Parachutes and Ladders Education and Social Mobility in the U.S. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Parachutes and Ladders Education and Social Mobility in the U.S. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Parachutes and Ladders Education and Social Mobility in the U.S. Sponsored by: Institute for Policy and Social Research University of Kansas Office of the Provost Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation The Ladder is Broken The Promise and Stark


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SLIDE 1

Parachutes and Ladders

Education and Social Mobility in the U.S.

Sponsored by: Institute for Policy and Social Research University of Kansas Office of the Provost Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation

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SLIDE 2

The Ladder is Broken

The Promise and Stark Realities

  • f the American Dream

Emily Rauscher Department of Sociology University of Kansas March 29, 2016

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SLIDE 3

Faith in the American Dream

“Education then, beyond all other devices of human origin, is the great equalizer of the conditions of men” – Horace Mann 1849 “Anything is possible in America” – Ronald Reagan 1985 “Anything is possible in America” – Barack Obama 2009 “In America, education is still the great equalizer” – Arne Duncan 2011

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SLIDE 4

Source: NY Times; Andrew Ross Sorkin and Megan Thee-Brenan, December 10, 2014

Losing Faith?

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SLIDE 5

Losing Faith?

2015

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SLIDE 6

Losing Faith?

My children’s generation will be better off than mine:

Source: PRRI 2014

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% All Americans White Black Hispanic

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SLIDE 7

Is Loss of Faith Justified?

  • Panel Study of Income Dynamics 1968-2013
  • ~ 9,000 households, ~ 13,500 heads or partners
  • How long does it take to reach median income?

And median wealth?

– Median – ½ the population is above; ½ below – Two cohorts – born before and after 1965 – From age 22 – traditional age of college completion – Until just before age 50 – same ages for both cohorts – By cohort, race, education level

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SLIDE 8

Inequality over Time

Source: The New Yorker http://www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/pikettys-inequality-story-in-six-charts

Younger cohort entered workforce or college as income inequality increased

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SLIDE 9

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 All Public

Average Tuition, Room, and Board as a % of Median Income

Younger cohort entered college as costs increased

Sources: Census and Digest of Education Statistics

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SLIDE 10

Time to Median Income

Born in or before 1965

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

Proportion Remaining

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SLIDE 11

Time to Median Income

Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by education level Those differences are wider in later cohort

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

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SLIDE 12

Time to Median Income

Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by race By about age 50, those differences are wider in later cohort

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

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SLIDE 13

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

Time to Median Wealth

Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by education level Likelihood is lower in later cohort, differences narrowed

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age Less than HS High School Some College BA Post-Graduate

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

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SLIDE 14

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

Time to Median Wealth

Born in or before 1965 Born after 1965 Differences in timing and likelihood by race Likelihood is lower for whites in later cohort, difference narrowed

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 22 27 32 37 42 47 Age White Black

Kaplan-Meier survival estimates

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SLIDE 15

Loss of Faith Justified

  • Income inequality grew by education and race
  • Median wealth less attainable – esp. for whites
  • Many contributing factors

─ Wealth inequality ─ Labor market ─ Education

  • K-12 growing class gap
  • Post-secondary

expansion but rising costs, inequality of type, financing, return

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SLIDE 16

Khalil Bendib 2012 http://otherwords.org/politics_of_inequality-cartoon/

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Absolute mobility Relative mobility

Trading Places 1983

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SLIDE 18

Thank you

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Parachutes and Ladders: Education and Social Mobility in the U.S. Erin Currier March 29, 2016

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SLIDE 20

economicmobility.org

Glass Half Full: 84% of Americans Have Higher Family Incomes Than Their Parents

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SLIDE 21

economicmobility.org

Glass Half Empty: Americans Raised at the Top and Bottom are Likely to Stay There as Adults

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SLIDE 22

Understanding Absolute and Relative Mobility Together

economicmobility.org

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Just Half of Americans Exceed Their Parents’ Wealth

economicmobility.org

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SLIDE 24

Family Wealth is as Sticky as Income

economicmobility.org

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SLIDE 25

economicmobility.org

There is No Silver Bullet to Enhancing Economic Mobility

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SLIDE 26

economicmobility.org

Returns to Education Are High

$25,535 $41,427 $50,640 $59,710 $91,245 $100,838 $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 Less Than HS HS Some College Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Master's Degree

