Pembina Pipeline Corporation
TSX: PPL | NYSE: PBA
Acquisition of Kinder Morgan Canada and Cochin Pipeline August 21, 2019
Pembina Pipeline Corporation TSX: PPL | NYSE: PBA Acquisition of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Pembina Pipeline Corporation TSX: PPL | NYSE: PBA Acquisition of Kinder Morgan Canada and Cochin Pipeline August 21, 2019 Forward-looking statements and information This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements and
TSX: PPL | NYSE: PBA
Acquisition of Kinder Morgan Canada and Cochin Pipeline August 21, 2019
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements and information that are based
Pembina's expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions in light of its experience and its perception of historical trends as well as current market conditions and perceived business opportunities. In some cases, forward-looking information can be identified by terminology such as "expects", "will", "would", "anticipates", "plans", "estimates", "develop", "intends", "potential", "continue", "could", "create", "keep", and similar expressions suggesting future events or future performance. In particular, this presentation contains forward-looking statements, including certain financial
pertaining to, without limitation: the proposed acquisition of (i) Kinder Morgan Canada Limited (“KML”) and (ii) the U.S. portion
"Transaction"), including the expected closing date, strategic rationale and the anticipated benefits of the Transaction to Pembina's and KML's securityholders and customers, the expected size and capabilities of the combined company, as well as anticipated synergies (including strategic integration and diversification
financial results and financial ratios related to and growth opportunities associated with the assets acquired pursuant to the Transaction and the combined entity including: EBITDA expectations, enterprise value, counterparty exposure, fee-for-service cash flows, future dividends which may be declared on Pembina's common shares and timing thereof; the ongoing utilization and expansions
and additions to Pembina's business and asset base, expectations regarding future commodity market supply, demand and pricing and supply and demand for hydrocarbon and derivatives services. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements and information as they are based on assumptions made by Pembina as of the date hereof regarding, among other things, the ability of the parties to satisfy the conditions to closing of the Transaction in a timely manner, that favourable growth parameters continue to exist in respect of current and future growth projects (including the ability to finance such projects on favorable terms), future levels of oil and natural gas development, potential revenue and cash flow enhancement; future cash flows, with respect to Pembina's dividends: prevailing commodity prices, margins and exchange rates, that Pembina's businesses will continue to achieve sustainable financial results and that the combined company's future results of operations will be consistent with past performance
availability and sources of capital, operating costs, ongoing utilization and future expansion for the combined company, the ability to reach required commercial agreements, and the ability to obtain required regulatory approvals. While Pembina believes the expectations and assumptions reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date hereof, there can be no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause actual performance and financial results to differ materially from the results expressed
timely manner, the necessary regulatory, court, securityholder, stock exchange and any other third-party approvals, including but not limited to the receipt of applicable competition approvals; the ability of the parties to satisfy, in a timely manner, the other conditions to the closing of the Transaction; the failure to realize the anticipated benefits or synergies of the Transaction following closing due to integration issues or otherwise and expectations and assumptions concerning, among other things: customer demand for the company's services, commodity prices and interest and foreign exchange rates, planned synergies, capital efficiencies and cost-savings, applicable tax laws, future production rates, the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned activities, the impact of competitive entities and pricing; reliance on key industry partners, alliances and agreements; the strength and operations of the oil and natural gas industry and related commodity prices; the regulatory environment and the ability to obtain regulatory approvals; fluctuations in operating results; the availability and cost of labour and other materials; the ability to finance projects on advantageous terms; and tax laws and tax treatment. In addition, the closing of the Transaction may not be completed, or may be delayed if the parties' respective conditions to the closing of the Transaction, including the timely receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals, are not satisfied on the anticipated timelines or at all. Accordingly, there is a risk that the Transaction will not be completed within the anticipated time, on the terms currently proposed or at all. Additional information on these factors as well as other risks that could impact Pembina's operational and financial results are contained in Pembina's Annual Information Form and Management's Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2018, and described in our public filings available in Canada at www.sedar.com and in the United States at www.sec.gov. Readers are cautioned that this list of risk factors should not be construed as exhaustive. The forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date of this document. Except as expressly required by applicable securities laws, Pembina and its subsidiaries assume no obligation to update forward- looking statements and information should circumstances or management's expectations, estimates, projections or assumptions change. The forward- looking statements contained in this document are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Readers are cautioned that management of Pembina approved the financial outlooks contained herein as of the date of this
