NAWMP NAWMP Revision Revision Consultation Workshop Consultation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Fred A. Johnson, U.S. Geological Survey Fred A. Johnson, U.S. Geological Survey

• G. Scott Boomer, U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service
• G. Scott Boomer, U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Dave Case, D. J. Case & Associates Dave Case, D. J. Case & Associates and members of the NAWMP Revision Steering Committee and members of the NAWMP Revision Steering Committee

NAWMP NAWMP Revision Revision

Consultation Workshop Consultation Workshop

February 26, 2010 February 26, 2010 Sacramento, CA Sacramento, CA

2

Workshop agenda Workshop agenda

• Yesterday

Yesterday: :

• Introduction

Introduction

• The Revision Vision

The Revision Vision

• Taking a SDM approach

Taking a SDM approach

• Break

Break-

• out groups to:
• ut groups to:
• Discuss the nature of the decision problem

Discuss the nature of the decision problem

• Identify fundamental & means objectives for waterfowl management

Identify fundamental & means objectives for waterfowl management

• Identify some measurable attributes

Identify some measurable attributes

• Group discussion; opportunity for individual input

Group discussion; opportunity for individual input

• Today

Today: :

• Introduction to objectives hierarchies

Introduction to objectives hierarchies

• Break

Break-

• out groups to:
• ut groups to:
• Construct an objectives hierarchy

Construct an objectives hierarchy

• Identify strategic actions to achieve objectives

Identify strategic actions to achieve objectives

• Group presentations; synthesis

Group presentations; synthesis

3

Evaluating Objectives Evaluating Objectives… …

• 1. Promote a conservation ethic in the general public
• 1. Promote a conservation ethic in the general public
• 2. Maximize waterfowl harvest
• 2. Maximize waterfowl harvest
• 3. Maximize hunter satisfaction
• 3. Maximize hunter satisfaction
• 4. Promote non
• 4. Promote non-
• consumptive uses of waterfowl

consumptive uses of waterfowl

• 5. Maintain landscapes capable of sustaining waterfowl populatio
• 5. Maintain landscapes capable of sustaining waterfowl populations in perpetuity

ns in perpetuity

• 6. Increase the understanding of ecological mechanisms driving c
• 6. Increase the understanding of ecological mechanisms driving changes in waterfowl abundance and waterfowl landscapes

hanges in waterfowl abundance and waterfowl landscapes

• 7. Expand the sources and amount of funding for waterfowl conser
• 7. Expand the sources and amount of funding for waterfowl conservation activities

vation activities

• 8. Perpetuate the tradition of waterfowling
• 8. Perpetuate the tradition of waterfowling
• 9. Minimize harvest of under
• 9. Minimize harvest of under-
• abundant waterfowl species

abundant waterfowl species

• 10. Minimize loss and degradation of wetlands and associated upl
• 10. Minimize loss and degradation of wetlands and associated uplands

ands

• 11. Provide more public hunting opportunities
• 11. Provide more public hunting opportunities
• 12. Minimize the detrimental effects of over
• 12. Minimize the detrimental effects of over-
• abundant populations (e.g. depredation, habitat destruction)

abundant populations (e.g. depredation, habitat destruction)

• 13. Maintain/establish regulations that are simple and will lead
• 13. Maintain/establish regulations that are simple and will lead to high compliance rates among hunters

to high compliance rates among hunters

• 14. Maintain healthy waterfowl populations as part of the North
• 14. Maintain healthy waterfowl populations as part of the North American fauna

American fauna

• 15. Maximize ecological goods and services derived from wetlands
• 15. Maximize ecological goods and services derived from wetlands and associated uplands managed for waterfowl

and associated uplands managed for waterfowl

• 16. Increase public support for waterfowl conservation
• 16. Increase public support for waterfowl conservation
• 17. Increase waterfowl hunter participation
• 17. Increase waterfowl hunter participation
• 18. Ensure that no species of waterfowl falls below population l
• 18. Ensure that no species of waterfowl falls below population levels necessary for long

evels necessary for long-

• term viability.

term viability.

• 19. Increase and improve duck breeding habitat
• 19. Increase and improve duck breeding habitat
• 20. Ensure cooperation among jurisdictions (state, flyway, partn
• 20. Ensure cooperation among jurisdictions (state, flyway, partners, etc.).

ers, etc.).

