Mult ltidisciplinaire Ric ichtlijn CVRM NVIVG symposium September - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Mult ltidisciplinaire Ric ichtlijn CVRM NVIVG symposium September - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Mult ltidisciplinaire Ric ichtlijn CVRM NVIVG symposium September 7, 2018 Frank L.J. Visseren Disclosures Research ZonMw, Wellerdieck-de Goede fonds, Leatare foundation, Vrienden UMC Utrecht, Dutch Heart Foundation Honoraria
Disclosures
- Research
ZonMw, Wellerdieck-de Goede fonds, Leatare foundation, Vrienden UMC Utrecht, Dutch Heart Foundation
- Honoraria
None
- Stocks
None
- Other …
Fase II/III clinical research in the field of lipid-lowering (Sanofi, Medicines Company, Amgen, Pfizer, Eli Lilly, Merck, ISIS) Guideline committees: CV Risk Management, CV Risk Management in elderly, (Genetic) lipid disorders
De nieuwe CVRM richtlijn
Concept richtlijn maart 2018 (basis = ESC richtlijn 2016) Commentaarronde Definitieve versie richtlijn September 2018 Accordering verenigingen (NIV, NVVC, NHG, Hart-Vaat groep, NVN, Hartstichting, NVHVV) Publicatie December 2018 / Januari 2019
De nieuwe SCORE-NL tabel
Concept richtlijn april 2018:
De nieuwe CVRM richtlijn
Concept richtlijn april 2018:
- Risico schatten: SCORE-NL, bij patienten met DM2, vaatziekten
en ouderen
- Healthy lifestyle ………
- Lipiden: patienten met vaatziekte LDL-c <1,8 mmol/l,
patienten met (heel) hoog CV risico LDL-c <2,6 mmol/l Nog lager is prima als dat makkelijk mogelijk is
- Bloeddruk: <140 mmHg, bij comorbiditeit <130 mmHg
De nieuwe CVRM richtlijn
De nieuwe CVRM richtlijn
Concept richtlijn april 2018:
- Risico schatten bij:
- Gezonde mensen (SCORE-NL)
- Patienten met DM2 (ADVANCE)
- Patienten met vaatziekten (SMART)
- Ouderen >70 jaar (Elderly riskscore)
10-year risk for recurrent CVD events in CVD patients: SMART risk score
Dorresteijn ea, Heart. 2013 Jun;99(12):866-72 Kaasenbrood ea, Circulation. 2016;134:1419–1429 www.escardio.org Piepoli ea, EHJ 2016;37, 2315–2381
iARR: large variation iRRR: no variation
individual Risk Reduction
Optimal risk reduction according to guidelines and remaining 10-year CV risk
N=6904 Kaasenbrood, et al Circulation 2016;134:1419-1429
Challenges in CVD risk prediction in apparently healthy people.
OK problem problem
Specific risk score for elderly Lifetime CVD risk score
Clin Res in Cardiol. 2017 Jan;106(1):58-68 De Vries et al, ESC congress 2018, abstract 114
10-year CV risk (adjusted for competing risks) Lipid-lowering
CVD risk prediction in elderly (>70 yrs)
Not all elderly at high risk
BP lowering
‘Vaatrisico’ App
Tot hier de (concept) CVRM richtlijn
Challenges in CVD risk prediction in apparently healthy people.
OK problem problem
Specific risk score for elderly Lifetime CVD risk score
Competing risks Level of modifiable risk factors Lifetime treatment
Therapy benefit Costs and harms
Baseline risk Therapy effectiveness
Wouldn’t it be great to have lifetime predictions?
Progress – Model Development
Dorresteijn ea, BMJ. 2016 Mar 30;352:i1548
Additional CV-free life from PCSK9-i
Initiation age ≥70 Lifetime 20 years 10 years Lifetime 20 years 10 years 20 years 10 years 10 years Risk <10% LDL<1.8 8 3 1 5 3 1 2 1 LDL 1.8-2.6 10 4 1 7 4 1 3 1 1 LDL ≥2.6 14 6 2 9 6 2 4 2 1 Risk 10-20% LDL<1.8 10 4 1 7 5 1 3 1 1 LDL 1.8-2.6 15 6 2 10 6 2 4 2 1 LDL ≥2.6 22 9 2 14 9 3 5 3 2 Risk 20-30% LDL<1.8 15 6 2 10 8 2 5 2 2 LDL 1.8-2.6 22 10 3 15 10 3 7 3 2 LDL ≥2.6 34 13 4 19 14 4 9 5 4 Risk >30% LDL<1.8 21 11 4 12 10 4 7 3 2 LDL 1.8-2.6 23 11 4 16 13 5 9 5 3 LDL ≥2.6 NA NA NA 32 22 8 16 7 5 Initiation age ≥40-<50 Initiation age ≥50-<60 Initiation age ≥60-<70 with this combination of characteristics to derive a reliable median. Importantly, expected benefit is also determined by a patient’s risk of other
Kaasenbrood et al, Heart. 2018 Apr 5. pii: heartjnl-2017-312510
Lifetime predictions with Age as Time-Scale
Geskus, Biometrics 2011;67:39-49 Dorresteijn ea, BMJ. 2016 Mar 30;352:i1548
10-year risk Lifetime risk
CVD risk prediction in apparently healthy people
LIFE-CVD model
N Jaspers, ESC congress 2018, Young Investigators Award, abstract 1149.
