OCWD Groundwater Basin Storage Evaluation Joint Planning Committee - - PDF document

ocwd groundwater basin storage evaluation
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OCWD Groundwater Basin Storage Evaluation Joint Planning Committee - - PDF document

7/26/2018 OCWD Groundwater Basin Storage Evaluation Joint Planning Committee July 25, 2018 Current Basin Management Policies 0 AF Increase BPP; Reduce or stop purchases of imported water 100,000 No BPP change; Purchase enough imported


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SLIDE 1

7/26/2018 North Basin 1

OCWD Groundwater Basin Storage Evaluation

Joint Planning Committee July 25, 2018

Current Basin Management Policies

‐ 500,000 0 AF ‐ 100,000

No BPP change; Purchase enough imported water to help balance recharge with expected pumping

Increase BPP; Reduce or stop purchases of imported water No BPP change; Purchase enough imported water with goal of reducing overdraft based on expected pumping

‐ 150,000

Purchase additional imported water and/or Reduce BPP to reduce overdraft Purchase additional imported water and Reduce BPP to reduce overdraft

‐ 350,000 ‐ 300,000

MWD CUP 66,000 AF SARCCUP 36,000 AF

Target Accumulated Overdraft Range

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SLIDE 2

7/26/2018 North Basin 2

Questions to Answer

How much storage do we need for a drought? Is there storage space remaining for other programs?

2011 to 2016 Drought

  • Driest or second driest period in SoCal since 1400s
  • Significant reduction in rainfall – 55% of average
  • Captured SAR storm flows reduced
  • Less Natural Incidental recharge
  • Year 5 of drought cycle
  • MWD deliveries were reduced
  • Governor required 25% conservation
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SLIDE 3

7/26/2018 North Basin 3

During 2011-16, basin storage decreased 161,000 af (or 145,000 af without MWD CUP)

218,000 379,000

Acre‐feet

(16,000 is CUP)

Three Drought Scenario Projections

# Description 1 Repeat 2011 to 2016 drought w/current demands & supplies 2 Repeat 2011 to 2016 drought; State does not reduce water demands by 25% in Year 5; MWD deliveries cut in years 4 & 5 3 Scenario #2 plus MWD delivery reductions in years 6 & 7

6

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SLIDE 4

7/26/2018 North Basin 4

Accumulated Overdraft Projections

‐500,000 ‐450,000 ‐400,000 ‐350,000 ‐300,000 ‐250,000 ‐200,000 ‐150,000 ‐100,000 ‐50,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Base Case Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

7

287,000 180,000 af Drought ends

Findings

  • 1. Lower total water demands over last 10 years have

reduced impacts from drought cycles

  • 2. GWRS Final Expansion will increase base supplies

improving drought resiliency

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SLIDE 5

7/26/2018 North Basin 5

Recommendations

  • 1. Accumulated overdraft target and basin storage

triggers can be lowered 50,000 af without jeopardizing drought preparedness.

  • 2. Maximum accumulated overdraft should remain at

500,000 af.

  • 3. Storage agreements should be contained within

SARCCUP storage, at least until MWD CUP terminates in 2028.

Proposed Basin Management Policy Revisions

‐ 500,000 0 AF ‐ 100,000

No BPP change; Purchase enough imported water to help balance recharge with expected pumping

Increase BPP; Reduce or stop purchases of imported water No BPP change; Purchase enough imported water with goal of reducing overdraft based on expected pumping

‐ 150,000

Purchase additional imported water and/or Reduce BPP to reduce overdraft Purchase additional imported water and Reduce BPP to reduce overdraft

‐ 350,000 ‐ 300,000

MWD CUP 66,000 AF SARCCUP 36,000 AF

‐ 150,000 ‐ 200,000 ‐ 350,000 ‐ 400,000

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SLIDE 6

7/26/2018 North Basin 6

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End of Presentation