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Celinda Lake
Part III: LGBTQ Women as a Force for Progressive Change
September 2020
Part III: LGBTQ Women as a Force for Progressive Change September - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Part III: LGBTQ Women as a Force for Progressive Change September 2020 Celinda Lake 1 Research Parts I & II Recap In July, Project LPAC and Lake Research Partners presented Part I of the research in a webinar focused on LGBTQ women as
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Celinda Lake
September 2020
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webinar focused on LGBTQ women as an electorate, exploring three distinct groups:
between LGBTQ women and straight women.
progressive issues than straight women.
more likely to align than the views of LGBTQ women and straight white women.
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a total of 1,653 survey respondents, including 1,025 LGBTQ women, 400 straight women, and 228 transgender women and non-binary adults.
transgender women and nonbinary adults, 200 straight women, 100 Black straight women, and 100 Latina straight women.
weighted by age and party identification. The Latina LGBTQ oversample was weighted by age and party identification. White LGBTQ women were weighted by party identification. The Black and Latina LGBTQ women oversamples were weighted down into the base LGBTQ women sample to reflect their actual proportion of LGBTQ women nationwide.
straight women oversample was weighted by region, educational attainment, and party identification. The Black straight women
were weighted down into the straight women sample to reflect their actual proportion of straight women nationwide.
transgender women and nonbinary adults oversample is +/- 6.9%.
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the issues the country faces today.
to coronavirus, want to ensure everyone has access to healthcare, and want leaders to address racism and systematic injustice.
important, and they care about candidate’s voting records on LGBTQ issues.
differ by age and race.
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Looking at only registered, likely voters, LGBTQ women are 20-points more likely than straight women to support Biden and 23-points less likely to support Trump. Trans women and nonbinary adults are similarly supportive.
If the 2020 election for President were held today, would you vote for: [ROTATE] Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Joe Biden, or are you undecided, voting for someone else, or not going to vote?
Undecided – lean Biden Undecided – lean Trump Biden – Not so Strongly Trump – Not so Strongly Biden – Strongly Trump – Strongly
54 11 7 5 38 34 5 5 46 12 6 8
17 10 18
73 14 53 37 69 16
Biden Trump Undecided Someone Else Biden Trump Undecided Someone Else Biden Trump Undecided Someone Else
LGBTQ Women Straight Women
Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults
Registered, Likely Voters Registered, Likely Voters Registered, Likely Voters
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LGBTQ Women
Registered LGBTQ Women Biden Voters LGBTQ Women Non-committed Registered Voters
Vote motivation correlates with registration. Eight-in-ten LGBTQ women
who are Biden voters say they are motivated. Registered, non-committed LGBTQ women voters are less motivated to vote.
Some people feel very motivated to vote in this November election while others don't feel motivated at all, and many are in between. How about you--how motivated are you to vote in November?
Somewhat Motivated Not too Motivated Very Motivated Not at all Motivated
62 8 84 1 35 8 80 17 96 3 60 38
Motivated Not Motivated Motivated Not Motivated Motivated Not Motivated
Split Sampled Question
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Across demographic groups, white LGBTQ women are the most motivated to vote, though
lowest, though this survey fielded before Kamala Harris joined the ticket.
Some people feel very motivated to vote in this November election while others don't feel motivated at all, and many are in between. How about you--how motivated are you to vote in November?
Somewhat Motivated Not too Motivated Very Motivated Not at all Motivated
67 10 53 2 53 4 54 9 37 9 53 80 19 84 14 79 15 70 22 74 26 73 17
Motivated Not Motivated Motivated Not Motivated Motivated Not Motivated Motivated Not Motivated Motivated Not Motivated Motivated Not Motivated
LGBTQ Women Straight Women
Split Sampled Question
*N size <75 cases
White Black Latinx White* Black* Latinx*
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LGBTQ women, transgender women, and nonbinary adults are more interested than straight women in taking political action. Nearly two-thirds of LGBTQ women say they are interested, and almost four-in-ten say they are very interested.
