Localism Qualitative and Quantitative Research February 2019 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Localism Qualitative and Quantitative Research February 2019 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Localism Qualitative and Quantitative Research February 2019 1 Localism Qualitative and Quantitative Research February 2019 Topics Our approach Summary of findings Detailed data Levels of support for localism Types


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1 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Qualitative and Quantitative Research

Localism

February 2019

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2 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Topics

  • Our approach
  • Summary of findings
  • Detailed data
  • Levels of support for localism
  • Types of services
  • Next steps
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3 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Methodology

Qualitative (8 focus groups)

  • 1 x general public and 1 x opinion leaders (Auckland, Napier, New Plymouth and

Christchurch).

  • Included some rural respondents (Christchurch and New Plymouth).
  • Opinion leaders = tertiary educated, high declared interest in news, current affairs

and in local government issues.

Quantitative (online representative survey of n=1,000)

  • Module of questions in UMR’s online omnibus survey.
  • Fieldwork 28th November to 14th December (2018).
  • Judgement needed to balance findings from qualitative and quantitative research

where opinions are still developing.

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4 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Summary of findings

  • New Zealanders now evenly divided on localism – 30% for; 30% against; 40% neutral or

unsure.

  • Arguments against tended to be stronger than those for.
  • Considerable engagement in discussion on issue in focus groups (more than expected).
  • The 88% of New Zealand central government expenditure compared to the 46% OECD

average was effective springboard for discussion.

  • Very strong acceptance of basic arguments for localism – better decisions from greater

local knowledge; faster action; more direct accountability; more engagement.

  • But opinion is soft and can be easily moved.
  • Main concerns were duplication of services; increasing inequality between the regions;

need for national standards, greater risk of corruption and cranks gaining control.

  • Some question competence of people in local government.
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5 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Summary of findings (cont.)

  • Very early days on revenue discussion – needed prompting.
  • Grasp there are problems with financing all local government expenditure from rates.
  • Muted support in principle for local dedicated taxes such as fuel, bed and congestion taxes.
  • Possibility of raising local income tax is much harder to comprehend.
  • Support for areas under high tourist pressure to keep some of the revenue.
  • Discussion on raising or keeping revenue runs into considerable concern that some areas in New

Zealand will get richer and some will get poorer.

  • Some support for hybrid models with central government providing funding or setting national

standards and local government having more scope than currently for action.

  • “Localism” not a great name – something centred on “community” better, but has “do good,

woolly” negatives.

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6 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

10 20 28 13 13 17

All 1 - Good idea 2 3 Unsure 4 5 - Bad idea

Support for localism

In principle, do you think a gradual move towards more local services being controlled and provided by local decision- makers is a good idea or a bad idea?

Base: All (n=1,000), online, November 2018

30 30

%

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7 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

30 31 28 40 27 23 30 28 25 30 25 27 26 33 13 8 17 17 16 11 7 30 36 25 18 29 40 29

All Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+ Total good (1+2) 3 Unsure Total bad (4+5)

Support for localism

In principle, do you think a gradual move towards more local services being controlled and provided by local decision- makers is a good idea or a bad idea?

Base: All (n=1,000), online, November 2018

%

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8 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

40 33 47 42 43 37 40

All Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+

Support for localism – demographics of the ‘undecided’

In principle, do you think a gradual move towards more local services being controlled and provided by local decision- makers is a good idea or a bad idea? 3 or unsure

Base: All (n=405), online, November 2018

%

43 39 33 51 40 41 31

Under $50k $50-$100k Over $100k No qualification High school Bachelors/trade/diploma Postgraduate

%

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9 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

23 24 22 19 16 30 29 29 24 25 23 20 24 25 23 5 5 4 6 7 11 11 11 14 17 8 11 9 12 11

Locally controlled services will be more responsive to local needs. Local government would be more accountable to the locals they live amongst. Local people would make better decisions based on greater understanding of local needs. Democracy in New Zealand would be boosted if real power is shifted back to local communities and people feel they have a real say. Local services by local government will be quicker, more targeted and save money because problems will be dealt with before they become more serious and more expensive. 1 - Strongly agree 2 3 Unsure 4 5 - Strongly disagree

Arguments for localism

How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following arguments FOR public services being controlled and provided by local government?

