Little Forest Burial Ground Scenario Little Forest Burial Ground - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SLIDE 1

Little Forest Burial Ground Scenario Little Forest Burial Ground Scenario Results Results

September 2010, Vienna

SLIDE 2

L-normal Trunc L-normal Trunc L-normal Trunc L-normal Soil Dist 20, 1,

• Trunc. L-norm.

Bounded L- norm. exponential RESRAD CR defaults

• j. refs

ANL RESRAD-Biota 10, 3, Trunc L-normal exponential ERICA defaults TRS 364 allometry KAERI K-Biota Trunc L-normal allometry (Eikos)

Compartmental modeling (Ecolego)

• j. refs

NRPA FASTer-lite 10, 3, Trunc L-normal exponential ERICA defaults JSI ERICA 10, 3, Trunc L-normal exponential ERICA defaults Techdoc 1616 SCK ERICA 10, 3, Trunc L-normal exponential WT Database Techdoc 1616 ERICA defaults TRS 472

• j. refs

CEH ERICA alph CR distributions CR sources Version Participant Code

SLIDE 3

• Concentration ratios
• Tissue concentrations
• Whole organism doses

SLIDE 4

Mean Concentration Ratios by radionuclide Mean Concentration Ratios by radionuclide

• Co-60, Sr-90, Cs-137

Co-60 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

#REF! acacia yam earthw orm insects goanna raven echidna fox w allaby

Sr-90 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

Cs-137 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby

SLIDE 5

• Th-232, U-234, U-238

Th-232 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

U-234 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

U-238 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby

Mean Concentration Ratios by radionuclide Mean Concentration Ratios by radionuclide

SLIDE 6

Mean Concentration Ratios by radionuclide Mean Concentration Ratios by radionuclide

• Pu-238, Pu-239, Am-241

Am-241 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

Pu-239 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

Pu-238 modelled CRs among species

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Concentration Ratio

Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5 Series6 Series7 Series8 Series9 Series10

Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby Grass acacia yam earthworm insects goanna raven echidna fox wallaby

SLIDE 7

Means and Distributions for Concentration Ratios for 3 species Means and Distributions for Concentration Ratios for 3 species

With means and CR distribution 5-95th percentiles

CRs for Grass (mean, 5-95th percentiles)

0,00001 0,0001 0,001 0,01 0,1 1 10 100

ERICA CEH ERICA SCK ERICA JSI FASTer lite NRPA K BIOTA KAERI RESRAD BIOTA ANL

CRs for earthworm (mean, 5-95th percentiles)

0,00001 0,0001 0,001 0,01 0,1 1 10 100

ERICA CEH ERICA SCK ERICA JSI FASTer lite NRPA K BIOTA KAERI RESRAD BIOTA ANL

CRs for Wallaby (mean, 5-95th percentiles)

0,00001 0,0001 0,001 0,01 0,1 1 10 100

ERICA CEH ERICA SCK ERICA JSI FASTer lite NRPA K BIOTA KAERI RESRAD BIOTA ANL

Co Sr Cs Th

U-234 U-238Pu-238 Pu-239 Am

Co Sr Cs Th

U-234 U-238Pu-238 Pu-239 Am

Co Sr Cs Th

U-234 U-238Pu-238 Pu-239 Am

SLIDE 8

CRs CRs -

• mean and range of the group participants

mean and range of the group participants

• Vegetation

grass (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 C

• 6

S r

• 9

C s

• 1

3 7 T h

• 2

3 2 U

• 2

3 4 U

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 9 A m

• 2

4 1 CRs

acacia (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 C

• 6

S r

• 9

C s

• 1

3 7 T h

• 2

3 2 U

• 2

3 4 U

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 9 A m

• 2

4 1 CRs

yam (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241 CRs

SLIDE 9

• Arthropods, reptile, bird

goanna (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241 CRs

raven (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 C

• 6

S r

• 9

C s

• 1

3 7 T h

• 2

3 2 U

• 2

3 4 U

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 9 A m

• 2

4 1 CRs

earthworm (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 C

• 6

S r

• 9

C s

• 1

3 7 T h

• 2

3 2 U

• 2

3 4 U

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 9 A m

• 2

4 1 CRs

insects (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 C

• 6

S r

• 9

C s

• 1

3 7 T h

• 2

3 2 U

• 2

3 4 U

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 9 A m

• 2

4 1 CRs

CRs CRs -

• mean and range of the group of participants

mean and range of the group of participants

SLIDE 10

Mammals

fox (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 C

• 6

S r

• 9

C s

• 1

3 7 T h

• 2

3 2 U

• 2

3 4 U

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 9 A m

• 2

4 1 CRs

wallaby (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241 CRs

echidna (mean, with max-min range)

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 C

• 6

S r

• 9

C s

• 1

3 7 T h

• 2

3 2 U

• 2

3 4 U

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 8 P u

• 2

3 9 A m

• 2

4 1 CRs

CRs CRs -

• mean and range of the group of participants

mean and range of the group of participants

SLIDE 11

vegetation Mean tissue concentrations Mean tissue concentrations

Grass - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles) 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 1.E-03 1.E-02 1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 1.E+04 B q / K g

