MINOR INTERNATIONAL
MINT’S 1Q09 Analyst/Investor Meeting
Stock Exchange of Thailand
May 14, 2009
MINOR INTERNATIONAL MINTS 1Q09 Analyst/Investor Meeting Stock - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
MINOR INTERNATIONAL MINTS 1Q09 Analyst/Investor Meeting Stock Exchange of Thailand May 14, 2009 Forward Looking Statement Statements included or incorporated in these materials that use the words "believe", "anticipate",
MINT’S 1Q09 Analyst/Investor Meeting
Stock Exchange of Thailand
May 14, 2009
Statements included or incorporated in these materials that use the words "believe", "anticipate", "estimate", "target", or "hope", or that otherwise relate to objectives, strategies, plans, intentions, beliefs or expectations or that have been constructed as statements as to future performance or events, are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated at the time the forward-looking statements are made. Mint undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Mint makes no representation whatsoever about the opinion or statements of any analyst or other third party. Mint does not monitor or control the content of third party opinions or statements and does not endorse or accept any responsibility for the content or the use of any such opinion or statement
2
3
Bt0.23 per share, totaling of Bt 831m.
restructuring plan to eliminate cross shareholding in March 2009. Thailand’s SEC has also approved the plan and tender offer for MINOR shares with the swap ratio of 1 MINOR share to 1.14 MINT shares on May 7, 2009. Tender offering period is May 11 to June 12 (25 working days).
remaining Le Jazz outlets were closed down in April.
under Anantara Hotel Management, has been opened in March 2009
from KBANK and BAY in April 2009.
4
5
73% 17% 14% 12% 4% 15% 8%
Bt 1,264 m Bt 406 m Bt 191 m Bt 632 m Bt 217 m Bt 522 m Bt 1,660 m
Note: Growth is year on year calculations based on total system sales, including franchised stores, in local currencies.
6
Brand SSS (%) TSS (%) GDP Growth Country
1Q09 4Q08 1Q09 4Q08 1Q09 4Q08
0.5
13.6 13.6
n.a.
Thailand
8.3 10.2 3.3 9.4 11.6 10.8 11.0 15.2 14.6 24.4
3.6 6.9 2.7 1.3 17.3 15.5 n.a. 0.3 Australia
72.9 85.4
Singapore Average 0.1 0.5 16.1 17.9
Note: Calculations based on weighted sales of all brands in local currencies.
7
expansion and newly acquired food outlets in 2008.
a strong recovery of TPC in March.
was more than offset with an 8% increase in total system sales. Sales strategy in the coming months aim for lower-tier marketing promotions such as Chocolate Sundae, and Birthday Cake TV tied-in programs.
from Singapore’s contracted GDP which profoundly impacted high price-per-docket shops such as Shokudo, while Thai restaurant (Thai Express) showed a flat growth. Key actions to drive top-line are Inter- brand with local banks promotions, Value meal and Student special menus.
8
0% q-q
+4% y-y +4% q-q
Bt 588 m
Bt 452 m Bt 650 m
9
Hotel
Occupancy (%) ADR (Bt/night) RevPar (Bt/night)
1Q09 4Q08 1Q09 4Q08 1Q09 4Q08
47% 43% 9,738 10,644 4,613 4,632 51% 52% 10,692 9,607 5,493 4,987 70% 63% 4,751 4,796 3,321 3,021 33% 41% 10,984 8,833 3,651 3,632 Average-Thai 61% 55% 5,900 6,016 3,593 3,292 Average 58% 55% 7,228 7,163 4,210 3,928
10
tourist arrivals in 1Q09, however, q-q wise, it showed a 12% increase.
50% in 4Q08 with an increase of 14% in ADR.
previous quarter and outperformed the industry average. MINT’s Thai hotels reported 61% occupancy compared to 55% in 4Q08.
corporate & group decreased.
than discount pricing, in addition to our effective operating & HR cost
11
Spa
Retail & Entertainment
Residential Hospitality & Residential Food
1,064 outlets
30 spas 67 units
27 hotels (> 3,000 rooms)
>30,000 sqm.
