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News Reading Publics & Audience Fragmentation: Evidence from Online India (2014-2018) Subhayan Mukerjee | Dissertation Defense | May 27, 2020 Outline Motivation The Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data and Methods Findings


  1. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion What is a News Reading Public? • A group of news consumers who share access to the same set of media sources • Could be due to: • Shared cultural markers like language • Shared issues they are interested in • Shared expectations and gratifications • Share identities Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 29

  2. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion News Reading Publics in India • Useful to start with the national / regional media divide • The dual role of the average news consumer of India • Consumer of national media • Consumer of regional media • Belong to different “news reading publics” Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 30

  3. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Theoretical Framework News Reading Publics Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 31

  4. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Theoretical Framework Uses and Gratifications Theory What do people get out of consuming the same media? News Reading Publics Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 32

  5. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Theoretical Framework Uses and Gratifications Theory What do people get out of consuming the same media? News Reading Publics How do news consumption patterns reflect a shared interest in issues? Issue Publics Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 33

  6. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Theoretical Framework Uses and Gratifications Theory What do people get out of consuming the same media? News Reading Publics How does social identity/class How do news consumption patterns determine what news people reflect a shared interest in issues? consume? Social Identity Issue Publics Theory Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 34

  7. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Theoretical Framework Uses and Gratifications Cultural proximity Theory What do people get out of How does culture mediate consuming the same media? consumption choices? News Reading Publics How does social identity/class How do news consumption patterns determine what news people reflect a shared interest in issues? consume? Social Identity Issue Publics Theory Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 35

  8. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Theoretical Framework Uses and Gratifications Cultural proximity Theory What do people get out of How does culture mediate consuming the same media? consumption choices? News Reading Publics How does social identity/class How do news consumption patterns determine what news people reflect a shared interest in issues? consume? Social Identity Issue Publics Theory Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 36

  9. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Hypotheses H1: The media consumption landscape in India is segregated along linguistic lines H2: Vernacular news reading publics will have smaller overlap with each other than with national news reading publics H3: The presence of national English news reading publics reduces fragmentation in the online Indian space Testing these hypotheses can potentially enable us rethink normative understanding of news consumption dynamics Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 37

  10. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Hypotheses H1: The media consumption landscape in India is segregated along linguistic lines H2: Vernacular news reading publics will have smaller overlap with each other than with national news reading publics H3: The presence of national English news reading publics reduces fragmentation in the online Indian space Testing these hypotheses can potentially enable us rethink normative understanding of news consumption dynamics Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 38

  11. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Hypotheses H1: The media consumption landscape in India is segregated along linguistic lines H2: Vernacular news reading publics will have smaller overlap with each other than with national news reading publics H3: The presence of national English news reading publics reduces fragmentation in the online Indian space Testing these hypotheses can potentially enable us rethink normative understanding of news consumption dynamics Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 39

  12. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Hypotheses H1: The media consumption landscape in India is segregated along linguistic lines H2: Vernacular news reading publics will have smaller overlap with each other than with national news reading publics H3: The presence of national English news reading publics reduces fragmentation in the online Indian space Rethink our normative (western) understanding of news consumption Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 40

  13. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Data and Methods

  14. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Data • Obtained from ComScore • Browsing patterns over a period of 45 months (Oct 2014 – June 2018) • Only news websites that have a minimum reach of 0.1% of the month’s audience • Desktop browsing data, not mobile Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 42

  15. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Data • Three monthly metrics (45 months) • Audience reach - number of unique visitors to an outlet • Cross-visiting - number of unique visitors to every pair of outlets • Average time per visitor • 352 media outlets in total, 174 appear every month Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 43

  16. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Data: Media Outlets by Type Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 44

  17. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Methods: Networks of Audience Overlap • Audience overlap networks • Each node is a news outlet • Edge between nodes denotes audience overlap • The weight of the edge is the actual Source: Mukerjee et al. 2018 strength of overlap Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 45

  18. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Methods: Networks of Audience Overlap • Audience overlap networks • Each node is a news outlet • Edge between nodes denotes audience overlap • The weight of the edge is the actual Source: Mukerjee et al. 2018 strength of overlap Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 46

  19. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Methods: Network Analysis • Identifying news reading publics using network analysis • Community detection (Pons & Latapy, 2006) Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 47

  20. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Methods: Network Analysis Raw Network Communities Community Network Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 48

  21. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Methods: Network Analysis • Identifying news reading publics using network analysis • Community detection (Pons & Latapy, 2006) with a methodological improvement • Evaluation of the “goodness” of community structure Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 49

  22. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Methods: Network Analysis • Identifying news reading publics using network analysis • Community detection (Pons & Latapy, 2006) with a methodological improvement • Evaluation of the “goodness” of community structure • Assessing audience fragmentation using Network Thresholding with Community Extraction Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 50

  23. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Findings

  24. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion New Reading Publics: Linguistic Segregation Original Algorithm Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 52

  25. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion New Reading Publics: Linguistic Segregation Refined Algorithm Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 53

  26. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Linguistic Segregation: Statistical Validation H1: The media consumption landscape in India is segregated along linguistic lines Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 54

