Minor International
Investor/Analyst Presentation
1Q 2010 Performance & Business Outlook
9 June 2010
Prapharat Tangkawattana
Senior Finance Director
Bernard Gawkasem
Director of Strategic Planning
Elewana Taragiri Treetop Resort, Tanzania
Minor International Investor/Analyst Presentation 1Q 2010 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Elewana Taragiri Treetop Resort, Tanzania Minor International Investor/Analyst Presentation 1Q 2010 Performance & Business Outlook 9 June 2010 Prapharat Tangkawattana Senior Finance Director Bernard Gawkasem Director of Strategic
Investor/Analyst Presentation
1Q 2010 Performance & Business Outlook
9 June 2010
Prapharat Tangkawattana
Senior Finance Director
Bernard Gawkasem
Director of Strategic Planning
Elewana Taragiri Treetop Resort, Tanzania
Statements included or incorporated in these materials that use the words "believe", "anticipate", "estimate", "target", or "hope", or that otherwise relate to objectives, strategies, plans, intentions, beliefs or expectations or that have been constructed as statements as to future performance or events, are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated at the time the forward-looking statements are made. Mint undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Mint makes no representation whatsoever about the opinion or statements of any analyst or other third party. Mint does not monitor or control the content of third party opinions or statements and does not endorse or accept any responsibility for the content or the use of any such opinion or statement.
Appendix: MINT’s hotel & restaurant portfolio
Restaurant:
Hotel & Residence
uShawari spa opened for operation on 25 May.
Retail Trading:
shop opened at Emporium between May-June to alleviate the diverse impact
4Q10
Finance:
5
Key Economic Indicator (% y-y) 2009 2010 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
GDP (at constant price)
5.9% 12.0% Private Investment (at constant price)
15.8 Private Consumption (at constant price)
1.4 4.0 Export of Goods
12.2% 32.2 SET Index (Point) 431.5 597.5 717.1 734.5 788.0 Tourist Arrival
28% 28%
Source: NESDB
6
(Bt Million) 1Q10 % Change Total Revenue 5,326 23% EBITDA 1,270 21% Net Profit 600 50% EPS (Bt) 0.1832 56%
5 10 15 20 25 30 1Q10 1Q09
9 11 21 24
EBITDA Net Profit
increased tourist activities and consolidation of Minor Corporation
administrative cost control in food business Profitability (% margin)
7
2,000 4,000 6,000
1Q09 Food Hotel& Spa Plaza& Entertain Retail Trading Share of Profit 1Q10
(Bt m)
Retail Trading 13%
Plaza&Entertain 3%
Hotel & Spa 32%
Restaurant 52%
Breakdown Revenue Growth Revenue Contribution
105 207
696 5 4,314 5,326
Increased 23% y-y
8
Retail Trading 3% Plaza&Entertain 8% Hotel & Spa 52% Restaurant 37%
(Bt m) 1Q10 % chg Restaurant 474 22% Hotel & Spa 657 17% Residence 5 37% Plaza & Entertainment 96 3% Retail Trading 38 n.a. EBITDA 1,270 21%
Retail Trading 2% Plaza&Entertain 10% Hotel & Spa 55% Restaurant 33%
(Bt m) 1Q10 % chg Restaurant 197 77% Hotel & Spa 328 44% Residence - n.a. Plaza & Entertainment 62
Retail Trading 13 n.a. Net Profit 600 50%
EBITDA Contribution Net Profit Contribution
9
(Bt Million) 1Q10 % 1Q09 % % y-y Change
Restaurant 2,737 51% 2,632 61% 4% Hotel & Spa 1,678 32% 1,471 34% 14% Mixed-Use 10 0% 9 0% 5% Plaza & Entertainment 141 3% 143 3%
Retail Trading 696 13% - 0% n.a. Share of Profit – Restaurant 28 1% 18 1% 12% Share of Profit – Hotel & Spa 37 42 Total Revenue 5,326 100% 4,314 100% 23% Operating Expenses 1,850 35% 1,345 31% 38% SG&A Expenses 2,206 41% 1,923 45% 15% EBITDA 1,270 24% 1,047 24% 21% DA 398 7% 377 9% 5% EBIT 872 16% 669 16% 30% Net Profit 600 11% 400 9% 50% EPS (BT) 0.1832 0.1171 56% Weighted Share (m) 3,276 3,418
10
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
2010 2009 2008
million, an increase of 28% y-y and increase
business benefiting from an increase in global travel and tourism
concerns over the safety of tourists in Thailand and reduced the number of foreign tourists