12
13
(Bt Million) 1Q09 % 1Q08 % % Growth Food Services 2,681 62% 1,964 45% 36% Hotel Services 1,340 31% 1,917 44%
1,267 29% 1,792 41%
73 2% 125 3%
Residential Property 9 0% 150 3%
Other Business 225 5% 261 6%
Share of profit 59 1% 72 2%
Total Revenue 4,314 100% 4,363 100%
Operating Expenses 1,345 31% 1,388 32%
SG&A Expenses 1,923 45% 1,604 37% 20% EBITDA 1,047 24% 1,371 31%
Depreciation & Amortization 377 9% 319 7% 18% EBIT 669 16% 1,052 24%
Interest Expenses 110 3% 87 2% 26% Tax 134 3% 194 4%
Minority 25 1% 20 1% 25% Net Profit 400 9% 750 17%
14
(Bt Million) 1Q09 % Food Services 2,681 62% Hotel Services 1,340 31%
1,267 29%
73 2% Residential Property 9 0% Other Business 225 5% Share of profit 59 1% Total Revenue 4,314 100% Operating Expenses 1,345 31% SG&A Expenses 1,923 45% EBITDA 1,047 24%
377 9% EBIT 669 16% Interest Expenses 110 3% Tax 134 3% Minority 25 1% Net Profit 400 9%
EBITDA Contribution
Net Profit Contribution
Food Services 106 27% Hotel Services 217 54% Residential Property
Other Business 77 19% Consolidated Net Profit 400 100%
Share of profit 6% Other Business 11% Residential Property 0% Hotel 48% Food 35%
15
200 400 600 800
2Q07 2Q08 3Q07 3Q08 4Q07 4Q08 1Q08 1Q09
(Bt m) Net Profit 7% 9% 11% 9% 14% 10% 17% 9% Net Profit Margin
0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30
2Q07 2Q08 3Q07 3Q08 4Q07 4Q08 1Q08 1Q09
0.12 0.23 0.12 0.17 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.07 (Bt/share)
Net Profit EPS
16
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 (Bt m)
Total Assets
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09
(Bt m) Total Parent's Shareholders' Equity Note: Calculations based on revolving 4 quarters Return on Assets = Profit Before Minorities / Total Assets Return on Equity = Net Profit / Total Parents’ Shareholders’ Equity
Return on Assets Return on Equity
9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.1% 6.6%
Adjusted Return on Assets
20.4% 20.0% 18.5% 16.4% 13.4%
Adjusted Return on Equity
17
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 (Bt m) 0.65 0.71 0.69 0.73 0.75 Interest Bearing Debt-to-Equity (x)
Assets 25,196 MB
Note: Debt to Equity Ratio = Interest Bearing Debt / Total Equity
Assets 23,748 MB Assets 23,919 MB Equity Interest Bearing Debt Other Liabilities Assets 25,064 MB 18 Assets 24,929 MB
250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 (Bt m) EBITDA Interest Expense
Note: Calculations based on revolving 4 quarters; Interest Coverage Ratio = EBITDA / I
12.3 12.3 12.6 11.4 9.9 Interest Coverage Ratio 19
Cash Stock*
Dividend Payment (Bt) Dividend Yield (%)
Note: * Stock dividend of 10:1 (or Bt0.10 at par) in 2004 and 2007 ** Interim dividend payment (for 9-month operation)
(Including stock dividend at par value) 20
21
(Million)
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09
79% 85% 81% 66% 66% 60% 72% 75% 49% 61% 60% 43% 60% 67% 56%
MINT’s Thai Hotels’ Average Occupancy (%)
Airport Closure
Significant impact due to the high tourism season months
22
TAT 2009 Target (adjusted after airport closure ) Best Case: Recover with in 2Q09 Base Case: Recover with in 3Q09 Worst Case: Political uncertainty whole year 09 Assumption Probability 20% 60% 20% Number of Tourist Arrival (millions persons) 14.0 12.6 11.2 9.98 Tourism Revenue (millions baht) 500,000 444,000 388,000 338,000 Average Expenditure (Bt per person) 35,714 35,238 34,642 33,868 GDP growth (%)
(CEBF Forecast)
Source: CEBF Model, The Center of Economic and Business Forecasting, University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce
24
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 66% 74% 73% 72% 69% 64%
Average Occupancy Rates of MINT’s Thai Hotel Portfolio
SARS Tsunami, Bird Flu London Bomb BKK Bomb, Coup Sub-prime Crisis Airport Closure
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 70% 47% 64% 71% 72% 64% 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 80% 66% 71% 75% 80% 67%
BKK Coup
Marginal impact on MINT’s
SARS
Recovery in 6-month
confidence
products
environment at tourist spots
Bt 6.6 bn Campaign
Bt 10.23 bn Investment
Infrastructure at tourist spots
25
hotel operators
foreign visitors against domestic unrest
regulations eg. visa fee Bt 5.0 bn Campaign
26
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009F
1,401 1,806 1,740 1,997 2,175 2,158 2,151 2,555 3,023 3,339 3,951 4,156 4,200
(Baht/Night)
911 SARS Tsunami, Bird Flu London Bomb BKK Bomb, Coup Sub- prime Crisis Global Economic crisis Airport Closure Financial Crisis
5-Yr CAGR 14%
BKK Riots
Customer Breakdown
1Q09 1Q08
Thailand
9% 8%
East Asia
16% 18%
SEA
5% 5%
Oceania
3% 3%
Europe
47% 48%
North America
14% 13%
Others
6% 6%
27
Luxury/ Upscale Hotel
Food Casual/ Selected Services
Quick Service Restaurant
28
As of 1Q09
Food Hotel Food Hotel Food Hotel Food Hotel
2,066 923 360 408 160 100 4
3,174 903 2,860 656 2,313 531 2,055 350
Investment Franchised/ Managed
Note: Unit by number of food outlets and by number of hotel rooms
29
2002 2006 1Q09 2013E
MINT’s intellectual properties
segments
30
31
Source: World Economic Outlook 2009, Apr-09; World Bank
2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0 12.5 15.0
Thailand China Singapore Australia World Output 2008 2009F 2010F 2008 2009F 2010F 2008 2009F 2010F 2008 2009F 2010F 2008 2009F 2010F
1.9 0.6
7.5 1.0
6.5
3.2 2.1 1.1 9.0 2.6
Forecast economic growth in 2009-10
To maintain excellent
achieve budget and outperform industry peers.
