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North American Palladium The Only Pure Play Palladium Producer - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

North American Palladium The Only Pure Play Palladium Producer TSX:PDL | OTC:PALDF 2018 Investor Presentation Disclaimers and Forward-Looking Information All dollar amounts shown are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated Certain


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SLIDE 1

North American Palladium

2018 Investor Presentation

The Only Pure Play Palladium Producer

TSX:PDL | OTC:PALDF

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SLIDE 2

2018-09-20

Disclaimers and Forward-Looking Information

Certain information contained in this presentation constitutes 'forward-looking statements' or 'forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. All statements

  • ther

than statements

  • f

historical fact are forward-looking

  • statements. The words ‘target’, ‘plan’, ‘should’, ‘could’, ‘estimate’,

‘guidance’, and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this presentation include, without limitation: information pertaining to North American Palladium Ltd. (the “Company”)’s strategy, plans or future financial or operating performance, such as statements with respect to, long term fundamentals for the business, operating performance expectations, project timelines, tailings management plan, mining method change, production forecasts, operating and capital cost estimates, expected mining and milling rates, cash balances, projected grades, mill recoveries, metal price and foreign exchange rates and other statements that express management ’s expectations or estimates of future performance. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risk factors that may cause the actual results to be materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward -looking statements. Such risks include, but are not limited to: the possibility that metal prices and foreign exchange rates may fluctuate, the risk that the Lac des Iles (“LDI”) mine may not perform as planned, that the Company may not be able to meet production forecasts, the possibility that the Company may not be able to generate sufficient cash to service its indebtedness and may be forced to take other actions, inherent risks associated with development, exploration, mining and processing including environmental risks and risks to tailings capacity, employment disruptions, including in connection with collective agreements between the Company and unions and the risks associated with obtaining necessary licenses and permits. For more details on these and other risk factors see the Company’s most recent Management’s Discussion and Analysis report and Annual Information Form

  • n

file with Canadian securities regulatory authorities on SEDAR at www.sedar.com under the heading “Risk Factors”. This presentation also contains references to estimates of mineral resources and mineral reserves. The estimation of mineral resources is inherently uncertain and involves subjective judgments about many relevant factors. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. The accuracy of any such estimates is a function of the quantity and quality of available data, and of the assumptions made and judgments used in engineering and geological interpretation (including estimated future production from the LDI mine, the anticipated tonnages and grades that will be mined and the estimated level of recovery that will be realized), which may prove to be unreliable and depend, to a certain extent, upon the analysis

  • f drilling results and statistical inferences that may ultimately

prove to be inaccurate. Mineral resource or mineral reserve estimates may have to be re-estimated based on: (i) fluctuations in the price of platinum; (ii) results of drilling, (iii) metallurgical testing and other studies; (iv) mining operations, including dilution; (v) the evaluation of mine plans subsequent to the date of any estimates; and (vi) the possible failure to receive required permits, approvals and licenses or changes to existing mining licences. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon a number

  • f factors and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by

management, are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies. The factors and assumptions contained in this presentation, which may prove to be incorrect, include, but are not limited to: that the Company will be able to continue normal business operations at its LDI mine, that metal prices and exchange rates between the Canadian and United States dollar will be consistent with the Company’s expectations, that there will be no significant disruptions affecting operations, and that prices for key mining and construction supplies, including labour, will remain consistent with the Company’s expectations. The forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. The Company disclaims any

  • bligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements,

whether as a result of new information, events or otherwise, except as expressly required by law. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Investing in the Company's common shares involves significant

  • risks. Prospective investors should carefully read and consider the

risk factors described or referenced under the heading “Risk Factors” in the final base shelf prospectus, contained in any of the documents incorporated by reference therein, and in any applicable prospectus supplement, before purchasing common shares. The Company prepares and presents its financial statements in accordance with IFRS. Certain financial measures highlighted in this presentation are financial measures that have not been prepared in accordance with IFRS. For a definition and reconciliation of these non-IFRS financial measures to the nearest IFRS financial measures, please refer to the appendix to this presentation. Such non-IFRS financial measures are used from time to time herein but should not be viewed as a substitute for IFRS measures of performance and

  • thers in the industry may define these measures differently.

All dollar amounts shown are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated

2

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SLIDE 3

2018-09-20

Investment Summary

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The Only Pure Play Palladium Producer

Lac des Iles mine (“LDI”) re-engineered into a strong

  • perating cash flow generator
  • Five consecutive quarters of positive earnings.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $65.6 million for the first half of 2018.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $86.2 million in 2017.
  • Improved key financial metrics in 2018 Feasibility Study; including total revenue of $3.64 billion, total

EBITDA1 of $1.51 billion and after-tax NPV(8%) of $637 million, generated by an average operating margin of 43% ($37.86 per tonne of ore milled).