the reader an indication of the value of Pembina's current and anticipated growth projects, including with respect to the acquisition of assets pursuant to the Transaction. Readers should be cautioned that the information contained in the financial outlooks contained herein may not be appropriate for other purposes. The estimates of adjusted EBITDA set forth in this presentation may be considered to be future-oriented financial information or a financial outlook for the purposes of applicable Canadian securities laws. Financial outlook and future oriented financial information contained in this presentation about prospective financial performance (including future expected adjusted EBITDA and expected incremental adjusted EBITDA), financial position or cash flows are based on assumptions about future events, including economic conditions and proposed courses of action, based on management’s assessment of the relevant information currently available, and to become available in the
a number of material assumptions and factors set out above. Actual results may differ significantly from the projections presented herein. These projections may also be considered to contain future-oriented financial information or a financial
from the amounts set forth in these projections, and such variations may be
to vary. The future-oriented financial information and financial
contained in this presentation have been approved by management as of the date of this presentation. Readers are cautioned that any such financial outlook and future oriented financial information contained herein should not be used for purposes other than those for which it is disclosed herein. Pembina and its management believe that the prospective financial information has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management’s best estimates and judgments, and represent, to the best of management’s knowledge and opinion, the Company’s expected course of action. However, because this information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future
cause results to differ materially from those predicted, forecasted or projected. Such forward-looking statements are expressly qualified by the above
information contained herein, except as required by applicable laws. In this presentation, Pembina has used the terms adjusted EBITDA and adjusted cash flow per share, which are non-GAAP measures. For more information about these non-GAAP measures, see the" Non-GAAP Measures" section below. The information contained herein with respect to future adjusted EBITDA is to assist investors in understanding the combined company's expected financial results, and this information may not be appropriate for other purposes. The forward-looking statements contained in this document are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
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In this presentation, Pembina has used the terms adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization ("adjusted EBITDA") and adjusted cash flow from operating activities per common share ("adjusted cash flow per share"), which do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS ("Non-GAAP Measures"). Since Non-GAAP financial measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, securities regulations require that Non-GAAP financial measures are clearly defined, qualified and reconciled to their nearest GAAP measure. These Non-GAAP measures are calculated and disclosed on a consistent basis from period to period. Specific adjusting items may only be relevant in certain periods. The intent of Non-GAAP measures is to provide additional useful information respecting Pembina's financial and operational performance to investors and analysts and the measures do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS. The measures should not, therefore, be considered in isolation or used in substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Other issuers may calculate these Non-GAAP measures differently. Investors should be cautioned that these measures should not be construed as alternatives to revenue, earnings, cash flow from operating activities, gross profit or other measures of financial results determined in accordance with GAAP as an indicator of Pembina's performance. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures, please refer to Pembina's financial reports, which are available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and at www.pembina.com.
2
Transaction Overview
› Acquisition of all outstanding shares of Kinder Morgan Canada (“KML”) in exchange for Pembina shares, representing a share price for KML of $15.02 calculated using Pembina’s 30-day volume weighted average share price; each outstanding KML security will be exchanged for 0.3068 of a Pembina share; › The assumption of $550 million of KML preferred shares; and › The acquisition of the U.S. portion of the Cochin Pipeline system from Kinder Morgan, Inc. for US$1.546 billion in cash
Key Assets
Financial Highlights
million in 2019
incremental run-rate adjusted EBITDA of $50 million can be realized within five years with nominal capital investment; in addition, Pembina expects that the assets could generate an additional $50 million of run-rate adjusted EBITDA through expansion opportunities
the Transaction
Regulatory / Timing
3
This Transaction further enhances the quality of Pembina’s overall asset base and provides confidence to increase the dividend
See “Forward-looking statements and information” and “Non-GAAP measures”.
4
This Transaction is another unique opportunity to create long-term value and enhance our customer service offering
High Quality, Integrated Assets
Pembina’s Channahon, Bakken and Edmonton assets
connects Pembina’s conventional and oilsands pipelines to all major export pipelines while providing customers with increased flexibility and greater egress options
Strong Commercial Platform
by investment grade counterparties
Enhanced Diversification and Future Growth
connects to Chicago area’s premium quality condensate supply
businesses
Positive Financial Impact
See “Forward-looking statements information” and “Non-GAAP measures”.
