Models of Host Immune Response, and the(co)Evolution of Virulence: limited and preliminary extensions on Gilchrist-Sasaki
Andrea Pugliese
- Dept. of Mathematics, Univ. of Trento
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.1/26
Models of Host Immune Response, and the(co)Evolution of Virulence: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Models of Host Immune Response, and the(co)Evolution of Virulence: limited and preliminary extensions on Gilchrist-Sasaki Andrea Pugliese Dept. of Mathematics, Univ. of Trento DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006
Andrea Pugliese
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.1/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.2/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.2/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.2/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.2/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.3/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.3/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.4/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.4/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.4/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.5/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.5/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.5/26
δ ), then system always goes
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.5/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.6/26
cI 1+kcP P − m 1+kmP P
aP 1+kaP I − δI + h
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.6/26
cI 1+kcP P − m 1+kmP P
aP 1+kaP I − δI + h
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.6/26
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DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.7/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.8/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.8/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.8/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.9/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.9/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.9/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.9/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.10/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.10/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.10/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.10/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.11/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.12/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.12/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.12/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.12/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.13/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.13/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.13/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.14/26
∂ ∂tu(t, θ) + ∂ ∂θu(t, θ)
0 P(θ)u(t, θ) dθ
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.14/26
∂ ∂tu(t, θ) + ∂ ∂θu(t, θ)
0 P(θ)u(t, θ) dθ
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.14/26
Λ µ
θ
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.15/26
Λ µ
0 k1aI(s)P(s) + k2rP(s) ds
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.15/26
Λ µ
0 k1aI(s)P(s) + k2rP(s) ds
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.15/26
Λ µ
0 k1aI(s)P(s) + k2rP(s) ds
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.15/26
Λ µ
0 k1aI(s)P(s) + k2rP(s) ds
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.15/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.16/26
Λ µR0
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.16/26
Λ µR0
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.16/26
20 40 60 80 100 120 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 GS k1=k2=1.e-2 R0 survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.17/26
20 40 60 80 100 120 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 GS k1=k2=1.e-2 R0 survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.17/26
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 r survival a model GS k1= k2=1e-2
survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.18/26
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 r survival a model GS k1= k2=1e-2
survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.18/26
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 20 40 60 80 100 r survival a model GS k1= 1.e-6 k2=1.e-4
survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.19/26
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 20 40 60 80 100 r survival a model GS k1= 1.e-6 k2=1.e-4
survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.19/26
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 20 40 60 80 100 r survival a model M=5 k1= 1.e-6 k2=1e-4
survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.20/26
2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 20 40 60 80 100 r survival a model M=5 k1= 1.e-6 k2=1e-4
survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.20/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.21/26
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 with var. a k1= k2=1.e-2 R0 survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.21/26
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 with var. a k1= k2=1.e-2 R0 survival
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.21/26
50 100 150 200 250 300 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 fixed vs. variable a k1=1.e-6 k2=1.e-4 R0 a var. survival a var. R0 fixed a survival fixed a
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.22/26
50 100 150 200 250 300 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 fixed vs. variable a k1=1.e-6 k2=1.e-4 R0 a var. survival a var. R0 fixed a survival fixed a
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.22/26
50 100 150 200 250 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 fixed vs. variable a (M=5) k1=1.e-6 k2=1.e-4 R0 a var. survival a var. R0 fixed a survival fixed a
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.23/26
50 100 150 200 250 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 fixed vs. variable a (M=5) k1=1.e-6 k2=1.e-4 R0 a var. survival a var. R0 fixed a survival fixed a
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DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.24/26
100 200 300 400 500 600 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 R0 survival r R0 for different a (k1= k2=1.e-2) R0 a=0.1 survival a=0.1 R0 fixed a survival fixed a R0 a=5 survival a=5
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DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.25/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.25/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.25/26
DIMACS workshop on Host-Parasite Coevolution, October 9-11 2006 – p.25/26
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