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Numerical modeling of internal mixing and greenhouse gas dynamics in boreal lakes Stepanenko, Victor 1 Mammarella, Ivan 2 Glazunov, Andrey 3 , 1 Lykosov, Vasily 3 , 1 1 Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia 2 University of Helsinki,


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Numerical modeling of internal mixing and greenhouse gas dynamics in boreal lakes

Stepanenko, Victor 1 Mammarella, Ivan 2 Glazunov, Andrey 3,1 Lykosov, Vasily 3,1

1Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia 2University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland 3Institute of Numerical Mathematics, RAS, Moscow, Russia

International Conference on Computational Information Technologies for Environmental Sciences, Tomsk, Russia, 26-30 June 2015

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 1 / 26

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Outline

The role of lakes in a global carbon cycle LAKE model: basic 1D version Extended 1D lake modeling framework, surface seiche parameterization Biochemistry model for O2, CO2, CH4 Kuiv¨ aj¨ arvi Lake: site description Testing applicability of 1D model approach for the lake Model performance in lake temperature and gases concentrations Estimates of possible contribution of basin-scale seiches to the vertical gas transport Outlook

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 2 / 26

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Freshwaters in global carbon cycle

Total freshwater methane emission is 104 Tg yr−1, i.e. 50% of global wetland emission (177-284 Tg yr−1, IPCC, 2013) greenhouse warming potentials from freshwater-originating CO2 and CH4 are roughly equal

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 3 / 26

(Tranvik et al. 2009) (Bastviken et al. 2011)

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CH4 and CO2 production and vertical transport in a lake

Vertical gas transport mechanisms:

Ebullition Surface mixed-layer turbulence → driven by wind forcing and surface heat balance Thermocline → very strong stratification with intermittent turbulence. Possible mixing mechanisms are K-H instability, nonlinear wave breaking, and marginal shear induced by seiches. Hypolimnion → governed by gravity currents and seiche-induced turbulence Typical summer stratification in a temperate lake

High CH4 production in shallow sediments Low CH4 production in deep sediments

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 4 / 26

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Thermodynamics and hydrodynamics of LAKE model

1D version

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 5 / 26

1D heat and momentum equations k − ǫ turbulence closure Monin-Obukhov similarity for surface fluxes Beer-Lambert law for shortwave radiation attenuation Momentum flux partitioning between wave development and currents (Stepanenko et al., 2014) Soil heat and moisture transfer including phase transitions Multilayer snow and ice models (not relevant in this study) 1D concept does not suffice the greenhouse gas modeling task, as it does not take into account differences between CH4 & CO2 emissions at deep and shallow sediments

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Extended (1D+) modeling framework

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 6 / 26

Traditional 1D model concept 1D+ model concept 1D+ model includes friction, heat and mass exchange at the lateral boundaries Heat, moisture and gas transfer are solved for each soil column independently

In 1D+ model horizontally averaged quantity f obeys the equation: ∂f ∂t = 1 A ∂ ∂z A kf ∂f ∂z + F(z, t, f, A ) + Hf 1 A dA dz .

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Soil columns in the model

Horizontal projection

Soil columns are geometric figures of the same vertical dimension confined by adjacent isobaths in horizontal: z = 0 z = h z = z1 z = z2 z = z3 z = z4 y x

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 7 / 26

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Coupling 1D+ lake model to soil columns

Lake body

zs0 zs0

Soil column 5

Ts1 Fs1

Soil column 1

zs1 Ts2 Fs2

Soil column 2

zs2Ts3 Fs3

Soil column 3

zs3Ts4 Fs4

Soil column 4

zs4 Ts1 Fs1

Soil column 1

zs1 Ts2 Fs2

Soil column 2

zs2 Ts3 Fs3

Soil column 3

zs3 Ts4 Fs4

Soil column 4

zs4

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 8 / 26

Boundary conditions: at soil-water interface

Continuity of temperature (gas) Continuity of flux

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Parameterization of barotropic seiches

Lake surface

Lx,0 Ly,0 v u y x

Vertical cross-section, y = 0

Wind hx1 hx2 u z x

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling

Tomsk, Russia, June 2015 9 / 26

Mass conservation

dhN

dt A0(t) = − dhS dt A0(t) = 2 1 0 vLW −Ehdξ, dhE dt A0(t) = − dhW dt A0(t) = 2 1 0 uLS−Nhdξ,

Barotropic pressure gradient force

  • g ∂hs

∂x ≈ gπ2 4 hE−hW LW −E,0 ,

g ∂hs

∂y ≈ gπ2 4 hN −hS LS−N,0 .