Primary palladium mine in a low risk jurisdiction

  • NAP is the only pure play palladium producer in the world.
  • Located in Canada, a proven mining-friendly jurisdiction.
  • ~80% of global palladium production is from higher-risk regions (South Africa and Russia).

World-class PGM exploration portfolio

  • Ideal balance of early-stage and advanced greenfields properties and brownfields resource delineation

targets.

  • Brownfields opportunities continue to replace reserves at a very low cost.
  • Several currently active greenfields exploration targets, providing encouraging results.

Favourable palladium market fundamentals

  • Long-term analysts’ consensus continues to forecast a supply deficit, driven by a lack of new primary

production, and potential significant supply risks from declining South African production.

  • Tightening global emission standards, the shift from diesel to gasoline powered vehicles, and the growth of

hybrid sales support increased global consumption of palladium.

  • Analysts are forecasting strong palladium pricing >US$1,000/oz through 20212.

(1Non-IFRS measure. 2Bloomberg)

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SLIDE 4

2018-09-20

Company Overview

  • The Lac des Iles mine is located 90km northwest of Thunder Bay, with all season road access.
  • Existing producer with over 25 years in operation, with 15,000 tpd mill facility.
  • New Feasibility Study and Technical Report published in October 2018, outlining a 9 year mine life:

Strong Cash Flow | Improved Balance Sheet | Strategic Process Underway

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Capital Structure

(as at September 18, 2017)

Shares Outstanding 58.1 million Options Granted 1.5 million Share Price $9.03 Market Capitalization $525 million Cash $33 million Debt1 $76 million Enterprise Value $568 million

(1Debt includes senior secured term loan ($45.5mm), credit facility ($14.0 mm) and capital leases ($16.4mm).)

  • Current management team, with the support of

Brookfield (92% shareholder), completed the turnaround of the Company by:

  • Substantially improving operating

performance; and

  • De-levering the balance sheet.

ONTARIO

Lac des Iles

  • 40.9 million tonnes of underground and surface reserves at an average

palladium grade of 2.31 g/t.

  • Developing a second, bulk mining area to extract maximum value from

several near-surface resources.

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SLIDE 5

2018-09-20

Released September 2018

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(1Based on full production years 2019-2026. 2Net of by-product revenue.)

Palladium Reserves (Contained) 3.038 M oz Palladium Reserve Grade 2.31 g/t Total Ore Reserves 40.9 M tonnes Total Underground Ore Reserves 37.1 M tonnes Average1 Mill Throughput 12,238 tpd Average Palladium Recovery 81.3% Total Payable Palladium Production 2.32 M oz Average1 Payable Palladium Production 255,000 oz Mine Life 9 years Average1 Cash Costs2 US$504 per oz Total Capital Expenditures $425 M Average1 All-Inclusive Sustaining Costs2 US$622 per oz EBITDA $1,505 M After-tax cash flow $909 M After-tax NPV(8%) $637 M

National Instrument 43-101

$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

After-Tax Cash Flow After-Tax Free Cash Flow - Cumulative

After-tax Free Cash Flow

(C$ millions)

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SLIDE 6

2018-09-20

National Instrument 43-101

One of Canada’s Largest, Low Cost Underground Mines

6

Add in Ore by source graph

0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2018 H2 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 PALLADIUM HEAD GRADE (G/T) AVERAGE TONNES OF ORE (TONNES/DAY) Offset SLS Offset & B2 Open Stoping Roby SLC Roby Open Stoping Surface Average Pd Grade (g/t)

Ore Source and Grade Production Costs1

($/tonne ore milled)

(1Includes mining, milling and site G&A)

$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 2018 H2 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

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SLIDE 7

2018-09-20

National Instrument 43-101

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Financial Results

EBITDA (C$ millions) Capital Costs (C$ millions) AISC1 (US$/oz Pd)

  • 50,000

100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 2018 H2 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Payable Palladium (ounces)

$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 2018 H2 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 2018 H2 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 2018 H2 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 (1Net of by-product revenue)

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SLIDE 8

2018-09-20

Mine Reserves

Of Offset Block

  • Continued focus on sub-level shrinkage mining of the best grade-thickness ore.
  • Supplemental feed from B2 zone (remains open) and Sheriff South.

Ro Roby by Bl Block ck

  • New mass mining approach will extract more of the better-grade resources

below the Roby pit.

  • Augmented by new production from the extremities of the Roby deposit.