Intensive cash management Effective
control Corporate cost rationalization
Finance, Share Services, IT, Legal, Construction department with total savings
Hotel management, Sales & Marketing, Residential, Spa with total savings of 15%
savings over 75 bps
32
Food Hotel Corporate
Raw Materials & Occupation Payroll & Others Payroll & Other
1.5% of food revenues 2% of hotel revenues 2% of total revenues
33
Corporate’ & Hotels’ Profit Protection Plan
✓ Salary freeze &
reduced incentives
✓ Leave-without-
pay scheme for hotel & corporate
✓ Limited travel
expenses
✓ Cancelled
external training
✓ Energy saving
programs
✓ Reduced
entertainment contract & OPE plan
Debt Outstanding as of Mar-09 (Bt M) Payment Schedule 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Bank OD & Short Term Loan 732
1,652 22% 25% 26% 21% 5% _ Long Term Debenture 6,725 8% 19% 15% 27%
Total Debt 9,109 18% 19% 16% 24% 1% 23%
34
Float Rate 40% Fixed Rate 60%
31 March 2009 is Bt 9,109m mostly in Thai Baht with only 8% in foreign currency (MFG China)
Bt 9,109m
Project Type of Funding Amount
Drawdown position as of Mar-08 Term Loan 9 years, Grace Period 3 years Bt 3,050 m Bt 20 m Term Loan 7 years, Grace Period 3 years US$ 30 m None New Acquisition Committed Standby Line Bt 4,000 m None General Working Cap & Investment Committed 2 years Line Bt 1,200 m None Refinancing & New
7 years loan from local commercial banks Bt 4,000 m Loan agreement signed Apr 09
35
36
1,250 2,500 3,750 5,000
Residential & Others Food Hotel Total
Expansion Normal
(Bt m)
Bangkok
35 own-equity
to TCC & TE
(expansion)
Bt1,100m Bt700m Bt2,300m Bt4,100m
4 8 12 16 20 24 28
2009-2013
(Bt bn) EBITDA
Committed CAPEX
37
New Opportunity
NEW ADDITIONS RESTAURANT (# OUTLETS) HOTEL (# ROOMS) RESIDENTIAL EQUITY FRANCHISE INVESTMENT MANAGE (# UNIT)
2009 35 69 114 279
73 76 220 122 53 2011 53 109
Under Reviewed
932
47 125
Under Reviewed
460
50 146
Under Reviewed
258 525 334 1,793 53 CAPEX (Bt m) FOOD HOTEL RESIDENTIAL & OTHER 2009 1,100 2,300 700 2010 1,600 2,100 800 2011 800 500 100 2012 900 300
700 300
5,100 5,500 1,600
38
# Outlets 2008 1Q09 2009F 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F Equity 645 656 680 753 806 853 903 The Pizza Company 173 174 175 189 202 215 228 Swensen’s 113 113 117 122 126 129 132 Sizzler 36 39 38 43 47 51 56 Dairy Queen 219 219 232 253 269 283 299 Burger King 22 23 24 27 29 31 33 The Coffee Club 11 12 12 14 16 17 18 Thai Express 47 53 61 70 80 90 100 Others 24 23 21 35 37 37 37 Franchise 398 408 467 543 652 777 923 The Pizza Company 70 72 95 127 186 251 321 Swensen’s 109 111 124 143 164 188 210 Sizzler 1 5 13 25 40 The Coffee Club 203 208 228 248 268 288 308 Thai Express 14 17 19 20 21 25 44 Others 2 Total Outlets 1,043 1,064 1,147 1,296 1,458 1,630 1,826
Journey into
the spirit
Enjoy life at a slower rhythm
Maldivian shores
Anantara Baa Atoll, Maldives (82 rooms) 4Q09 Anantara Koh Samui (expansion 20 rooms) 4Q09 Four Seasons Chiangmai (expansion 12 rooms) 4Q09
for sale) 4Q10
