OPTIMISE THE VALUE OF EVERY POUND SPENT ON YOUR UTILITIES Brought - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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OPTIMISE THE VALUE OF EVERY POUND SPENT ON YOUR UTILITIES Brought to you by CRYSTAL BALL TIME The clearest picture of the energy market WIDER VISIBILITY OF WHOLESALE ENERGY PRICES Newspapers Generators Suppliers Other traders EXTERNAL

OPTIMISE THE VALUE OF EVERY POUND SPENT ON YOUR UTILITIES Brought to you by
CRYSTAL BALL TIME
The clearest picture of the energy market WIDER VISIBILITY OF WHOLESALE ENERGY PRICES
Newspapers Generators Suppliers Other traders EXTERNAL SOURCES FOR MARKET INSIGHT
SHOCK TO THE SYSTEM Gas Rolling 12 Month Contract High 3/4 1/2 1/4 Low 80 70 60 Pence/therm 50 40 30 20 Jan 2014 May 2014 Sep 2014 Jan 2015 May 2015 Sep 2015 Jan 2016 May 2016 Sep 2016 Jan 2017 May 2017 Sep 2017 Jan 2018 May 2018 Sep 2018 Jan 2019 Electricity 80 70 60 £/MWh 50 40 30 20 Jan 2014 May 2014 Sep 2014 Jan 2015 May 2015 Sep 2015 Jan 2016 May 2016 Sep 2016 Jan 2017 May 2017 Sep 2017 Jan 2018 May 2018 Sep 2018 Jan 2019
WIDER ENERGY COMPLEX Crude Oil Sterling Power Prices EU-ETS Prices Coal Price Strength Prices CCGT POWER European DEMAND Supply Nuclear Power Gas European Hub Generation Interconnectors Pricing Solar Power Gas-for-Power GAS PRICE Mid-Range LNG Supply Generation Demand Storage Wind Power Asset Outages UKCS Supply Generation SUPPLY & Consumer LDZ Demand STORAGE Behaviour Temperature Time of Day Bank Holidays School Holidays LDZ DEMAND WHOLESALE DRIVERS - GAS
WIDER ENERGY COMPLEX Coal Prices EU-ETS Prices Gas Prices Crude Oil Prices Precipitation / Reservoir / River Revisions Snow Melt Hydro Plants SUPPLY Renewable Power Thermal Power Power Stations / Wind Wind Generators Asset Outages Generation Plants Grids Power European Hub Solar Radiation PV / Solar Interconnectors Pricing POWER PRICE Consumer School Holidays Behaviour WEATHER DEMAND Cloud Cover Lighting Bank Holidays Climatisation / Temperature Time of Day Electric Heating WHOLESALE DRIVERS - POWER
FORECAST: UPSIDE AND DOWNSIDE 120 100 Wholesale gas price 80 Wholesale gas price (Pence/therm) (Pence/therm) 60 40 20 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 History High Case Base Case Low Case History High Case Base Case Low Case Source: National Grid, 2018 Future Energy Scenarios
LONG-TERM VIEW £120.00 BSUoS Climate Change Levy (CCL) £100.00 Capacity Market £80.00 AAHEDC £/MWh Elexon £60.00 Contracts for Difference (CfD) £40.00 Feed in Tariff (FiT) Renewables Obligation (RO) £20.00 TNUoS £- DUoS 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23
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