Barotropic (surface) seiches are lake surface and related velocity oscillations after strong wind events.

Surface oscillations in the model Turbulent kinetic energy profile (modeled), June 2013, Kuivajarvi Lake, seiches produce TKE near bottom

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Biochemistry of the model

O2 CO2 CH4 Biochemical

  • xygen

demand (BOD) Sedimentary

  • xygen

demand (SOD) Photosynthesis Respiration Methane

  • xidation

Methane production Turbulent diffusion Bubble transport

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

10 / 26

Photosynthesis, respiration and BOD are empirical functions of temperature and Chl-a (Stefan and Fang, 1994) Oxygen uptake by sediments (SOD) is controlled by O2 concentration and temperature (Walker and Snodrgass, 1986) Methane production ∝ P0qT −T0

10

, P0 is calibrated (Stepanenko et al., 2011) Methane oxidation follows Michaelis-Menthen equation

Sinks and sources of gases in a lake

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Bubble model

Ci Mi, Pi vb rb

dissolution, exsolution Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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For shallow lakes (several meters), bubbles reach water surface not affected, for deeper lakes bubble dissolution has to be taken into account. Five gases are considered in a bubble: CH4, CO2, O2, N2, Ar Bubbles are composed of CH4 and N2 when they are emitted from sediments The velocity of bubble, vb, is determined by balance between buoyancy and friction The molar quantity of i-th gas in a bubble, Mi, changes according to gas exchange equation (McGinnis et al., 2006): dMi dt = vb ∂Mi ∂z = −4πr2

bKi(Hi(T)Pi − Ci).

Gas exchange with solution is included in conservation equation for i-th gas : ∂Ci ∂t = 1 A ∂ ∂z Ak ∂Ci ∂z + 1 A ∂ABCi ∂z + F(z, t, Ci, A) + (HCi − BCi,b ) 1 A dA dz .

Methane ebullition from different soil columns

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Kuiv¨ aj¨ arvi Lake (Finland)

Point of measurements

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

12 / 26

Mesotrophic, dimictic lake Area 0.62 km2 (length 2.6 km, modal fetch 410 m) Altitude 142 m a.s.l. Maximal depth 13.2 m, average depth 6.4 m, depth at the point of measurements 12.5 m Catchment area 9.4 km2 Secchi depth 1.2 – 1.5 m

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Observations

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

13 / 26

Measurement raft Footprint of the raft measurements

Conducted since 2009 by University of Helsinki Ultrasonic anemometer USA-1, Metek GmbH Enclosed-path infrared gas analyzers, LI-7200, LI-COR Inc. Four-way net radiometer (CNR-1) relative humidity at the height of 1.5 m (MP102H-530300, Rotronic AG) thermistor string of 16 Pt100 resistance thermometers (depths 0.2, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, 2.5, 3.0, 3.5, 4.0, 4.5, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.0, 10.0 and 12.0 m) Turbulent fluxes were calculated from 10 Hz raw data by EddyUH software

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Validity of 1D approximation for Kuiv¨ aj¨ arvi Lake

Wedderburn and Lake numbers

W = g∆ρh2

1

ρ0u2

∗L

Running means

Wcr ≈ 1

2

Wedderburn number

Shintani et al., 2010

LN = 2(zm−zv)V ρ0gh1

zvτA0L

LN,cr ≈ 1

Lake number

Imerito, 2015

Thermocline displacement is negligible compared to mixed-layer depth

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

14 / 26

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Significance of Coriolis force for Kuiv¨ aj¨ arvi Lake

Rossby deformation radius, λ = NH

f

≈ √

gρ−1 ∆ρ hML f

The lake’s length

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

15 / 26

Rotational effects are comparable with those of stratification.