Multiple Ore Sources

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Reserves Category Tonnes (000's) Pd (g/t) Pt (g/t) Au (g/t) Cu (%) Ni (%) Contained Pd Ounces (000's)

Offset Block Underground Proven 3,089 2.30 0.214 0.164 0.05 0.07 228 Probable 17,159 3.01 0.243 0.240 0.08 0.10 1,661 Roby Block Underground Proven 2,279 1.76 0.198 0.118 0.04 0.04 128 Probable 14,569 1.89 0.192 0.132 0.05 0.05 886 Roby Block Surface (Sheriff North Zone) Proven 300 1.94 0.164 0.099 0.05 0.06 18 Probable 80 3.11 0.217 0.061 0.04 0.05 8 Low-Grade Stockpile Probable 3,399 0.970 0.120 0.080 0.03 0.06 106 TOTAL RESERVE 2P 40,877 2.31 0.209 0.174 0.06 0.07 3,038

Longitudinal View – Looking East

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SLIDE 9

2018-09-20

Exploration - Underground Targets

On-Going Expansion of Existing Reserves

9

Offset South

  • Resource gains from 2017 and 2018 are currently being quantified.
  • New high-grade mineralization identified in Q2 2018.

Camp Lake

  • Down plunge extension of the Offset Zone but difficult to reach from current

ramp.

  • Construction of a new exploration drift is planned for 2019 to effectively

explore.

Mystery Zone

  • Confirmed as a satellite ore zone, detached from the Roby and Offset

deposits.

  • Exploration drilling to resume in Q4 2018 to assess size and grade potential.

Deep Footwall

  • Drilling commenced in Q3 2018 on this large target located ~150m into the

footwall.

  • Goal is to discover a parallel zone to the Offset Zone with thick, high-grade

areas.

Mystery Zone Target

Deep Footwall Targets

(behind reserves)

Offset South Target

B2 Zone

Offset Zone 1 g/t Pd Grade Shell

SLS Reserves

905 Level

Upper Offset Stopes Roby Zone

Shaft O f f s e t F a u l t

Camp Lake Target

SLS Reserves

Camp Lake Fault

North Offset Long Section of Offset Zone and Underground Exploration Target Areas (Looking West)

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SLIDE 10

2018-09-20

Exploration – Surface Brownfields

Several High Potential Targets

10

Ea East st Mine Bloc

  • ck
  • Highest potential exploration targets on the property.
  • High-grade palladium mineralization discovered at Creek Zone in

Q2 2018 includes higher copper and nickel grades than the Offset zone.

  • 3D modeling suggests the presence of one or more mineralized

feeder structures and a similar geological environment to Roby- Offset.

  • New geophysical survey program in Sept/Oct 2018 designed to

map out large, metal-rich sulfide zones to several hundred metres depth.

  • Expect to generate many new drill targets from this program.

South Mine Block

  • The presence of thick areas of base metal-rich sulfide mineralization

was confirmed in 2017 but the sulfides have low PGE grades.

  • Best potential is along the east of the southern norite, directly south
  • f the Sheriff South Zone.
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SLIDE 11

2018-09-20

Shebandowan Property

Th Thunder Bay Bay

Exploration - Greenfields

Multiple Regional PGM Targets

11

  • Low risk jurisdiction.
  • Reflects many years of strategic land acquisitions.
  • Applying modern geophysical and geochemical

methods and new LDI deposit model to unlock value.

  • Encouraging results from first program on the

Sunday Lake option; massive sulfide potential remains a focus.

  • Planned expenditures of several million dollars per

year for Brownfields and Greenfields exploration.

Sunday Lake Project Lac des Iles Mine & Mill

Greenfields Properties and Area of Strategic Exploration Interest

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SLIDE 12

2018-09-20

Mine Life

  • LDI has maintained a track record of reserve replacement, growing palladium reserves above the

depletion rate.

  • Management expects this trend to continue with sustained investment in exploration.

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Reserve Replacement

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SLIDE 13

2018-09-20

Management

Jim Gallagher

President & Chief Executive Officer

Jim Gallagher is a Professional Mining Engineer with over 35 years of experience in the mining industry which includes progressive roles in operations management, technical services, consulting and projects. During a 24 year career at Falconbridge and 8 years as Global Director of Mining for Hatch, Mr. Gallagher has had the opportunity to work for or benchmark some of the largest and most complex mines and mining projects around the world. He is a visionary leader who believes in cultural evolution as the means to achieving excellence in safety and

  • perations. Mr. Gallagher joined NAP in October of 2013 as Chief Operating Officer and was instrumental in an
  • perational turnaround at the Lac des Iles site. He was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in August
  • f 2015. Mr. Gallagher holds a Bachelor of Engineering degree from Laurentian University in Sudbury, Canada. Mr.

Gallagher is currently a Director of Continental Gold Inc.

