NC F1RST COVID-19 Update H. Tasaico April 24, 2020 NC F!RST - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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NC F1RST COVID-19 Update H. Tasaico April 24, 2020 NC F!RST - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

NC F1RST COVID-19 Update H. Tasaico April 24, 2020 NC F!RST COVID19 Update COVID19 - Confirmed Deaths 2 NC F!RST COVID19 Update The Great Lockdown Unemployment Claims 4/21 NC Update: 700K 4/23 US Update: 26.5M Source: FT, Trading


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NC F1RST COVID-19 Update

  • H. Tasaico

April 24, 2020

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COVID19 - Confirmed Deaths

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NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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The Great Lockdown

Source: FT, Trading Economics Illustration: Visual Capitalist

Unemployment Claims 4/21 NC Update: 700K 4/23 US Update: 26.5M

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COVID-19 - Shopping Preferences

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Source: Strackline, Amazon, Business Insider, Euro news, CNBC Illustration: Visual Capitalist

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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The Oil Crash

Source: Investing.com Illustration: Visual Capitalist

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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Passenger Car Sales

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Source: BEA, CAAM, ACEA Illustration: Statista

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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Source: Inrix

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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Source: Inrix Traffic Summary day-by-day

Green – Normal Yellow – Trend Down Red – Decline in Earnest

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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Revenue Model - Variables

Source Share of Revenue Variables Variables 40% Rate General Statute Formula Fuel Consumption Employment and economic activity 20% Rate General Statute Formula Quadrennial CPI Adjustment Transactions Employment and economic activity 15% Rate General Statute Transactions Employment and economic activity

Federal

25% Revenue Congressional Budget Office

Motor Fuel Tax DMV Fees Highway Use Tax

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NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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SFY 2020 Projections* – Year to date (March) and Year-end *Comparison to Biennium Budget NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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SFY 2021 Projections* *Comparison to Biennium Budget Assumes a 1.5 cpg reduction in MFT rate NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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Federal Response

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update Congress Reference Name Date Amount ($B) 1 HR 6074 (PL 116-123) Coronavirus Preparedness and Response Supplemental Appropriations Act 3/6/2020 8.1 2 HR 6201 (PL 116-127 Families First Coronavirus Response Act 3/12/2020 191.9 3 HR 748 (PL 116-136) Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES) Act 3/27/2020 2,000 4 HR 266 Paycheck Protection Program and Health Care Enhancement Act 4/23/2020 484 NC Transportation CARES ACT

  • FTA Urbanized Formula

$224.8M

  • FTA Non-Urbanized Formula

94.9M

  • Airport Grants-in-aid

283.7M

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NC Transportation Revenues and US GDP

Incomplete 3rd quarter 2021

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update

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NC Transportation Revenues and US Unemployment

Incomplete 3rd quarter 2021

NC F!RST – COVID19 Update