Opportunity in the Old Dominion: What the Virginia Clean Economy Act - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Opportunity in the Old Dominion: What the Virginia Clean Economy Act - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Opportunity in the Old Dominion: What the Virginia Clean Economy Act Means for Business An Advanced Energy Economy Webinar [May 19, 2020] 0 Opportunity in the Old Dominion: What the Virginia Clean Economy Act Means for Business Panelists:


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Opportunity in the Old Dominion: What the Virginia Clean Economy Act Means for Business

An Advanced Energy Economy Webinar [May 19, 2020]

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Opportunity in the Old Dominion: What the Virginia Clean Economy Act Means for Business

Panelists:

  • Sen. Jennifer McClellan (D-9th District)
  • Rick Counihan, Global Lead Energy Product Policy & Regulation, Google
  • Hayes Framme, Government Relations & Communications Manager, Ørsted
  • Devin Welch, Chief Executive Officer, SunTribe Solar
  • Harry Godfrey, Executive Director, Virginia AEE
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  • Sen. Jennifer McClellan (D)

9th Va. Senate District

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Live Poll

Let’s find out a little about you!

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Virginia Clean Economy Act: Deep Dive

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Key Components of the VCEA

Demand Side Prioritization (EERS) Clean Energy Standard (RPS) + Storage Unshackling Distributed Generation Pathway to Zero Emissions

Complementary Components

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Energy Efficiency Standards

1.25% 2.50% 3.75% 5% 0.50% 1% 1.50% 2% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 2022 2023 2024 2025

Total Annual Savings (% Retail Sales)

EE Targets 2022-25

Dominion Appalachian

Demand Side Prioritization (EERS)

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Components for Distributed Generation

  • 1% RPS Carve-out for Distributed Generation

– 25% of carve-out directed to low-income projects as available

  • Raises NEM cap from 1% to 6%

– 1% Reserved for NEM projects service low-income communities – SCC Revisits NEM tariff at 3% or by date certain (2024 / 25)

  • Raises PPA cap:

– Dominion: 1,000 MW (500 jurisdictional / 500 non jurisdictional) – Appalachian: 40 MW

  • Raises DG ceiling 1 MW à 3MW for individual project
  • Raises standby threshold for Res. Projects 10KW à 15KW

Unshackling Distributed Generation

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Annual RPS Program Requirements

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 2 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3 7 3 8 3 9 2 4 4 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 2 4 5 4 6 4 7 4 8 4 9 2 5

Renewables (as % of total electric energy)

Dominion Appalachian Power

Clean Energy Standard (RPS)

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Renewable & Energy Storage Deployment Targets

Year (Petition to SCC) Onshore RE (Dominion) Onshore RE (Appalachian) 2023 N/A 200 MW 2024 3,000 MW N/A 2027 3,000 MW 200 MW 2030 4,000 MW 200 MW 2035 6,100 MW N/A Year (Petition to SCC) Storage (Dominion) Storage (Appalachian) 2035 2,700 MW 400 MW Year (In Service) Offshore Wind (Dominion) 2028 2,500 – 3,000 MW 2034 2,100 – 2,600 MW

Clean Energy + Storage Deployment

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Pathway to Zero: Carbon Mitigation & Retirements

  • Air Board directed to establish emission regulations for

large plants b/t 2031 & 2050

– Effectively picks up where RGGI stops (RGGI enacted separately) – No emissions permits may be issued post-2049

  • Retirement Deadlines for IOU Plants:

– 2024: All coal-fired generation (except for VCHEC & Clover) – 2028: All biomass-fired generation – 2045: All generation that emits carbon

  • Social Cost of Carbon:

– SCC must consider social cost of carbon when evaluating applications for new generating facilities

Pathway to Zero Emissions

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Additional Key Components:

  • Accelerated Buyer Provisions (RPS & OSW):

– Applies to buyers with an aggregate load >25MW – Accelerated Buyers may be exempt from utility RPS costs equal to the portion of their load covered by eligible RE resources / contracts

  • Low-Income (LI) & Historically Disadvantaged (HD) Comm. Provisions:

– Percentage of Income Payment Program (PIPP) – Sets policy of Commonwealth to prioritize LI & HD Communities in RE development job training, energy programs, etc. – Triennial DMME & EJ Council Report re: VCEA’s impact to LI & HD communities

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SCC Regulatory Milestones (2020-25)

2020 – 2021

  • Energy Storage interim targets & regs
  • Universal svc. fee to support PIPP
  • Non-bypassable tariff proceeding for

CSP customers*

  • Est. rules for Large C&I EE opt-out
  • Utilities’ RPS obligations*

2024 – 2025

  • Net Metering proceedings for IOUs
  • Est. new triennial EE targets (to start

the following year)** 2022 – 2023

  • Evaluation of IOU’s EE performance*
  • Report to GA re: EE feasibility*
  • [Admin] Recs on 100% clean - include

Fossil CPCN Moratorium rec.

  • [Admin] Report re: VCEA &

Disadvantaged Communities**

* Repeats on annual basis ** Repeats on a triennial basis

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Richard Counihan Google

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Google Makes the Nest Learning Thermostat

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Smart Thermostats Have Multiple Benefits

  • For the Customer

– Energy Savings – Convenience!!