• 21. Increase and improve duck wintering habitat
• 21. Increase and improve duck wintering habitat
• 22. Maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of the infrastruct
• 22. Maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of the infrastructure and funding for waterfowl conservation

ure and funding for waterfowl conservation

• 23. Provide maximum hunting opportunity.
• 23. Provide maximum hunting opportunity.
• 24. Maintain the social license to hunt
• 24. Maintain the social license to hunt
• 25. Increase duck recruitment
• 25. Increase duck recruitment
• 26. Increase and improve duck migration habitat
• 26. Increase and improve duck migration habitat
• 27. Reduce mortality from disease and contaminants
• 27. Reduce mortality from disease and contaminants
• 28. Maintain a broad fall and winter distribution of waterfowl
• 28. Maintain a broad fall and winter distribution of waterfowl
• 29. Establish the infrastructure needed to ensure coherence in w
• 29. Establish the infrastructure needed to ensure coherence in waterfowl management

aterfowl management

• 30. Formalize the institutions needed to incorporate human dimen
• 30. Formalize the institutions needed to incorporate human dimensions into waterfowl management decisions

sions into waterfowl management decisions

• 31. Increase hunter education and communications efforts
• 31. Increase hunter education and communications efforts

4

Evaluating Objectives Evaluating Objectives

• Objective Hierarchies:

Objective Hierarchies:

• Group similar objectives along a gradient from

Group similar objectives along a gradient from fundamental to means fundamental to means

• Graphically display the conceptual linkages

Graphically display the conceptual linkages between means objectives and fundamental between means objectives and fundamental

• bjectives
• bjectives
• Provide a context to develop measurable

Provide a context to develop measurable attributes attributes

• Provide a context to develop management actions

Provide a context to develop management actions

• r alternatives
• r alternatives

5 Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective Goal

6 Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Goal

Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

7 Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Goal

Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

8 Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Goal

Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective

Action Action Action Action

Means Objective Means Objective

9 Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective Fundamental Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Goal

Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective Means Objective

Means Objective

Means Objective

Action Action Action Action Action Action

Action

Action

Action Means Objective Means Objective

Mgmt Program 1

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

Mgmt Program 2

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

Mgmt Program 3

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

10

Objectives Hierarchy: key points Objectives Hierarchy: key points

• Ensures that the views of stakeholders are

Ensures that the views of stakeholders are considered and documented considered and documented

• Organizes the complexities of the waterfowl

Organizes the complexities of the waterfowl management enterprise management enterprise

• Illustrates the linkages between means and

Illustrates the linkages between means and fundamental objectives fundamental objectives

• Explicitly recognizes how multiple management

Explicitly recognizes how multiple management programs/institutions, through their actions, can programs/institutions, through their actions, can affect the same means and fundamental objectives affect the same means and fundamental objectives

11

Break Break-

• out Groups
• ut Groups
• Review list of fundamental and means objectives

Review list of fundamental and means objectives

• Organize objectives from fundamental to means

Organize objectives from fundamental to means

• Specify relationships (linkages) between means and

Specify relationships (linkages) between means and fundamental objectives fundamental objectives

• List some measurable attributes associated with

List some measurable attributes associated with each objective each objective

• Identify some potential actions to achieve

Identify some potential actions to achieve fundamental or means objectives fundamental or means objectives

12

Break Break-

• out Groups
• ut Groups
• Develop a graphical representation of the objectives

Develop a graphical representation of the objectives hierarchy (PowerPoint, white board, or paper) hierarchy (PowerPoint, white board, or paper)

• Be prepared to discuss the key relationships

Be prepared to discuss the key relationships between the fundamental and means objectives between the fundamental and means objectives

• Be prepared to discuss some potential actions to

Be prepared to discuss some potential actions to achieve fundamental or means objectives achieve fundamental or means objectives

13

SDM process SDM process

Consider: Uncertainty, & linked decisions

Modeling Toolkit

Problem

Values: Preference scales,

• bjective weights

& risk attitudes Mandates: Laws, Policies, preferences

Trigger

Objectives Alternatives Consequences Tradeoffs & Optimization Decide & Take Action

SDM Analysis Toolkit Data

14

Some technical details to consider Some technical details to consider

• Models link actions to outcomes that are

Models link actions to outcomes that are relevant to the objectives (consequences); relevant to the objectives (consequences); models are required to make predictions. models are required to make predictions.

• The decision context determines the scope of

The decision context determines the scope of the modeling and guides development. the modeling and guides development.

• The initial modeling framework will have to

The initial modeling framework will have to accommodate a broad set of management accommodate a broad set of management alternatives to generate a prototypical alternatives to generate a prototypical consequences table. consequences table.

