preliminary results year ended 31 december 2014
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PRELIMINARY RESULTS Year ended 31 December 2014 Ladbrokes plc 26 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

PRELIMINARY RESULTS Year ended 31 December 2014 Ladbrokes plc 26 February 2015 Disclaimer Certain statements included or incorporated by reference within this presentation may constitute "forward looking statements" in respect of the


  1. PRELIMINARY RESULTS Year ended 31 December 2014 Ladbrokes plc 26 February 2015

  2. Disclaimer Certain statements included or incorporated by reference within this presentation may constitute "forward looking statements" in respect of the operations, performance, prospects and/or financial condition of Ladbrokes plc (the “Company”). Generally, words such as “may”, “could”, “will”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “anticipate”, “aim”, “outlook”, “believe”, “plan”, “seek”, “continue” or similar expressions identify forward looking statements. Such statements are inherently predictive and speculative and are based on the Company’s current expectations and b eliefs concerning future events and are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties beyond the Company’s control that coul d cause actual future financial condition, performance or results to differ materially from any plans, goals and expectations referred to in these forward looking statements. Such statements are also based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company’s present and future strategy and the environment in which it operates, which may not be accurate. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward looking statements contained in this presentation or any other forward looking statements it may make, save in respect of any requirement under applicable law or regulation. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast. Past performance cannot be relied upon as a guide to future performance and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser. No representation or warranty (express or implied) of any nature is given nor is any responsibility or liability of any kind accepted by the Company or any of its directors, officers, employees, advisers, representatives or other agents, with respect to the truthfulness, completeness or accuracy of any information, projection, representation or warranty (expressed or implied), omissions, errors or misstatements in this presentation, or any other written or oral statement provided. Nothing contained in this presentation is intended to constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity for the purposes of the prohibition on financial promotions in section 21 of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. In making this presentation available, the Company makes no recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in shares of the Company or in any other securities or investments whatsoever and you should neither rely nor act upon, directly or indirectly, any of the information contained in this presentation in respect of any such investment activity. This presentation may not be reproduced (in whole or in part), distributed or transmitted to any other person without the prior written consent of the Company and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation . Any recipients of this presentation outside the UK should inform themselves of and observe any applicable legal or regulatory requirements in their jurisdiction, and are treated as having represented that they are able to receive this presentation without contravention of any law or regulation in the jurisdiction in which they reside or conduct business. In particular, the securities referred to in this presentation have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 and may not be offered, sold or transferred within the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933. 2

  3. INTRODUCTION Peter Erskine, Chairman

  4. AGENDA Financial Overview Ian Bull, CFO Operational Review Richard Glynn, CEO Q&A

  5. Group Financial Performance Summary Year ended 31 December 2014 2013 Variance £m £m  2014 – year of exceptional football: (1)(3)  Q1 Football Net revenue 1,158.9 1,116.6 +3.8%  A good World Cup  Boxing Day alone costs c.£8 million (1)(2) Operating profit (9.3)% 125.4 138.3 Finance costs (27.4) (25.0) (9.6)%  H2 operating profit: +30%, H2 growth (1) Profit before tax 98.0 113.3 (13.5)% objectives delivered Effective tax rate 5.0% 5.1%  Tax: lower than guidance High Rollers 14.2 5.9 +141%  2014 DPS: 8.9p per share as committed (1) Underlying EPS 10.1p 11.7p (13.7)%  High Rollers: strong contribution in H1 Dividend 8.9p 8.9p Net debt 419.2 398.6 (5.2)%  Net debt: broadly stable Before exceptional items (1) Excluding High Rollers (2) Includes amortisation of acquisition related intangible assets of £5.6m in FY14 and £4.0m in FY13 (3) 2013 net revenue has been adjusted to reflect the change from VAT to MGD on 1 February 2013 5

  6. Group Operating Profit KPIs on track; Digital back to growth; 2014 industry-wide results  Overall  UK Retail: significantly impacted by Boxing Day losses  Digital: strong mobile, Gaming back to growth, y-o-y EBIT growth supported by Australia  European Retail: good progress in Belgium and Spain, Ireland remains challenging  Depreciation and amortisation: £77.7m, in middle of guidance range  Corporate costs: £22.9m, better than guidance 6

