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OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps Global ocean carbon flux - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Galen McKinley Decadal Professor variability in global ocean Columbia U. & LDEO CO 2 sink can be explained by external forcing OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps Global ocean carbon flux variability External forcing and trends from


  1. Galen McKinley Decadal Professor variability in global ocean Columbia U. & LDEO CO 2 sink can be explained by external forcing OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps Global ocean carbon flux variability • External forcing and trends from pCO 2atm and large volcanos Physical and biogeochemical • mechanisms McKinley et al., AGU Advances, in press North Atlantic mechanisms • Large Ensemble testbed to pCO 2 data analysis • statistically assess Neural Network Ocean and climate models • reconstruction (SOMFFN) L- Low bias, good seasonality. OCB Working Group: Filling the Overestimates gaps in observation-based decadal variability <35S estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes Amplitude of reconstructed decadal variability compared to truth Gloege, McKinley, Landschutzer et al., in review

  2. Jessica Cross Ice melt is an efficient but small Research Oceanographer sink of atmospheric CO2. A highly NOAA-PMEL productive and efficient biological asdf pump over the continental shelves OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps facilitates long-term storage in ● CO 2 transport and long-term sub- sub-surface Arctic Waters. surface CO 2 storage ● Pacific Arctic However, these sub-surface reservoirs are not perfect -- and ● Technology development climate change may lead to further destabilization. ● Ocean Acidification OCB Working Group: Filling the What does this mean for the Arctic Ocean Carbon Sink? gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes Cross et al., 2018. Formation and Transport of corrosive water in the Pacific Arctic Region. Doi: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2018.05.020. See also: Anderson et al., 2013; Qi et al., 2017; Manizza et al., 2019; Zhang et al., 2020;

  3. Tim DeVries Associate Prof. DeVries et al. (2019), Decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink UC Santa Barbara OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps ● Global ocean carbon cycle ● Anthropogenic CO 2 ● Biological carbon pump ● Ocean inverse modeling ● Carbon cycle models OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  4. Judith Hauck ocean carbon sink in the Global Carbon Budget Group leader Alfred-Wegener- Data: Global Carbon Budget 2019, Institut (AWI) Friedlingstein et al. (2019), ESSD OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps marine carbon cycle modelling and - Hauck et al (in prep.) model development (FESOM- REcoM) polar regions - Global Carbon Budget: ocean - carbon sink estimate - RECCAP2 (REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes) mismatch in mean, trend AND OCB Working Group: Filling the multi-year variability gaps in observation-based dominated by estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes Southern Ocean

  5. Peter Landschützer Reconstructions of the ocean carbon sink based on surface pCO2 Group Leader measurements suggest strong variations on decadal timescale Max Planck Institute (Landschützer et al 2016, GBC) for Meteorology OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps ● Observation-based estimates of the global ocean carbon sink and its variability ● Artificial neural networks ● Ocean Carbon Cycle Combining open ocean and coastal ocean pCO2 to represent the full ● Data analysis and synthesis aquatic continuum in observation- based air-sea flux estimates (Landschützer, Laruelle et al submitted to OCB Working Group: Filling the ESSD) gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  6. Goulven Laruelle Research Associate Université Libre de Bruxelles - FNRS OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps ● CO2 exchange at the air-water interface in coastal seas and estuaries ● High resolution coastal data- products ● Estuarine modeling and dynamics Climatological mean pCO2 over the 1998-2015 period derived from a two-step artificial neuron network (Laruelle et al., 2017) OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  7. Nicole Lovenduski Associate Professor U Colorado Boulder OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps ● role of the ocean in the global carbon cycle ● interpreting output from models in the context of observations ● the Southern Ocean has a special place in my heart OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  8. Pedro M.S. Monteiro Head: Southern Ocean Carbon Outputs from 6 – Climate Observatory empirical model (SOCCO) approaches showing CSIR, South Africa contrasting trends for global and OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps regional air-sea fluxes The variability and trends of • Gregor et al., - GMD Southern Ocean CO 2 fluxes (seasonal cycle – to decadal scales and meso to sub-mesoscales) Prognostic model biases – the fine • scale ocean physics gap The need for high resolution • (seasonal scale) and confidence ESM Biases: CO 2 model constraints Seasonal Cycle bias Sensitivity to Climate of the • for FCO2 in CMIP5 Southern Ocean biological carbon models in the pump Southern Ocean Mongwe et al., 2018 - BGS

