Modeling Background Ozone Concentrations in the UGRB During - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Modeling Background Ozone Concentrations in the UGRB During - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Modeling Background Ozone Concentrations in the UGRB During February 2008 July 11, 2013 Outline Overview of Boundary Conditions QA and Sensitivity Tests Results Conclusions 2 Boundary Conditions (BCs) Overview


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SLIDE 1

Modeling Background Ozone Concentrations in the UGRB During February 2008

July 11, 2013

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SLIDE 2
  • Overview of Boundary Conditions
  • QA and Sensitivity Tests
  • Results
  • Conclusions

Outline

2

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SLIDE 3
  • Extracted from the global

GEOS-Chem model for this project

  • Defined at four lateral

boundaries

  • Zero gradient at top
  • Provides continuous inflow
  • f background

concentrations into the 36- km domain

Boundary Conditions (BCs) Overview

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southern boundary northern boundary eastern boundary western boundary

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SLIDE 4

Example of BC Transport on 36-km Domain (CMAQ)

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SLIDE 5
  • Needed ‘raw’ GEOS-Chem output

to match WRF vertical layers

  • GEOS-Chem with dynamic

tropopause was being run by EPA ORD

– GEOS-Chem output for year 2008 provided by EPA ORD – Used EPA program to convert GEOS- Chem output to CMAQ-ready files – GEOS-Chem run still new, so extensive QA not conducted

Project Specifics

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Illustration from http://celebrating200years.noaa.gov/breakthroughs/climate_model/modeling_schematic.html

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SLIDE 6
  • QA model-ready BC files

– Reasonable ozone profiles and concentration magnitudes – Confirm that both CMAQ and CAMx have similar BC ozone profiles

  • Conduct tests to assess amount of ozone transported to

Sublette County

– Run ozone in tracer mode for both models – Tracer mode means no sources, no chemistry, no deposition – transport only – Tagged ozone tracer both horizontally (north, south, east and west) and vertically

Description of QA and BC Tests

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SLIDE 7

Possible Stratospheric Intrusion Events?

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SLIDE 8

Vertical Binning (note vertical scale)

8 L3 (20-25) L2 (16-19) L1 (1-15) L4 (26-28) L5 (29-31) L6 (32-36)

1 km 2 km 5 km 7.5 km 10.5 km

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SLIDE 9

Comparison of Obs to PGM Tracers at 36-km

9 Note: 1) stabilization period for is ~ 7 days 2) both PGM models track well at 36-km

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SLIDE 10

Comparison of Obs to PGM Tracers at 36-km

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SLIDE 11

Comparison of Obs to PGM Tracers at 36-km

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SLIDE 12

Differences in Transport on 36-km Domain

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SLIDE 13

Inter-Domain Comparison of CMAQ Ozone Tracers

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SLIDE 14

Inter-Domain Comparison of CAMx BCs at Boulder – by Boundary

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36-km Domain 1.33-km Domain

Note: O3W means ozone from the western boundary, etc.

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SLIDE 15

Diagnoses of 1.33 km Concentrations at Boulder – by Level

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Note: L1 means level 1, etc. as defined on slide 3

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SLIDE 16

Diagnoses of 1.33 km Concentrations at Boulder – by Level

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Note: L1 means level 1, etc. as defined on slide 3

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SLIDE 17

Diagnoses of 1.33 km Concentrations at Boulder – by Level

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Note: O3W03 means western boundary, level 3, etc.

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SLIDE 18
  • Both models produce similar ozone values in Sublette

County (magnitude and timing)

  • Ozone tracer values seem consistent with the order of

magnitude of the observations

  • Consistency among all domains
  • BC concentrations tend to come from western and

northern boundaries

  • BC concentrations tend to come from levels 2 and 3 (i.e.,

vertical layers 16 – 25) with nominal heights above ground of ~1000 m to ~5000 m

– No evidence of stratospheric intrusion affects

Findings from the BC Tests

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