Median Income by Educational Attainment of Householder, 2014

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SLIDE 27

economicmobility.org

College Graduates Are More Likely to Exceed Their Parents’ Income and Wealth

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SLIDE 28

economicmobility.org

College Graduates Are More Likely to Move Up The Income and Wealth Ladders

47% 10%

Percent stuck at the bottom

  • f the income ladder

10% 45% 20%

Percent stuck at the bottom

  • f the wealth ladder

No college degree College degree

Among those raised at the bottom:

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SLIDE 29

economicmobility.org

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SLIDE 30

economicmobility.org

ecurrier@pewtrusts.org @CurrierErin www.economicmobility.org

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Education and Mobility: Evidence and Limits

Fabian T. Pfeffer University of Michigan

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Education & Mobility

  • 1. Educational expansion has improved social mobility ...

but not for the reasons you may think

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SLIDE 33

Education & Mobility

  • 1. Educational expansion has improved social mobility ...

but not for the reasons you may think

  • 2. Short of such large-scale intervention, ...

educational policy faces severe limits in what it can do to improve social mobility

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Education & Mobility

  • 1. Educational expansion has improved social mobility ...

but not for the reasons you may think

  • 2. Short of such large-scale intervention, ...

educational policy faces severe limits in what it can do to improve social mobility

  • 3. The need for intervention:

Family wealth and educational inequality

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SLIDE 35

The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion

Education Child’s Highest Degree

E O D

Origin Destination Parent’s Social Class Child’s Social Class

Source: Pfeffer/Hertel (2015, Social Forces)

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SLIDE 36

The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion

Education Child’s Highest Degree

E

  • O
  • D

Origin Destination Parent’s Social Class Child’s Social Class

Source: Pfeffer/Hertel (2015, Social Forces)

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SLIDE 37

The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion

Upper Class Lower Class

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SLIDE 38

The “Social Mobility Triad” & Educational Expansion

Upper Class Lower Class

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SLIDE 39

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

◮ Educational inequality has been quite stable over last

half-century

◮ in most Western industrialized countries ◮ despite educational expansion

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SLIDE 40

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

◮ Educational inequality has been quite stable over last

half-century

◮ in most Western industrialized countries ◮ despite educational expansion

◮ Few instances of equalization of educational opportunity

based on large-scale structural transformations, e.g. Sweden:

◮ radical transformation of education system ◮ broad egalitarian reforms

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SLIDE 41

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

◮ Educational inequality has been quite stable over last

half-century

◮ in most Western industrialized countries ◮ despite educational expansion

◮ Few instances of equalization of educational opportunity

based on large-scale structural transformations, e.g. Sweden:

◮ radical transformation of education system ◮ broad egalitarian reforms

◮ Limits of educational interventions

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SLIDE 42

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡

Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality

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SLIDE 43

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡

Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality

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SLIDE 44

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡

Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality

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SLIDE 45

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡

Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality

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SLIDE 46

Educational Inequality & Limits to Educational Policy

50 100 150 200 250 300 Start Yr1 End Yr1 Start Yr2 End Yr2 Start Yr3 End Yr3 Start Yr4 End Yr4 Start Yr5 End Yr5 Start Yr6 Math Score Low ¡SES ¡ High ¡SES ¡

Source: Entwisle/Alexander/Olson (1997): Children, Schools, and Inequality

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SLIDE 47

Wealth and Education

Family wealth / net worth

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SLIDE 48

Wealth and Education

Family wealth / net worth

◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing

rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)

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SLIDE 49

Wealth and Education

Family wealth / net worth

◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing

rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)

◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes

through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas

2016)

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SLIDE 50

Wealth and Education

Family wealth / net worth

◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing

rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)

◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes

through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas

2016)

Wealth & Education

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SLIDE 51

Wealth and Education

Family wealth / net worth

◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing

rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)

◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes

through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas

2016)

Wealth & Education

◮ wealth gaps in education are large, have increased, and stand

to increase even further (Pfeffer 2016)

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SLIDE 52

Wealth and Education

Family wealth / net worth

◮ inequality is high, particularly among children, and growing

rapidly (Pfeffer et al. 2014, 2016)

◮ correlated across generations & much of correlation goes

through education (Pfeffer/Killewald 2016, Pfeffer/Killewald/Siliunas

2016)