COCHIN MAX BASS TERMINAL
KANKAKEE WINDSOR
COCHIN KANKAKEE TERMINAL
(1 mmbbl storage)
RIGA
VANCOUVER WHARVES EDMONTON TERMINALS
Cochin Pipeline System Edmonton Terminals
6
Acquisition of KML and Cochin represents a low-risk, high quality extension and enhancement of Pembina’s value chain
contracts with primarily investment grade customers
› A significant crude oil storage and terminalling business in the core of Western Canada’s crude oil complex › KML’s Edmonton storage franchise represents a 10x increase in Pembina’s above-ground storage capacity and includes excellent inbound and
› Strong strategic fit with Pembina’s core liquids pipelines business; provides greater product egress
› Cross-border pipeline currently in condensate import service; formerly in propane export service › Connects various Pembina assets, basins and markets; provides significant optionality › Development possibilities exist in the Bakken and at Sarnia
Vancouver Wharves
See “Forward-looking statements and information” and "Non-GAAP measures“.
555 389 335 230 133 625 330 133 125 245 110 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
Pre Expansion 1997 Syncrude 2001 Horizon 2007 Cheecham 2007 Nipisi & Mitsue 2011 Phase I, II & III 2013 - 2017 AEGS & Vantage 2014 - 2017 Alliance Pipeline (Net) 2017 Ruby Pipeline (Net) 2017 Peace Pipeline Phase IV & VII 2018, 2021 Cochin (Net) (Pending) Capacity
mboe/d
Net pipeline capacity through time
7
Total hydrocarbon transportation capacity set to reach ~3.2 mmboe/d
(1) Pembina's 68 mbpd (thousand barrels per day) Vantage ethane pipeline is a key supply source for AEGS (Alberta Ethane Gathering System), and feeds into the total system capacity (2) Alliance Pipeline and Ruby Pipeline capacities are presented net to Pembina and converted to mboe/d (thousands of barrels of oil equivalent per day) from million cubic feet per day (mmcf/d) at 6:1 ratio. (3) (mmboe/d) million barrels of oil equivalent per day See "Forward-looking statements and information”.
mmboe/d(3)
(1) (2) (2)
In-service Project under development KML acquisition (pending)
Oil Sands Growth NGL, Crude & Condensate Growth Natural Gas Growth
NGL, Crude & Condensate Growth 180 65 Condensate Import pipeline
1.7 0.6 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 9.6 5 10 15 20 25 Provident Acquisition (2012) 3 Caverns (2013) 2 Caverns (2015) 3 Caverns (2016) 3 Caverns (2018) Burstall Storage (2018) Edmonton North Terminal (ENT) (2010) ENT Expansion (2016) Canadian Diluent Hub (CDH) (2017) KML Acquisition (Net) (Pending) Total Capacity mmbbls
Net storage capacity
8
One of Canada's largest storage owners, providing our customers great flexibility
(1) (mmbbl) million barrels See "Forward-looking statements and information“.
mmbbl
mmbbl(1)
Merchant Underground Storage Capacity Merchant Above Ground Storage Capacity
(initial Redwater capacity)
Pembina Provident acquisition Veresen acquisition KML acquisition (pending)
9
Addition of KML and Cochin further vertically integrates the Company along the value chain and enhances access to global markets
Domestic C5 Pipelines Canadian Diluent Hub NGL Pipelines Redwater Storage Redwater & Aux Sable Fractionation Consumers Gathering, Processing, Field Extraction Field Terminals
Producers
Mainline Extraction and Fractionation (Younger, Empress, Aux Sable) Alliance Pipeline Prince Rupert LPG Export Terminal
(under construction)
PDH/PP
(under construction)
Industrial Users Oil Sands & Heavy Oil Pipelines Crude Oil Pipelines Refining (& Upgrading) 3rd Party Pipelines & Facilities Heavy Oil Producers 3rd Party Pipelines
C2+ mix C3+ mix
NGL Marketing & Distribution
C2
NGL
Gas & NGL (HVP)
Gas
Oil & Condensate (LVP) C2 C3 C4
(proposed)
Truck Terminals
C5+
Import C5 Pipelines
C5
Vancouver Wharves NGL Edmonton North Terminal Edmonton North Terminal + ~10 mmbbl
See "Forward-looking statements and information”.