  7. UK Retail Operating Profit Underlying OTC stable, machines and costs ahead of guidance £(17.4)m £18.3m £133.9m £(5.3)m £(3.4)m £125.2m £(5.9)m £(0.9)m £119.3m FY13 EBIT Boxing Day loss GPT & MGD Adjusted OTC margin (1) OTC Machines Costs/SIS FY14 EBIT staking/freebets revenue  OTC Staking broadly stable: -1.4%; football +29% (+12% ex. W’Cup )  OTC Gross win margin: 16.4% (-0.5pps)  Machines: strong in H2 driven by slots (gross win Q3 +4.9%; Q4 +5.9%)  Cost targets exceeded: op. costs +2.7%. H2 savings plan delivered c.£3m.  SIS: contributes £1.2m in H2  Estate optimisation (2) : 89 shops closed; exceptional cost £26.9m (cash £12.1m (3) ); c.60 to close in 2015 (1) Excludes Boxing Day loss (2) Shops closed in 2014 generated operating loss of £1.1m with net revenue of £6.2m (3) 2014 cash costs £4.9m and future cash costs £7.2m 7

  8. UK Retail Gross win per shop trends remain resilient 96 95 94 95 94 93 91 92 91 91 Average = 91 90 89 89 88 86 86 85 84 OTC GW per shop (1) (£000) Machine GW per shop (£000)  2014: after tough Q1 results, gross win per shop exceeds or achieves 5 year average in last three quarters driven by machine growth and effective estate optimisation  2015: target increased football staking. Expect further, gradual decline in traditional products. Target margins of c.16.5-17.0%  Resilient cash generation continues: operating FCF (2) of c.£138.0m (FY13: £124.8m) (1) Analysis excludes greyhound tracks Operating FCF = EBITDA before exceptional items – Capex (2) 8

  9. UK Retail Estate Gross Win Machine growth remains strong and improved social responsibility Machine investment delivering growth  Q3 and Q4 deliver growth ahead of our 9.8% expectations ABB Code implementation/ Clarity roll-out 6.5%  Non roulette B3 (lower stake) slot products key 5.9% 4.9% driver (+24% yoy in H2); roulette stable 2.5% 2.2%  14Q4 mix: non B2 now 38% of machine gross 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% -1.1% win (13Q4: 34%) Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 FY15 -2.4%  Higher MGD from 1 March 2015 -5.0%  DCMS regulations to impact on £50+ B2 games Machine GW yoy growth from April 2015 Machine GW per shop per week yoy growth  Target revenue growth of c.5% excluding DCMS impact  DCMS guidance: mid single digit impact on B2 spend from April 2015 9

  10. Adverse Results When are exceptional results exceptional? Football Daily Gross Win/Loss Frequency 2009-2014 2014 a year with several weeks of large losses 10 s  Large wins and losses normal part of our Boxing Day 2014 138 days of business as we saw in H1 football >£1m win  Boxing Day loss – truly exceptional at 11 standard deviations from average. Too late in FY14 to benefit from recycling  Impacted UK OTC margins by around 1 ppt in Q4, resulted in a FY 2014 GW margin of 16.4% below our target range of 16.5-17.0%  We recovered well from losses in 14Q1 as OTC Gross Win Margin Trends customers recycled winnings into football betting 18.9% 16.9% 17.1% 16.2% 16.5% 17.0% 15.6% 16.9% Average 14.9% = 16.6%  Digital recycling faster than in Retail  Industry-wide football loss in week 3 and week 8 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q4 14 of 2015 ex. Boxing Day loss 10

  11. UK Retail Costs performance better than guidance, more savings in 2015  Trend better than Feb 2014 guidance of +c.5% Year ended 2014 2013 (1) Variance 31 December £m £m  Staff costs – more effective scheduling Staff 200.5 201.4 (0.4)%  Rental – renewals better than reflected in our plans Property 115.8 113.9 +1.7%  Content – voluntary levy increase, Sky roll-out Content 96.8 87.1 +11.1% and normal inflationary increases Depreciation 39.3 35.6 +10.4%  2015 guidance: Other 97.8 97.6 +0.2%  Benefit from FY14/15 shop closures, operating Operating Costs 550.2 535.6 +2.7% costs will decline by c.1-2%  Like for like increase of c.1-2% 11

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