua pipe lay February 2013
Dua oil fields
– Addressing power issues which could lead to greater deliverability
– Production and pigging flow lines laid in Q1 2013 ahead
– Forecast average gross production rate of 8-10 kbopd in the first 12 months
Block 121 – established presence of deep clastic reservoir rocks and an active petroleum charge
August 2013 // Page 13
Construction of Pelikan/Naga jackets Anoa phase 4
Singapore gas market through development and ongoing exploration activity
14.1 kboepd – Total sales capacity increasing with Anoa Phase 4, Pelikan and Naga expected onstream 2013/2014 – Rising market share offsets impact of LNG in Singapore
– Capex estimate of ~$650mm – Matang success adds resources
for 2H 2013
– Gross accessible prospective resource ~2 TCF
August 2013 // Page 14
Round awards added in 2013
year-to-date successful – Luno II, Matang, Bonneville, K-32 & Lacewing – Successful testing of Luno II & Matang
System
impact plays with significant follow on potential
August 2013 // Page 16
Q3 Q4
Indonesia
Tuna Block Kuda Laut & Singa Laut 60 High 65
Norway
PL359 Luno II Appraisal TBC Low 35
Kadanwari
K-36 5 Low 15.79 Badhra South Deepening-1 38 High 6 Badhra BN-2 8 Low 6 Mauritania PSC C-10 Tapendar TBC TBC 6.23 North Sea Rest of World Pakistan
Badhra-Bhit
P50 gross unrisked resource (mmboe) Risk Equity Asia
SLB Rig-23 Ocean General Weatherford 812 SLB Rig-23 Stena DrillMax
Contingent Wells Firm Wells: Rig Contracted Firm Wells: Rig TBC All well timings are subject to revision for operational reasons Wells to watch
August 2013 // Page 17
Bonneville discoveries
Luno II discovery
Lacewing discovery
quality sands
commerciality
Inner Moray Firth Mandal High Greater Catcher Area Quad 16 Mesozoic Luno II Lacewing Bonneville Grosbeak; Skarfjell extension
August 2013 // Page 18
Luno II significant oil discovery
PL 359
BCU Time Map
C.I. 100 ms
10km
Johan Sverdrup Luno/Apollo Ragnarrock
Luno II discovery
Luno II core sampling
August 2013 // Page 19
the Phu Khanh Basin
Petroleum System – Reservoir rocks and source rocks in the Oligocene – Thermogenic gas in the Miocene
whether there are structures capable of holding reservoir quality sands
Deep Water Leads Area Basin Edge Leads
Block 121 Prospects and Leads
Swordfish Whale & East Whale 25km
121-CV-1X NW SW 121-CV-1 Proposed Surface Location
August 2013 // Page 20
Kuda/Singa Laut (2H 2013)
kitchen to the east
NW SE
Belut Laut-1
TD 4977m
Kuda Laut MMU L.Terumbu Arang Gabus Depth of Top Oligocene in Gajah Laut Utara Gajah Laut Utara-1
TD 4687m
Singa Laut
August 2013 // Page 21
Kenya (L10A & L10B)
Cretaceous sandstone (gas?) play in the East
Kiboko Prospect, Block L11B
Outboard Plays
Block L10B
W E
10 km
NE SW
Turaco prospect Tembo Trough
Green arrows highlight potential hydrocarbon migration routes from underlying Tertiary source rocks to Miocene reef reservoirs
Inboard Reef Play
4 km
Sunbird prospect Babbler prospect
August 2013 // Page 22
– ~300 feet of fractured Lama Sandstones within the Anoa field – 70-100-150 bcf total gas in place
– Gross accessible prospective resource: ~2TCF – Exploration drilling in 2014 and 2015
Lama Prospects and Leads
August 2013 // Page 23
Utsira High in 2008 – Proven Kitchen to west of High – Proven Jurassic sands to east
– Hydrocarbons proven in basement
– Gross resource potential 10-60-135 mmboe
Premier has access to ~ 200 mmbo of net prospective resources on and around the Mandal High
Mandal High
August 2013 // Page 24
Fan 2 Fan 3 Fan 1
inventory
