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Opportunity Assessment Launching New Products and Businesses What is Entrepreneurship? The Pursuit of Opportunity Without Regard to Resources Currently Controlled Howard Stevenson Harvard Business School The Process Opportunity


  1. Opportunity Assessment Launching New Products and Businesses

  2. What is Entrepreneurship? “The Pursuit of Opportunity Without Regard to Resources Currently Controlled ” Howard Stevenson Harvard Business School

  3. The Process Opportunity Creativity Value Proposition Making the World a Better Place

  4. What’s An Opportunity? A product or service around which you can build a profitable business and generate a positive return to all stakeholders

  5. Where are Opportunities Born?  Technology shifts Market shifts  Introduction of new disruptive  Value chain technologies disruption/obsol-  Application or aggregation of new escence technologies  New regulation / deregulation  Business Model shifts  New ecosystems  Market re-segmentation  Redefining existing markets Societal shifts  Changes in how we live, learn and work  Evolution of human preferences

  6. How are Opportunities Created?  Customer Motivation addressed by Market Disruption Disruptive Market Shift New (Unmet Technology Need) New Business Societal Shifts Models (Entertainment) Credit to David Skok: http://www.forentrepreneurs.com/startup-ideation/

  7. Opportunity Assessment Framework WHY: CUSTOMER MOTIVATION A well defined WHO: TEAM WHAT: SOLUTION market need The core execution A viable product or expertise (both internal service that coherently and advisors) addresses the need WHEN: TRENDS WHERE: MARKET Whyis this the right An interesting existing time to address this? or new emerging HOW: BUSINESS market MODEL How your solution reaches the customer and you make money

  8. 1 – WHY: Customer Motivation  WHY does a customer care?  Outline the market need that needs to be filled

  9. 1 – Customer Motivation  Burning Need - This is especially critical with enterprise (B2B) solutions  Who has a “hair -on- fire” need?  Are there large inefficiencies that can be addressed?  Cost, time, resources  Risk Management and Reduction  Often non revenue generating, but critical in operations and well-being  Prevention and mitigation of catastrophic failure and events  Growth  Opportunities to expand and manage income and revenue generating sources  Social and Emotional Desires  Are there products that satisfy non-critical customer desires?  Entertainment, status, pride, esthetics22

  10. Customer Motivation  Are you uniquely positioned to understand and assessthis customer motivation?  Have new developments in the market created new needs that can be addressed?  Same product but with additional adjunctbenefits

  11. 2 – WHAT: Clearly Defined Solution  WHAT is the coherent solution that addresses the customer need? Its not sufficient to have only identified the problem!

  12. 2 – Clearly Defined Solution  Can you create a viable product development plan?  No magic warp drives  Is this a feature or a stand-alone product?  Do you need to replicate an existing product or ecosystem before you can offer your solution?  Are you offering a new and compelling user experience?  Is there substantialdifferentiation?  Do you have a complete understanding of how the user will benefit from your product?  Is the value of your solutionobvious?

  13. 2 – Clearly Defined Solution  Is this a Pain Killer or Vitamin? Which do you want tobe?  Do you envision a 10x improvement over existing offerings?  Is there a budget that can accommodate thissolution?  Is there an initial segment of the market that absolutely needs your product to startwith?  Do you have compelling use cases that matches the customer motivation with the solution’s features – Product market Fit?

  14. 3 – WHERE: Interesting Market  WHERE are your customers and how many are there? Are you addressing a need in an interesting or emerging market?

  15. 3 - Interesting Market  What is the size of the Total Addressable Market?  What is the Served Market you will DOMINATE? • What is the minimum market share needed to be relevant?  What is your beach-head market entry strategy?  How can you get to $100M annualrevenues? • 10 @ $10M each • 100M @ $1 each

  16. 3 - Some features of interesting markets  Large, often growing, market?  (or potentially large non-existent market with many target customers)  Fragmented market?  (else unfair access to highly concentrated markets)  Strategically interesting to incumbents?  (or the parent company)  Tolerant of risk and Forgiving?  (typically not selling into the critical path)  Sufficient margins?  (typically not commodity markets)  Accessible market?  (typically not highly regulated)

  17. 3 - Understanding Market Sizing TOP DOWNANALYSIS  Estimate of the theoretical capacity of the opportunity  Good for understanding Total Available Market the macro market dynamics Combined revenues of all T AM Method companies that can theortically  Analyst Data serve a market  Public market info Served Available Market  Proxy Modeling SAM The subset of the market BOTTOM UPANALYSIS that your sales team can  Sanity check on macro address or that the numbers and emerging, non product provides existent markets specific value  Good for understanding TM how to Target Market – Beach-head The penetrate the market initial focused customer base Method  that your product will reach Analyst Data  Empirical data  Qualitative research

  18. 4 – HOW: Business Model  HOW do you make money?  How do you reach your customers and how do you monetize the product or service?

  19. 4 - Business Model  What is your flow of cash vs. product flow?  Are there other organizations or products involved in the end solution to your customer?  What is the value to the customer?  Are the economic buyer and end-user one and the same?  Who is the actual customer? Where is the purchasing budget?  What are the fundamental economics of your business?  Unit economics? Potential pricing  How will you acquire your customers?  What are the customer acquisition costs? How will you reach your customers? How will they initially hear about your solution?

  20. 4 - Some elements of the business model  Sustainable Differentiation and positioning within the ecosystem • How is the product positioned vs other solutions and the Competition? • Local transportation example: – Uber, Sidecar, Flywheel, Lyft, Taxi  Network effects vs. virality • Does your solution improve with the number of other users, or is it just a means by which to acquire new customers cost effectively? • Groupon (viral) and Uber (network effects)  Economies of scale? • Do the economics become better with scale? Is there a large capital requirement up front?  Barriers to entry • Can you use your business model to help block out your competition?

  21. 5 – WHEN: Supporting Trends  WHEN is the ideal time for this product to exist?  Are there any events or developments that make this the optimal for your product to come to market?

  22. 5 – Trends – Why now?  New enabling technologies or aggregationopportunities  New regulatorylandscape  New or redefined societal preferences and needs  New modes and forms of entertainment  New user expectations and experiences carried from other sectors  Adoption of complimentary or symbiotictechnologies

  23. 6 – WHO: Core Team  WHO are the masterminds behind this opportunity?  Do you have unique insights, skills, and access to bring your product to market?

  24. 6 – Core Team Do you have the right operators, investors and advisors?  Expertise and credibility • Are the team’s capabilities aligned with execution required to take on the opportunity. • Do you have the right domain knowledge?  Authenticity • Do you have the heart? Are you a missionary or a mercenary?  Structure • Is the team honestly composed – no part-timers. • Are the incentives aligned  Culture and foundation • Do you have alignment of vision • Does everyone understand and believe in the final destination?

  25. What Does a New Venture Achieve? 3C’s Brings new content to the market New product New Service Brings a new or improved method of creation Technological Breakthrough Improved manufacturing Higher productivity Designs a superior system for consumption Ease of receiving Ease of using Superior cost – benefit for the customers

  26. From Mind to Market Product Development Cost-Benefit Value Equation Deliver Value Customer Opportunity Innovation Need New Venture Mindset Entrepreneur Networking People Raise Assets Resources Finance

  27. Creating a New Value Equation Reduce What factors should be reduced well below the industry standard ? Eliminate Create What factors What factors should be should be created eliminated that the that the industry New Value industry has taken has never offered for granted ? ? Equation What factors should be raised well beyond the industry standards ? Raise

  28. Thank You

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