Little Elm ISD Long-Range Facilities Planning Committee Meeting 5: Monday, May 22, 2017 Zellars Center for Learning & Leadership 300 Lobo Lane Little Elm, TX 75068
AGENDA • Welcome, Meeting 4 Recap & Agenda Review • Community Survey Results • Bonding Capacity Review • Potential Project Updates & Cost Analysis • Prioritization Review & Potential Bond Package Scenarios • Small Group Exercise – Build Your Ideal Bond Package Scenario • Large Group Share Out – Building Consensus on Recommendation • Closing
COMMUNITY SURVEY RESULTS
LITTLE ELM ISD VOTER SURVEY May 16 - 18, 2017 N = 200 respondents margin of error: + 6.9%
OBJECTIVES 1 To assess general attitudes about Little Elm ISD. To assess current levels of support and 2 opposition to a $150 million bond proposal. To measure the correlation of informative statements on support / opposition to a bond 3 proposal. Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
QUESTIONNAIRE FORMAT 1 Introduction and Screeners 2 General & Specific Issues 3 Initial Ballot (Q7) 4 Impact of Specific Information 5 Informed Ballot (Q28) Multiple regression is used to measure persuasiveness of specific information between initial and informed ballots 6 Demographics Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
COMPARISON of SAMPLE FILE to RESPONDENTS 18-44 45-54 55-64 65+ yrs yrs yrs yrs 47% 19% 15% 19% Registration 33% 22% 18% 27% November 2012 25% 19% 20% 37% November 2014 11% 13% 19% 56% November 2015 38% 28% 14% 18% Survey N=200 Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
NAME AWARENESS LEVELS (Ranked by Positive % plus Negative %) Positive / Negative Know / Know / Know / Never Ratio Positive Negative No opinion heard of Little Elm Independent Par 87% / 9% 82% 12%7% 6.8:1 School District Non 73% / 16% 43% Little Elm ISD 9% 25% 24% 4.8:1 Par 47% / 11% Board of Trustees Non 36% / 6% 38% Little Elm ISD 5%17% 39% 7.5:1 Superintendent Par 49% / 6% Lowell Strike Non 21% / 5% Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
MANAGING MONEY Q5. Which of the following best describes your opinion of how Little Elm ISD manages the money it has to operate the school district? As Wisely Wastefully Unsure expected 34% 43% 11% 12% Parents 16% 32% 19% 33% Non-parents 34% 42% 9% 15% Under 55 15% 34% 24% 27% 55 and over 39% 27% 20% 14% Wisely and As well as can Wastefully and Unsure / effectively be expected ineffectively refused Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
ENOUGH SCHOOLS vs. NEED MORE Q6. Do you think Little Elm ISD has enough schools and classrooms to meet the needs of the district over the next (Ver X: five / Ver Y: ten ) years, or do you think more schools and classrooms are needed? Enough Unsure More 8% 7% 85% Parents 72% 13% 35% 52% Non-parents 7% 9% 84% Under 55 16% 33% 51% 55 and over 18% 10% Has enough Unsure / Needs more refused Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
INITIAL BALLOT Q7. Little Elm ISD is considering recommending calling a bond election for this coming November. If an election were held today would you vote for or against the issuance of $150 million in bonds for constructing, renovating and equipping schools with the levying of a property tax thereof? 58% 23% Somewhat 26% 35% 16% Strongly 7% Somewhat 19% 16% Strongly For Depends / Against Unsure Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
INITIAL BALLOT Strong Strong Total Total For Against For Against 35% 19% 58% 26% Total 42% 11% 68% 16% Parents 23% 31% 42% 42% Non-parents 41% 11% 68% 18% 18-54 years 23% 32% 40% 41% 55 years & over Strong Strong For Against Adjusted for low 30% 24% turnout
WHY VOTE AGAINST / HESITANT Q8. And in your own words, please tell me why you ( would vote against / might be hesitant to support ) a bond proposal. (n=79 respondents who are not in favor) 39% 32% 14% 9% Taxes Need more District Not information criticisms needed / details Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
VARIOUS BOND AMOUNTS Net Depends / For Against Unsure Impact Q9. Would you vote for or against the +19% issuance of $125 million in school bonds, which would increase 56% 36% 8% property taxes by approximately $15 per month for the average Par +43% 32% Strongly 23% Strongly home value of $250,000. Non -18% Q10. Would you vote for or against the +11% issuance of $150 million in school bonds, which would increase 51% 40%10% property taxes by approximately $18.75 cents per month for the Par +32% 25% Strongly 27% Strongly Non -22% average home value of $250,000. Q11. Would you vote for or against the issuance of $175 million in school -21% bonds, which would increase 34% 55%10% property taxes by approximately $24.37 per month for the average Par -8% 14% Strongly 34% Strongly Non -41% home value of $250,000. Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
MESSAGE STATEMENTS Depends Net Favor Oppose / Unsure Impact Several of the district’s elementary schools are over functional capacity and more growth is expected. Please tell me if you favor or oppose each of the following two options… X: +65% Constructing (Ver X: a new elementary school / Ver Y: Y: +60% classroom additions to existing elementary schools) to 78% 15% 7% +63% accommodate growth. Q12 Re-purposing Powell Sixth Grade Center and Prestwick K-8 STEM Academy to become elementary schools to save the Parents: 38% Fav / 52% Opp district from having to build new schools and have the Non-Par: 69% Fav / 18% Opp district’s sixth through eighth grade students all at the middle 50% 39% 11% +11% school level. Q13 Lakeside Middle School could enroll more than 1,400 students by 2018, putting it well over its functional capacity. This bond could allow for the construction of a new middle school to serve the district’s growing middle school 82% 11% 6% +71% population. Q14 Lakeside Middle School is 37 years old, was last renovated 22 years ago and is in need of repair. Please tell me if you favor or oppose each of the following two options… Making significant renovations to Lakeside Middle School to bring it up to today’s standards and make it equitable to the 79% 18% 2% +61% new middle school that is part of this bond. Q15 Completely rebuilding Lakeside Middle School (Ver Y: which X: +40% only costs a little more than it would to renovate it) to bring it Y: +42% up to today’s standards and make it equitable to the new 68% 27% 4% +41% middle school that is part of this bond. Q16 Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
RENOVATING vs. REBUILDING Q29. Renovating Lakeside Middle School would extend the life of the school twenty years and would cost less than completely rebuilding the school, but not much less. Rebuilding the school would extend the life of the school by at least fifty years and would cost more than renovations, but not much more. Hearing this, which one of the following do you prefer for Lakeside Middle School... Renovate Rebuild 26% 68% Parents 60% 34% 47% Non-parents 29% 8% 2% Renovating it Rebuilding it Neither Unsure / refused Baselice & Associates, Inc. Project# 17461
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