How interested are you in taking political action, such as voting, calling representatives, signing a petition, or learning more about representatives and candidates in your city?
Somewhat Interested A little Interested Very Interested Not Interested at All
37 12 26 17 32 8 64 27 46 37 63 25
Interested Not Interested Interested Not Interested Interested Not Interested LGBTQ Women Straight Women
Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults
Most likely to be very interested: Biden voters: 47% Democrats: 46% Registered, likely voters: 46% 65+: 43% College educated: 42%
*N size <75 cases
Most likely to be very interested: Black women: 38% Registered, likely voters: 34% Post-graduates*: 33% Latinas: 32% Most likely to be very interested: Biden voters: 46% College grads: 45% Democrats: 44% White: 39%
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LGBTQ Women
Registered LGBTQ Women Biden Voters LGBTQ Women Non-committed registered voters
While no group thinks Trump is better on LGBTQ issues, nearly 9-in-10 LGBTQ women who are non- committed registered voters see no difference between Biden and Trump. Demographically, the LGBTQ women who are most likely to say neither candidate is better are Latinas, LGBTQ women under 50, non- college grads, Independents and Republicans, and suburban women.
Which candidate, if any, do you believe is better on LGBTQ issues?
Biden – Somewhat Better Trump – Somewhat Better Biden – Much Better Trump – Much Better
41 7 29
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65 12
1
6 75 14 9 87 10 2
Biden Trump Neither Both Equally Biden Trump Neither Both Equally Biden Trump Neither Both Equally
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LGBTQ women and transgender women and nonbinary adults are more likely than straight women to say they will vote by mail in November. Straight women split between voting by mail and voting in person.
How do you plan on voting in the 2020 election in November for President, Congress, and other offices?
I plan on voting by mail if it is an option in my state I plan on voting in-person at a polling location
51 32 10 39 37 14 47 29 14
By Mail In Person Not Voting By Mail In Person Not Voting By Mail In Person Not Voting LGBTQ Women Straight Women
Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults
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Across demographic groups, white LGBTQ women are the most likely to say they will be voting by mail. White straight women split between by mail and in person. Black LGBTQ women narrowly say they are voting in person while Black straight women are even more likely to do so. Latina LGBTQ women say they will vote by mail while straight Latina women split between voting by mail and voting in person.
How do you plan on voting in the 2020 election in November for President, Congress, and other offices?
I plan on voting by mail if it is an option in my state I plan on voting in-person at a polling location
52 30 10 42 47 6 46 34 13 38 35 16 38 50 9 40 40 10
By Mail In Person Not Voting By Mail In Person Not Voting By Mail In Person Not Voting By Mail In Person Not Voting By Mail In Person Not Voting By Mail In Person Not Voting
White LGBTQ Women Black LGBTQ Women Latina LGBTQ Women White Straight Women Black Straight Women Latina Straight Women
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A majority of those surveyed say they have enough information on how to vote by mail. That said, over a quarter of LGBTQ women and straight women say they need more information about how to apply and vote by mail. Transgender women and nonbinary adults are more likely to need more information, with nearly a third who say so.
Do you have enough information about how to apply and vote by mail, or do you need more information about how to apply and vote by mail?
I have enough information I need more information
66 26 60 26 59 32
Have Enough Need More Have Enough Need More Have Enough Need More LGBTQ Women Straight Women
Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults *N size <75 cases
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LGBTQ women look to leaders who will take action to address systemic racial justice and improve access to healthcare.