arrivals for the year 2010 approximately 13 million, less than TAT’s target of 16 millions (or a decrease of 8%, compared to 14.1 million tourists in 2009)
Source: Bank of Thailand
Number of Foreign Tourist Arrivals to Thailand
(‘000)
12
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 Occupancy 7,160 5,284 4,749 6,133 6,996 ADR (Bt)
aftermath
even at
rate 44%
competition
tourist arrivals with 17% y-y in September
tourist arrivals
time in hotel booking
hit record high
improvement in profitability
13
Hotel Occupancy Rate (%) ADR (Bt/night) RevPar (Bt/night) 1Q10 1Q09 1Q10 %Chg 1Q10 %Chg
Four Seasons 63% 47% 9,420
5,929
29% Anantara 48% 46% 9,011
4,313
Marriott 77% 70% 4,566
3,523
6% Others 34% 33% 11,580 5%
3,887
6%
Average 61% 56% 6,996
4,253
6%
66% 58% 5,828 0% 3,844
13%
40% 44% 14,606
5,884
competitor set positions
14
M a r r i
t A n a n t a r a F
r S e a s
s O t h e r s
11,580 9,420 9,011 4,566
Average Occupancy of 61% Average ADR of Bt 6,996
5%
% Change
M a r r i
t A n a n t a r a F
r S e a s
s O t h e r s
33% 47% 46% 70%
34% 63% 48% 77%
Others Others
15
1Q10 1Q09
5% y-y 2% y-y $140 $275 $285 $350
MINT’s Customers Breakdown 1Q10 1Q09
%Chg Thailand 10% 9% 1% East Asia 19% 20% 0% South Asia 2% 2% 0% Middle East 6% 3% 2% Europe 44% 47%
The Americas 12% 14%
Oceania 4% 3% 1% Africa & Others 2% 2% 0%
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Germany Thailand U.S.A. UK Russia Japan U.A.E. Australia Hong Kong China #room night
properties in those markets
+25% +42% +3%
+81% +18% +153% +54% +2%+65%
Top-ten Feeder Markets
16
SSS
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
TSS
0.2%
1.0%
the highest level of the year
confidence and dining behaviors hit by economic recession & domestic political chaos
value menu to attract traffic during public confidence restoration time
same-store- sales growth in Thailand
shops faced challenges from extensive expansion
sales in Thailand expanded nearly 4%
18
Brand SSS (%) TSS (%) 1Q10 1Q09 1Q10 1Q09
The Pizza Company
0.7% 1.2% 13.6% Swensen’s 6.8%
7.2% 8.3% Sizzler 4.9% 3.3% 19.3% 11.6% Dairy Queen 4.0% 11.0% 10.8% 14.5% Burger King 9.4%
18.9% 4.0% The Coffee Club 2.1% 2.7% 17.5% 17.3% Thai Express
72.8% Average 1.0% 0.2% 9.2% 16.3% Average Thailand 3.9% 0.4% 8.4% 10.2%
19
17.5% 18.9% 10.8% 19.3% 7.2% 1.2%
TPC SW SZ DQ BK TCC TE
2.1% 9.4% 4.0% 4.9% 6.8%
Same-Store-Sales Growth Total-System-Sales Growth
Showed a slight improvement Benefit from increased tourists Closure of some outlets
20
1.25 2.50 3.75 5.00 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 3.75 7.50 11.25 15.00 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
Same Store Sales Growth Total System Sales Growth
Remark: MINT’s outlets in Thailand
21
Others 8% Contract Manufacturing 43% Retail Trading 50% 1Q10 Total Revenues Bt 695m (2% y-y ) 5 10 15 20 25 1Q10 1Q09 1Q10 Operating Profits Bt 21 m (5% y-y)
businesses began to show a recovery
23
Rajprasong intersection
closed down
were also closed down
9 retail point of sales while another 4 outlets and 7 points of sales were slighted affected
April May
Impact on MINT’s business during the riot:
sales located in the incident area were temporarily closed
few areas in BKK
martial laws
25
Segmentation 2009 Total Revenues (Btm) Contribution (%) Business Locations in Rajprasong (outlets)
Revenues/ Day (Btm)
Hotel & Spa 5,210 30% 2 out of 30 1.5 Restaurant 9,970 58% 11 out of 1,116 0.8 Retail Trading & Contract Manufacturing* 1,379 8% 47 out of 279 0.6 Others 733 4%
17,291 100%
*Consolidated since June 13, 2009
However, we have been partially compensated from the migration of customer traffics to
26
1-15 Apr 16-30 Apr 1-15 May 16-31 May Affected Business
7 outlets & 15 points of sales 2 hotels, 11 outlets & 47 points of sales 2 hotels, 11 outlets & 47 points of sales 7 outlets & 15 points of sales
Revenue Loss/ Day
Bt 0.5m Bt 2.9m Bt 2.9m Bt 0.5m
% of MINT’s Daily Revenues*
1.1% 6.1% 6.1% 1.1%
*Based on 2009 total revenues
affected by the riots. This was, however, compensated by the spill over business in other outlets