Wealth & Education

◮ wealth gaps in education are large, have increased, and stand

to increase even further (Pfeffer 2016)

◮ purchasing and insurance function of parental wealth (Pfeffer 2011, Pfeffer/Haellsten 2012)

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SLIDE 53

Wealth and Education

.1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 Rates Lowest 2nd 3rd 4th Highest Net Worth Quintile Born 1980−1984 Born 1970−1974

College Graduation

Source: Pfeffer (2016): Growing Wealth Gaps in Education

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SLIDE 54

Wealth and Education

P25 Median P75 P90 P95 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 1984 1989 1994 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

Percentage Changes in Net Worth 1984−2011

Source: Pfeffer/Danziger/Schoeni (2014, Annals)

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Parachutes a and La Ladders: E : Educatio ion a and S Socia

  • cial

l Mobi bility i in the U U.S. S.

March 29, 2016

Presentation by William Elliott, Director of The Center on Assets, Education, and Inclusion

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SLIDE 56

Equ Equit ity Def efin ined ed as as Affor

  • rdabilit

ity

  • While European nations have relied on the “direct redistributive role of the

welfare state to reconcile citizenship and markets,” the United States has chosen to use education as a lever for ensuring equitable outcomes (Carnevale and Strohl 2010, 83).

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SLIDE 57

Equ Equit ity Def efin ined ed as as Affor

  • rdabilit

ity

  • While European nations have relied on the “direct redistributive role of the

welfare state to reconcile citizenship and markets,” the United States has chosen to use education as a lever for ensuring equitable outcomes (Carnevale and Strohl 2010, 83).

  • The thought process has been, we just have to provide more children with

access, access is equity. And so, the main goal of financial has been defined as paying for college.

  • As a result, research has focused on showing a college degree pays off. If we get them to

college they will earn more.

  • Is a child who attends college and graduates with student debt better off than if they did not

attend college at all?

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SLIDE 58

Equ Equit ity Def efin ined ed as as Affor

  • rdabilit

ity

  • While European nations have relied on the “direct redistributive role of the

welfare state to reconcile citizenship and markets,” the United States has chosen to use education as a lever for ensuring equitable outcomes (Carnevale and Strohl 2010, 83).

  • The thought process has been, we just have to provide more children with

access, access is equity. And so, the main goal of financial has been defined as paying for college.

  • As a result, research has focused on showing a college degree pays off. If we get them to

college they will earn more.

  • Is a child who attends college and graduates with student debt better off than if they did not

attend college at all?

  • Moreover, if the main goal is paying for college, then how people pay for college

does not matter.

  • This mindset has helped open the doors for student loans becoming the dominant way we

finance education today.

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SLIDE 59

Pr Prop

  • phec

ecy of

  • f the

e Pen Pendin ding Col

  • llege

e Deb ebt Crisis is

“But I expressed deep concern that we had not even the remotest idea of what reasonable debt limits might be, and that having discovered loans, we might be tempted to rely more and more on them as substitute for, rather than a supplement to, societal and parental support. I feared we might place the heaviest burden on debt on

  • ur poorest citizens. And I expressed concern that if we did, collection and default

problems would grow, to the disillusionment of all who created the problem.” John F. Morse, 1977

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SLIDE 60

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Still ll Don’t k know W What a a Reasonable le D Debt L Limit it I Is

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SLIDE 61

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SLIDE 62

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  • There are G

Growing ng R Rates es o

  • f Defaul

ult a and D d Delinquenc nquency

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SLIDE 63

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ult a and D d Delinquenc nquency

  • The Hea

he Heavies est B Bur urden i is Falling o

  • n

n Some e of the P he Poores est Studen dents

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SLIDE 64

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  • n

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ult a and D d Delinquenc nquency

  • The Hea

he Heavies est B Bur urden i is Falling o

  • n

n Some e of the P he Poores est Studen dents

  • Ther

ere a are G Growing ng R Rates es o

  • f Defaul

ult a and d Delinquenc nquency

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SLIDE 65

Structure of

  • f a

a Fin Finan ancia ial Aid id Revo evolution

  • In The Structure of Scientific Revolutions Thomas Kuhn discusses how periods of normal

science are interrupted by periods of revolutionary science.