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Water temperature

Mixed layer depth and surface temperature are well reproduced Stratification strength in the thermocline is overestimated Model results lack frequent temperature oscillations in the thermocline

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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Measurements Model

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Oxygen

Seasonal pattern is well captured: oxygen is produced in the mixed layer and consumed below Oxygen concentration in the mixed layer is underestimated by 1-1.5 mg/l, and more significantly during autumn overturn

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

17 / 26

Measurements Model

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Carbon dioxide

Seasonal pattern is simulated realistically: carbon dioxide is consumed by photosynthesis in the mixed layer and produced in the thermocline and hypolimnion Sudden CO2 increase prior to autumn overturn is absent in the model

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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Measurements Model

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Methane

Methane starts to accumulate near bottom in the late summer when

  • xygen concentration drops to low values

Surface methane concentration is very small leading to negligible diffusive flux to the atmosphere, consistent with measurements

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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Measurements Model

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The effect of barotropic seiches on methane concentration

Neglecting barotropic seiches leads to TKE ≈ 0 below thermocline, less

  • xygen flux from above and earlier accumulation of methane near bottom

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

20 / 26

Control simulation Seiches excluded

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Methane budget in the surface mixed layer

Mixed layer

The diffusive flux through thermocline is negligible compared to other terms

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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Thermocline thickness

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Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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Thermocline thickness is defined as a depth difference between 8 ◦C and 14 ◦C isotherms

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Internal seiches in Kuiv¨ aj¨ arvi

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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Temperature series at different depths Power spectra of temperature fluctuations at three depths in the thermocline, maxima at T ≈ 5h and T ≈ 22h Seiche modes

Internal seiches are oscillations

  • f thermocline

after strong wind events. The periods of internal seiches may be calculated by linear theory (M¨ unnich et al., 1992) d2W dz2 +

  • N 2

ω2 − 1

  • k2W = 0, W|z=0,H = 0.

The Kuivajarvi stratification in June 2013 (N 2) and depth (12.5 m) yields T ≈ 7h for V1H1 mode and T ≈ 21h for V2H1.

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Internal seiche mixing parameterization in k − ǫ model

Goudsmit et al. 2002

Shear production is generalized to include seiches P = νtM 2 + Ps ; TKE production by seiche-induced shear at lake’s margins Ps = −

1−Cdiss√ Cd,bot ρw0cAb

γ 1

A dA dz N 2E3/2 s

, Es - seiche energy; Seiche energy is derived from wind forcing:

dEs dt = αA0ρaCd(u2 + v2)3/2 − γE3/2 s

Stationary Richardson number (Burchard, 2002) may be derived for this case as Rist =

P r∆cǫ21 ∆cǫ23−ν−1 P rCs∆cǫ21(u2+v2)3/2 ≈ 0.30 for typical wind speed

Ri ≫ 1

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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The effect of additional mixing in the thermocline

Increasing minimal diffusivity 100 times improves thermocline thickness (in terms of temperature) but strongly deteriorates oxygen and methane concentrations

Stepanenko et al. (MSU)

Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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Control simulation Increased minimal diffusion coefficient (100 ∗ λw0)

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Conclusions and Outlook

  • > The model constructed shows reasonable agreement with measurements in

temperature and gas dynamics, with the only unconstrained calibration parameter (in methane production formula);

  • > Some peculiarities of gas dynamics are not captured suggesting the significance
  • f factors missing in the model, e.g. advection from the lake’s catchment;
  • > We show that in terms of gases concentrations the basin is comprised of mixed

layer and a hypolimnion with almost molecular diffusive exchange between;

  • > Our results suggest no solid evidence for wave-induced mixing in the

thermocline at the whole-lake scale, however...

  • > ... the lake is characterized by strong seiches, hinting at possibility of significant

role of internal wave breaking at its margins (Heiskanen et al., 2013). A more rigorous approach to estimate transport mechanisms through thermocline would involve 3D hydrodynamic code.

Acknowledgements

The work was partially supported by RFBR grants 14-05-91752, 15-35-20958, EU FP7 GHG-Lake and CarLak (Finnish Academy of Sciences) projects.

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Lake greenhouse gas modeling Tomsk, Russia, June 2015

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