to recover
damaged shop is approved to partially alleviate the cost of damage
27
300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 Jan-00 May-00 Sep-00 Jan-01 May-01 Sep-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sep-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03 Jan-04 May-04 Sep-04 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-05 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-06 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-07 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-09 Jan-10 (‘000)
Foreign Tourists to Thailand Seasonal Adj.*
(Sep-01)
(Apr-03)
(Dec-04)
Crisis (Mar-07)
~2mths ~6 mths ~6 mths ~3 mths ~12 mths
(Beginning 2010)
BKK (Apr-May10)
Note: * Seasonal Adj. calculation from 12 months moving average of foreign tourists arrival to Thailand Source: Bank of Thailand
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5
28
intellectual property
acquisitions
fractional vacation business
asset-back properties
replacement cost
market value
businesses, sources of income, locations
business for each location
investment policy
borrowing rates
grade debts
Balance Sheet
30
Contribution: Revenue/NPAT
2009 Contribution
Sales NPAT Thailand 81% 69% Overseas 19% 31%
31
2009 Contribution
Sales NPAT Hotel 31% 42% Restaurant 58% 38% Others 11% 20%
1%/6% 1%/12% 81%/69% 14%/20% 0%/5%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1Q10
Hotel Business
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1Q10
Restaurant Business
3,023 3,339 3,951 4,142 3,076 4,253 RevPar Gross Profit Margin 6% 9%
3%
1% Gross Profit Margin SSS Growth %
32
Reduced Effective Interest Balanced Interest Rate Mix Leverage Ratio Maintained Secured Back-up Financing
7.5 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
MINT MLR
25 50 75 100 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10
Fixed Float
4.5% 0.5 1.0 1.5 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 0.81x
10,000 20,000 30,000
1Q10 Un-utilized Credit Line Net Interest-Bearing D/E Borrowings and Debentures
33
Own Equity Avg Investment Cost/Key (Btm) No of Room**
Anantara 15-20 613 6,795-9,060 Four Seasons 20-25 495 9,452-11,815 Marriott 12-15 1,192 13,374-16,717 Other Investment* (at cost) 262 922 The Estate Samui 100 5 500 Work-in-Progress*** 20-80 371 7,092
Intellectual Property Avg Annual Revenue/ Contract (Btm) No of Contract
Hotel Management 10 18 150 Assuming 10% Cap Rate (Initial Yield) for 10 year contract 1,088
Total Replacement Value - Hotel & Residence 39,223-47,194
Note: * Price as cost; Hotel management including pipeline hotels scheduled to open during 2010 - 2012; ** No of room based on 100% holding but estimated value calculated on holding interests. ***Work in Progress including ST Regis and Anantara Baa Atoll
34
Own Equity Avg Investment Cost/ Outlet (Btm) No of Outlet
Under MINT 10 608 6,080 Joint Venture 20 81 1,054 Investment in S&P 912
Intellectual Property Avg Annual Revenue/ Outlet (Btm) No of Outlet Est Values (Btm)
Food Franchising 0.4-2.8 428 416 Assumed 12% Cap Rate (10 years contract) 2,763
Total Replacement Value - Restaurant 10,809
35
Unit: Btm Hotel & Residence Retail Plaza Restaurant Retail & Others Total
Own Equity 38,135 2,020 10,809 1,533
50,477
Intellectual Property 1,837
Total 39,972 2,020 11,304 1,533 52,809
% Breakdown 76% 4% 21% 3% 100% Less: Net Debt (as of 1Q10) 10,349
MINT’s Equity Value
42,460
*Property, plant & equipment of plaza & entertainment, spas and Minor Corporation
36
2008 Actual 2009 Actual Projection 2010
as of 24 May 10*
GDP Growth 2.5%
3.5-4.5% Private Investment 3.2%
5.0% Private Consumption 2.7%
3.0% Export of Goods 15.9%
15.5% Inflation 5.5%
3.0-4.0% Tourist Arrival (millions) 14.6 14.1 13.0
Note: The projection is remained as previously announced on the 22 Feb 10. Source: NESDB
Economic Projection 2010
recovery
significantly
economic condition
condition:
confidence
prices
38
to JLL
remain strong
corporate income tax reduction, and corporate tax reduction for hotel renovation
4 6 8 10 12