61 59 59 57 56 55 54 54 79 80 74 78 72 80 76 75
Racism in America has gone on for too long in America, and it's time we have a leader who will create the systems of racial justice that are long overdue Given the coronavirus pandemic, the federal government must take action to ensure every person in America has access to healthcare, regardless of their employment status or financial situation* Given Trump's performance as President, my vote in the 2020 election is more important now than ever* People of color in America have to face many unfair challenges and often cruel realities. We need politicians to speak up about these issues, like police violence that makes Black and Brown communities unsafe Access to vote-by-mail options and safe and sanitary polling places for in-person voters are critical in the 2020 election* The number of Americans unemployed is the highest it has been since the Great Depression, and the federal government needs to take action to help average Americans who are struggling to afford basic necessities* We need political leadership to take action to ensure transgender Americans are not further discriminated against in healthcare, especially in the time of coronavirus* Given Trump's performance on the coronavirus pandemic, my vote in the 2020 election is more important now than ever*
Somewhat agree Strongly agree
*statements split sampled
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with each of the following statements
Findings Among LGBTQ Women
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51 73 68 84
Under 50 50+
This is especially strong for LGBTQ women over 50:
LGBTQ women of color respond less enthusiastically to the statement about addressing systemic racial justice. LGBTQ women over 50 respond more strongly to a statement about their vote being more important now than ever due to Trump.
61 79
Racism in America has gone on for too long in America, and it's time we have a leader who will create the systems of racial justice that are long overdue
Somewhat agree Strongly agree
*statements split sampled
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with each of the following statements
Findings Among LGBTQ Women
Black and Latina LGBTQ women are on average 10-points less enthusiastic about this statement than white LGBTQ women:
64 55 53 82 75 73
White Black Latina
59 74
Given Trump's performance as President, my vote in the 2020 election is more important now than ever*
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This is especially strong for LGBTQ women over 50:
49 66 76 88
<50 50+
47 62 72 78
WOC <50 WOC 50+
This is especially strong for transgender women and non- binary adults: This is especially strong for LGBTQ women of color over 50:
LGBTQ women of color over 50 respond more strongly to speaking up against police violence than their younger counterparts, while all LGBTQ women over 50 respond more strongly to a message that states the federal government needs to assist struggling Americans. Transgender women and nonbinary adults respond strongly to the statement that action needs to be taken to ensure transgender Americans are not discriminated against in healthcare.
57 78
People of color in America have to face many unfair challenges and often cruel realities. We need politicians to speak up about these issues, like police violence that makes Black and Brown communities unsafe
Somewhat agree Strongly agree
*statements split sampled
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with each of the following statements
Findings Among LGBTQ Women 55 80
The number of Americans unemployed is the highest it has been since the Great Depression, and the federal government needs to take action to help average Americans who are struggling to afford basic necessities*
54 76
We need political leadership to take action to ensure transgender Americans are not further discriminated against in healthcare, especially in the time of coronavirus*
59 75
Transgender women & nonbinary adults
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LGBTQ women also agree that it is important for leaders to act on income inequality, especially since it has been exacerbated by the coronavirus.
51 50 50 48 48 47 45 76 76 72 72 70 69 75
The coronavirus pandemic is making income equality even worse, even leading to food insecurity for some families, while wealthy elites and politicians in power benefit from this crisis* We need political leadership to take action to ensure LGBTQ Americans are not further discriminated against in healthcare, especially in the time of coronavirus* My political participation matters now more than ever in order to influence the direction of our country* The coronavirus pandemic is making the gap between the richest and the rest of us even wider than it was before* The 2020 election is one of the most important elections for me and my family* So many people of color are disproportionately affected by COVID- 19, often due to racial inequality in health care and the economy Powerful elites hurt everyone by making everyday Americans work longer hours for lower wages, and blaming us for our hard times by dividing us based on race and pitting us against each other
Somewhat agree Strongly agree
*statements split sampled
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with each of the following statements
Findings Among LGBTQ Women
This is especially strong for LGBTQ women over 50: This is not as compelling to Black and Latina LGBTQ women:
44 60 66 83
<50 50+
51 34 44 74 68 63
White Black Latina
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A majority of LGBTQ women agree that the LGBTQ movement and LGBTQ advocacy
strongly agree. This suggests LGBTQ organizations and advocates have work to do to make sure they are seen to explicitly represent women.