  • For the Utility

– Energy Efficiency – Demand Response – Peak Load Management (TOU) – Customer Satisfaction

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ACEEE Ratings of States and Utilities

  • In a 2019 report of state policies the Commonwealth’s placed 29th out of 50, but
  • In a 2020 report on utility programs Dominion placed 50 out 52 large investor
  • wned utilities.
  • The VCEA will change both of those ratings significantly.
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Hayes Framme Orsted

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18 Onshore

  • Revenue (2019): DKK 67.8 bn (USD 10 bn)
  • EBITDA (2019): DKK 17.5 bn (USD 2.6 bn)
  • Credit Rating: Moody’s Baa1 (stable), S&P BBB+ (stable)
  • 6,526 employees
  • Active in Scandinavia, United Kingdom, Germany, The Netherlands, Poland, USA, Taiwan, Japan

Offshore Markets & Bioenergy

§ Global market leader in offshore wind § Develops, constructs, owns and operates offshore wind farms § Provides 100% wind backed Corporate PPA’s & merchant products to large business customers § Renewable hydrogen projects in electrolysis and Power2X technologies § 6.8 GW operational capacity § 3.1 GW build-out plan towards 2022 § Ambition of 15 GW installed offshore wind capacity by 2025 § Heat and power plants converted from coal and gas to biomass and waste-to-energy § #1 in Danish heat and power generation with 25% of market § Energy supply solutions for B2B customers § Provides route-to-market for own and customers’ generation portfolio § Market trading operations to optimize hedging contracts

Major Shareholders (voting share %)

  • Danish State

50%

  • Seas NVE

7.8%

  • Capital Group 5-10%

§ Develops, constructs, owns and operate onshore wind, solar and energy storage projects § 1 GW onshore operational capacity § 1.1 GW under construction and pipeline to reach 5GW by 2025 § Energy storage solutions with a first 20MW battery storage project in operation § Permian Energy Center which consists of 420MW Solar PV and 40MW storage facility

Ørsted overview and business units

Ørsted develops energy systems that are green, independent and economically viable

Ørsted Offshore, March 2020

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Offshore Wind in Virginia – Past, Present, and Future

PAST PRESENT FUTURE

Policy: up to 16MW “in the public interest” Developer opportunity: minimal Industry participation: minimal Economic benefits to Virginia: minimal Policy: up to 5,200MW by 2034 mandate – 2.6GW to 3GW by 2028 in VWEA Developer opportunity: Potentially significant – EPC or similar Industry participation: Significant – Cluster potential Economic benefits to Virginia: Jobs, capital investment, cluster potential Policy: up to 5,200MW by 2034 mandate – 2.2GW – 2.6GW through 2034 Developer opportunity: Potentially significant – EPC, Build/sell, other Industry participation: Significant – Cluster potential Economic benefits to Virginia: Jobs, capital investment, cluster potential (mandated)

  • Virginia seen as low priority market
  • Economic benefits likely not to

materialize given lack of policy directive and small-scale of CVOW

  • Virginia moving to market leadership
  • Economic benefits potentially

significant with cluster opportunity -- supply chain opportunity to centralize

  • perations and combine project

pipeline

  • No near-term opportunity for multiple

projects to participate, but long-term potential for other lease areas to participate

Ørsted activities:

CVOW – Lynnhaven inlet construction base, PMT lease Long-term – Options to expand activities at PMT to serve multiple projects, potential involvement in Virginia Wind Energy Area, late 2020’s project potential COVID impacts in Virginia – minimal in getting to project completion; has limited personnel relocation

Landscape

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Industry Outlook

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Devin Welch Sun Tribe

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About Sun Tribe

80%

Virginia On-Site Public Sector Market Share

Charlottesville HQ

Founded in Virginia, work throughout the Mid-Atlantic

Some of our Partners 23GW+

Team Lifetime Experience; 70 Employees

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Market Certainty = Private Sector Investment

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Start 2020 VCEA (2035)

VA Solar and Onshore Wind Targets – Recent Historical Perspective

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Keys To Virginia Solar Success Post-VCEA

Commonwealth-wide goals require local…

…national/local collaboration …innovation + engagement

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Taking VCEA Success Forward

  • RECOVERY – Opportunity for advanced energy

to be an economic engine

  • DUAL CRISIS – New Public Health

W/ COVID & Economic Challenge

  • PRE-VCEA – Challenges included PPA cap,

uncertain future for VA renewables

Devin Welch – CEO devin.welch@suntribesolar.com

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Join us for our virtual regional policy conference!

Free for AEE members Non-members: $129 per session, or $299 for all three sessions

(AEE members, academic institutions, government, or registering for all three sessions: email webinars@aee.net for discount codes)

First session: “Raising the Bar: Utility Commissioners on Offshore Wind, Electric Vehicles and Meeting Ambitious Energy Goals” Thursday, May 21, 2-3:30pm ET Register at advancedenergynow.org/east-2020

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26 aee.net powersuite.aee.net @aeenet / Washington DC San Francisco Boston

Thank you for attending this AEE webinar!

Harry Godfrey hgodfrey@aee.net