DANA MURPHY COMMISSIONER
OKLAHOMA CORPORATION COMMISSION
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OKLAHOMA CORPORATION COMMISSION The Agency was established by the - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
D ANA M URPHY C OMMISSIONER O KLAHOMA C ORPORATION C OMMISSION C HANGING D YNAMICS IN O KLAHOMA E NERGY : L OOKING B ACK TO G O F ORWARD M ARCH 7, 2018 www.occeweb.com OKLAHOMA CORPORATION COMMISSION The Agency was established by the Oklahoma
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OG&E PSO Empire Oklahoma National
2017 (per kWh) 10.12 10.1 9.10 10.56 12.90 Generation Mix NG: 50% Coal: 38% Wind: 10% Solar: 2% PP: 48% Wind PPA: 21% NG: 14% Coal: 17% NG: 55.35% Coal: 25.99% Wind PPA: 15.10% Coal PPA: 2.96% Hydro: 0.95% NG: 48% Wind: 28% Coal: 22% Hydro: 2%
*Est. 2017
price Wind (per kWh) 3 ‐ 6
*AWEA
Number of rate regulated customers (OK) 771,427 550,022 3,776 (> 150,000 MO) Q1 2017 price Solar (per kWh) 12.9‐16.7
*NREL
EIA 2017 data
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West South Central
New England
Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic
East South Central
Mountai n
Pacific Contig . Pacific Non- contig .
States AR, LA, OK, TX CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, VT NJ, NY, PA IL, IN, MI, OH, WI IA, KS, MN, MO, NE, ND, SD DE, DC, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV AL, KY, MS, TN AZ, CO, ID, MT, NV, NM, UT, WY CA, OR, WA AK, HI
Avg. Price 2017 (per kWh)
10.80 19.36 16.04 13.26 12.07 11.97 11.28 11.89 15.01 26.05
ted Rate Increase ($M)
$20 $45 $70 $95 $120 $145 $170
PSO 2006 PSO 2008 OG&E 2009 ONG 2009 PSO 2010 OG&E 2011 ONG 2012 PSO 2014 ONG 2014 CNP 2014 CNP 2015 PSO 2015 ONG 2015 OG&E 2015 CNP 2016 ONG 2017 PSO 2017
47.9 132.6 110.3 66.1 82.3 73.3 16.2 37.7 16.0 1.5 0.9 84.4 50.4 149.5 0.5 0.0 170.0 9.8 59.3 48.3 54.5 30.3 4.3 9.5 0.0 13.7 0.3 0.9 14.5 30.0 8.8 0.0 0.0 75.0 Requested Rate Increase ($M) Granted Rate Increase ($M)
RATE CASES Requested -vs- Granted
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Underground Injection Control Hydrology Brownfields Seismicity
Engineering/ Geology
Compliance/ Proration/ Production
Document Handling
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* Data for 1961-1966 is Estimated
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2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000 22,500 25,000
Intents
Calendar Year
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100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Intents to Drill
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Updated to include May 2013
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644 929 588 770 1,266 1,648 1,917 1,947 1,334 798 3,654 3,938 2,046 2,237 1,901 1,515 746 736 343 190
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Fluid Pressure increase from injection
Figure modified from: http://www.earthmagazine.org/article/ground-shaking-research-how- humans-trigger-earthquakes
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100,000 150 18
Krakatoa eruption Hiroshima atomic bomb
Large lightning bolt
Oklahoma city bombing Moderate lightning bolt
Chile (1960) Alaska (1964) Sumatra (2004) Chile (2010) New Madrid (1812) San Francisco (1906) Charleston SC (1886) Haiti (2010) Northridge (1994) Long Island (1884)
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Magnitude Earthquakes Energy Equivalents
Largest recorded earthquakes Vast destruction Massive loss of life Great earthquake Severe impact Large loss of life Strong earthquake Damage in $Billions Some loss of life Moderate earthquake Property damage Light earthquake Some property damage Minor earthquake Felt by humans
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
1 10,000 1,500
Average tornado Loma Prieta (1989)
Mount St Helens eruption Magnitude 2.0 and below = typical micro-seismic events
<1
World’s largest nuclear test (USSR) Injection induced earthquakes Typical <3.5 (Highest recorded = 5.6) Richter Scale (logarithmic)
Frequency of Occurrence
Average T
Large Lightning Bo lt
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Enhance Recovery Low Risk
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Disposal Low Risk
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Disposal into basement High Risk
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50 100 150 200 250 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2015 2016 2017 2018
Statewide EQ/day Year to Year
a.o. February 26, 2018
2015: 5.41 2016: 3.62 2017: 1.66 2018: 1.18 03/07/2018 45
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*Source: OMES State of Oklahoma FY-2018 Revenue Certification Presentation February 21, 2017
*January 2018
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