Timothy Hill

Vice President, Finance & Chief Financial Officer

Timothy Hill joined North American Palladium in 2015 as Director of Business Improvement and was appointed to the position of Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer on August 4, 2016. Mr. Hill plays a leading role in securing funding for North American Palladium’s growth and is responsible for the Company’s financial reporting and disclosure practices, corporate treasury, financial planning and information technology. Mr. Hill is a finance professional with 19 years of experience in the mining industry. Prior to joining North American Palladium,

  • Mr. Hill held a series of progressively senior positions at Vale Canada Ltd. in operations, finance and business

planning for the North Atlantic base metals business. Mr. Hill is a Chartered Public Accountant and a Certified Management Accountant and holds a MSc. (Finance) from Queen’s University Belfast and a BSc. (Economics) from the University of Victoria.

David Peck

Vice President, Exploration

  • Dr. David Peck is a Professional Geoscientist with over 30 years of exploration and applied research experience

specializing in magmatic Ni-Cu-PGE ore deposits. Prior to joining NAP , Dr. Peck operated an independent geoscience consulting business, was President and co-founder of Revelation Geoscience Ltd., spent several years as Global Nickel Commodity Leader at Anglo American plc and worked as a mineral deposits geologist in both the government and academic sectors. He received a Ph.D. degree in Geology from Melbourne University and holds a M.Sc. degree in Geology from the University of Windsor.

Overview

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SLIDE 14

Learn More

Head Office 1 University Avenue Suite 1601 Toronto, ON, Canada M5J 2P1 Jim Gallagher President & CEO 1-416-360-7492 jgallagher@nap.com TSX:PDL & OTC:PALDF

www.nap.com

Investor Relations Bayfield Strategy, Inc. 1-416-360-7590

  • ext. 7226

IR@nap.com

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SLIDE 15

2018-09-20

Palladium Supply and Demand Balance

  • Significant deficit in palladium supply/demand market balance expected for the foreseeable future.
  • Deficit situation echoed by multiple industry participants and research analysts.

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Market Deficiency Expected to Continue

Major Structural Deficit in Global Palladium Market Expected to Persist

(1.2) 0.6 0.4 1.0 2.0 1.1 1.3 1.7 0.6 0.7 (0.5) 1.2 (1.1) (0.5) (1.7) (0.3) (0.1) (0.6) (1.8) (2.0) (2.3) $1,100 $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 (3.0) (2.0) (1.0) 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0

Palladium Price (US$/oz) Global Palladium Surplus (Deficit) (Moz)

Surplus (Deficit) Average Pd Price Average Street Consensus Pd Price Forecast

Significant sustained deficit drives ~US$1,000/oz forecast pricing

(Source: Norilsk Nickel Presentation (November 2017) and consensus estimates.)

  • 0.2
  • 0.8
  • 1.6
  • 1.8
  • 1.9
  • 2.4
  • 2.3

2 1 6 2 1 7 2 1 8 E 2 1 9 E 2 2 E 2 2 1 E 2 2 1 E

Global Palladium Surplus (Deficit) (Moz)

HSBC Forecasted Palladium Market Deficit

(Source: HSBC research.)

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SLIDE 16

2018-09-20

Palladium Supply

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Limited Primary Supply From Low-risk Jurisdictions

  • Palladium supply is largely

linked to the primary base metal production from Russia and North America and primary platinum production from South Africa.

  • ~80% of primary palladium

supply comes from regions with high political risk (Russia and South Africa).

(Source: Johnson Matthey, HSBC)

53% 37% 38% 37% 37% 41% 40% 42% 38% 41% 40% 13% 14% 14% 11% 4% 2% 32% 33% 33% 36% 35% 36% 39% 35% 42% 38% 39% 12% 12% 11% 8% 12% 13% 13% 15% 14% 13% 13% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 6 90% 100% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2 4 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E Russia South Africa North America Zimbabwe Others 8 Russia Russia State Stock Sales South Africa North America Zimbabwe Others

Primary Palladium Supply Breakdown (%) Primary Palladium Supply Forecast (Moz)

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SLIDE 17

2018-09-20

Palladium Demand

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Automobile Sales Growth to Further Drive Demand

Key Drivers of Palladium Demand

Sustainable global automotive growth Strengthening emissions legislation worldwide Diesel substitution by gasoline vehicles in Europe Growth of SUV market share / increase in engine size Growth of hybrid vehicle market worldwide

80 1,500 60

Autocatalyst Demand for Palladium

Koz 2015 2016 2017 2,500 500 1,000 2,000 Europe Japan N.America China RoW

Global Automobile Sales

Millions of Cars 20 40 100 120 Total Diesel Total Gasoline Total Electric Cars

(Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance; HIS)

Global Automobile Demand Expected to Grow… …With Meaningful Increases in Autocatalyst Demand