  • Kuhn suggests that during periods of normal science researchers identify questions to investigate

based on existing knowledge.

  • The insights gained from these analyses are constrained, then, by the limits of the prevailing
  • paradigm. Resulting changes tend to mostly comprise tweaks around the margins, rather than

fundamental reconsiderations.

  • Periods of normal science persist until the current paradigm becomes increasingly less able to solve

a growing number of the problems, or when external events provoke a clamor for a different vision. A revolution.

  • Revolutions seldom start, however, without a spark.
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SLIDE 66

The Spa park rk th that has Le Led to to a Ne New Para radigm of f Equity

  • The Great Recession drew America’s attention to the issue of equity in a

way that it maybe had not been since the Great Depression.

  • Average household wealth declined 15% between 2007 and 2010 and has only

recovered 45% of its value (Boshara and Emmons, 2013)

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SLIDE 67

The Spa park rk th that has Le Led to to a Ne New Para radigm of f Equity

  • The Great Recession drew America’s attention to the issue of equity in a

way that it maybe had not been since the Great Depression.

  • Average household wealth declined 15% between 2007 and 2010 and has only

recovered 45% of its value (Boshara and Emmons, 2013)

  • A New Way of Thinking is Helping to Usher in a New Paradigm
  • Are children who have to pay for college with student loans able to achieve

similar outcomes as children who do not have to pay for college with student loans when effort and ability are the same?

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SLIDE 68

Doub

  • ubts ab

about

  • ut the

e Abil ilit ity of

  • f the

e Curren ent Par Paradig adigm to

  • Sol
  • lve

e a a Gr Grow

  • win

ing N Num umber of

  • f Pr

Prob

  • blems
  • Diminishes the Return on a Degree – Post College Financial Health
  • Psychological: Adults 18–39 with a 2- or 4-year degree with outstanding debt are less likely

to perceive payoff from degree (Fry, 2014).

  • Labor Market Decisions (Rothstein & Rouse, 2011)
  • Delay Marriage (Gicheva, 2011)
  • Earn less by the time they reach their 40s (Hiltonsmith, 2013)
  • Net Worth (Elliott & Nam, 2013)
  • Retirement Savings (Egoian, 2013)
  • Home Ownership (Cooper & Wang, 2014)
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SLIDE 69

Gr Grow

  • wing De

Defaults & De Deli linquency Rate tes have ve Led to to Twe weaks Arou

  • und

th the Ma Margins: Treating th the Sympt mptoms ms not not th the Und nderly lying Cause

  • Policy Tweaks to the Student Debt Program
  • Deferment and Forbearance; Income-Based Repayment; Pay-It-Forward
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SLIDE 70

Gr Grow

  • wing De

Defaults & De Deli linquency Rate tes have ve Led to to Twe weaks Arou

  • und

th the Ma Margins: Treating th the Sympt mptoms ms not not th the Und nderly lying Cause

  • Policy Tweaks to the Student Debt Program
  • Deferment and Forbearance; Income-Based Repayment; Pay-It-Forward
  • Policy Tweaks May Mask the Growing Crisis
  • About 21% of borrowers avoid delinquency by using deferment or forbearance

(Cunningham and Kienzl, 2011).

  • 9 half years after leaving school, the 2005 cohort has paid down only 38% of its original student
  • debt. Under a standard 10-year amortization schedule, these loans would be approaching full

repayment, and only about 10% of the original balance would remain. (Brown et al., 2015)

  • Of high-balance borrowers, 22% have student loan balances higher in 2014 than they did in

2009, even without ever falling into severe delinquency or default. (Brown et. al., 2015)

slide-71
SLIDE 71

Gr Grow

  • wing De

Defaults & De Deli linquency Rate tes have ve Led to to Twe weaks Arou

  • und

th the Ma Margins: Treating th the Sympt mptoms ms not not th the Und nderly lying Cause

  • Policy Tweaks to the Student Debt Program
  • Deferment and Forbearance; Income-Based Repayment; Pay-It-Forward
  • Policy Tweaks May Mask the Growing Crisis
  • About 21% of borrowers avoid delinquency by using deferment or forbearance

(Cunningham and Kienzl, 2011).