38 37 76 73
The LGBTQ rights movement fights for the issues that are most important to me and people like me* LGBTQ advocacy organizations fight for the issues that are most important to me and people like me*
Somewhat agree Strongly agree
*statements split sampled
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with each of the following statements
Findings Among LGBTQ Women “Movement” is stronger for young LGBTQ women and Latina LGBTQ women than “advocacy
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13 25 28 35 48 54
White Black Latina
This is stronger among Black and Latina LGBTQ women:
Black and Latina LGBTQ women are more likely to say they worry about the government’s response to the coronavirus pandemic infringing on people’s rights, and that they would prefer to vote for candidates who share their life experience.
36 24 24 17 17 65 48 51 39 46
It's hard to build back a better America after coronavirus when so many people of color are disproportionately affected I worry the government's response to the coronavirus pandemic will infringe
The number of Americans unemployed is the highest it has been since the Great Depression, and we must re-open the country in order to get the economy moving again* I would prefer to vote for candidates who look like me or share my life experience* I often feel others have more information about political candidates and issues than I do*
Somewhat agree Strongly agree
*statements split sampled
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with each of the following statements
Findings Among LGBTQ Women
This is stronger among Black and Latina LGBTQ women.
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39 31 22 21 21 14 10 9 7 5 3 3 37 22 15 19 38 11 9 13 3 4 5 4 Racism Healthcare The economy and jobs The environment and climate change LGBTQ equality Gun control Education Immigration National security Abortion access Other Not sure
LGBTQ women are most concerned about racism, followed by healthcare. Given the survey fielded amidst a pandemic and movement for racial justice, this shows LGBTQ women are involved with current events. In our 2019 research*, the top issue for LGBTQ women was healthcare and prescription drug prices (30%), LGBTQ equality (26%), the environment and climate change (26%), and gun control (23%). Racism was only the top issue for 10% of LGBTQ women.
Now, you will see a list of concerns that some people have mentioned. Please indicate which one or two you think are the most important issues for elected officials to address,
LGBTQ Women Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults
*Lake Research Partners designed and administered this 2019 survey that was conducted online from August 21st – 27th, 2019. The survey reached a total of 1,200 adults with oversamples of 400 LGBTQ adults and 100 transgender adults nationwide.
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33 32 25 25 16 13 10 10 9 5 4 3 55 21 14 9 32 16 11 8 5 3 2 4 48 27 17 15 33 15 6 13 3 6 2 3 Racism Healthcare The economy and jobs The environment and climate change LGBTQ equality Gun control Education Immigration National security Abortion access Other Not sure
Among LGBTQ women, while racism is the top concern across race, Black and Latina LGBTQ women are more likely to say this is a top concern than white LGBTQ women. White LGBTQ women are more likely to say healthcare is a top concern. Age is also an important driving
women over 50 are more concerned about healthcare than their younger
under 50 are much more likely to be concerned about LGBTQ equality than Black LGBTQ women over 50.
Now, you will see a list of concerns that some people have mentioned. Please indicate which one or two you think are the most important issues for elected officials to address,
White LGBTQ Women Black LGBTQ Women Latina LGBTQ Women
Black <50: 14% Black 50+: 35% Black <50: 10% Black 50+*: 23% Black <50: 40% Black 50+*: 16% White <50: 25% White 50+: 43%
*N size <75 cases
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42 25 20 17 26 14 12 9 6 5 2 3 34 41 25 28 10 13 6 11 9 6 4 3 Racism Healthcare The economy and jobs The environment and climate change LGBTQ equality Gun control Education Immigration National security Abortion access Other Not sure
The top concern for LGBTQ women under 50 is racism, by a wide margin, followed distantly by LGBTQ equality. The top concern for LGBTQ women
concerned about the environment and climate change, and the economy and jobs.
LGBTQ Women <50 LGBTQ Women 50+
Now, you will see a list of concerns that some people have mentioned. Please indicate which one or two you think are the most important issues for elected officials to address,
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When choosing who to vote for in a federal election, the candidate’s voting record on LGBTQ issues is important to LGBTQ women. Black and Latina women are most likely to say it is important, and Latina women are most likely to say it is very important.
