Lobbying and Corruption Dr James Tremewan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Lobbying and Corruption Dr James Tremewan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Lobbying and Corruption Dr James Tremewan (james.tremewan@univie.ac.at) Corruption Laboratory Experiments Introduction Design of Laboratory Experiments Today we will discuss three issues related to laboratory experiments on corruption:
Introduction
Design of Laboratory Experiments
- Today we will discuss three issues related to laboratory
experiments on corruption:
- Whether to repeat interactions, and if so, whether the groups
stay the same or change.
- Framing (placing the strategic decision in a particular context
through labeling players or actions, e.g “Politician” instead of “Player A”).
- Do laboratory experiments really evoke attitudes towards
corruption?
2/31
Introduction
Repeated Games
- In many experiments subjects play a game only once
(”one-shot”).
- Much experimental theory is about a one-shot interaction.
- Abstracts from complications with repeated interactions.
- However, we may want to have subjects play more than once:
- Learning:
- To allow subjects to become familiar with the environment
(understanding the game, or learning about the behaviour of
- thers). May want to compare experienced and novice subjects.
- Studying the learning process itself.
- To study issues like reputation and reciprocity.
- Lobbying and corruption can occur in both one-shot and
repeated environments:
- One-shot: city competing to hold the Olympic games,
application for electoral roll.
- Repeated: health inspections of restaurants, defence contracts.
3/31
Introduction
Stranger or Partner Matching?
- There are two basic alternatives when subjects play repeatedly:
- Stranger matching: each subject plays with a different person
each time.
- Partner matching: subjects play repeatedly with the same
person.
- Stranger matching:
- Often regarded as multiple one-shot games, so used for studying
pure learning/experience effects.
- Subjects may be re-matched with people they have played
before, but anonymity means they will not know for sure. ”Absolute/Perfect stranger matching”: subjects only play each
- ther once (and know this).
- Some evidence that subjects may not view random stranger
matching as one-shot (e.g. Botelho et al, 2005).
- Partner matching:
- Studying role of reputation or reciprocity.
4/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy
- “Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy: an experimental
study”, Klaus Abbink (2004), compares stranger and partner matching treatments of a corruption game to examine the effectiveness of staff rotation in reducing corrupt behaviour.
- Staff rotation has been used to reduce corruption (e.g. in public
procurement for the German federal government).
- Advantages:
- Public officials may be less influenced by gifts if they are unlikely
to interact with the giver again (no chance of further gifts).
- Potential bribers anticipate this, so are less likely to bribe.
- Potential bribers may be more worried about being reported if
they have not had experience with a particular official before.
- Problems:
- Reciprocity may mean that officials are influenced by gifts even
in one-shot intereactions.
- Costs: officials would frequently need to learn new routines, new
cases, new clients, etc. Loss of specific knowledge.
5/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy
Corruption Game
- Scenario: a firm wants to run an industrial plant which causes
negative consequences to the public (e.g. pollution). A public
- fficial must decide every period whether to give permission.
- Two-player game (framed neutrally in instructions):
- Firm chooses whether or not to offer a transfer (there is a small
cost for making an offer).
- Public official chooses whether or not to accept, and also
whether to refuse or grant permission. The transfer is multiplied by three: small cost to the firm, but big money to public official.
- If permission is granted, all other subjects in the experiment
lose some points (social cost of corruption).
- If corruption takes place there is a small probability that the two
players get caught and lose all money from game.
- Subjects play 30 rounds with either partner or stranger matching.
- Subgame equilibrium: no bribe ever offered (In last round, public
- fficial will always refuse permission, so no reason to offer
bribe.... unravels as with repeated prisoners’ dilemma).
6/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy 7/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy 8/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy 9/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy
Evolution of permission frequencies
10/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy 11/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy
Permission frequencies depending on transfer
12/31
Staff rotation as an anti-corruption policy
Conclusions
- In this experimental environment, staff rotation was effective in
reducing corrupt behaviour:
- Bribes less likely to be offered.
- Bribes of all sizes less likely to influence the official.
- The average bribe was reduced by half.
- Average frequency of inefficient decision reduced by 2/3.
13/31
Framing
Framing
- Most economic experiments are done without context (a
”neutral frame”), e.g. choose option A or B, rather than ”cooperate” or ”defect.” Remember: lab experiments are not about re-creating reality!
- This is done to retain generality, avoid inducing particular
behaviour because of connotations of words, or ”role-playing.” Traditionally economic theory has held the view that arbitrary labels should not matter.
- However, researchers may use framed experiments if they are
interested specifically in the effects of context.
- Also, in some instances, not framing experiments can lead to a
loss of control: subjects may apply their own context to help understand an abstract situation, and if different subjects apply different contexts there will be uncontrolled heterogeneity.
14/31
Framing
Framing
- Sometimes framing matters and sometimes it doesn’t. We will
look in detail at two papers.
- Neutral versus loaded instructions in a bribery experiment,
Abbink and Hennig-Schmidt (2006).
- Finds no effect of framing in corruption experiment.
- The effects of externalities and framing on bribery in a petty
corruption experiment, Barr and Serra (2009).
- Finds a significant effect of framing in a similar environment,
and suggests why the result differs from the previous paper (role-playing).
15/31
Framing
Abbink and Hennig-Schmidt (2006)
- Same game as Abbink (2004).
- Two-player game, framed (neutral):
- ”Firm” (”player 1”) chooses whether or not to offer a ”private
payment” (”transfer”).
- ”Public official” (”player 2”) chooses whether or not to accept,
and also whether to ”grant permission” (”choose Y”) or ”not grant permission” (”chose X”).