  • 9 half years after leaving school, the 2005 cohort has paid down only 38% of its original student
  • debt. Under a standard 10-year amortization schedule, these loans would be approaching full

repayment, and only about 10% of the original balance would remain. (Brown et al., 2015)

  • Of high-balance borrowers, 22% have student loan balances higher in 2014 than they did in

2009, even without ever falling into severe delinquency or default. (Brown et. al., 2015)

  • The average time that it takes to repay student loans grew from about 7 years in 1992 to a

little more than 13 years in 2010 (Akers and Chingos, 2014). Use of Income-Based Repayment, which extends normal repayment from 10 to up to 25 years, has doubled over the last two years.

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SLIDE 72

Wh Why a a Fun Fundam damental Rec econsid iderat atio ion of

  • f the

e Fin Finan ancia ial Aid id Sy Syst stem is s Need eeded ed in in Amer eric ica

  • Young adults who grow up poor earn less from their degree
  • College graduates from families with an income below 185% of the federal poverty

level (FLP) earn 91% more over their careers than high school graduates from the same income group. However, college graduates from families with incomes above 185% of the FPL earn 162% more over their careers than those with just a high school diploma (Hershbein, 2016)

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SLIDE 73

Wh Why a a Fun Fundam damental Rec econsid iderat atio ion of

  • f the

e Fin Finan ancia ial Aid id Sy Syst stem is s Need eeded ed in in Amer eric ica

  • Young adults who grow up poor earn less from their degree
  • College graduates from families with an income below 185% of the federal poverty

level (FLP) earn 91% more over their careers than high school graduates from the same income group. However, college graduates from families with incomes above 185% of the FPL earn 162% more over their careers than those with just a high school diploma (Hershbein, 2016)

  • Minority children earn less from their degree
  • Researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis find that Hispanic ($68,379

income/$49,606 net worth) and Black American students ($52,147 income/$32,780 net worth) receive less benefit from having obtained a degree than their White ($94,351 income/$359,928 net worth) and Asian ($92,931 income/$250,637 net worth) counterparts with regard to their 2013 annual median income and median net worth (Emmons and Noeth, 2015).

slide-74
SLIDE 74

Fr Free ee Col

  • llege

e Anot

  • ther Tweak

eak?

  • The unequal return on a degree suggests that strategies that focus only on

college affordability, even free college, may fail to achieve some of our most cherished aspirations for education to fulfill its role as an antipoverty strategy or equalizer.

  • It also means that where you start off in life matters and whether or not you have

assets growing up matters for the types outcomes you will be able to achieve and for whether education pays off equally for all.

  • When it comes to investing in higher education as a path to the American

Dream of equitable opportunity for all, then, ‘free’ without asset building will fell to reduce inequality.

slide-75
SLIDE 75

Fun Funda damen ental Rec econsid ideratio ion of

  • f the

e Fin Finan ancial Aid id System: : Fr From Deb ebt Dep ependen ency to

  • Asset

et Em Empowerment

  • Children’s Savings Accounts (CSAs)
  • Universal programs that serve all young people
  • Leverage investments by individuals, families, and, sometimes third parties
  • Initial deposits (sometimes $25, $50, $500, or $1,000)
  • 1:1 to 5:1 match
  • Sometimes combined with financial education
  • Unlike student debt, CSAs have the potential to work on multiple

dimensions—early education, affordability, completion, and post-college financial health

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SLIDE 76

CSAs Com

  • mbined

d wit ith a a Pr Prom

  • mise
  • Given that the poor can only save small amounts, there is also a need for a Promise.
  • Example of a Promise Program
  • The Kalamazoo Promise in Kalamazoo Michigan guarantees that students who live in the school

district and attend public schools from elementary through high school will receive a grant equivalent to the cost of tuition and fees at in-state public institutions.

  • Through the mechanisms of initial seeds and savings incentives, CSAs provide a vehicle

to facilitate a Promise to all of America’s children.

  • Adding the Promise is critical for CSAs to become the equalizer they have been

envisioned to be.

slide-77
SLIDE 77

CSAs ar are e a a Lon

  • ng-Ter

Term Solution,

  • n, but

ut we e al also

  • Need

eed a a Short-Term m Sol

  • lutio

ion: A Tar arget eted Bail ailout ut

  • A bailout for all households might increase the racial wealth gap
  • While eliminating student debt for all households regardless of income increases

median net worth for young white and Black households, white families see a greater benefit likely due to a higher likelihood of completing college and graduate degree programs.

slide-78
SLIDE 78

CSAs ar are e a a Lon

  • ng-Ter

Term Solution,

  • n, but

ut we e al also

  • Need

eed a a Short-Term m Sol

  • lutio

ion: A Tar arget eted Bail ailout ut

  • A bailout for all households might increase the racial wealth gap
  • While eliminating student debt for all households regardless of income increases

median net worth for young white and Black households, white families see a greater benefit likely due to a higher likelihood of completing college and graduate degree programs.