Base: All (n=1,000), online, November 2018

54 53 52 44 42 18 22 20 25 28

%

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10 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

84 82 81 74 74 27 31 26 17 13

Locally controlled services will be more responsive to local needs. Local government would be more accountable to the locals they live amongst. Local people would make better decisions based on greater understanding of local needs. Democracy in New Zealand would be boosted if real power is shifted back to local communities and people feel they have a real say. Local services by local government will be quicker, more targeted and save money because problems will be dealt with before they become more serious and more expensive.

Localism a good idea (n=296) Localism a bad idea (n=299)

Arguments for by general support or opposition to localism

How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following arguments FOR public services being controlled and provided by local government? (Total agree)

Base: Respondents who believe moving local services to local government control is a good (1+2) or bad (4+5) idea, online, November 2018

%

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11 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

32 30 27 29 23 25 29 29 29 27 28 26 21 18 25 22 25 24 10 9 7 8 10 12 6 8 8 9 9 8 3 6 5 4 5 5

Local governments around the country will be duplicating services especially in administration and back office support. Already poor communities would be further disadvantaged without the central government evening things up (poor areas would get poorer and rich would get richer). There would be the possibility of corruption as local businesses would have a more direct line to influencing local decision-makers At a local level, extremists or cranks could more easily get control leading to decisions that could push unfounded minority views on to local residents. There will be a reduction of national standards in public service delivery across the country. Any benefit of substantial buying power through central government will be lost. 1 - Strongly agree 2 3 Unsure 4 5 - Strongly disagree

Arguments against localism

How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following arguments AGAINST public services being controlled and provided by local government?

Base: All (n=1,000), online, November 2018

60 59 56 56 51 51 9 14 12 14 14 13

%

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12 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

53 51 49 45 38 40 81 75 73 77 75 72

Local governments around the country will be duplicating services especially in administration and back office support. Already poor communities would be further disadvantaged without the central government evening things up (poor areas would get poorer and rich would get richer). There would be the possibility of corruption as local businesses would have a more direct line to influencing local decision-makers. At a local level, extremists or cranks could more easily get control leading to decisions that could push unfounded minority views on to local residents. There will be a reduction of national standards in public service delivery across the country. Any benefit of substantial buying power through central government will be lost.

Localism a good idea (n=296) Localism a bad idea (n=299)

Arguments against by general support or opposition to localism

How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following arguments AGAINST public services being controlled and provided by local government? (Total agree)

Base: Respondents who believe moving local services to local government control is a good (1+2) or bad (4+5) idea, online, November 2018

%

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13 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Types of services

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14 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

24 21 22 24 18 28 24 21 19 16 21 24 17 16 17 5 4 4 4 5 10 13 14 13 14 11 13 22 23 29

Vocational training (such as trade or technician) Social housing Welfare services for people in need Primary healthcare Policing

1 - Strongly support 2 3 Unsure 4 5 - Strongly oppose

Support for services controlled by local decision- makers

How strongly do you support or oppose each of the following types of services being controlled and provided by local decision-makers?

Base: All (n=1,000), online, November 2018

52 45 43 43 35 21 27 36 36 43

%

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15 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Vocational training

  • Strong support on basis of knowing employment needs
  • Evidence of local labour shortages e.g. horticultural and pastoral farm

workers in Hawke’s Bay

  • Engaging local employers and decision makers may lead to growth
  • Happening already; role of local polytechnics

52% 21%

Support Oppose

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16 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Vocational training

Vocational education should be local because local can know what services are needed in the region and then can offer that specifically. Out of town you might come up with a whole lot of different segments, but you might not need any

  • f them.

The other thing I think with vocational training you can work in with local businesses and see what needs they have.

Verbatim

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17 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Social housing

  • Local people aware of issues
  • National policy dominated by Auckland crisis
  • Been done by local government
  • Need for central funding

45% 27%

Support Oppose

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18 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Social housing

Central government don’t quite have a grasp on what is needed and where it is needed. In Napier there has been so many state houses pulled down and all you ever hear about from central government is housing in Auckland. Ours is smaller scale but we probably have the same percentages of people living in cars or garages as they do in the major cities. If social housing was centrally funded but locally organised. I don’t think a local area could actually fund it. If the government said here is your lump of money go and socially house the people then probably local areas could do that.

