Latinos and the Future of Nebraska Lissette Aliaga Linares, Ph.D. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Latinos and the Future of Nebraska Lissette Aliaga Linares, Ph.D. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Latinos and the Future of Nebraska Lissette Aliaga Linares, Ph.D. Research Associate Office of Latino/Latin American Studies OLLAS Latino Population Projected to Triple by 2050 Omaha, Nebraska. Saturday, October 12 Family March and Rally for


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Latinos and the Future of Nebraska

Lissette Aliaga Linares, Ph.D.

Research Associate Office of Latino/Latin American Studies OLLAS

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Omaha, Nebraska. Saturday, October 12 Family March and Rally for Dignity and Respect Source: http://cojmc.unl.edu/mosaic/2013/10/13/omaha-rally-puts-focus-immigration-reform/

Latino Population Projected to Triple by 2050

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Percentage of Latinos in Nebraska Population Age Distribution 2010-2050

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% < 5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99 100 + 2010 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% < 5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99 100 + 2010 2030 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% < 5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99 100 + 2010 2030 2050 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% < 5 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99 100 + 2050

24% at working age 14% at retirement age 22% at voting age

Source: 2010 US Census, CPAR Projections, June 2013

Growing from the Youngest

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Latinos: Hardly Ever a Population of Only Foreigners in Nebraska

Foreign Born, 68,335 U.S. Born, 113,520 All Latinos, 173,909

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 110,000 120,000 130,000 140,000 150,000 160,000 170,000 180,000 190,000 200,000

1870 1880 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Source: Graph produced by OLLAS based on 1850-2011 Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS-USA) *Data on nativity was not available for years 1960 and 1970

Evolution of Latino/Hispanic-Origin Population in Nebraska by Nativity, 1870-2011

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Yes, Not Even Mexicans

Evolution of Mexican-Origin Population in Nebraska by Nativity, 1870-2011

Source: Graph produced by OLLAS based on 1850-2011 Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS-USA). *Data on nativity was not available for years 1960 and 1970

U.S. Born, 85,724 Mexican Born, 52,009

All Mexican Origin, 137,733

  • 10,000

20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 110,000 120,000 130,000 140,000 150,000 1870 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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Immigration Reform a Critical Issue for the Second Generation

  • f U.S. Citizens

Lives with one or two U.S. born parents 41%

Two foreign born parents, 27% One foreign born parent, 20% Two parents, one of whom is foreign born, 12%

Lives with at least

  • ne foreign born

parent 59%

Percentage of U.S. Born Latinos under 17 years, by Nativity of their Parents, Nebraska 2009-2011

Source: OLLAS calculations based on American Community Survey 2009-2011

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Latino Growth Mostly Due to Natural Increase

Source: Graph elaborated by David Drozd and presented at 24th Data Users Conference, August 2013

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Young Latinos Attending College

2,146 1,663 483 5,098 3,561 1,537

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Total U.S. Born Foreign Born 2000 2009-2011

Source: OLLAS calculations based on American Community Survey 2009-2011

Latino Population Ages 18 to 24 Attending College, Nebraska 2000-2011

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Latino Businesses Growing Strong

Source: Graph produced by OLLAS based on U.S. Census Bureau 2002 and 2007 Survey of Business Owners Summary Tables A1

10% 56% 9% 37% 56% 61% 37% 81% 25% 19%

  • 29%

39% 5% 17% 4%

  • 4%
  • 12%
  • 14%

23% 35% 21% 14%

  • 27%
  • 22%

Total Hispanic White Black Asian Native American

Growth rates for the Number of Firms, Sales, Employment and Annual Payroll by Owner Race/Ethnicity, Nebraska, 2002-2007

Number of Firms Sales Employment Annual payroll

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Latino Establishments in Nebraska Kept the Highest Proportion

  • f their Jobs

Source: OLLAS calculations based on Special Tabulations of U.S. Census Bureau 2002 Survey of Business Owners and 1989-2006 Business Information Tracking Series. * Only classifiable Firms by Race/Ethnicity, category “Other” not included in graph

91% 91% 88% 88% 92% 87% 87% 83% 87% 95%

Total White Black Asian Hispanic Total White Black Asian Hispanic United States Nebraska Percentage of Jobs Retained by Establishments by Owner Race/Ethnicity United States and Nebraska, 2002-2006

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More Latinos Building a Home in Nebraska

Source: OLLAS calculations based on U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2011

67% 67%

46% 51%

43% 48% 49% 56%

2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 All Nebraska All Latinos Foreign Born U.S. born

Percentage of Households Owning or Buying a House in Nebraska 2000-2011

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English Proficiency Improved but Not as Much for Foreign Born Latino Adults

Source: OLLAS calculations based on U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2011

63% 67% 46% 50% 91% 93%

85% 92%

74% 89%

91% 93%

56% 58%

42% 46%

92% 94%

2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 All Latino Foreign Born U.S. Born 5yrs+ 5-17yrs 18yrs+

Percentage of Latinos who Declare Speaking English Well or Very Well, by Nativity and Selected Age Groups, Nebraska 2000-2011

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Latinos Are Much Less Likely to Dropout from High School than Before But High School Dropouts

  • n the Rise among U.S.

Born Latinos

6,326 1,519 4,807 6,986 2,919 4,067 ALL LATINO U.S. BORN FOREIGN BORN

2000 2009-2011

37% 17% 56% 25% 17% 41% ALL LATINO U.S. BORN FOREIGN BORN 2000 2009-2011

Source: OLLAS calculations based on U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2011

Latino High School Dropout Rate by Nativity, Nebraska 2000-2011 Latino High School Dropouts by Nativity, Nebraska 2000-2011

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A Persistent Gap in Socioeconomic Indicators

Socioeconomic Indicators All Nebraska 2012 All Latinos in Nebraska 2012 Median Household Income $ 50,723 $ 38,096 Poverty rates for families 9% 26% Population with no health insurance coverage 11% 31% Unemployment Rate 4% 7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Selected Population Profiles from American Community Survey 2012

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Looking ahead…

Thank you!

Acknowledgements to Juliana Trout for her assistance in this presentation.