  • A progressive student bailout policy would dramatically reduce the racial

wealth gap among low-wealth households

  • Eliminating student debt among those making $50,000 or below reduces the Black-

white wealth disparity by nearly 37% among low-wealth households, and a policy that eliminates debt among those making $25,000 or less reduces the Black-white wealth gap by over 50%.

  • Note. This comes from directly from report by Demos and the Institute on Assets and Social Policy

http://www.demos.org/publication/less-debt-more-equity-lowering-student-debt-while-closing-black-white- wealth-gap

slide-79
SLIDE 79

Refer eren ences es

  • Akers, B. and Chingos, M. (2014). Is a Student Loan Crisis on the Horizon? The Brookings Institution (Washington, DC) 2014.

http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/reports/2014/06/24 percent20student percent20loan percent20crisis percent20akers percent20chingos/is percent20a percent20student percent20loan percent20crisis percent20on percent20the percent20horizon.pdf

  • Boshara, R., and Emmons, W. (2013). After the fall: Rebuilding family balance sheets, rebuilding the economy. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (St. Louis, MO).

http://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/ar/2012/ pages/ar12_2a.cfm.

  • Brown, M., Haughwout, A., Donghoon, L., Scally, J., and van der Klaauw, W. (2015). Looking at Student Loan Defaults through a Larger Window. Liberty Street Economics. New York, NY:

Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Retrieved January 12, 2016 from: http://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2015/02/looking_at_student_loan_defaults_through_a_larger_window.html#.VpVJeStGmKz.

  • Cooper, D. and Wang, C. (2014). Student Loan Debt and Economic Outcomes. Current Policy Perspectives (Washington, DC). http://www.bostonfed.org/economic/current-policy-

perspectives/2014/cpp1407.htm.

  • Cunningham, A. F., and Kienzl, G. S. (2011). Delinquency: The Untold Story of Student Loan Borrowing. Institute for Higher Education Policy (Washington, D.C.).

http://www.ihep.org/assets/files/publications/ a-f/delinquency-the_untold_story_final_march_2011.pdf.

  • Egoian, J. (2013). 73 Will Be the Retirement Norm for Millennials. Nerdwallet, October 23, 2013. http://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/investing/2013/73-retirement-norm-millennials/.
  • Elliott, W. and Nam, I. (2013). Is Student Debt Jeopardizing the Long-Term Financial Health of U.S. Households? Review 95, no. 5 (2013): 1-20. https://www.stlouisfed.org/household-financial-

stability/events/20130205/papers/Elliott.pdf.

  • Emmons, W. R. and Noeth, B. (2014) Why didn’t higher education protect Hispanic and Black wealth? Retrieved from https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/in-the-balance/issue12-

2015/why-didnt-higher-education-protect-hispanic-and-black-wealth.

  • Gicheva, D. (2011). Does the student-loan burden weigh into the decision to start a family? University of North Carolina at Greensboro.

http://www.uncg.edu/bae/people/gicheva/Student_loans_marriageMarch11.pdf.

  • Fry, R. (2014). Young Adults, Student Debt and Economic Well-Being. Pew Research Center’s Social and Demographic Trends Project (Washington, DC).
  • Hershbein, B. (2016). A college degree is worth less if you are raised poor. Retrieved from http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/social-mobility-memos/posts/2016/02/19-college-degree-worth-

less-raised-poor-hershbein.

  • Hiltonsmith, R. (2013). At what cost: How student debt reduces lifetime wealth (pp. 1-15). New York, NY: Demos.
  • Kuhn, T. S. (1962). The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
  • Morse, J. F. (1977). How we got here from there – A personal reminiscence of the early days. In L. D. Rice, Student loans: Problems and policy alternatives (pp. 16-47). New York: College

Entrance Examination Board.

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SLIDE 80

Than anks