  27. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion New Reading Publics: Linguistic Segregation H2: Vernacular news reading publics will have smaller overlap with each other than with national news reading publics Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 55

  28. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Fragmentation: Theoretical Expectation Intuition behind Thresholding and Network Fragmentation Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 56

  29. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion The Unifying Role of Network without national English community Whole network National English Media Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 57

  30. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion The Unifying Role of National English Media H3: The presence of national English news reading publics reduces fragmentation in the online Indian space Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 58

  31. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Audience Mobility The migration of audience(s) from some media types/formats to others e.g. audiences “moving” to print media as they become literate audiences “moving” to cable TV as it becomes available Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 59

  32. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Trends: Sharp Decline for Regional, Vernacular, Digital-born Media Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 60

  33. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Trends: Sharp Decline for Regional, Vernacular Media 2.1: Tamil 2.2: N. Indian regional 2.3: Malayalam 2.4: National English 2.5: Malayalam 2.6: English mixed 2.7: Other English 2.8: Telugu outlets 2.9: Kannada outlets 2.10: Telugu outlets Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 61

  34. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Trends: Migration From Vernacular to National and International Vernacular audiences moving to national Vernacular audiences moving to international media prefer legacy brands to digital-born media show no such preference brands Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 62

  35. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Summary: Structure of News Reading Publics • The Indian online landscape is segregated along linguistic lines (H1) • Vernacular-National duality of news reading behavior (H2) • National, English news reading publics prevent audience fragmentation online (H3) Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 63

  36. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Summary: Online vis-à-vis offline Readership numbers of the top 10 most popular TV channel impressions over 13 consecutive newspapers by language weeks in 2018 (source: Indian Readership Survey) (source: Broadcast Audience Research Council) Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 64

  37. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Summary: Longitudinal Trends • Online audiences increasingly consuming international, and legacy national media • Online audiences decreasingly consuming vernacular, regional, digital- born media • Vernacular news readers increasingly prefer legacy national media to digital-born media • Vernacular news readers have no significant brand preference with international media Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 65

  38. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Discussion

  39. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Online vis-à-vis Offline • Online news consumption is more centralized, less fragmented • Potentially owing to the demographic differences in online versus offline • Likely to increase more – literacy, internet penetration, English education • Implications for regional media industries? Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 67

  40. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Future of Regional Media? • Dire future of regional media • Still profitable in print and TV, but not for long • Need to invest in digital • Decline in local news around the world Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 68

  41. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Revisiting the Theoretical Framework Uses and Gratifications Cultural proximity Theory What do people get out of How does culture mediate consuming the same media? consumption choices? News Reading Publics How does social identity/class How do news consumption patterns determine what news people reflect a shared interest in issues? consume? Social Identity Issue Publics Theory Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 69

  42. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Limitations • ComScore’s data collection / integration methods are proprietary • ComScore’s estimates are likely the best available for India • ComScore’s US estimates correlate highly with Nielsen’s • Desktop data only • Including mobile data when available did not change qualitative findings • English-vernacular power dynamics were similar Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 70

  43. Motivation Indian Context Theoretical Framework Data & Methods Findings Discussion Contributions • Main contribution: Novel evidence of news reading behavior of the second largest online population • Analytical framework with a context-agnostic methodology • Instrument for comparative research to understand structural differences in audience organization in different countries • News Reading Publics as an umbrella theory – echo-chambers, partisan selective exposure, and demographic segmentation are special cases Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 71

  44. Thank You Subhayan Mukerjee | Dissertation Defense | May 27, 2020 github.com/wrahool/news-reading-publics

  45. Acknowledgements: Committee Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 73

  46. Acknowledgements: Annenberg Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 74

  47. Acknowledgements: DiMeNet Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 75

  48. Acknowledgements: Family Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 76

  49. Thank You Subhayan Mukerjee | Dissertation Defense | May 27, 2020 github.com/wrahool/news-reading-publics

  50. Supplementary: Online Population is More Male Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 78

  51. Supplementary: Online Population is (slightly) Younger Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 79

  52. Supplementary: Online Population is More Urban Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 80

  53. Supplementary: Growth of Mobile in India • High growth in recent years But • Growth driven by feature phones • Vast majority of people in rural areas don’t use the internet From a survey administered in rural Karnataka: “the majority (85%) were unfamiliar with internet communication channels including email and Skype, while only 11% were familiar with Facebook, WhatsApp and YouTube, 4% with gaming, and less than 1% with online shopping” ( Vaijayanti, 2018) Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 81

  54. Supplementary: Multi-platform Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 82

  55. Supplementary: Audience Mobility 𝑇ℎ𝑏𝑠𝑓𝑒 𝐵𝑣𝑒𝑗𝑓𝑜𝑑𝑓 𝐶𝑓𝑢𝑥𝑓𝑓𝑜 𝐵 𝑏𝑜𝑒 𝐶 • 𝑄𝑓𝑠𝑑𝑓𝑜𝑢 𝑃𝑤𝑓𝑠𝑚𝑏𝑞(𝑄𝑃) = × 100 𝐵𝑣𝑒𝑗𝑓𝑜𝑑𝑓 𝑆𝑓𝑏𝑑ℎ 𝑝𝑔 𝐵 • Trend of (Mean PO / month) for all pairs (A, B) where A is a regional outlet and B is a national Outlet Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 83