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Acacia - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 1.E-03 1.E-02 1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 1.E+04

B q / K g

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Yam - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 1.E-03 1.E-02 1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 1.E+04

Bq / Kg ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

SLIDE 12

Mean tissue concentrations Mean tissue concentrations – – arthropods, reptile, bird arthropods, reptile, bird

Earthworm

• Tissue Concentrations

(mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-08 1.E-06 1.E-04 1.E-02 1.E+00 1.E+02

Bq / Kg ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Insects - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-08 1.E-06 1.E-04 1.E-02 1.E+00 1.E+02 1.E+04

Bq / Kg ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Goanna - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 1.E-03 1.E-02 1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 1.E+04

B q / K g

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Raven - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-08 1.E-06 1.E-04 1.E-02 1.E+00 1.E+02 1.E+04

B q / K g

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI FASTER-lite - NRPA K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

SLIDE 13

Mammals Mean tissue concentrations Mean tissue concentrations

Echidna - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 1.E-03 1.E-02 1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03

B q / K g

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI FASTER-lite - NRPA K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Fox - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 1.E-03 1.E-02 1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 1.E+04

Bq / Kg ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI FASTER-lite - NRPA K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Wallaby - Tissue Concentrations (mean, 5th-95th percentiles)

1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 1.E-03 1.E-02 1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03

Bq / Kg ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI FASTER-lite - NRPA K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

SLIDE 14

vegetation Dose estimates Dose estimates

Grass - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04

Gy / day

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

Acacia - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04

Gy / day

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

Yam - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

SLIDE 15

Dose estimates Dose estimates – – arthropods, reptile, bird arthropods, reptile, bird

Earthworm - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean)

Insects - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

ERICA - CEH E RICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAE RI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

Goanna - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

ERICA - CEH E RICA - SCK ERICA - JSI K-BIOTA - KAE RI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

Raven - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

SLIDE 16

Mammals Dose estimates Dose estimates

Wallaby - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI FASTER-lite - NRPA K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

Fox - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

ERICA - CEH ERICA - SCK ERICA - JSI FASTER-lite - NRPA K-BIOTA - KAERI RESRAD-BIOTA - ANL

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

Echidna - Dose Estimates

1.E-18 1.E-17 1.E-16 1.E-15 1.E-14 1.E-13 1.E-12 1.E-11 1.E-10 1.E-09 1.E-08 1.E-07 1.E-06 1.E-05 1.E-04 Gy / day

Co-60 Sr-90 Cs-137 Th-232 U-234 U-238 Pu-238 Pu-239 Am-241

Total dose (mean) & 5-95th percentiles Internal dose (mean) External dose (mean)

SLIDE 17

Summary Statistics

. . .

SLIDE 18

Plant – Grass Plant, tree – Acacia Plant, root crop – Yam Annelid – Earthworm Arthropods - Insects (beetle, grasshopper) Reptile – goanna Bird - raven (representing raven, magpie, kookaburra) Mammal, monotreme – Echidna Mammal, canine – Fox Mammal, marsupial, macropod – Wallaby

Ten Representative Species

SLIDE 19

Representative Species Data Representative Species Data

Lives 100% at soil surface. Eats grass, forbs. 75, 30, 22 14 Swamp wallaby Wallabia bicolor

Lives 60% in soil, 40% at soil surface. Eats invertebrates, berries, grasses, carrion, rabbits, wallaby

68, 18, 14 8 Fox Vulpes vulpes

Lives 60% in soil, 40% at soil surface. Eats invertebrates (ants) high dust inhalation

40, 20, 15 4 Echidna Tachyglossus

Lives 70% in tree/air, 30% at soil surface. Eats 34% carrion, 42% invertebrates, 24% plant s

40, 14, 10 0.6 Raven Corvus coronoides

Lives 80% at soil surface, 20% in tree. Eats insects, eggs, smaller reptiles, carrion.

70, 16, 12 8 Goanna Varanus varius

This category of insect lives 100% at soil surface. Eats organic matter, scavenger

1, 0.4, 0.2 0.001 Insects (beetle, grasshopper) Insecta

Lives 0-1m deep in soil. Eats organic matter w/soil ingestion

10, 1, 1 0.0052 Earthworm Octochaetidae Assume 0-2m root depth 1500, 25, 25 845 Acacia Acacia Assume <1 m yam root depth 15, 3, 3 0.1 Pencil yam

Vigna lanceolata

0-10cm root depth 20, 1, 1 0.01 Grass graminoids notes Dimension of head and body a,b,c (cm) Weight (kg)

SLIDE 20

Additional Species Information: Additional Species Information: Wallaby

Wallaby

Ra U Ra U Po U Pb Pb Po U Ra Ra Po Pb Ra U Ra Pb Ra Ra U U

0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

Sheep kangaroo

muscle kidney liver bone kidney + liver