– Play opening wells below Sea Lion sands & in up-dip east flank sands – 100-250-750 mmboe total gross resource potential in multiple stacked targets
Fan 5 Fan 1 Fan 2 Fan 3 Fan 4 Beverly Discovery Casper South Discovery
August 2013 // Page 25
Brazil’s 11th Round
water basins offshore NE Brazil
within Cretaceous Rift basins
2014/2015 in each block
– 1 in Block FZA-M-90 – 2 in Block CE-M-717
August 2013 // Page 26
Natuna Sea UK CNS Pakistan Nam Con Son Basin Norway Utsira High (Luno II) Block A Aceh UK Inner Moray Firth UK CNS (Deep/HPHT) Norway Mandal High Natuna Sea Lama Play Falklands (NFB) Brazil (Ceará Basin) Brazil (Foz do Amazonas Basin) Phu Khanh Basin Iraq (Block 12) Offshore Kenya Deepwater Mauritania
FRONTIER EMERGENT EARLY MATURE MATURE Exploration Maturity / Wells Drilled Discoveries
the portfolio by entering frontier and emergent plays in rift and frontal fold belt geologies
August 2013 // Page 27
Huntington UK CNS Solan
Catcher UK CNS Bream Area Norway Sea Lion Falkland Islands Premier equity 40% 60% 50% 50%1 60% Operator No Yes Yes Yes Yes First Oil 2013 2014 2016 2018 2017 Reserves (2P) 27 mmboe 44 mmbbls 90 mmbbls 50 mmboe2 300 mmboe2 Plateau production 25-30 kboepd 24 kbopd 50-70 kbopd 35-38 kboepd 80-85 kboepd Capex (gross field) $20/boe $20/bbl $18/bbl $25/boe $17/boe Opex (LOF) $34/boe3 $19/bbl $32/bbl2 $34/boe $26/boe
1 subject to Norwegian government approval 2 to be booked at project sanction 3 Including FPSO lease costs
August 2013 // Page 29
Key milestones
received in April
production run rate of 24 kbopd
Subsurface and drilling
commenced – Phase 1 April 2013: 2 injectors & producer upper hole sections – Phase 2 April 2014: finish drilling 2 producers
Producers Injectors
Solan reservoir cross section Solan well plan
August 2013 // Page 30
Platform and Subsea
December in Dubai
lines awarded
maintenance visits
Platform fabrication at Methil Subsea tank fabrication Solan development schematic
August 2013 // Page 31
Key milestones
concept in December 2012 – Leased FPSO – Subsea development of three fields
to FPSO proposals Subsurface and drilling
to optimise subsurface development and drilling plans
commence shortly
FPSO and subsea wells
August 2013 // Page 32
FPSO and subsea
Now FPSO Bids Project Sanction Order Long Lead Items
FPSO Funded Tender Process Evaluate Bids Finalise Contracts Subsea Feed Tender Subsea EPCI Contract(s) Optimise Subsurface Development Plan Tender Drilling Rig CATS / Fulmar Negotiations JV Approval Process DECC Approval Process Prepare DECC Field Dev. Plan Prepare Environmental Statement 2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec FPSO Subsea Drilling and Subsurface Select Gas OfftakeRoute Approvals
August 2013 // Page 33
Key milestones
Subsurface and drilling
modelling underway for Sea Lion
discussions with rig companies commenced
the development drilling campaign
August 2013 // Page 34
FPSO and subsea
assess options for conversions and new builds
fatigue life, turret designs and offloading
bundles as an alternative to conventional flowlines
has commenced
August 2013 // Page 35
Falkland Islands Indonesia Norway Pakistan & Mauritania UK Vietnam Total 2P Reserves On production
29.7 28.0 122.1 Approved for development
19.8 7.0 68.4 Justified for development
74.3 1.4 101.4 Total Reserves
123.7 36.4 291.9 2C Contingent Resources Development pending 193.7
2.5 4.2
Development un- clarified / on hold 32.7 68.0 0.1 16.2 16.7 13.2 146.9 Development not currently viable 6.2 4.9 2.3 12.8 28.7 7.2 62.0 Total Contingent Resources 232.6 72.9 73.9 31.5 49.6 20.3 480.7 Total Reserves & Contingent Resources 232.6 170.1 73.9 66.0 173.3 56.8 772.7
