Power/Sample Size Calculations for Assessing Correlates
- f Risk in Clinical Efficacy Trials (Gilbert, Janes, Huang,
2016, Stat Med)
Peter Gilbert
Sanofi Pasteur Swiftwater PA
September 24–26, 2018
- P. Gilbert (U of W)
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Power/Sample Size Calculations for Assessing Correlates of Risk in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Power/Sample Size Calculations for Assessing Correlates of Risk in Clinical Efficacy Trials (Gilbert, Janes, Huang, 2016, Stat Med ) Peter Gilbert Sanofi Pasteur Swiftwater PA September 2426, 2018 P. Gilbert (U of W) Power for CoRs 09/2019
Sanofi Pasteur Swiftwater PA
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1 Introduction 2 Parameters of interest and identifiability assumptions 3 Power and sample size calculations 4 Specification of ρ 5 Discussion
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Introduction
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Introduction
1 Cai J, Zeng D. Sample size/power calculation for case-cohort studies.
2 Dupont WD, Plummer Jr WD. Power and sample size calculations: a
3 Garc´
4 Haneuse S, Saegusa T, Lumley T. osDesign: an R package for the
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Parameters and Assumptions
x
z (x) ≡ P(Y (z) = 1|X = x) for x = 0, 1, 2 and z = 0, 1
x
1 (x)
0 (x)
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Parameters and Assumptions
z (x, s1)
1 (x, s1)
0 (x, s1)
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Parameters and Assumptions
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Parameters and Assumptions
1
2 ,
2
1
2
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
0 , Plat 2 )
tr),
e),
tr + σ2 e
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
e/σ2
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
−3 −2 −1 1 2 3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 True Biomarker Readout X* Density Subgroup with VE = VElat_lo Subgroup with VE = VElat_med Subgroup with VE = VElat_hi Plat_lo Plat_med Plat_hi
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
1
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
1 (x∗)
0 (x∗),
z (x∗) ≡ P(Y (z) = 1|X ∗(1) = x∗)
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
lowestVE of subjects with the lowest X ∗(1) values
1 (ν)
0 (ν)
lowestVE as the fraction of
lowestVE), where Φ−1(·) is the inverse
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
1 (x∗) is modeled as a constant:
1 (x∗) = (1 − VElowest)risklat 0 (ν)
1 (x∗) is modeled via a logistic regression model
1 (x∗)) = αlat + βlatx∗
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
0 (x) = risk0 (as stated below) implies that
lowestVErisklat 1 (ν)
ν
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
1) for all s′ 1 < s1
1 < s1
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
i , Xi) and (Oi, X ∗ i , Xi) for i = 1, . . . , N
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
1 (x∗, s1) ≡ P(Y (1) = 1|X ∗(1) = x∗, S∗(1) = s1) = risklat 1 (x∗)
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
0 (x∗, s1) = risk0(s1) = risk0
0 (x∗, s1) = risk0(s1) = risk0
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
x=0 RRlat x P(X = x|S = 2)
x=0 RRlat x P(X = x|S = 0)
2 /RRlat
2 /RRlat
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
CoR Risk Ratio ES_t in Vaccine Group (Hi vs. Lo) Higher Protected RR / Lower Protected RR 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
(a) PlatloVE=PloS=0.10; PlathiVE=PhiS=0.10 rho=1 rho=0.9 rho=0.7 rho=0.5
CoR Risk Ratio ES_t in Vaccine Group (Hi vs. Lo) Higher Protected RR / Lower Protected RR 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
(b) PlatloVE=PloS=0.20; PlathiVE=PhiS=0.20
CoR Risk Ratio ES_t in Vaccine Group (Hi vs. Lo) Higher Protected RR / Lower Protected RR 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
(c) PlatloVE=PloS=0.30; PlathiVE=PhiS=0.30
CoR Risk Ratio ES_t in Vaccine Group (Hi vs. Lo) Higher Protected RR / Lower Protected RR 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
(d) PlatloVE=PloS=0.40; PlathiVE=PhiS=0.40
RR Ratio in the Higher/Lower Protected Subgroups vs. CoR Effect Size ES_t Overall VE = 0.31 VE_lower varies from 0.31 to 0 as VE_higher varies from 0.31 to 0.62
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Power and Sample Size Calculations
risk1(s1) risk1(s1−1) depends on s1, it is not particularly useful
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Specification of ρ
* = 1 – Variance from within vaccinee replicates + Variance from days since Mo 6 vaccination Total inter-vaccinee variance of response
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Specification of ρ
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Discussion
0 (x∗, s1) = risk0(s1) = risk0 conditional on W )
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Discussion
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Discussion
0 (x∗, s1) = risk0(s1) = risk0
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Discussion
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