Illustrative 2019 Pro Forma (5) The Transaction strengthens the quality of Pembina’s adjusted EBITDA, enhancing the Financial Guardrails Maintain target of 80% fee-based contribution to Adjusted EBITDA (1) ~85% ~87% Target <100% payout of fee-based distributable cash flow (2) ~78% ~77% Target 75% credit exposure from investment grade and secured counterparties (3) 85% ~85% Maintain strong BBB credit rating (4) ~21%
FFO / Debt
~19%
FFO / Debt
2019E 1 2 3 4
10
(1) Includes inter-segment transactions. (2) Calculated as common share dividends divided by distributable fee- based cash flow (wholly owned fee-based EBITDA plus fee-based portion of distributions for equity accounted investees less preferred share dividends, interest and illustrative cash taxes). (3) Based on gross 60-day exposure. Counterparty ratings are representative of the counterparties' current rating as of July 19, 2019. Non-investment grade exposure that is secured with letters of credit from investment grade banks are considered investment grade. (4) Based on Standard and Poor's methodology and adjustments. (5) Illustrative case assuming annualized results from the Transaction applied to Pembina’s 2019 forecast. See “Forward-looking statements and information” and "Non-GAAP measures“.
11
While this Transaction is focused on quality enhancement and risk reduction, accretion opportunities are also meaningful over the longer term
extension of Pembina’s value chain that will enhance our customer service offering;
Financial Guardrails, enabling Pembina to confidently increase its monthly dividend by approximately 5%, subject to closing;
resulting from combining KML, Cochin and Pembina, we estimate that within five years, incremental run-rate adjusted EBITDA of approximately $50 million can be realized with nominal capital investment, plus $50 million of additional run-rate adjusted EBITDA through expansion opportunities;
diversification of assets, basin, currency, and markets; all while reducing overall business risk;
See "Forward-looking statements and information” and "Non-GAAP measures“.
COCHIN MAX BASS TERMINAL
WINDSOR
Redwater Aux Sable Sarnia
Significant integration and connectivity potential around Pembina's Redwater, Aux Sable, and Sarnia assets
KANKAKEE
COCHIN KANKAKEE TERMINAL
(1 mmbbl Storage)
CONDENSATE FROM THIRD PARTY PIPELINES
RIGA
integration on the condensate value chain and enhance the customer service offering to oil sands users of condensate
diversification across condensate production basins, customers and currency
Pembina with greater exposure to the oilsands producer customer base
The Cochin Pipeline integrates seamlessly into Pembina’s existing assets
NAMAO CDH CRW HARDISTY KFS COLD LAKE OR ACCESS PIPELINE POLARIS PEMBINA TERMINALS THIRD PARTY TERMINALS PEMBINA PIPELINE THIRD PARTY PIPELINE NORLITE
ALBERTA CONDENSATE DELIVERY SYSTEM
13
See "Forward-looking statements and information."
14
Pembina’s existing assets run through the heart of KML’s Edmonton Terminal assets
increase in Pembina’s above-ground storage capacity `
North 40 (N40) Edmonton South Terminal (EST) Base Line Tank Terminal (BTT) Edmonton South Rail Terminal (ESRT) Alberta Crude Terminal (ACT)
Storage Terminals Rail Terminals
100% 100% 50% 50% 50%
1 5 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5
Pembina’s Edmonton North Terminal (ENT)
OIL SANDS PIPELINES TRANSMISSION PIPELINES CONVENTIONAL PIPELINES
chain by further extending the integrated service offering
manage potential apportionment issues
pipelines and marketing businesses through substantial blending and storage opportunities
(1) Low vapor pressure See "Forward-looking statements and information."
NORTHEAST B.C. VANCOUVER WHARVES
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Vancouver Wharves has potential further integration into Pembina’s value chain and extends Pembina’s presence along the Pacific coast
PRINCE RUPERT KAIEN ISLAND PORT EDWARD RIDLEY ISLAND
Port Edward Site of Pembina’s LPG export terminal
JORDAN COVE LNG
(PROPOSED)
tonnes
for over 500,000 tonnes of concentrate
storage
that hold ~25,000 tonnes
that store ~250,000 bbl Storage Capacity
Coast of North America › 125 acre bulk marine terminal facility, which transfers over four million tonnes of bulk cargo annually › Terminal comprised of five berths › Only merchant terminal for import and export of distillates in B.C. › One of two sulfur export ports in B.C.
See "Forward-looking statements and information."