NEW HOMES Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor 1. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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NEW HOMES Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor 1. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSPORT FOR NEW HOMES Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor 1. Numbers Matter Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor 300,000 Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor Demand: Black Country Plan


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TRANSPORT FOR NEW HOMES

Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

  • 1. Numbers Matter
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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

300,000

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

Demand: Black Country Plan

Government Standard Methodology 71,459* homes Supply 26,000 homes short Using Household Projections 2014 Government Standard Methodology 54,378* homes Supply 9,800 homes short Using Household Projections 2016

*2019-2038 Ten Year Merthodology.

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Supply: Windfalls - Birmingham

Current Plan 20 year prediction of Windfalls: 5,335 Approx 266 windfalls per-annum

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

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Inquiry Plan Now

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Modest Assumption of 1,000 dwellings per annum = 20,000 windfalls?

Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

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New Opportunities?

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  • What is the future of Retail?
  • What will the next

generation of urban redevelopment look like?

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

Hidden Add-ons…

Extra Housing for ‘Affordability’… Extra Housing for ‘Growth’… Extending the Timescale…

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

Overly High Numbers do not lead to more houses. They lead to more houses in the wrong place.

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

  • 2. Leicestershire
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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

A46 Corridor Promoted by Midlands Connect to help inter-urban traffic

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Strategic Growth Plan to 2051

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

No assessment of local traffic issues No detailed plan for public transport links Leicester’s Mayor says: ‘No Brownfield land’

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

Sustainability Appraisal Claim More sustainable than alternatives… But alternatives are all for houses in the countryside

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

Whetstone Pastures https://irp- cdn.multiscreensite.com/0842dc3a/files/uploaded/ Developer%20Prospectus.pdf

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

  • 3. Junction 3

M54

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Easy Access to the Motorway!

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

Disrupts existing bus services Suggests diverting bus service (making them worse) Rail access bisected by Motorway Junction

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Gerald Kells, Strategic Policy and Campaigns Advisor

Lets be Transformative…gerald.kells@talk21.com