15

Some expected outcomes from Some expected outcomes from Consultation Workshop Consultation Workshop

• Objectives hierarchy

Objectives hierarchy

• Measurable attributes

Measurable attributes

• A list of potential actions/alternatives at a

A list of potential actions/alternatives at a very broad scale very broad scale… …

16

Break Break-

• out groups
• ut groups

17

Consultation process II Consultation process II

Modeling Toolkit

Problem

Values: Preference scales,

• bjective weights

& risk attitudes

Consequences Tradeoffs & Optimization Decide & Take Action

SDM Analysis Toolkit Data

18

Consultation process I Consultation process I

Consider: Uncertainty, & linked decisions

Problem

Mandates: Laws, Policies, preferences

Trigger

Objectives Alternatives

19

20 Waterfowling Tradition Healthy Populations Habitat G & S

N ≤ K Retention Max K H20 Quality C Seq. Wetlands Uplands

Integrated Waterfowl Management

Sustainable Harvest Satisfaction

Recruitment

Restoration Wetland Quality Protection Max H Communication

Harvest Opportunity

Body Condition Encounter Rate

21 Waterfowling Tradition Healthy Populations Habitat G & S

N ≤ K Retention Max K H20 Quality C Seq. Wetlands Uplands

Integrated Waterfowl Management

Sustainable Harvest Satisfaction

Recruitment

Restoration Wetland Quality Protection Max H Communication

Harvest Opportunity

Body Condition Encounter Rate

22 Waterfowling Tradition Healthy Populations Habitat G & S

N ≤ K Retention Max K H20 Quality C Seq. Wetlands Uplands

Integrated Waterfowl Management

Sustainable Harvest Satisfaction

Recruitment

Restoration Wetland Quality Protection Max H Communication

Harvest Opportunity

Body Condition Encounter Rate

23 Waterfowling Tradition Healthy Populations Habitat G & S

N ≤ K Retention Max K H20 Quality C Seq. Wetlands Uplands

Integrated Waterfowl Management

Sustainable Harvest Satisfaction

Recruitment

Restoration Wetland Quality Protection Max H Communication

Harvest Opportunity

Body Condition Encounter Rate

24 Waterfowling Tradition Healthy Populations Habitat G & S

N ≤ K Retention Max K H20 Quality C Seq. Wetlands Uplands

Integrated Waterfowl Management

Sustainable Harvest Satisfaction

Recruitment

Restoration Wetland Quality Protection Max H Communication

Harvest Opportunity

Days Bag Media Access Habitat Mgmt Simple Regs Land Use Policy

Basin Integrity

Fee Title/ Easements

Basin Function

Body Condition Encounter Rate

25 Waterfowling Tradition Healthy Populations Habitat G & S

N ≤ K Retention Max K H20 Quality C Seq. Wetlands Uplands

Integrated Waterfowl Management

Sustainable Harvest Satisfaction

Recruitment

Restoration Wetland Quality Protection Max H Communication

Harvest Opportunity

Days Bag Media Access Habitat Mgmt Simple Regs Land Use Policy

Basin Integrity

Fee Title/ Easements

Basin Function

Body Condition Encounter Rate Mgmt Program 1

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

Mgmt Program 2

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

Mgmt Program 3

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

26 Waterfowling Tradition Healthy Populations Habitat G & S

N ≤ K Retention Max K H20 Quality C Seq. Wetlands Uplands

Integrated Waterfowl Management

Sustainable Harvest Satisfaction

Recruitment

Restoration Wetland Quality Protection Max H Communication

Harvest Opportunity

Days Bag Media Access Habitat Mgmt Simple Regs Land Use Policy

Basin Integrity

Fee Title/ Easements

Basin Function

Body Condition Encounter Rate Mgmt Program 1

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

Mgmt Program 2

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

Mgmt Program 3

• Continental
• Regional
• Local

27

Integrated waterfowl management Integrated waterfowl management

Alternatives Alternatives Fundamental Fundamental Objectives Objectives Portfolio 1 Portfolio 1 Portfolio 2 Portfolio 2 Portfolio 3 Portfolio 3 Portfolio 4 Portfolio 4 Maintain Duck Maintain Duck hunting tradition hunting tradition Maintain healthy Maintain healthy duck populations duck populations Ecological goods Ecological goods and services and services Max harvest Max harvest

• pportunity
• pportunity

Max hunter Max hunter satisfaction satisfaction

28 Wetland habitat Crane Needs Refuge Operations Human Dimensions

Native plant diversity Training Nesting habitat Seed product- ion Cost Wildlife habitat Food product- ion Down- stream H20 Crane viewing Hunting & Fishing

Necedah NWR Impoundments Objectives Hierarchy

ac sedge meadow # sites for DAR, ultralight % teritor- ies w/ 1- 15” H2O ac moist soil Infra- structure $ ac hemi- marsh Prey density Service spillway flow Viewing

• pportun
• ities

Oppor- tunities provided Maxi- mize ≥4 > 75% > 600 ac Mini- mize See CCP p. 64 ≥ thresh-

• ld

Never exceed SOP For young & adults Yes

Measurable Attributes Performance Criteria