When deciding which candidate to vote for in a federal election like President, Senator, or Representative, how important is that candidate's past voting record on LGBTQ issues?
Somewhat Important A little Important Very Important Not Important at All
41 4 40 4 40 3 48 4 44 4 35 3 77 16 76 17 82 12 81 12 75 17 79 14
Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important
All LGBTQ Women White Black Latina Under 50 Over 50
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A candidate’s record on LGBTQ issues is equally important to LGBTQ women when it is a state or local election. LGBTQ women overall are slightly more likely to say it is very important.
Somewhat Important A little Important Very Important Not Important at All
45 5 45 5 43 5 48 4 46 5 42 4 78 16 79 15 77 17 80 13 76 17 82 13
Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important Important Not Important
All LGBTQ Women White Black Latina Under 50 Over 50 And when deciding which candidate to vote for in a state or local election, how important is that candidate's past voting record on LGBTQ issues?
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LGBTQ women are most likely to say that the federal, state, and local government have an equal role to play to ensure LGBTQ women have equal rights and opportunities.
Do you believe that the federal government, the state government, or the local government should play more of a role in implementing rules and policies to ensure LGBTQ women have equal rights and opportunities?
20 11 6 55 7
Federal Government State Government Local Government All Equally None of These
23 13 5 53 7
Federal Government State GovernmentLocal Government All Equally None of These
Do you believe that the federal government, the state government,
implementing rules and policies to ensure everyone, no matter what we look like or where we come from, has equal rights and
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42 33 31 29 22 21 20 11 10 9 7 7 1 38 26 28 28 23 16 21 14 11 13 13 6 1
Bullying and violence Lack of laws to protect them from discrimination Lack of societal understanding and acceptance Lack of acceptance and understanding from the people in their lives like family, friends, and coworkers High rates of suicide Mental health challenges Barriers to accessing healthcare and discrimination in healthcare Cost of gender-affirming healthcare Poverty or unemployment Gender segregated incarceration Barriers to accessing identity documents Not sure Other
LGBTQ women, transgender women, and nonbinary adults believe the biggest issues facing the transgender community today are bullying and violence, lack of acceptance from people in their lives and society, and lack of laws to protect them from discrimination.
Which issues do you think are the biggest issues facing the transgender community today?
LGBTQ Women Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults
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38 28 28 26 23 21 16 14 13 13 11 6 1 45 32 31 36 26 22 14 23 8 14 13 2
33 25 23 19 22 20 18 6 18 12 8 7 1 Bullying and violence Lack of societal understanding and acceptance Lack of acceptance and understanding from the people in their lives like family, friends, and coworkers Lack of laws to protect them from discrimination High rates of suicide Barriers to accessing healthcare and discrimination in healthcare Mental health challenges Cost of gender-affirming healthcare Gender segregated incarceration Barriers to accessing identity documents Poverty or unemployment Not sure Other
By race, POC transgender women and nonbinary adults have a more diffuse issue agenda. The top issue for both white and POC transgender women and nonbinary adults is bullying and violence. Lack of laws to protect from discrimination and the cost of gender-affirming care are more important to white transgender women and nonbinary adults than their POC counterparts, while for POC, gender segregated incarceration is a more important issue.
Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults White Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults POC Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults
Which issues do you think are the biggest issues facing the transgender community today?
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38 28 28 26 23 21 16 14 13 13 11 6 1 37 28 22 24 24 23 18 13 15 11 12 4 1
42 29 43 33 22 15 11 16 7 15 9 9 Bullying and violence Lack of societal understanding and acceptance Lack of acceptance and understanding from the people in their lives like family, friends, and coworkers Lack of laws to protect them from discrimination High rates of suicide Barriers to accessing healthcare and discrimination in healthcare Mental health challenges Cost of gender-affirming healthcare Gender segregated incarceration Barriers to accessing identity documents Poverty or unemployment Not sure Other
Transgender women and nonbinary adults over 50 believe that the biggest issues facing the transgender community today are lack of acceptance from people in their lives, bullying and violence, and lack of laws to protect from discrimination. For transgender women and nonbinary adults under 50, the issue agenda is more diffuse. Their top issue is bullying and violence, but they are more likely than their older counterparts to think that barriers to accessing healthcare and discrimination in healthcare, and mental health challenges are big issues.
Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults <50 Transgender Women & Nonbinary Adults 50+*
Which issues do you think are the biggest issues facing the transgender community today? *N size <75 cases
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Nearly a quarter of LGBTQ women say they have lost their job or wages due to the COVID-19 crisis.
Have you lost your job or wages or are you likely to lose your job or wages as a result of the COVID-19 crisis?
23 11 27 32
Lost job/wages Likely to lose job/wages Not employed prior to COVID-19 Have not lost job or wages
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Demographics of LGBTQ Women
EDUCATION
38%
College Grad
PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGE
63% 63% 20% 17%
High School or Less
23%
Post-H.S. / Some College
39%
College Graduate Post-Graduate
23% 15%
Democrat Republican Independent
White/Caucasian Black/AA Hispanic/Latinx
15% 14%
REGION RACE
15%
65+ LGBTQ STATUS
34%
Lesbian Bisexual Transgender
45% 6%
Asian/PI
6%
Native American 2% MARITAL STATUS
25%
Married
New England 5% Middle Atlantic 13% East North Central 14% West North Central 5% South Atlantic 20% East South Central 4% West South Central 11% Mountain 8% Pacific 20%
Unmarried
73%
2016 VOTE HISTORY
12% 52% 7%
Trump Clinton Third Party Did Not Vote 23%
Under 30
37%
30-39
20%
40-49
8% 21%
50-64 Nonbinary Pansexual
2% 8%
Middle Eastern 2%
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Demographics of Transgender Women and Nonbinary Adults
EDUCATION
36%
College Grad
GENDER PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGE
47% 57% 25% 18%
Under 30
41%
30-39
21%
40-49
8% 20%
50-64
High School or Less
23%
Post-H.S. / Some College
38%
College Graduate Post-Graduate
26% 10%
Democrat Republican Independent
White/Caucasian Black/AA Hispanic/Latinx
20% 18%
REGION RACE
8%
65+ Asian/PI
8%
Native American 6% MARITAL STATUS
19%
Married
New England 5% Middle Atlantic 16% East North Central 15% West North Central 5% South Atlantic 16% East South Central 6% West South Central 9% Mountain 12% Pacific 15%
Unmarried
77%
2016 VOTE HISTORY
7% 49% 10%
Trump Clinton Third Party Did Not Vote 21%
Women
43%
Nonbinary
54%
Something else
4%
Middle Eastern
4%
VOTER REGISTRATION
69%
Registered Not registered
19%
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Demographics of Straight Women
EDUCATION
31%
College Grad
PARTY IDENTIFICATION AGE
67% 51% 34% 15%
Under 30
20%
30-39
15%
40-49
12% 32%
50-64
High School or Less
26%
Post-H.S. / Some College
43%
College Graduate Post-Graduate
19% 12%
Democrat Republican Independent
White/Caucasian Black/AA Hispanic/Latinx
13% 16%
REGION RACE
22%
65+ Asian/PI
6%
Native American 2% MARITAL STATUS
38%
Married
New England 4% Middle Atlantic 13% East North Central 14% West North Central 8% South Atlantic 20% East South Central 5% West South Central 11% Mountain 8% Pacific 16%
Unmarried
60%
2016 VOTE HISTORY
27% 34% 9%
Trump Clinton Third Party Did Not Vote 23%
Other
1%
VOTER REGISTRATION
81%
Registered Not registered
17%
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Questions or comments? Email:
Celinda Lake clake@lakeresearch.com Emily Caramelli ecaramelli@lakeresearch.com Matt Fouracre matt@teamlpac.com