Verbatim

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19 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Welfare services

  • More rapid action; fence at top of cliff
  • More efficient co-ordination of wrap around services
  • Auckland benefits need to be higher
  • Strong preference for central funding
  • People lost if move between regions

43% 36%

Support Oppose

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20 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Welfare services

[Welfare support?] I think it could work, the local community knows where the need is. You can maybe look at things like welfare for different places because if you are on the benefit in Auckland or on the benefit in Christchurch you probably get around about the same but the cost

  • f living is very different. So that is more of a local issue.

Verbatim

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21 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Primary healthcare

  • Deal with issues unique to regions
  • Obvious benefits of faster action
  • Need national standards

43% 36%

Support Oppose

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22 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Primary healthcare

In terms of health because I work at the hospital so funding for the community. If it is locally you can provide solely for the local community. [Services provided locally?] Good place. Things like sexual health, a lot of cases of chlamydia you can respond to that quickly.

Verbatim

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23 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Policing

  • Know local problems
  • Better allocation of resources
  • Need national standards, policies, training
  • Concerns of possible corruption

35% 43%

Support Oppose

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24 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Policing

I would think things like policing can be dealt with locally through local government they can be in charge of organising what the region needs, what the areas need as opposed to being decided in Wellington. We have problems here with all the police facilities have essentially shifted to Hastings and Napier really is a satellite office. I think it would be a disaster if policing was run locally, I think it would have to be done centrally because of the technology and the standards

  • involved. I think you would have a system of vigilante law enforcement

if you had Ruatoria having their own policing policy or something like that.

Verbatim

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25 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Education

  • Recognise community character schools
  • Want local zoning decisions
  • Auckland salaries for teachers
  • Want a national curriculum
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26 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Education

[Local education decisions?] They know the surroundings and they know the schools and they know the socio-economic areas of the cities. I think what you are saying about education going local I think it needs to be part and part. You can’t say Auckland is going to set their curriculum I think they need to deal with the local issue of what we pay

  • ur teachers. So the curriculum has to be national but the local is what

they are paid.

Verbatim

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27 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Revenue raising

  • Some support (in principle) for targeted taxes – bed, congestion, fuel.
  • Some support for regions under tourist pressure keeping some

revenue for providing infrastructure.

  • Prompted agreement: using rates is problematic given increased

pressure as house values sky rocket.

  • Baulked at local income tax.
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28 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Revenue raising

I think you almost have to have rates for your core services but if local government was allowed to diversify and do more things then yes they should be allowed to do things like bed taxes, road taxes. But they have to be able to justify it. It worries me. With a centralised system the voice of the nation speaks and says were are not happy about it. Whereas if local government starts to impose income taxes what is the opportunity for people to raise their voice.

Verbatim

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29 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Name for ‘localism’

  • The term ‘localism’ did not test well
  • For some the word didn’t clearly represent the topic
  • Others felt it held negative connotations (‘Locals only’) nationalism
  • Needs to portray the concept of community control without the

negatives of being too soft and easily swayed

Locally they might not be able to make those tough decisions that central government can make. They can make the tough calls if they need to be made. We want to be able to give funding to everybody but we can’t and we have to focus. Like with Pharmac we would like to be able to give all the drugs to everyone but because of the limited pool we have to make decisions.

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30 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Localism

It is a bit like communism, localism. That was my first thought it instantly sounds a bit especially in the current world of Trump with nationalism it does give it quite a negative connotation. It is the ‘ism’ that is the problem. Hub comes to mind. I think it has bad connotations. It is often seen as a, “You can’t come here.” The idea that you can’t come here. I know that is not what you are getting at. If you are not local you are not welcome. Localism is a nice warm phrase but you have to have two sentences after it to explain what it is. Why aren’t they using the word decentralisation, that is what is normally used isn’t it. It is confusing throwing something else in the mix and having a funky word.

Verbatim

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31 Localism – Qualitative and Quantitative Research – February 2019

Next steps

  • Can get a debate underway beginning with facts on NZ centralised public sector spending (88%

compared to 46% OECD average)

  • Avoid specific comparisons
  • Build on acceptance that locally based decisions will be:
  • More responsive (fence at the top of the cliff as opposed to the ambulance at the bottom)
  • More accountable (decision makers will live among us)
  • Foster better decisions (locals understand local needs)
  • Start by developing and honing arguments for three areas where sound policy and public opinion

coincide:

  • Vocational services
  • Welfare services
  • Social housing
  • Primary health care.
  • Recognise revenue raising difficult issue – highlight problems with limited revenue bases but

establish a foundation on principle localism first.

  • Work on a better name.