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GUESS THE NUMBERS
And the winners are…
51% 75% 75 173 471
Voter turnout New ALDE MEPs Greens/EFA Eurosceptics New MEPs
Post EU elections analysis Paolo Nicoletti Senior Partner, NOVE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Post EU elections analysis Paolo Nicoletti Senior Partner, NOVE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Post EU elections analysis Paolo Nicoletti Senior Partner, NOVE paolo.nicoletti@nove.eu GUESS THE NUMBERS And the winners are 51% Voter turnout 75% New ALDE MEPs 75 Greens/EFA 173 Eurosceptics 471 New MEPs WHAT WILL WE TALK ABOUT
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WHAT WILL WE TALK ABOUT ?
- A fragmented European Parliament
- A contract for Europe ?
- Top jobs: a test for majority building
- Things to know
- And the policies…
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A FRAGMENTED EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT
A Greener or Eurosceptic assembly?
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A LOOK AT THE NEW PARLIAMENT
- 33
+23 +38
- 38
- 12
+13 +21
- 14
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A NEW ALDE: RENEW EUROPE
Guy Verhofstadt ALDE Group President Mark Rutte Prime Minister of Netherlands Emanuel Macron President of France Charles Michel, Prime minister of Belgium
COUNTRY DELEGATION SIZE FRANCE 21 UK 16 ROMANIA 8 SPAIN 8 GERMANY 7 CZECH REPUBLIC 6 NETHERLANDS 6 DENMARK 5 BELGIUM 4
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“GREEN WAVE”
COUNTRY DELEGATION SIZE GERMANY 24 FRANCE 12 UK 11 BELGIUM 3 CZECH REPUBLIC 3 NETHERLANDS 3 SPAIN 3
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A “GREENER” S&D?
Udo Bullmann S&D Group President Pedro Sanchez Prime Minister of Spain Iratxe Garcia Perez S&D President contender Antonio Costa Prime Minister of Portugal
A total number of “Green” MEPs ~80
COUNTRY DELEGATION SIZE SPAIN 20 ITALY 19 GERMANY 16 UK 10 PORTUGAL 9 ROMANIA 9 POLAND 8 NETHERLANDS 6
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EUROSCEPTICS, WORKING TOGETHER?
IT 28 UK 29 PL 26 HU 13 FR 22 IT 14 UK 4 DE 11 73 43 44 13
173 EUROSCEPTIC MEPS
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EUROSCEPTICS: QUARANTINE?
“WHAT WE’RE CLEAR ABOUT IS THAT WE’RE GOING TO DRAW A RED LINE AGAINST EUROSCEPTIC AND FAR- RIGHT POLITICAL FORCES IN THE PARLIAMENT.” “ONE THING IS CLEAR, EPP WILL NOT COOPERATE WITH EXTREMES.”
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A CONTRACT FOR EUROPE?
A greener coalition for the next 5 years?
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GOVERNING CONTRACT
A 4-party coalition… …with 5 priorities areas:
1. ENVIRONMENT 2. ECONOMY 3. INNOVATION 4. RULE OF LAW 5. FOREIGN POLICY ENVIRONMENT WG
Sigfried Muresan (RO) & Peter Liese (DE) Kathleen Van Brempt (BE) & Eric Andrieu (FR) Chris Davies (UK) & Pascal Canfin (FR) Yannick Jadot (FR) & Bas Eickhout (NL)
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GOVERNING CONTRACT
Draft Agreement
12-14 June
Group Leaders agreement 17 June Extraordinary CoP with EUCO 18 June EUCO Summit 21 June First Plenary 2 July
Timeline
SLIDE 14
TOP JOBS
A test for a majority building
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IT TAKES MORE THAN TWO TO TANGO
Delicate balance of power in European Council
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NEW MAJORITY IN THE COMMISSION ? 2014 2019
EUCO COMMISSION EUCO COMMISSION 14 14 9 ? 8 8 7 ? 5 5 7 ? 1 1 2 ?
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THINGS TO KNOW
More than 60% of MEPs are new, so…
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ENVI COMMITTEE
- Leadership: ENVI Vice-Chairs not
re-elected + new Chair
- Coordinators: EPP, S&D,
Greens/EFA, GUE/NGL are back
- Composition:
20% likely to return
2014-2019 number 2019-2024 possible EPP 21 17 S&D 18 14 ALDE 6 10 Greens/EFA 6 7 ECR 7 6 GUE 5 3 ENF (ID) 2 6 EFDD 3 5 NI 1 1 TOTAL 69 69
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VETERANS OF THE ENVI COMMITTEE
JADWIGA WIŚNIEWSKA, ECR, PL ADINA VALEAN, EPP, RO MIRIAM DALLI, S&D, MT SIMONA BONAFÉ, S&D IT MARGRETE AUKEN, GREENS, DK PETER LIESE, EPP, DE NILS TORVALDS, ALDE FI BAS EICKHOUT, GREENS, NL
SLIDE 20
ITRE COMMITTEE
- Leadership: EPP, ALDE, S&D
back
- Coordinators: EPP, S&D,
ALDE, ECR are back
- Composition: 40% likely to
return
2014-2019 number 2019-2024 possible EPP 20 16 S&D 17 14 ALDE 7 9 Greens/EFA 5 7 ECR 6 6 GUE 4 3 ENF (ID) 3 5 EFDD 3 5 NI 1 1 TOTAL 66 66
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VETERANS OF THE ITRE COMMITTEE
DAN NICA, S&D, RO
ZDISLAW KRASNODEBSKI, ECR, PL
CHRISTIAN EHLER, EPP, DE REINHARDT BUTIKOFER, S&D, DE PATRIZIA TOIA, S&D, IT JERZY BUZEK, EPP, PL MORTEN HELVEG PETERSEN, ALDE, DK FREDERIK FERDERLEY, ALDE SE
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AND THE POLICIES…
More of the same or new challenges?
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A RENEWED AMBITION?
RED II EED HDV- Vans HDV – Lorries LDV Commission 27% 30% 30% 30% 30% Parliament 35% 40% 40% 35% 40% Council 27% 27% 30% 30% 35% Outcome 32% 32.5% 31% 30% 37.5%
“I DON’T THINK THAT ALL IN ALL WE DID WELL. MAINLY BECAUSE AT THE START OF MY MANDATE, WE WERE FIXING TARGETS”
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ACCELERATION OF EXISTING TRENDS
Renewed Industrial Policy by end of 2019 ‘Greening’ of funding and economic policies
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TAKEAWAYS
A new dynamic (4-party coalition) in the European Parliament to understand A large group of newcomers to educate Emerging new and stronger national interests to consider
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