- If permission is granted, all other subjects in the experiment
lose some points (social cost of corruption).
- If corruption takes place there is a small probability that the two
players lose all money they could have earnt from the experiment.
- Subjects play 30 rounds with the same partner (long-term
relationship).
16/31
Framing
- Hypothesis: framing in morally negative context of corruption
highlights negative consequences of decisions and should reduce corrupt behaviour.
17/31
Framing 18/31
Framing 19/31
Framing
Results
- Average bribe offer: 2.56 (framed), 2.93 (neutral). Not
significantly different (Mann-Whitney-U test applied to average
- ffer in each pair, 18 in each treatment, one-sided
p-value=0.39.)
- Permissions given: 32.4% (framed), 43.3% (neutral). Not
significantly different (Mann-Whitney-U test applied to average in each pair, 18 in each treatment, one-sided p-value=0.27.)
- Bribes accepted: 21.3% (framed), 12% (neutral). Not
significantly different (Mann-Whitney-U test applied to average in each pair, 18 in each treatment, one-sided p-value=0.34.)
- Authors’ conclusion: no evidence of strong framing effect. Game
design already transmits all essential features of bribery situation.
20/31
Framing
Barr and Serra (2009)
- Similar set-up to Abbink and Hennig-Schmidt.
- Major differences:
- Briber is labeled ”private citizen” instead of ”firm.”
- If bribe is accepted, service is given automatically (only one
choice for public official).
- Negative impact of corruption affects inactive players.
- One-shot game.
- Game designed to represent ”petty” corruption, e.g. bribing
doctor to get treated immediately.
- 2x2 design: framed/neutral and low/high negative externality on
”other members of society.”
- sL = neutral treatment, sH = framed treatment.
21/31
Framing
Corruption Game
- Two active players:
- Private Citizen chooses whether or not to offer a transfer (there
is a small cost for making an offer).
- Public Official chooses whether or not to accept.
- If bribe is accepted, five inactive subjects (called “Other
Members of Society” in framed sessions) in the experiment lose some points (social cost of corruption).
- If corruption takes place there is a small cost to the official,
representing the risk of getting caught (cost is deterministic to reduce uncontrolled heterogeneity due to risk aversion - less “realistic” but better experimental control!!!).
- Subgame perfect equilibrium:
- All Private Citizens offer slightly more that the cost to the
Public Officials from accepting.
- Public Officials accept.
22/31
Framing
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
① ①
PRIVATE CITIZEN PUBLIC OFFICIAL not offer bribe
- ffer bribe
b ∈ {1, ..., 20} not accept bribe accept bribe (35,35,25) (34,35,25) (40-b,30 + b,25 − Nch) Nc ∈ {0, ..., 5}: number of corrupt pairs; h ∈ {1, 4} (low/high externality)
23/31
Framing 24/31
Framing
- Private Citizens:
- Offered no bribe: 40% (framed), 10% (neutral). Significantly
different at 5% level (n=65).
- Average bribe: 8.57 (framed), 7.62 (neutral). Not significantly
different (n=48).
- Public Servants:
- Accepted no bribe: 26% (framed), 10% (neutral). Not
significantly different (n=65).
- Average bribe: 7.34 (framed), 7.74 (neutral). Not significantly
different (n=53).
- Why significant results here, but not in previous paper?
- In previous paper, victims of corruption could have been seen as
business competitors, and may also be expected to do harm, so moral argument less strong.
- Subjects playing as firm may have been ”role-playing” and may
have tried to act as they thought a firm would, whereas subjects are private citizens, so more likely to internalize moral cost of harming others. (Role-playing would occur for public officials in both experiments).
25/31
Culture and Corruption
Corruption and Culture
- Social norms regarding corruption vary from country to country,
e.g. Indian students demonstrating against measures infringing
- n their ”right to cheat” in university exams!
(http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-29950843)
- Do social norms internalized during upbringing affect propensity
to act corruptly in a new environment? i.e. do people act corruptly because it is necessary in a given environmnent, or is corruption partly a cultural phenomenon that works through individuals’ norms?
- Can laboratory experiments replicate corrupt exchanges closely
enough to learn about true propensities to act corruptly?
- Corruption and culture: An experimental analysis, Abigail Barr
and Danila Serra, Journal of Public Economics (2010):
- Examines these questions using the corruption game from Barr
and Serra (2009) with students from many countries who were studying at Oxford university.
26/31
Culture and Corruption
Subjects
- Country of origin:
- 1/3 of participants were British.
- 2/3 from 33 other countries.
- Level of studies:
- 68% graduate students.
- 32% undergraduate students.
27/31
Culture and Corruption
Corruption levels of subjects’ country of origin based on Transparency International’s CPI (bigger number means more corrupt)
28/31
Culture and Corruption
Subjects’ perceptions of corruption at home
- CPI based on survey of experts, so may not reflect participants’
experience.
- Questionnaire completed after experiment suggests CPI
correlated strongly with experience (but not so much with attitudes):
29/31
Culture and Corruption
Results
30/31
Culture and Corruption
Conclusions
- Propensity to both offer and accept bribe in laboratory
corruption game is correlated with level of corruption in country
- f origin... but only for undergraduate subjects!
- Experiment was repeated with new sample, and results
replicated.
- Explanations for different effects for graduate/undergraduate
subjects:
- Graduate students have spent longer in UK and may have
changed attitudes.
- Selection: the type of student who engages in graduate studies
is less likely to conform to social norms.
- Experience of corruption in upbringing appears to affect
propensity to act corruptly, even in new environments.
- Correlation between behaviour in the lab and data regarding
levels of actual corruption is evidence of external validity of lab experiments.
31/31