  9. Laure Resplandy Ocean anomalous Assistant Professor CO 2 drawdown Princeton University during El Niño events. Timing and amplitude tied to OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps Bio-physical coupling global scale to • equatorial response submesoscale and Ekman transport poleward amplification. Ocean carbon and oxygen cycle: • Liao et al, submitted. variability, trends and mechanisms Land-ocean continuum • Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean • Heat based global constraint on north-south carbon transport and river-driven natural ocean outgassing. OCB Working Group: Filling the Resplandy et al 2018 gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  10. Filling the “early decades” gap: Christian Rödenbeck MPI Biogeochemistry Jena OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps Data-based carbon cycle quantification: ● pCO 2 -based ocean CO 2 fluxes ● Focus: IAV and its drivers ● Atmospheric Potential Oxygen (APO) as ocean flux constraint ● Atmospheric CO 2 inversion Jena CarboScope OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  11. Raymond Najjar In a single estuarine system (Chesapeake Bay), alkalinity varies greatly among riverine endmembers and shows Prof. of Oceanography varying degrees of non-conservative behavior The Pennsylvania State University OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps Current research: ● Coastal zone carbon and oxygen cycling ● Estuarine metabolism ● Climate change impacts on coastal waters OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes Najjar et al., 2020, J. Geophys. Res: Oceans

  12. Christopher Sabine Data from: Associate Dean Dore, et al. (2009) plus Univ. of Hawaii http://hahana. soest.hawaii.e Replace this with a du/hot/produc photo of you OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps ts/HOT_surfac ● role of the ocean in the global e_CO2.txt carbon cycle ● interpreting ocean inorganic carbon measurements ● understanding ocean acidification co-chair of IOC/UNESCO Integrated Ocean Carbon Research working group (IOC-R) Terlouw, et al. (2019) OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  13. Sutton et al. 2019, ESSD: air-sea CO 2 and pH time series data Adrienne Sutton product Oceanographer NOAA PMEL OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps ● global air-sea CO 2 and ocean acidification time series observations ● ocean carbon sensor development Sutton, Williams et al. in prep: ● autonomous surface vehicles Saildrone air-sea CO 2 ● ocean observing systems (e.g., Southern Ocean observations OceanSITES, TPOS 2020, PIRATA) ● best practices for measurements and analyses OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  14. Rik Wanninkhof I Large Decadal Changes in Air-Sea CO2 Fluxes in the Caribbean Sea, Rik Wanninkhof, Joaquin Triñanes, Geun-Ha Park , Dwight Gledhill, and Are Senior Scientist Olsen, JGR, 2019, 10.1029/2019JC015366 NOAA/AOML/Miami Replace this with a photo of you OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps • Member IOCCP SC (surface water CO 2 measurements) • Operational SOOP-CO2 network • SOCONET reference network ships and moorings (including MBL measurements) [Soconet.info] • Best Practices • Creating data products (SOCAT) [SOCAT.info] and GLODAP [Glodap.info] • Co-chair IOC-R “thinktank” (IOC/UNESCO ) 1.13 million, data point 2002-2018 9924 grid cells with observations OCB Working Group: Filling the ( 1˚ by 1˚ by mo) gaps in observation-based 10 % of monthly grid cells filled estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

  15. Nancy Williams Calculating surface ocean pCO2 from biogeochemical Argo floats equipped with pH: An uncertainty analysis (Williams et al., 2017) Assistant Professor Univ of South Florida OCB Working Group on Carbon Gaps ● Southern Ocean’s role in the global carbon cycle and climate (SOCCOM) ● seasonality of carbonate chemistry now and in the future ● uncertainty analysis ● autonomous platforms/sensors (BGC Argo, Saildrone) ● derived carbonate system variables ● using in situ data to evaluate earth system models OCB Working Group: Filling the gaps in observation-based estimates of air–sea carbon fluxes

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