Parachutes and Ladders
Education and Social Mobility in the U.S.
Sponsored by: Institute for Policy and Social Research University of Kansas Office of the Provost Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Parachutes and Ladders Education and Social Mobility in the U.S. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Parachutes and Ladders Education and Social Mobility in the U.S. Sponsored by: Institute for Policy and Social Research University of Kansas Office of the Provost Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation The Ladder is Broken The Promise and Stark
Sponsored by: Institute for Policy and Social Research University of Kansas Office of the Provost Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation
Emily Rauscher Department of Sociology University of Kansas March 29, 2016
Source: NY Times; Andrew Ross Sorkin and Megan Thee-Brenan, December 10, 2014
2015
Source: PRRI 2014
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Americans White Black Hispanic
Source: The New Yorker http://www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/pikettys-inequality-story-in-six-charts
Younger cohort entered workforce or college as income inequality increased
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 All Public
Younger cohort entered college as costs increased
Sources: Census and Digest of Education Statistics
Born in or before 1965
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
Proportion Remaining
Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by education level Those differences are wider in later cohort
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by race By about age 50, those differences are wider in later cohort
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by education level Likelihood is lower in later cohort, differences narrowed
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by race Likelihood is lower for whites in later cohort, difference narrowed
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates
Khalil Bendib 2012 http://otherwords.org/politics_of_inequality-cartoon/
Trading Places 1983
Parachutes and Ladders: Education and Social Mobility in the U.S. Erin Currier March 29, 2016
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
$25,535 $41,427 $50,640 $59,710 $91,245 $100,838 $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 Less Than HS HS Some College Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Master's Degree
Median Income by Educational Attainment of Householder, 2014
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
47% 10%
Percent stuck at the bottom
10% 45% 20%
Percent stuck at the bottom
No college degree College degree
Among those raised at the bottom:
economicmobility.org
economicmobility.org
Education and Mobility: Evidence and Limits
Fabian T. Pfeffer University of Michigan
Education & Mobility
but not for the reasons you may think
Education & Mobility
but not for the reasons you may think
educational policy faces severe limits in what it can do to improve social mobility
Education & Mobility
but not for the reasons you may think
educational policy faces severe limits in what it can do to improve social mobility
Family wealth and educational inequality
The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion
Education Child’s Highest Degree
E O D
Origin Destination Parent’s Social Class Child’s Social Class
Source: Pfeffer/Hertel (2015, Social Forces)
The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion
Education Child’s Highest Degree
E
Origin Destination Parent’s Social Class Child’s Social Class
Source: Pfeffer/Hertel (2015, Social Forces)
The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion
Upper Class Lower Class
The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion
Upper Class Lower Class
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
◮ Educational inequality has been quite stable over last
half-century
◮ in most Western industrialized countries ◮ despite educational expansion
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
◮ Educational inequality has been quite stable over last
half-century
◮ in most Western industrialized countries ◮ despite educational expansion
◮ Few instances of equalization of educational opportunity
based on large-scale structural transformations, e.g. Sweden:
◮ radical transformation of education system ◮ broad egalitarian reforms
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
◮ Educational inequality has been quite stable over last
half-century
◮ in most Western industrialized countries ◮ despite educational expansion
◮ Few instances of equalization of educational opportunity
based on large-scale structural transformations, e.g. Sweden:
◮ radical transformation of education system ◮ broad egalitarian reforms
◮ Limits of educational interventions
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡
Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡
Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡
Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡
Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality
Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy
50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡
Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality
Wealth and Education
Family wealth / net worth
Wealth and Education
Family wealth / net worth
◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing
rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)
Wealth and Education
Family wealth / net worth
◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing
rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)
◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes
through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas
2016)
Wealth and Education
Family wealth / net worth
◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing
rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)
◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes
through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas
2016)
Wealth & Education
Wealth and Education
Family wealth / net worth
◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing
rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)
◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes
through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas
2016)
Wealth & Education
◮ wealth gaps in education are large, have increased, and stand
to increase even further (Pfeffer 2016)
Wealth and Education
Family wealth / net worth
◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing
rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)
◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes
through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas
2016)
Wealth & Education
◮ wealth gaps in education are large, have increased, and stand
to increase even further (Pfeffer 2016)
◮ purchasing and insurance function of parental wealth (Pfeffer 2011, Pfeffer/Haellsten 2012)
Wealth and Education
.1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 Rates Lowest 2nd 3rd 4th Highest Net Worth Quintile Born 1980−1984 Born 1970−1974
College Graduation
Source: Pfeffer (2016): Growing Wealth Gaps in Education
Wealth and Education
P25 Median P75 P90 P95 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 1984 1989 1994 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
Percentage Changes in Net Worth 1984−2011
Source: Pfeffer/Danziger/Schoeni (2014, Annals)
college they will earn more.
attend college at all?
college they will earn more.
attend college at all?
finance education today.
based on existing knowledge.
fundamental reconsiderations.
a growing number of the problems, or when external events provoke a clamor for a different vision. A revolution.
to perceive payoff from degree (Fry, 2014).
(Cunningham and Kienzl, 2011).
repayment, and only about 10% of the original balance would remain. (Brown et al., 2015)
2009, even without ever falling into severe delinquency or default. (Brown et. al., 2015)
(Cunningham and Kienzl, 2011).
repayment, and only about 10% of the original balance would remain. (Brown et al., 2015)
2009, even without ever falling into severe delinquency or default. (Brown et. al., 2015)
little more than 13 years in 2010 (Akers and Chingos, 2014). Use of Income-Based Repayment, which extends normal repayment from 10 to up to 25 years, has doubled over the last two years.
district and attend public schools from elementary through high school will receive a grant equivalent to the cost of tuition and fees at in-state public institutions.
http://www.demos.org/publication/less-debt-more-equity-lowering-student-debt-while-closing-black-white- wealth-gap
http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/reports/2014/06/24 percent20student percent20loan percent20crisis percent20akers percent20chingos/is percent20a percent20student percent20loan percent20crisis percent20on percent20the percent20horizon.pdf
http://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/ar/2012/ pages/ar12_2a.cfm.
Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Retrieved January 12, 2016 from: http://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2015/02/looking_at_student_loan_defaults_through_a_larger_window.html#.VpVJeStGmKz.
perspectives/2014/cpp1407.htm.
http://www.ihep.org/assets/files/publications/ a-f/delinquency-the_untold_story_final_march_2011.pdf.
stability/events/20130205/papers/Elliott.pdf.
2015/why-didnt-higher-education-protect-hispanic-and-black-wealth.
http://www.uncg.edu/bae/people/gicheva/Student_loans_marriageMarch11.pdf.
less-raised-poor-hershbein.
Entrance Examination Board.