Anantara Baan Rajprasong Serviced Suites, Bangkok (97 rooms ), March 09 Anantara Qusr Al Sarab, Abu Dhabi (182 rooms), 3Q09 Anantara Al Madina A’Zarqua (122 rooms) 2010 Anantara Jumeirah Lake, Dubai (473 rooms) 2011 Anantara Marrakech, Morocco (120 rooms) 2011 Anantara Magador, Morocco (120 rooms) 2011 Anantara Mahabaliburam, India (126 rooms) 2011 Anantara Uluwatu, Bali (93 rooms) 2011 Anantara Estrella, Cape Verde (200 rooms) 2012 Anantara Santiago, Cape Verde (200 rooms) 2012 Aequalis Santiago, Cape Verde (60 rooms) 2012
Anantara Qasr Al Sarab, Abu Dahbi Anantara Baa Atoll, Maldives
✦ MINOR Group Business Restructuring
MINT issue new share 511m shares for tender offer by share swap with MINOR shares of 488m shares at swap ratio 1: 1.14 (MFG will not swap its MINOR shares)
Current Cross Shareholding Structure
Shareholders
MINT 3,614m shares
MFG
MINOR 488m shares
Shareholders
8.60% 91.40% 75.46% 5.96% 99.72% 18.58%*
*including portion held by MWL
MINT decrease its share capital. proportionately held by MINOR, MWL and MFG amount to 887m shares. MINOR delist its shares from SET
After Tender Offer & Specific Capital Reduction
Shareholders
MINT 3,255m shares
MFG
MINOR 490m shares
Shareholders
8.56% 91.44% 84.29% 99.72% 15.71%
43
enhance good corporate governance
units for MINT while enhancing its value and increasing source of
shareholders’ value enhancement
consumer revenue structure
swap by issuing new MINT shares(511m shares) and exchange with MINOR shares (488m shares) from existing MINOR’s shareholders
MINT is derived form an average share valuation methodologies based on public available information
held by MINOR , MWL and MFG (886m shares). It expected the specific capital reduction process will complete before the end of ender offer period
44
45
MINOR’s balance sheet leads to increasing negotiation and bargaining power
manpower and shared services office
existing plants and equipments
46
EGM Submission of Filling and Tender Offer to the SEC Effective date of Filling and Tender Offer Register newly issue of MINT’s share on the SET and Delisting MINOR shares from the SET Tender Offer Period (25 working days) SEC’s Approval Period
47
MINT’s and MINOR’s shareholders approved with the majority vote over 90%
Late June 2009 7 May 2009 March 6, 2009 March 10, 2009 May 11, 2009 June 12, 2009 Financial Advisor and Tender Offer Agent : Bualuang Securities PCL 29/F, 191 Silom Complex office Building, Silom Rd., Bangrak, Bangkok 10500
Contact : Khun Trinop Kumnerdkarn or Khun Somphorn Sitthidech, Operations Department
(Bt m) 2007 2008 %Chg Revenues 3,341 3,438 3% EBITDA 497 540 9% Net Profit 274 367 34%
48
Profit Sharing 10% Others 0% Other Brands 7% Aircraft 3% Manufacturing 40% Cosmetics 7% Fashion 32% Profit Sharing 8% Others 2% Other Brands 8% Manufacturing 45% Cosmetics 6% Fashion 31%
2007 = Bt 3,341m
3% y-y
2008 = Bt 3,438m
(Bt m) As end of 2005 2006 2007 2008
Total Revenues 2,953 3,213 3,341 3,438 EBITDA 415 503 497 540 Net Income 250 261 274 367 Total Assets 3,591 4,471 4,643 4,885 Total Liabilities 2,207 2,519 2,096 2,514 Shareholder’s Equity 1,385 1,953 2,547 2,370 Interest Bearing Debt 1,584 1,945 1,487 1,944 Cash & Cash Equivalents 25 19 22 219 Net Debt 1,559 1,926 1,465 1,725 Interest Bearing D/E (x) 1.14 1.00 0.58 0.82 Net D/E (x) 1.13 0.99 0.58 0.73
49
Bloomberg Ticker: MINT.TB For further info, please visit www.minornet.com Investor Relations Office: Ririnda Tangtatswas + 66(0) 2365 7637 Punnee Ruangwaewmanee + 66 (0) 23657636