Peter Snow swings both ways FPTP Swing for Election 2010 Data - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

peter snow swings both ways
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Peter Snow swings both ways FPTP Swing for Election 2010 Data - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Peter Snow swings both ways FPTP Swing for Election 2010 Data scraped from http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/ 3916 queries over 6 hours Web service withdrawn due to abuse - oops AV Awesomeometer 3916 combinations of main party share 531


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Peter Snow swings both ways

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FPTP Swing for Election 2010

Data scraped from http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/ 3916 queries over 6 hours Web service withdrawn due to abuse - oops

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AV Awesomeometer

  • 3916 combinations of main party share
  • 531 constituencies

– Calculate winner – Apply rules to transfer losing votes to second choice – Calculate results again – Transfer again – Calculate results again

  • Collate constituency results and plot the national

winner

  • http://refusingthedefault.blogspot.com
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AV results based on polling data for second preferences

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Collapse of all transfer votes to Lib Dem

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Labour second choice goes to Conservatives

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Lib Dem pick up all the “other” second votes