August 2013 // Page 36
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 Operating costs (US$/bbl) 2012 2011 UK 41.9 39.5 Indonesia 11.2 11.1 Pakistan 2.3 2.4 Vietnam 13.7 16.6 Group 16.2 15.9 Highlights 12 months to 31 Dec 2012 Working Interest production (kboepd) Entitlement production (kboepd) Realised oil price (US$/bbl) - pre hedge Realised gas price (US$/mcf) - pre hedge Sales and other operating revenues Cost of sales Gross profit Exploration/New Business General and administration costs Operating profit Financial items Profit before taxation Tax credit/(charge) Profit after taxation 40.4 37.7 111.9 8.5 US$m 827 (415) 412 (211) (26) 176 (34) 142 30 171 57.7 51.6 111.4 8.3 US$m 1,409 (743) 666 (187) (24) 455 (95) 360 (108) 252
US$25 million post-tax
average equivalent of US$105/bbl
2014 targeting US$110/bbl Hedging
August 2013 // Page 38
Cash flow from operations Taxation Operating cash flow Capital expenditure Acquisitions/disposals, net Finance and other charges, net Pre-licence expenditure Net cash out flow
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 US$m
2012 Development Exploration Capital expenditure split (US$m) 772
530 (44) 486 (661) (90) (50) (23) (338)
12 months to 31 Dec 2012 US$m
1,041 (233) 808 (772) (210) (163) (29) (366)
2013 Forecast of US$1 billion (development) and US$200 million (exploration)
433 228 661 2011
– US$6.6/bbl (including carries)
(new projects): – US$14.3/bbl
(post tax): – US$5.4/bbl Acquisitions, development and finding costs 585 187
August 2013 // Page 39
Cash Bank debt Bonds Convertibles Net debt position Gearing Cash and undrawn facilities 309 (484) (341) (228) (744) 36% 1,116 187 (500) (577) (220) (1,110) 36% 1,110
Average debt costs of 4.6% (fixed) and 2.3% (floating) Facilities extended post year-end by US$150 million Excludes uncommitted facilities of $310 million
Stable balance sheet; continued access to multiple debt markets
Debt maturity profile (including Letters of Credit)
1 Maturity value of US$245 million
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 US$m 12 months to 31 Dec 2012 US$m
1
2 Net debt/net debt plus equity
2
August 2013 // Page 40
Overseas Prior period provisions/revisions UK PRT CT Current charge Deferred tax credits Tax charge/credit for the year
12 months to 31 Dec 2011 US$m
Allowances brought forward Net additions RFES Tax allowances carried forward
UK Tax Losses/Allowances Position
12 months to 31 Dec 2012 US$m
Tax charge
Tax paying overseas; no UK CT expected until post-2018
Overseas tax position
137.0 (11.9) 83.1 – 208.2 (100.3) 107.9 1,360 398 129 1,887
% of Operating Profit* Indonesia 50 Pakistan, Vietnam 30-33
60.1 70.0 17.2 – 147.3 (177.0) (29.7)
As at 31 Dec US$m
*Before exploration write off
August 2013 // Page 41
August 2013 // Page 43
Premier 35%
– 3D required to validate trap extent and mature lead inventory
FZA-M-90
Top Rift / Base Drift
August 2013 // Page 44
Premier 50% (Op)
– 250 mmbbl prospective resource potential; key risk is reservoir quality
– 250-300 mmbbl prospective resource potential; 3D required to validate trap extent
SW NE
CE-M-717
August 2013 // Page 45
Premier 50% (op)
– 3D required to validate trap extent
SW NE
CE-M-665
R S
10km
August 2013 // Page 46
Premier Oil Plc 23 Lower Belgrave Street London SW1W 0NR Tel: +44 (0)20 7730 1111 Fax: +44 (0)20 7730 4696 Email: premier@premier-oil.com
August 2013