Lifetime prediction of CV events in vascular patients: SMART-REACH model
C-statistic 0.67 (95% CI 0.66-0.68) C-statistic 0.68 (95% CI 0.67-0.70) Kaasenbrood ea, JAHA 2018 epub Dorresteijn, ESC congress 2018, abstract 3141
Great challenge for a clinician: translating the results of large clinical trials to individual patients
Much to consider, much to choose: what for whom and when?
Risk factor Drugs Dose / combi Treatment goal Lipids Statin Ezetimibe PCSK9-mab Dose? Combination? LDL-c <2.5 mmol/l LDL-c <1.8 mmol/l Even lower Blood pressure ACEi/ARB, Diuretics CCB, Betablocker, Spironolactone Dose? Combination? SBP <140 mmHg SBP <130 mmHg Elderly goal Antithrombotics Antiplatelet (COX, P2Y12, cAMP) DOAC Dose? Combination? Diabetes Metformin, SU,DPP- 4 insulin, GLP-1, SGLT-2 HbA1c <53, <58, <64 mmol/mol Inflammation Triglycerides, Lp(a)
CV prevention starts with healthy lifestyle.
- Apparently healthy people: LIFE-CVD model 1
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: ARIC, MESA, EPIC, Heinz Nixdorf Recall (total n=69,523)
Externally validated scores for Lifetime CVD risk and Lifetime therapy benefit
1 Jaspers, ESC congress 2018, abstract 1149 2 Kaasenbrood et al, JAHA 2018 3 Berkelmans et al, in revision
- Patients with CV disease: SMART-REACH model 2
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: SMART, REACH (total n=40,388)
- Patients with DM2: DIAL model 3
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: Swedish NDR, Scottish Diab Reg, ADVANCE, ACCORD,
ASCOT, ALLHAT, SMART (total n=587,151)
Lifetime CVD risk score in primary prevention Lifetime CVD risk prediction for CVD patients
- Elderly patients: Elderly model 4,5
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: PROSPER, SMART, ASCOT, HYVET (total n=11,090)
CV risk prediction in elderly
4 Stam-Slob et al, Clin Res in Cardiol. 2017 Jan;106(1):58-68 5 De Vries et al, ESC congress 2018, abstract 114
Lifetime CVD risk prediction in patients with Diabetes
Lifetime risk Treatment effects CVD-free life
Individual lifetime treatment effects: gain in CVD-free life
Much to consider, much to choose: what for who and when?
Riskfactor Drugs Dose / combi Treatment goal Lipids Statin Ezetimibe PCSK9-mab Dose? Combination? LDL-c <2.5 mmol/l LDL-c <1.8 mmol/l Lower better? Blood pressure ACEi/ARB, Diuretics CCB, Betablocker, Spironolactone Dose? Combination? SBP <140 mmHg SBP <130 mmHg Elderly? Antithrombotics Antiplatelet (COX, P2Y12) DOAC Dose? Combination? Diabetes SGLT-2 GLP-1 HbA1c <53, <58, <64 mmol/mol New treatments Inflammation Triglycerides, Lp(a)
CV prevention starts with healthy lifestyle.
+ =
- Apparently healthy people: LIFE-CVD model 1
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: ARIC, MESA, EPIC, Heinz Nixdorf Recall (total n=69,523)
Externally validated scores for Lifetime CV risk and Lifetime therapy benefit
1 Jaspers, ESC congress 2018, abstract 1149 2 Kaasenbrood et al, JAHA 2018 3 Berkelmans et al, in revision
- Patients with CV disease: SMART-REACH model 2
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: SMART, REACH (total n = 40,388)
- Patients with DM2: DIAL model 3
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: Swedish NDR, Scottish diab reg, ADVANCE, ACCORD,
ASCOT, ALLHAT, SMART (total n = 587,151)
Lifetime CVD risk score in primary prevention Lifetime CVD risk prediction for CVD patients
- Elderly patients: Elderly model 4,5
- Derived and externally validated in cohorts: PROSPER, SMART, ASCOT, HYVET (total n=11,090)
CV risk prediction in elderly
4 Clin Res in Cardiol. 2017 Jan;106(1):58-68 5 DeVries et al, ESC congress 2018, abstract 114
Lifetime CVD risk prediction in patients with Diabetes
Interactive calculator
www.U-Prevent.com
Conclusie CVRM richtlijn
- 1 CVRM richtlijn voor 1e en 2e lijn
- Iets lagere treatment targets voor sommige patienten met HVZ
(lipiden) en voor patienten met hoge bloeddruk en comorbiditeit
- Risicoschatten voor iedereen!
Conclusion risk prediction
- 10-year CVD Risk prediction in CVD patients, patients with DM2, Elderly
- Lifetime CVD risk prediction for:
- Apparently healthy people
- Patients with vascular disease
- Patients with Diabetes Mellitus
- Estimating gain in CVD-free life from (combination of) smoking cessation, lipid-