Tokyo Hong Kong Seoul Singapore Melbourne Shanghai Beijing Osaka Sydney Kuala Lumper Taipei Macau Phuket Manila Bangkok Ho Chi Minh Jakata Bali
Asia Pacific Cap Rate (initial yield) for new acquisition
Cap Rate (%) 39
Source: JLL Hotels
(April - May) Occupancy Rate (%) ADR (Bt/night) RevPar (Bt/night) 2010 2009 2010 %Chg 2010 %Chg
Four Seasons -BKK 6% 40% 6,839 17%
406
Four Seasons - Ex-BKK 30% 29% 18,099
5,425
Anantara 44% 41% 6,209
2,714
Marriott 59% 56% 3,242
1,903
Others 28% 32% 6,980
1,947
Average 44% 46% 5,119
2,241
45% 46% 4,063
1,811
40
(5 Month YTD) Occupancy Rate (%) ADR (Bt/night) RevPar (Bt/night) 2010 2009 2010 %Chg 2010 %Chg
Four Seasons -BKK 40% 45% 5,716
2,311
Four Seasons -Ex-BKK 48% 39% 18,548
8,976
16% Anantara 46% 43% 7,942
3,668
Marriott 70% 64% 4,101
2,869
2% Others 31% 33% 9,922 0%
3.103
Average 54% 52% 6,370
3,441
0%
57% 53% 5,264
3,023
5%
The Coffee Club in Bangkok & Upcountry Franchise Business
Swensen’s outlet in Vientiane, Laos - opened late March
and India
41
42
contribution of Swensen’s
5 10
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
SSS-2009 SSS-2010 5 10 15 20 25
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
TSS-2009 TSS-2010
5 10
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
5 10 15 20 25
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Thailand Systemwide
5M10 = 1.0% 5M09 = -1.0% 5M10 = 3.4% 5M09 = -0.8% 5M10 = 7.1% 5M09 = 9.6% 5M10 = 8.3% 5M09 = 15.2%
Comparable Projects Property Type
Price/Sq.m. (USD)
Leasehold 53 > 5,500 Ritz Carlton ~Freehold 196 > 7,600 The Met Freehold 370 > 7,600 Sukhothai Freehold 196 >6,700
Remark: St. Regis is the only project developed by MINT
43
8 penthouses with private pools
Payment Term:
contract signing date within 30 days from the reservation date
the date of transfer
44
significant damage report
45
Retail Brands
Business Interrupt.
Fire Damage Total Point
Clothing 34 6 204 Cosmetic 9 1 58 Others 4 1 17 Net Sale Impact ~Bt 50m
% to MINOR’s sales = 1.9% % to MINT’s sales= 0.3%
record sales of ST regis), and retail & entertainment businesses which will be fully consolidated this year
46
1Q10 Restaurant Hotel &Spa Residential Plaza & Entertain Retail Trading 2010F
NPAT
2009 (Btm)
2010 Growth (%)
Restaurant 517 15-20% Hotel & Spa 605 2-5% Residential
>100% Retail Plaza 228 5-10% Retail Trading 62 >20%
MINT’s NPAT 2010
9-Mo (Apr-Dec)
Unit Expansion Equity Asset-Light 2010 Hotel 3 hotel/342 rooms TBC Food 35 outlets 53 outlets 2011 Hotel 4 hotels/48 rooms 7 hotels/611 rooms Food 60 outlets 64 outlets 2012 Hotel TBC 2 hotels/599 rooms Food 36 outlets 73 outlets 2013 Hotel TBC 3 hotels/282 rooms Food 40 outlets 83 outlets 2014 Hotel TBC TBC Food 40 outlets 67 outlets
48
Note: TBC = To be confirmed
Year Opening Investment Hotel Management Contract
2010
25 May 10*
units)
2011
2012
2013
Total
49
Note: Elewana Afrika, MINT’s subsidiary, acquired of the five-star Kilindi Zanzibar and re-open on 25 May 2010
Breakdown by Owning Interests RESTAURANT (# OUTLETS) Equity % of Openings Franchise % of Openings
2010 35 40% 53 60% 2011 60 48% 64 52% 2012 36 33% 73 67% 2013 40 33% 83 67% 2014 40 37% 67 63% Total 211 38% 340 62%
Breakdown by Destinations RESTAURANT (# OUTLETS) Thailand % of Openings Overseas % of Openings
2010 35 40% 53 60% 2011 37 30% 87 70% 2012 23 21% 86 79% 2013 25 20% 98 80% 2014 27 25% 80 75% Total 147 27% 404 73%
50
1,500 3,000 4,500 6,000 2009 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F
Restaurant Hotel Residential Retail Trading Others
restaurant and hotel businesses shall be provided additionally
51
THANK YOU
Please visit www.minornet.com Investor Relations Office +66 (2) 3657636-37
7 hotels in Thailand 2 hotels in Maldives 1 hotel in Bali 2 hotels in Abu Dhabi Bangkok Chiang Rai Chiang Mai Samui
54
Kenya & Zanzibar
Other Brands Phuket Pattaya Hua Hin Bangkok
55
243 229 246 72 24 22 238 42
1,117
Outlets % Equity 689 62% Franchise 428 38% Total 1,117 100% Outlets % Thailand 740 66% International 377 34% Total 1,117 100%
Note: Number of outlets
56