  56. Supplementary: Audience Engagement Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 84

  57. Supplementary: Audience Engagement Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 85

  58. Supplementary: Generalizability Continuum of linguistic/cultural homogeneity Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 86

  59. Supplementary: Generalizability Continuum of linguistic/cultural homogeneity We know a lot about this end Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 87

  60. Supplementary: Generalizability Not much about the rest of the continuum Continuum of linguistic/cultural homogeneity We know a lot about this end Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 88

  61. Supplementary: Generalizability Not much about the rest of the continuum Continuum of linguistic/cultural homogeneity We know a lot about this end India is somewhere here Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 89

  62. Supplementary: Generalizability Not much about the rest of the continuum Continuum of linguistic/cultural homogeneity We know a lot about this end India is somewhere here ? Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 90

  63. Supplementary: Connected Component Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 91

  64. Supplementary: WalkTrap ▪ Imagine a person walking along the network edges ▪ At every step, she decides to randomly walk to an adjacent node ▪ Let her walk for a very long period of time ▪ The set of nodes within which she gets trapped and spends a lot of time are the “communities” as they have lots of edges between them Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 92

  65. Supplementary: WalkTrap Enhancement ▪ How do you parameterize the WalkTrap algorithm? (Arenas et al. 2008) ▪ Add a self loop to each node and increase/decrease weight to control mobility of the walker ▪ For audience networks, this weight is the audience of that node Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 93

  66. Supplementary: WalkTrap Enhancement ▪ How do you parameterize the WalkTrap algorithm? (Arenas et al. 2008) ▪ Add a self loop to each node and increase/decrease weight to control mobility of the walker ▪ For audience networks, this weight is the audience of that node Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 94

  67. Media Imperialism ▪ Media imperialism is a theory based upon the fact that an over- concentration of mass media from larger nations is a significant variable in negatively affecting smaller nations, in which the national identity of smaller nations is lessened or lost due to media homogeneity inherent in mass media from the larger countries ▪ A vision of Western cultural dominance and imposition, created by a ceaseless flow of cultural products that invaded and overwhelmed the developing world (Chadha & Kavoori, 2000) Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 95

  68. Supplementary: Dyadic Thresholding ▪ Phi-correlation Association between two binary variables Y=1 Y=0 Total X=1 n 11 n 10 n 1* X=0 n 01 n 00 n 0* Total n *1 n *0 n 𝛸 𝑌𝑍 = 𝑜 11 𝑜 00 − 𝑜 10 𝑜 01 𝑜 1∗ 𝑜 ∗1 𝑜 0∗ 𝑜 ∗0 Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 96

  69. Supplementary: Dyadic Thresholding ▪ Phi-correlation Association between two binary variables Y=1 Y=0 Total X=1 n 11 n 10 n 1* X=0 n 01 n 00 n 0* Total n *1 n *0 n 𝛸 𝑌𝑍 = 𝑜 11 𝑜 00 − 𝑜 10 𝑜 01 𝑜 1∗ 𝑜 ∗1 𝑜 0∗ 𝑜 ∗0 Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 97

  70. Supplementary: Dyadic Thresholding ▪ Phi-correlation Association between two binary variables Y=1 Y=0 Total X=1 n 11 n 10 n 1* X=0 n 01 n 00 n 0* Total n *1 n *0 n 𝑜𝑜 11 − 𝑜 1∗ 𝑜 ∗1 𝛸 𝑌𝑍 = 𝑜 1∗ 𝑜 ∗1 (𝑜 − 𝑜 1∗ )(𝑜 − 𝑜 ∗1 ) Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 98

  71. Supplementary: Dyadic Thresholding ▪ Phi-correlation Association between two binary variables Visits j = 1 Visits j = 0 Total Visits i = 1 D ij - A i Visits i = 0 - - - Total A j - N 𝐸 𝑗𝑘 𝑂 − 𝐵𝑗𝐵𝑘 𝛸 𝑗𝑘 = 𝐵 𝑗 𝐵 𝑘 (𝑂 − 𝐵𝑗)(𝑂 − 𝐵𝑘) Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 99

  72. Supplementary: Dyadic Thresholding ▪ Phi-correlation Association between two binary variables Visits j = 1 Visits j = 0 Total Visits i = 1 D ij - A i Visits i = 0 - - - Total A j - N 𝐸 𝑗𝑘 𝑂 − 𝐵𝑗𝐵𝑘 𝑢 = 𝛸 𝑗𝑘 max(𝐵𝑗, 𝐵𝑘) − 2 𝛸 𝑗𝑘 = 𝐵 𝑗 𝐵 𝑘 (𝑂 − 𝐵𝑗)(𝑂 − 𝐵𝑘) 1 − 𝛸 𝑗𝑘 2 Subhayan Mukerjee | May 27 2020 | 100

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